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By www.ForexConspiracyReport.com
How Will the Dollar Affect
Markets in 2019?
http://www.forexconspiracyreport.com/how-will-the-dollar-affect-markets-in-2019/
Because so much world trade is in
dollars the value of the greenback
against other currencies matters.
http://www.forexconspiracyreport.com/how-will-the-dollar-affect-markets-in-2019/
And, because much of the credit
issued in the world at large is
denominated in dollars, the value of
the dollar can matter even more.
http://www.forexconspiracyreport.com/how-will-the-dollar-affect-markets-in-2019/
The dollar went by 7% against a
basket of Forex currencies in 2018.
http://www.forexconspiracyreport.com/how-will-the-dollar-affect-markets-in-2019/
It went up by 4% against a basket of
developed nation currencies.
http://www.forexconspiracyreport.com/how-will-the-dollar-affect-markets-in-2019/
Thus there was damage for foreign
markets, especially in the developing
world in 2018 due to a strengthening
dollar.
http://www.forexconspiracyreport.com/how-will-the-dollar-affect-markets-in-2019/
How will the dollar do and how will the
dollar affect markets in 2019?
http://www.forexconspiracyreport.com/how-will-the-dollar-affect-markets-in-2019/
US Federal Reserve and
Interest Rates
http://www.forexconspiracyreport.com/how-will-the-dollar-affect-markets-in-2019/
The biggest culprit in the 2018 rise of
the dollar was the US Federal Reserve
upping interest rates four times.
http://www.forexconspiracyreport.com/how-will-the-dollar-affect-markets-in-2019/
Reading between the lines it seems
that the Fed will raise rates another
two times in 2019 unless there is a
substantial economic downturn.
http://www.forexconspiracyreport.com/how-will-the-dollar-affect-markets-in-2019/
A more-slowly rising dollar will ease
some of the stress on foreign markets.
http://www.forexconspiracyreport.com/how-will-the-dollar-affect-markets-in-2019/
US China Trade War
http://www.forexconspiracyreport.com/how-will-the-dollar-affect-markets-in-2019/
The first take on a trade war between
the USA and China was that it would
hurt the US dollar.
http://www.forexconspiracyreport.com/how-will-the-dollar-affect-markets-in-2019/
But, what the threat of a prolonged
trade war has done is damage third
world economies as those are the
folks who export raw materials to
China.
http://www.forexconspiracyreport.com/how-will-the-dollar-affect-markets-in-2019/
And, if China’s economy and exports
slow down, so will those exports.
http://www.forexconspiracyreport.com/how-will-the-dollar-affect-markets-in-2019/
Thus, money has flowed out of
developing economies into places like
the USA which drives the value of the
dollar higher.
http://www.forexconspiracyreport.com/how-will-the-dollar-affect-markets-in-2019/
Political concerns on the US side and
valid economic concerns on the
Chinese side may result in a bargain,
real or not.
http://www.forexconspiracyreport.com/how-will-the-dollar-affect-markets-in-2019/
The how the dollar affects markets in
2019 will be less severe.
http://www.forexconspiracyreport.com/how-will-the-dollar-affect-markets-in-2019/
How Foreign Markets Will
Affect the US Dollar in 2019
http://www.forexconspiracyreport.com/how-will-the-dollar-affect-markets-in-2019/
As much as the current isolationist
sentiment of some Americans is to go
it alone, the USA really is part of an
interconnected world.
http://www.forexconspiracyreport.com/how-will-the-dollar-affect-markets-in-2019/
Companies like Caterpillar and Boeing
as well as all of US agriculture derive
much of their income from foreign
sales.
http://www.forexconspiracyreport.com/how-will-the-dollar-affect-markets-in-2019/
A weaker dollar, or at least one that is
not still getting stronger so fast, will be
boon for many foreign economies.
http://www.forexconspiracyreport.com/how-will-the-dollar-affect-markets-in-2019/
In turn those economies will have
more money to buy American
products.
http://www.forexconspiracyreport.com/how-will-the-dollar-affect-markets-in-2019/
The Up and Down of the
Forex Market
http://www.forexconspiracyreport.com/how-will-the-dollar-affect-markets-in-2019/
The value of a currency in the Forex
markets rises when its fundamentals
go up.
http://www.forexconspiracyreport.com/how-will-the-dollar-affect-markets-in-2019/
This continues until it reaches a point
of being overpriced.
http://www.forexconspiracyreport.com/how-will-the-dollar-affect-markets-in-2019/
Then the same set of fundamentals
drive it down.
http://www.forexconspiracyreport.com/how-will-the-dollar-affect-markets-in-2019/
This will likely happen with the dollar in
2019 as Fed slows down interest rate
hikes, the trade war is resolved, and
the dollar becomes simply overpriced.
http://www.forexconspiracyreport.com/how-will-the-dollar-affect-markets-in-2019/
An outlier and a large one in this
picture, is the Chinese economy and
the yuan.
http://www.forexconspiracyreport.com/how-will-the-dollar-affect-markets-in-2019/
We recently wrote about why the
Chinese yuan is falling.
http://www.forexconspiracyreport.com/how-will-the-dollar-affect-markets-in-2019/
China has taken on a massive amount
of debt in a very short time.
http://www.forexconspiracyreport.com/how-will-the-dollar-affect-markets-in-2019/
This approach worked for year as their
economy grew and they became the
workshop for the world.
http://www.forexconspiracyreport.com/how-will-the-dollar-affect-markets-in-2019/
Now, as their markets are saturated
there is less room to grow and their
economic growth is slowing as their
debt rises faster.
http://www.forexconspiracyreport.com/how-will-the-dollar-affect-markets-in-2019/
This may be the outlier for as the
dollar weakens in late 2019 the
Chinese yuan may be weakening
faster.

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How Will the Dollar Affect Markets in 2019?