Ipsos MORI February 2019 Political Monitor
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The document provides polling data from Ipsos MORI on UK voting intentions, satisfaction with political leaders and parties, and economic optimism. Key findings include: - For voting intentions, the Conservatives lead Labour by 4 percentage points (38% to 34%). - Satisfaction with Prime Minister Theresa May is at 33%, with a net satisfaction of -25. Satisfaction with Labour leader Jeremy Corbyn is lower at 17%. - The economic optimism index stands at -43, with 57% thinking economic conditions will get worse in the next year.
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Ipsos MORI February 2019 Political Monitor
- 1. 1Ipsos MORI Political Monitor | PublicIpsos MORI Political Monitor | Public 1 February 2019 POLITICAL MONITOR
- 2. 2Ipsos MORI Political Monitor | PublicIpsos MORI Political Monitor | Public 2 February 2019 VOTING INTENTIONS
- 3. 3Ipsos MORI Political Monitor | Public HOW WOULD YOU VOTE IF THERE WERE A GENERAL ELECTION TOMORROW?. Voting Intention: February 2019 Source: Ipsos MORI Political Monitor Base: 1,005 British adults 18+,1 – 5 February 2019; Headline Voting Intention: all 9/10 certain to vote and always/usually/it depends vote in General Elections = 811 Margin of error is displayed at +/- 4% All polls are subject to a wide range of potential sources of error. On the basis of the historical record of the polls at recent general elections, there is a 9 in 10 chance that the true value of a party’s support lies within 4 points of the estimates provided by this poll, and a 2 in 3 chance that they lie within 2 points. This is especially important to keep in mind when calculating party lead figures. ALL GIVING A VOTING INTENTION HEADLINE VOTING INTENTION CONSERVATIVE LEAD = +4 CONSERVATIVE LEAD = +0 38% 38% 10% 4% 3% CONSERVATIVE LABOUR LIB DEM UKIP GREEN 39% 35% 12% 5% 3% CONSERVATIVE LABOUR LIB DEM UKIP GREEN
- 4. 4Ipsos MORI Political Monitor | Public HOW WOULD YOU VOTE IF THERE WERE A GENERAL ELECTION TOMORROW?. Headline voting intention: Since 2015 General Election Source: Ipsos MORI Political Monitor Base: c. 800 British adults; Prior to July 2015 the turnout filter is “All certain to vote”; From July 2015 turnout filter is “all 9/10 certain to vote and always/usually/it depends vote in General Elections 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 May15 Jun15 Jul15 Aug15 Sep15 Oct15 Nov15 Dec15 Jan16 Feb16 Mar16 Apr16 May16 Jun16 Jul16 Aug16 Sep16 Oct16 Nov16 Dec16 Jan17 Feb17 Mar17 Apr17 May17 Jun17 Jul17 Aug17 Sep17 Oct17 Nov17 Dec17 Jan18 Feb18 Mar18 Apr18 May18 Jun18 Jul18 Aug18 Sep18 Oct18 Nov18 Dec18 Jan19 Feb19 Corbyn elected (Sept 15) May as PM (July 16) CONSERVATIVE 38% LABOUR 38% GENERAL ELECTION % Feb ‘19
- 5. 5Ipsos MORI Political Monitor | Public 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 Jan04 Apr04 Jul04 Oct04 Jan05 Apr05 Jul05 Oct05 Jan06 Apr06 Jul06 Oct06 Jan07 Apr07 Jul07 Oct07 Jan08 Apr08 Jul08 Oct08 Jan09 Apr09 Jul09 Oct09 Jan10 Apr10 Jul10 Oct10 Jan11 Apr11 Jul11 Oct11 Jan12 Apr12 Jul12 Oct12 Jan13 Apr13 Jul13 Oct13 Jan14 Apr14 Jul14 Oct14 Jan15 Apr15 Jul15 Oct15 Jan16 Apr16 Jul16 Oct16 Jan17 Apr17 Jul17 Oct17 Jan18 Apr18 Jul18 Oct18 Jan19 Miliband elected (Sept 10) Corbyn elected (Sept 15) May as PM (July 16) HOW WOULD YOU VOTE IF THERE WERE A GENERAL ELECTION TOMORROW?. Headline voting intention: January ‘04 – February ‘19 Source: Ipsos MORI Political Monitor Base: c. 800 British adults; Prior to July 2015 the turnout filter is “All certain to vote”; From July 2015 turnout filter is “all 9/10 certain to vote and always/usually/it depends vote in General Elections Cameron elected (Dec 05) Brown as PM (June 07) CONSERVATIVE 38% LABOUR 38% UKIP 4% GREEN 3% LIB DEM 10% GENERAL ELECTION % Feb ‘19
- 6. 6Ipsos MORI Political Monitor | PublicIpsos MORI Political Monitor | Public 6 February 2019 SATISFACTION WITH GOVERNMENT AND PARTY LEADERS
- 7. 7Ipsos MORI Political Monitor | Public Theresa May Jeremy Corbyn The GovernmentVince Cable ARE YOU SATISFIED OR DISSATISFIED WITH THE WAY…. IS RUNNING THE COUNTRY / DOING HIS/HER JOB. AS PRIME MINISTER /LEADER OF THE LABOUR PARTY/LEADER OF THE LIBERAL DEMOCRATS?. Satisfaction with leaders and the Government: February 2019 Source: Ipsos MORI Political Monitor Base: 1,005 British adults 18+ 1-5 February 2019. Swing is calculated as the average of change in % “satisfied” and % “dissatisfied” 72% 11% 17% 41% 35% 24% 71% 8% 22% DISSATISFIED DON’T KNOW SATISFIED -1.5% SWING FROM DEC 2018 -11.5% SWING FROM DEC 2018 -1.5% SWING FROM DEC 2018 -2% SWING FROM DEC 2018 NET=-55 NET=-17 NET=-49NET=-25 58% 9% 33%
- 8. 8Ipsos MORI Political Monitor | Public HOW SATISFIED OR DISSATISFIED ARE YOU WITH THE WAY … IS DOING HIS/HER JOB AS PRIME MINISTER /LEADER OF THE LABOUR/LIB DEM PARTY?. Satisfaction with Party leaders September 2015 – February 2019 Source: Ipsos MORI Political MonitorBase: c.1,000 British adults each month. 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 Sep15 Oct15 Nov15 Dec15 Jan16 Feb16 Mar16 Apr16 May16 Jun16 Jul16 Aug16 Sep16 Oct16 Nov16 Dec16 Jan17 Feb17 Mar17 Apr17 May17 Jun17 Jul17 Aug17 Sep17 Oct17 Nov17 Dec17 Jan18 Feb18 Mar18 Apr18 May18 Jun18 Jul18 Aug18 Sep18 Oct18 Nov18 Dec18 Jan19 2016 EU Ref % satisfied MAY 33% CORBYN 17% CABLE 24% GENERAL ELECTION Feb ‘19
- 9. 9Ipsos MORI Political Monitor | Public HOW SATISFIED OR DISSATISFIED ARE YOU WITH THE WAY … IS DOING HIS/HER JOB AS PRIME MINISTER?. Net satisfaction with Prime Ministers (1979-2019) Source: Ipsos MORI Political MonitorBase: c.1,000 British adults each month MAY CAMERON BROWN MAJOR BLAIR THATCHER NUMBER OF MONTHS AFTER BECOMING PRIME MINISTER NETSATISFACTION May Note: Data collected prior to February 2008 was collected via face-to-face methodology; data collected from February 2008 was via telephone
- 10. 10Ipsos MORI Political Monitor | Public HOW SATISFIED OR DISSATISFIED ARE YOU WITH THE WAY … IS DOING HIS JOB AS LEADER OF THE … PARTY?. Net satisfaction with Opposition Leaders (1980 – 2019) Corbyn NUMBER OF MONTHS AFTER BECOMING OPPOSITION LEADER NETSATISFACTION CORBYN BLAIR SMITH KINNOCK MILLIBAND FOOT CAMERON DUNCAN-SMITH HAGUE HOWARD Source: Ipsos MORI Political MonitorBase: c.1,000 British adults each month Note: Data collected prior to February 2008 was collected via face-to-face methodology; data collected from February 2008 was via telephone
- 11. 11Ipsos MORI Political Monitor | Public HOW SATISFIED OR DISSATISFIED ARE YOU WITH THE WAY THE GOVERNMENT IS RUNNING THE COUNTRY? Net satisfaction with the Government (1979 – 2019) Theresa May’s Government NUMBER OF MONTHS AFTER ASSUMING GOVERNMENT NETSATISFACTION MAY’S GOV BLAIR’S GOV MAJOR’S GOV CAMERON’S GOV THATCHER’S GOV BROWN’S GOV Source: Ipsos MORI Political MonitorBase: c.1,000 British adults each month Note: Data collected prior to February 2008 was collected via face-to-face methodology; data collected from February 2008 was via telephone
- 12. 12Ipsos MORI Political Monitor | Public ARE YOU SATISFIED OR DISSATISFIED WITH THE WAY THERESA MAY IS DOING HER JOB AS PRIME MINISTER?. Theresa May Source: Ipsos MORI Political Monitor February 2019 August 2016 – February 2019 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100 Aug-16 Oct-16 Dec-16 Feb-17 Apr-17 Jun-17 Aug-17 Oct-17 Dec-17 Feb-18 Apr-18 Jun-18 Aug-18 Oct-18 Dec-18 Feb-19 . 58% Dissatisfied 9% Don’t know 33% Satisfied NET = -25 Satisfaction DISSATISFIED 58% SATISFIED 33% % Base: 1,005 British adults 18+ 1 February – 5 February 2019
- 13. 13Ipsos MORI Political Monitor | Public ARE YOU SATISFIED OR DISSATISFIED WITH THE WAY THERESA MAY IS DOING HER JOB AS PRIME MINISTER?. Theresa May Source: Ipsos MORI Political Monitor Base: 352 Conservative supporters 18+ 1 February – 5 February 2019 February 2019 August 2016 – February 2019 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100 Aug-16 Oct-16 Dec-16 Feb-17 Apr-17 Jun-17 Aug-17 Oct-17 Dec-17 Feb-18 Apr-18 Jun-18 Aug-18 Oct-18 Dec-18 Feb-19 30% Dissatisfied 6% Don’t know 64% Satisfied NET = +34 DISSATISFIED 30% SATISFIED 64% Satisfaction amongst Conservative supporters %
- 14. 14Ipsos MORI Political Monitor | Public Jeremy Corbyn Source: Ipsos MORI Political Monitor February 2019 September 2015 – February 2019 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100 Sep-15 Nov-15 Jan-16 Mar-16 May-16 Jul-16 Sep-16 Nov-16 Jan-17 Mar-17 May-17 Jul-17 Sep-17 Nov-17 Jan-18 Mar-18 May-18 Jul-18 Sep-18 Nov-18 Jan-19 . SATISFIED 17% DISSATISFIED 72% ARE YOU SATISFIED OR DISSATISFIED WITH THE WAY JEREMY CORBYN IS DOING HIS JOB AS LEADER OF THE LABOUR PARTY?. NET = -55 Satisfaction 72% Dissatisfied 11% Don’t know 17% Satisfied % Base: 1,005 British adults 18+ 1 February – 5 February 2019
- 15. 15Ipsos MORI Political Monitor | Public Jeremy Corbyn Source: Ipsos MORI Political Monitor Base: 292 Labour supporters 18+ 1 February – 5 February 2019 February 2019 September 2015 – February 2019 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100 Sep-15 Nov-15 Jan-16 Mar-16 May-16 Jul-16 Sep-16 Nov-16 Jan-17 Mar-17 May-17 Jul-17 Sep-17 Nov-17 Jan-18 Mar-18 May-18 Jul-18 Sep-18 Nov-18 Jan-19 . ARE YOU SATISFIED OR DISSATISFIED WITH THE WAY JEREMY CORBYN IS DOING HIS JOB AS LEADER OF THE LABOUR PARTY?. NET = -2 Satisfaction amongst Labour supporters 46% Dissatisfied 9% Don’t know 44% Satisfied SATISFIED 44% DISSATISFIED 46% %
- 16. 16Ipsos MORI Political Monitor | Public Vince Cable Source: Ipsos MORI Political Monitor February 2019 September 2017 – February 2019 0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40 45 Sep-17 Oct-17 Nov-17 Dec-17 Jan-18 Feb-18 Mar-18 Apr-18 May-18 Jun-18 Jul-18 Aug-18 Sep-18 Oct-18 Nov-18 Dec-18 Jan-19 Feb-19 DISSATISFIED 41% SATISFIED 24% ARE YOU SATISFIED OR DISSATISFIED WITH THE WAY VINCE CABLE IS DOING HIS JOB AS LEADER OF THE LIBERAL DEMOCRATS?. NET = -17 41% Dissatisfied 35% Don’t know 24% Satisfied Satisfaction % Base: 1,005 British adults 18+ 1 February – 5 February 2019
- 17. 17Ipsos MORI Political Monitor | PublicIpsos MORI Political Monitor | Public 17 February 2019 ECONOMIC OPTIMISM
- 18. 18Ipsos MORI Political Monitor | Public 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 Jan-07 Jul-07 Dec-07 Apr-08 Aug-08 Dec-08 Apr-09 Aug-09 Dec-09 Apr-10 Sep-10 Jan-11 May-11 Sep-11 Jan-12 May-12 Sep-12 Jan-13 May-13 Sep-13 Jan-14 May-14 Sep-14 Jan-15 Apr-15 Oct-15 Feb-16 Jun-16 Oct-16 Feb-17 Jul-17 Jan-18 Jun-18 Dec-18 DO YOU THINK THAT THE GENERAL ECONOMIC CONDITION OF THE COUNTRY WILL IMPROVE, STAY THE SAME OR GET WORSE OVER THE NEXT 12 MONTHS?. Economic Optimism Index Source: Ipsos MORI Political Monitor February 2019 EOI = -43 57% 21% 14% 9% GET WORSE STAY THE SAME Don’t know GET BETTER Stay the same Get worse Improve % January 2007 – February 2019 Base: 1,005 British adults 18+ 1 February – 5 February 2019 Feb-19 Feb ‘19
- 19. 19Ipsos MORI Political Monitor | Public DO YOU THINK THAT THE GENERAL ECONOMIC CONDITION OF THE COUNTRY WILL IMPROVE, STAY THE SAME OR GET WORSE OVER THE NEXT 12 MONTHS?. Economic Optimism Index – 1998-2019 Source: Ipsos MORI Political MonitorBase: c.1,000 British adults each month -80 -60 -40 -20 0 20 40 Jan1998 Oct1998 Jul1999 Apr2000 Jan2001 Oct2001 Jul2002 Apr2003 Jan2004 Oct2004 Jul2005 Apr2006 Jan2007 Oct2007 Jul2008 Apr2009 Jan2010 Oct2010 Jul2011 Apr2012 Jan2013 Oct2013 Jul2014 Apr2015 Jan2016 Oct2016 Jul2017 Apr2018 Jan2019 NET OPTIMISM=-43 Feb2019 Feb ‘19
- 20. 20Ipsos MORI Political Monitor | PublicIpsos MORI Political Monitor | Public 20 February 2019 BREXIT
- 21. 21Ipsos MORI Political Monitor | Public Confidence in May to get a good Brexit deal for Britain Source: Ipsos MORI Political MonitorBase: c. 1,000 British adults 18+ each month * In December 2018 the question was posed as ‘has got a good deal’’’ NOT CONFIDENT 77% CONFIDENT 21% 44% 36% 35% 37% 34% 30% 25% 28% 19% 23% 51% 60% 60% 59% 63% 67% 72% 70% 78% 69% 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 Mar-17 Apr-17 May-17 Jun-17 Jul-17 Aug-17 Sep-17 Oct-17 Nov-17 Dec-17 Jan-18 Feb-18 Mar-18 Apr-18 May-18 Jun-18 Jul-18 Aug-18 Sep-18 Oct-18 Nov-18 Dec-18 Jan-19 Feb-19 Feb ‘19 PLEASE TELL ME HOW CONFIDENT, IF AT ALL, YOU ARE THAT THERESA MAY HAS GOT/WILL GET A GOOD DEAL FOR BRITAIN IN NEGOTIATIONS WITH OTHER EUROPEAN UNION LEADERS?.
- 22. 22Ipsos MORI Political Monitor | Public 67% 73% 66% 67% 56% 47% 45% 34% 39% 33% 26% 30% 32% 43% 51% 53% 64% 54% 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 Mar-17 Apr-17 May-17 Jun-17 Jul-17 Aug-17 Sep-17 Oct-17 Nov-17 Dec-17 Jan-18 Feb-18 Mar-18 Apr-18 May-18 Jun-18 Jul-18 Aug-18 Sep-18 Oct-18 Nov-18 Dec-18 Jan-19 Feb-19 PLEASE TELL ME HOW CONFIDENT, IF AT ALL, YOU ARE THAT THERESA MAY HAS GOT/WILL GET A GOOD DEAL FOR BRITAIN IN NEGOTIATIONS WITH OTHER EUROPEAN UNION LEADERS?. Confidence in May to get a good deal for Britain Source: Ipsos MORI Political MonitorBase: c. 350 Conservative party supporters each month * In December 2018 the question was posed as ‘has got a good deal’, NOT CONFIDENT 62% CONFIDENT 36% Among Conservative supporters Feb ‘19 v v v
- 23. 23Ipsos MORI Political Monitor | Public Source: Ipsos MORI Political Monitor 41% 34% 58% 64% Theresa May (July 2018) Theresa May (February 2019) HOW MUCH, IF AT ALL, DO YOU TRUST EACH OF THE FOLLOWING TO MAKE THE RIGHT DECISIONS FOR BRITAIN ABOUT ITS EXIT FROM THE EUROPEAN UNION? Trust to make the right decisions for Britain’s exit from the European Union 31% 20% 65% 76% Jeremy Corbyn (July 2018) Jeremy Corbyn (February 2019) 25% 70% MPs as a whole (February 2019) Base: 1,005 British adults 18+ 1 February – 5 February 2019 TRUST GREATLY/FAIRLY TRUST NOT VERY MUCH/AT ALL
- 24. 24Ipsos MORI Political Monitor | Public Source: Ipsos MORI Political Monitor 72% 69% 26% 29% Theresa May (July 2018) Theresa May (February 2019) HOW MUCH, IF AT ALL, DO YOU TRUST EACH OF THE FOLLOWING TO MAKE THE RIGHT DECISIONS FOR BRITAIN ABOUT ITS EXIT FROM THE EUROPEAN UNION? Trust to make the right decisions for Britain’s exit from the European Union 63% 50% 33% 46% Jeremy Corbyn (July 2018) Jeremy Corbyn (February 2019) By party support Conservative party supporters Labour party supporters Base: 352 Conservative supporters, 292 Labour supporters, 1 February – 5 February 2019 TRUST GREATLY/FAIRLY TRUST NOT VERY MUCH/AT ALL
- 25. 25Ipsos MORI Political Monitor | Public Source: Ipsos MORI Political Monitor 60% 35% 29% 50% Theresa May Conservative supporters DO YOU THINK … HAS PROVIDED STRONG OR WEAK LEADERSHIP WHEN HANDLING BRITAIN’S EXIT FROM THE EUROPEAN UNION? Leadership displayed in handling Britain’s departure from the European Union STRONG WEAK Theresa May 36% 16% 47% 69% Jeremy Corbyn Labour supporters Jeremy Corbyn Base: 1,005 British adults 18+, 352 Conservative supporters, 292 Labour supporters, 1 February – 5 February 2019
- 26. 26Ipsos MORI Political Monitor | Public WHEN THINKING ABOUT THE ONGOING NEGOTIATIONS ON BRITAIN’S WITHDRAWAL FROM THE EUROPEAN UNION, WHOSE INTERESTS DO YOU THINK … PUTS FIRST? Priorities when negotiating Britain's withdrawal from the European Union Source: Ipsos MORI Political Monitor . 36% THE COUNTRY’S 33% THE CONSERVATIVE PARTY’S 25% HER OWN 4% DON’T KNOW 1% OTHER 1% NONE OF THESE Theresa May 13% THE COUNTRY’S 29% THE CONSERVATIVE PARTY’S 47% THEIR OWN 6% DIFFERENT MPS 5% DON’T KNOW HAVE DIFFERENT INTERESTS 1% NONE OF THESE Conservative MPs Base: 1,005 British adults 18+ 1 February – 5 February 2019
- 27. 27Ipsos MORI Political Monitor | Public WHEN THINKING ABOUT THE ONGOING NEGOTIATIONS ON BRITAIN’S WITHDRAWAL FROM THE EUROPEAN UNION, WHOSE INTERESTS DO YOU THINK … PUTS FIRST? Source: Ipsos MORI Political Monitor . 18% THE COUNTRY’S 27% THE LABOUR PARTY’S 47% HIS OWN 6% DON’T KNOW 1% OTHER 1% NONE OF THESE Jeremy Corbyn 18% THE COUNTRY’S 30% THE LABOUR PARTY’S 38% THEIR OWN 7% DIFFERENT MPS 6% DON’T KNOW HAVE DIFFERENT INTERESTS 1% OTHER 1% NONE OF THESE Labour MPs Priorities when negotiating Britain's withdrawal from the European Union Base: 1,005 British adults 18+ 1 February – 5 February 2019
- 28. 28Ipsos MORI Political Monitor | Public Source: Ipsos MORI Political Monitor 67% 67% 86% 76% 21% 17% 9% 14% Conservative supporters HOW STRONGLY DO YOU AGREE OR DISAGREE WITH THE FOLLOWING STATEMENTS? Internal party divisions on Britain’s exit from the European Union Feb 2019 Conservative party The Conservative party is divided on how to handle Britain’s exit from the European Union The Labour party is divided on how to handle Britain’s exit from the European Union Dec 2016 Conservative party 66% 64% 63% 64% 22% 19% 17% 17% Labour supporters Labour supporters Labour party Labour party Feb 2019 Dec 2016 Agree Disagree Base: 1,005 British adults 18+, 352 Conservative supporters, 292 Labour supporters, 1 February – 5 February 2019
- 29. 29Ipsos MORI Political Monitor | Public Source: Ipsos MORI Political Monitor AS YOU MAY KNOW BRITAIN IS SET TO LEAVE THE EUROPEAN UNION ON THE 29TH MARCH. IN YOUR OPINION, HOW LIKELY OR UNLIKELY DO YOU THINK IT IS THAT THE GOVERNMENT WILL ASK TO DELAY BRITAIN’S EXIT FROM THE EU TO AFTER THIS DATE? Likelihood of Brexit being delayed 38% 34% 13% 9% 6% VERY LIKELY FAIRLY LIKELY FAIRLY UNLIKELY VERY UNLIKELY DON’T KNOW 72% LIKELY 22% UNLIKELY Base: 1,005 British adults 18+ 1 February – 5 February 2019
- 30. 30Ipsos MORI Political Monitor | Public Source: Ipsos MORI Political Monitor 66% 39% 50% 24% 51% 37% AND HOW STRONGLY, IF AT ALL, WOULD YOU SUPPORT OR OPPOSE DELAYING BRITAIN’S DEPARTURE FROM THE EU IF AN AGREEMENT ON THE TERMS OF BRITAIN’S EXIT FROM THE EU IS NOT REACHED BY THE 29TH MARCH? Public opinion on delaying Britain’s departure from the European Union CONSERVATIVE PARTY SUPPORTERS LABOUR PARTY SUPPORTERS SUPPORT OPPOSE Base: 1,005 British adults 18+, 352 Conservative supporters, 292 Labour supporters, 1 February – 5 February 2019
- 31. 31Ipsos MORI Political Monitor | Public 15% 77% 8% WHEN THINKING ABOUT THE POSSIBILITY OF BRITAIN LEAVING THE EU WITHOUT A DEAL, DO YOU THINK THE GOVERNMENT HAS DONE A GOOD JOB OR A BAD JOB PREPARING FOR THIS SITUATION? Source: Ipsos MORI Political Monitor A BAD JOB Base: 1,005 British adults 18+ 1 February – 5 February 2019 How well has the Government been preparing for leaving the European Union without a deal? A GOOD JOB DON’T KNOW
- 32. 32Ipsos MORI Political Monitor | PublicIpsos MORI Political Monitor | Public 32 October 2018 Ipsos MORI February 2019 Political Monitor Gideon Skinner Research Director gideon.skinner@ipsos.com Glenn Gottfried Research Manager glenn.gottfried@ipsos.com For more information
Notes de l'éditeur
- Corbyn 2018 / 17
- Corbyn 2018 / 17