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ATTITUDES TO
IMMIGRATION
May 2018
Immigration attitudes remain more
positive than pre-Brexit vote, but
majority still want immigration
reduced – and dissatisfaction with
government has increased
People’s views on immigration since Brexit vote remain stable
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
Feb-15 May-15 Aug-15 Nov-15 Feb-16 May-16 Aug-16 Nov-16 Feb-17 May-17 Aug-17 Nov-17 Feb-18 May-18
% saying immigration’s impact on their country has been positive/negative on Britain
Negative
32%
Don’t know
6%
Positive
44%
Neutral
18%
On a scale of 0 to 10, has migration had a positive or negative impact on Britain? (0 is “very negative”, 10 is “very
positive”): 0-4=Negative; 5=Neutral; 6-10=Positive
Base: 1,067 GB adults aged 18-75 conducted online 11-14 May 2018; 1,060 GB adults aged 18-75 conducted online 9-13 March 2018; c2,000 GB adults aged 18+ conducted online February
2015-October 2016
May 2018
35%
60%
67%
27%
20%
14%
14%
20%
42%
21%
13%
50%
EU Referendum VoteParty Support
Base: 1,067 GB adults aged 18-75 conducted online 11-14 May 2018
Labour and Remain voters more likely to see immigration
Positive (6-10)
Neutral
Negative (0-4)
On a scale of 0 to 10, has migration had a positive or negative impact on Britain? (0 is “very negative”, 10 is “very
positive”)
Conservative Labour Remain Leave
as having a positive impact
5%
3%
3%
3%
6%
5%
6%
5%
7%
6%
23%
24%
27%
30%
27%
22%
20%
23%
24%
23%
40%
42%
37%
30%
33%
4%
5%
4%
5%
6%
Feb 2015
Apr 2016
Oct 2016
Mar 2018
May 2018
Base: 1,067 GB adults aged 18-75 conducted 11-14 May 2018; 1,060 GB adults aged 18-75 conducted 9-13 March 2018; c2,000 GB adults aged 18+ February 2015-October 2016
BUT the majority still want to see immigration numbers reduced
Increase a lot
Increase a little
Remain the same
Reduced a little
Reduced a lot
Don’t know
Do you think the number of immigrants coming to Britain nowadays should be increased a lot, increased a little,
remain the same as it is, reduced a little, or reduced a lot?
3% 7% 6% 4%2%
11% 9%
3%
16%
37% 42%
12%
26%
22%
25%
22%
51%
18%
12%
56%
2% 6% 5% 3%
Base: Online survey of 1,067 GB adults aged 18-75 conducted 11-14 May 2018
Majorities of Conservative and Leave voters want immigration
Do you think the number of immigrants coming to Britain nowadays should be increased a lot, increased a little,
remain the same as it is, reduced a little, or reduced a lot?
Conservative Labour Remain Leave
Party Support EU Referendum Vote
Increased a lot
Increased a
little
Remain the
same
Reduced a little
Reduced a lot
Don’t know
reduced
Dissatisfaction with the government has increased since March
23
11
9
12
10
64
60 61
53
60
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
Feb 14 May 14 Aug 14 Nov 14 Feb 15 May 15 Aug 15 Nov 15 Feb 16 May 16 Aug 16 Nov 16 Feb 17 May 17 Aug 17 Nov 17 Feb 18 May 18
Overall, how satisfied or dissatisfied are you with the way the current government is dealing with immigration?
Dissatisfied
Satisfied
- back to levels seen in 2015
Base: 1,060 GB adults aged 18-75 conducted online 9-13 March 2018; c4,000-1,500 GB adults aged 18+ conducted online February 2014-October 2016
1%
1% 2%
1%
14%
7%
10%
8%
30%
21%
24%
23%
32%
38%
33%
30%
21%
30% 27% 35%
2% 4% 4% 1%
Leavers and Remainers equally dissatisfied with government on issue
Overall, how satisfied or dissatisfied are you with the way the current government is dealing with immigration?
Conservative Labour Remain Leave
Party Support EU Referendum Vote
Very satisfied
Fairly satisfied
Neither satisfied
nor dissatisfied
Fairly dissatisfied
Very dissatisfied
Don’t know
Base: Online survey of 1,067 GB adults aged 18-75 conducted 11-14 May 2018
4% 1%
21%
14%
33%
30%
28%
32%
12%
21%
3% 2%
But Conservative supporters have become more dissatisfied
Overall, how satisfied or dissatisfied are you with the way the current government is dealing with immigration?
Conservative voters only
March 2018 May 2018
Very satisfied
Fairly satisfied
Neither satisfied
nor dissatisfied
Fairly dissatisfied
Very dissatisfied
Don’t know
Base: 1,060 GB adults aged 18-75 conducted online 9-13 March 2018 Base: Online survey of 1,067 GB adults aged 18-75 conducted 11-14 May 2018
In contrast to trends in ratings of
immigration since Brexit, just
one in five say they have become
more positive – and one in four
say have become more negative
7% 13% 45% 13% 12% 10% Somewhat agree
Strongly agree
Neither agree nor
disagree
Strongly disagree
Somewhat disagree
Don’t know
One in five say they have become more positive about the impact
immigration has on Britain – one in four more negative
Since Britain has voted to leave the European Union I have become more positive about the impact
immigration has on Britain
Base: 1,067 GB adults aged 18-75 conducted online 11-14 May 2018
Of those who have become more positive, people are split - Two in five say it’s
Some people’s opinions on immigration have shifted since the vote to leave the EU. Which of the following, if
any, apply to your views? You can choose as many as you like.
because they recognise contribution of immigrants and same proportion say it’s
39%
27%
19%
14%
12%
The discussions since the vote to leave the EU has highlighted how much
immigrants contribute to the UK, so I feel more positive or less worried
about immigration than I did before the vote to leave
I am reassured that fewer immigrants will come to the UK once we
actually leave the EU, so I feel more positive or less worried about
immigration than I did before the vote to leave
There are fewer immigrants coming to the UK already, so I feel more
positive or less worried about immigration than I did before the vote to
leave
None of these
Don't know
Base: All who say they have become more positive about immigration since EU Referendum (218)
41%*
because they are reassured that numbers are reducing
*People selecting either one of these options
People want a tough
immigration policy – but one
that protects people who
have the legal right to be
here
60%18%
22%
Six in ten support a ‘hostile environment’ immigration policy that is
Do you support or oppose an immigration policy which is designed to make it as difficult as possible for people
who do not have the right to be in the United Kingdom to stay here, which has been called a “hostile
environment” by some. This includes measures such as requiring ID checks when accessing public services,
applying for a job or when renting somewhere to live.
Support
Oppose
tough on illegal immigrants
Base: 1,067 GB adults aged 18-75 conducted online 11-14 May 2018
80%
47% 43%
81%
7%
31%
30%
7%
13%
22% 27%
12%
And support rises to four in five among Conservative supporters and
Do you support or oppose an immigration policy which is designed to make it as difficult as possible for people who do not have
the right to be in the United Kingdom to stay, which has been called a “hostile environment” by some. This includes measures such
as requiring ID checks when accessing public services, applying for a job or when renting somewhere to live.
Conservative Labour Remain Leave
Political Voting Intention EU Referendum Vote
Base: 1,067 GB adults aged 18-75 conducted online 11-14 May 2018
Support
Oppose
Don’t know
Leave voters
23%
64%
14%
BUT majority favour an immigration system that protects people who
When dealing with illegal immigrants which of these priorities comes closest to your views?
The priority should be ensuring that people
who have the legal right to live in Britain are
not wrongly forced to leave because they
may not have the right evidence proving
they have the right to stay, even if this
means some illegal immigrants are not
deported
Don’t know
have the legal right to be here rather than one that prioritises
Base: Online survey of 1,067 GB adults aged 18-75 conducted 11-14 May 2018
The priority should be ensuring that
illegal immigrants are deported, even if
this means some people who have the
legal right to live in Britain are forced to
leave if they cannot prove it
deporting illegal immigrants
Majority of party supporters/Leave/Remain voters support policy that protects
When dealing with illegal immigrants which of these priorities comes closest to your view?
people that have legal right to be here rather than deporting illegal immigrants
Base: 1,067 GB adults aged 18-75 conducted online 11-14 May 2018
The priority should be ensuring that illegal
immigrants are deported, even if this means some
people who have the legal right to live in Britain
are forced to leave if they cannot prove it
23%
31%
15%
11%
35%
Overall
Conservative
Labour
Remain
Leave
64%
60%
78%
82%
52%
Overall
Conservative
Labour
Remain
Leave
The priority should be ensuring that people who have the
legal right to live in Britain are not wrongly forced to leave
because they may not have the right evidence proving they
have the right to stay, even if this means some illegal
immigrants are not deported
The Windrush scandal seen
as result of government
incompetence and majority
are ashamed by it
7%
21%
31%
38%
17%
22%
30%
25%
23%
23%
16%
19%
20%
15%
8%
6%
23%
9%
4%
3%
10%
10%
11%
9%
Issues experienced by those caught up in the Windrush scandal
are bad, however this is the unfortunate side effect of controlling
illegal immigration
The experiences of people caught up in the Windrush scandal
show that the British govt is being too hostile towards
immigrants
The Windrush scandal is mainly a result of government
incompetence and not because of the rules on immigration
I am ashamed of how Britain has treated the Windrush
generation
Strongly agree Somewhat agree Neither Somewhat disagree Strongly disagree Don't know
Base: 1,067 GB adults aged 18-75 conducted 11-14 May 2018
While majority are ashamed of how Britain has treated Windrush
As you may know, some members of the “Windrush generation” who arrived in the UK before the 1971 Immigration Act have
faced issues such as detention, refusal of access to public services and deportation if they have been unable to provide
evidence that they arrived before 1971 and have the right to remain the UK. How strongly do you agree or disagree with the
following statements?
generation, most believe it was down to govt. incompetence
29%
38% 33% 34%
30%
32%
30%
31%
19%
12%
17% 12%
10%
6% 8% 9%
5% 3% 3% 4%
7% 8% 8% 9%
Majority of Conservative and Labour supporters and Leavers
The Windrush scandal is mainly a result of government incompetence and not because of the rules on
immigration
Conservative Labour Remain Leave
Party Support EU Referendum Vote
Strongly agree
Somewhat agree
Neither agree
nor disagree
Somewhat
disagree
Strongly
disagree
Don’t know
Base: Online survey of 1,067 GB adults aged 18-75 conducted 11-14 May2018
Remainers put the scandal down to government incompetence
8%
40% 38%
8%
21%
27% 24%
19%
27%
17%
19%
22%
24%
8% 9%
24%
16%
2% 2%
18%
5% 6% 8% 9%
Labour supporters most likely to say govt being too hostile towards
The experiences of people caught up in Windrush scandal show that the British government is being too hostile
towards immigrants
Conservative Labour Remain Leave
Party Support EU Referendum Vote
Strongly agree
Somewhat agree
Neither agree
nor disagree
Somewhat
disagree
Strongly
disagree
Don’t know
Base: Online survey of 1,067 GB adults aged 18-75 conducted 11-14 May2018
immigrants
People overestimate levels of
immigration and illegal
immigration
People massively overestimate the proportion of immigrants in Britain
Out of every 100 people in Britain, about how many do you think were born in
a foreign country?
Actual*… Guess…
13.5% 27%
* ONS data
And they think that one in six immigrants is here illegally – higher
Actual
estimate…
Guess…
9% 15%
Now thinking about everyone who is living in Britain and was born in a foreign country, out of
every 100 people living in Britain who were born in a foreign country, about how many do you
think are living here illegally?
than estimates* of 1 in 10
* Home Office estimates based on ONS 2001 data https://www.ons.gov.uk/aboutus/transparencyandgovernance/freedomofinformationfoi/illegalimmigrantsintheuk
For more details contact:
bobby.duffy@ipsos.com
kully.kaur-ballagan@ipsos.com
glenn.gottfried@ipsos.com

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Attitudes to immigration after Windrush

  • 2. Immigration attitudes remain more positive than pre-Brexit vote, but majority still want immigration reduced – and dissatisfaction with government has increased
  • 3. People’s views on immigration since Brexit vote remain stable 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 Feb-15 May-15 Aug-15 Nov-15 Feb-16 May-16 Aug-16 Nov-16 Feb-17 May-17 Aug-17 Nov-17 Feb-18 May-18 % saying immigration’s impact on their country has been positive/negative on Britain Negative 32% Don’t know 6% Positive 44% Neutral 18% On a scale of 0 to 10, has migration had a positive or negative impact on Britain? (0 is “very negative”, 10 is “very positive”): 0-4=Negative; 5=Neutral; 6-10=Positive Base: 1,067 GB adults aged 18-75 conducted online 11-14 May 2018; 1,060 GB adults aged 18-75 conducted online 9-13 March 2018; c2,000 GB adults aged 18+ conducted online February 2015-October 2016 May 2018
  • 4. 35% 60% 67% 27% 20% 14% 14% 20% 42% 21% 13% 50% EU Referendum VoteParty Support Base: 1,067 GB adults aged 18-75 conducted online 11-14 May 2018 Labour and Remain voters more likely to see immigration Positive (6-10) Neutral Negative (0-4) On a scale of 0 to 10, has migration had a positive or negative impact on Britain? (0 is “very negative”, 10 is “very positive”) Conservative Labour Remain Leave as having a positive impact
  • 5. 5% 3% 3% 3% 6% 5% 6% 5% 7% 6% 23% 24% 27% 30% 27% 22% 20% 23% 24% 23% 40% 42% 37% 30% 33% 4% 5% 4% 5% 6% Feb 2015 Apr 2016 Oct 2016 Mar 2018 May 2018 Base: 1,067 GB adults aged 18-75 conducted 11-14 May 2018; 1,060 GB adults aged 18-75 conducted 9-13 March 2018; c2,000 GB adults aged 18+ February 2015-October 2016 BUT the majority still want to see immigration numbers reduced Increase a lot Increase a little Remain the same Reduced a little Reduced a lot Don’t know Do you think the number of immigrants coming to Britain nowadays should be increased a lot, increased a little, remain the same as it is, reduced a little, or reduced a lot?
  • 6. 3% 7% 6% 4%2% 11% 9% 3% 16% 37% 42% 12% 26% 22% 25% 22% 51% 18% 12% 56% 2% 6% 5% 3% Base: Online survey of 1,067 GB adults aged 18-75 conducted 11-14 May 2018 Majorities of Conservative and Leave voters want immigration Do you think the number of immigrants coming to Britain nowadays should be increased a lot, increased a little, remain the same as it is, reduced a little, or reduced a lot? Conservative Labour Remain Leave Party Support EU Referendum Vote Increased a lot Increased a little Remain the same Reduced a little Reduced a lot Don’t know reduced
  • 7. Dissatisfaction with the government has increased since March 23 11 9 12 10 64 60 61 53 60 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 Feb 14 May 14 Aug 14 Nov 14 Feb 15 May 15 Aug 15 Nov 15 Feb 16 May 16 Aug 16 Nov 16 Feb 17 May 17 Aug 17 Nov 17 Feb 18 May 18 Overall, how satisfied or dissatisfied are you with the way the current government is dealing with immigration? Dissatisfied Satisfied - back to levels seen in 2015 Base: 1,060 GB adults aged 18-75 conducted online 9-13 March 2018; c4,000-1,500 GB adults aged 18+ conducted online February 2014-October 2016
  • 8. 1% 1% 2% 1% 14% 7% 10% 8% 30% 21% 24% 23% 32% 38% 33% 30% 21% 30% 27% 35% 2% 4% 4% 1% Leavers and Remainers equally dissatisfied with government on issue Overall, how satisfied or dissatisfied are you with the way the current government is dealing with immigration? Conservative Labour Remain Leave Party Support EU Referendum Vote Very satisfied Fairly satisfied Neither satisfied nor dissatisfied Fairly dissatisfied Very dissatisfied Don’t know Base: Online survey of 1,067 GB adults aged 18-75 conducted 11-14 May 2018
  • 9. 4% 1% 21% 14% 33% 30% 28% 32% 12% 21% 3% 2% But Conservative supporters have become more dissatisfied Overall, how satisfied or dissatisfied are you with the way the current government is dealing with immigration? Conservative voters only March 2018 May 2018 Very satisfied Fairly satisfied Neither satisfied nor dissatisfied Fairly dissatisfied Very dissatisfied Don’t know Base: 1,060 GB adults aged 18-75 conducted online 9-13 March 2018 Base: Online survey of 1,067 GB adults aged 18-75 conducted 11-14 May 2018
  • 10. In contrast to trends in ratings of immigration since Brexit, just one in five say they have become more positive – and one in four say have become more negative
  • 11. 7% 13% 45% 13% 12% 10% Somewhat agree Strongly agree Neither agree nor disagree Strongly disagree Somewhat disagree Don’t know One in five say they have become more positive about the impact immigration has on Britain – one in four more negative Since Britain has voted to leave the European Union I have become more positive about the impact immigration has on Britain Base: 1,067 GB adults aged 18-75 conducted online 11-14 May 2018
  • 12. Of those who have become more positive, people are split - Two in five say it’s Some people’s opinions on immigration have shifted since the vote to leave the EU. Which of the following, if any, apply to your views? You can choose as many as you like. because they recognise contribution of immigrants and same proportion say it’s 39% 27% 19% 14% 12% The discussions since the vote to leave the EU has highlighted how much immigrants contribute to the UK, so I feel more positive or less worried about immigration than I did before the vote to leave I am reassured that fewer immigrants will come to the UK once we actually leave the EU, so I feel more positive or less worried about immigration than I did before the vote to leave There are fewer immigrants coming to the UK already, so I feel more positive or less worried about immigration than I did before the vote to leave None of these Don't know Base: All who say they have become more positive about immigration since EU Referendum (218) 41%* because they are reassured that numbers are reducing *People selecting either one of these options
  • 13. People want a tough immigration policy – but one that protects people who have the legal right to be here
  • 14. 60%18% 22% Six in ten support a ‘hostile environment’ immigration policy that is Do you support or oppose an immigration policy which is designed to make it as difficult as possible for people who do not have the right to be in the United Kingdom to stay here, which has been called a “hostile environment” by some. This includes measures such as requiring ID checks when accessing public services, applying for a job or when renting somewhere to live. Support Oppose tough on illegal immigrants Base: 1,067 GB adults aged 18-75 conducted online 11-14 May 2018
  • 15. 80% 47% 43% 81% 7% 31% 30% 7% 13% 22% 27% 12% And support rises to four in five among Conservative supporters and Do you support or oppose an immigration policy which is designed to make it as difficult as possible for people who do not have the right to be in the United Kingdom to stay, which has been called a “hostile environment” by some. This includes measures such as requiring ID checks when accessing public services, applying for a job or when renting somewhere to live. Conservative Labour Remain Leave Political Voting Intention EU Referendum Vote Base: 1,067 GB adults aged 18-75 conducted online 11-14 May 2018 Support Oppose Don’t know Leave voters
  • 16. 23% 64% 14% BUT majority favour an immigration system that protects people who When dealing with illegal immigrants which of these priorities comes closest to your views? The priority should be ensuring that people who have the legal right to live in Britain are not wrongly forced to leave because they may not have the right evidence proving they have the right to stay, even if this means some illegal immigrants are not deported Don’t know have the legal right to be here rather than one that prioritises Base: Online survey of 1,067 GB adults aged 18-75 conducted 11-14 May 2018 The priority should be ensuring that illegal immigrants are deported, even if this means some people who have the legal right to live in Britain are forced to leave if they cannot prove it deporting illegal immigrants
  • 17. Majority of party supporters/Leave/Remain voters support policy that protects When dealing with illegal immigrants which of these priorities comes closest to your view? people that have legal right to be here rather than deporting illegal immigrants Base: 1,067 GB adults aged 18-75 conducted online 11-14 May 2018 The priority should be ensuring that illegal immigrants are deported, even if this means some people who have the legal right to live in Britain are forced to leave if they cannot prove it 23% 31% 15% 11% 35% Overall Conservative Labour Remain Leave 64% 60% 78% 82% 52% Overall Conservative Labour Remain Leave The priority should be ensuring that people who have the legal right to live in Britain are not wrongly forced to leave because they may not have the right evidence proving they have the right to stay, even if this means some illegal immigrants are not deported
  • 18. The Windrush scandal seen as result of government incompetence and majority are ashamed by it
  • 19. 7% 21% 31% 38% 17% 22% 30% 25% 23% 23% 16% 19% 20% 15% 8% 6% 23% 9% 4% 3% 10% 10% 11% 9% Issues experienced by those caught up in the Windrush scandal are bad, however this is the unfortunate side effect of controlling illegal immigration The experiences of people caught up in the Windrush scandal show that the British govt is being too hostile towards immigrants The Windrush scandal is mainly a result of government incompetence and not because of the rules on immigration I am ashamed of how Britain has treated the Windrush generation Strongly agree Somewhat agree Neither Somewhat disagree Strongly disagree Don't know Base: 1,067 GB adults aged 18-75 conducted 11-14 May 2018 While majority are ashamed of how Britain has treated Windrush As you may know, some members of the “Windrush generation” who arrived in the UK before the 1971 Immigration Act have faced issues such as detention, refusal of access to public services and deportation if they have been unable to provide evidence that they arrived before 1971 and have the right to remain the UK. How strongly do you agree or disagree with the following statements? generation, most believe it was down to govt. incompetence
  • 20. 29% 38% 33% 34% 30% 32% 30% 31% 19% 12% 17% 12% 10% 6% 8% 9% 5% 3% 3% 4% 7% 8% 8% 9% Majority of Conservative and Labour supporters and Leavers The Windrush scandal is mainly a result of government incompetence and not because of the rules on immigration Conservative Labour Remain Leave Party Support EU Referendum Vote Strongly agree Somewhat agree Neither agree nor disagree Somewhat disagree Strongly disagree Don’t know Base: Online survey of 1,067 GB adults aged 18-75 conducted 11-14 May2018 Remainers put the scandal down to government incompetence
  • 21. 8% 40% 38% 8% 21% 27% 24% 19% 27% 17% 19% 22% 24% 8% 9% 24% 16% 2% 2% 18% 5% 6% 8% 9% Labour supporters most likely to say govt being too hostile towards The experiences of people caught up in Windrush scandal show that the British government is being too hostile towards immigrants Conservative Labour Remain Leave Party Support EU Referendum Vote Strongly agree Somewhat agree Neither agree nor disagree Somewhat disagree Strongly disagree Don’t know Base: Online survey of 1,067 GB adults aged 18-75 conducted 11-14 May2018 immigrants
  • 22. People overestimate levels of immigration and illegal immigration
  • 23. People massively overestimate the proportion of immigrants in Britain Out of every 100 people in Britain, about how many do you think were born in a foreign country? Actual*… Guess… 13.5% 27% * ONS data
  • 24. And they think that one in six immigrants is here illegally – higher Actual estimate… Guess… 9% 15% Now thinking about everyone who is living in Britain and was born in a foreign country, out of every 100 people living in Britain who were born in a foreign country, about how many do you think are living here illegally? than estimates* of 1 in 10 * Home Office estimates based on ONS 2001 data https://www.ons.gov.uk/aboutus/transparencyandgovernance/freedomofinformationfoi/illegalimmigrantsintheuk
  • 25. For more details contact: bobby.duffy@ipsos.com kully.kaur-ballagan@ipsos.com glenn.gottfried@ipsos.com