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Ipsos MORI Issues Index: February 2018

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The NHS and Brexit are dominant as the two biggest issues facing Britain in this month’s Issues Index. Fifty-four per cent say the health service is a big concern, similar to the score last month (55%), while 52% consider Brexit to be a worry. This is the highest recorded level of concern about issues relating to Europe and the EU since the start of this survey series in September 1974; the previous highest score was 51%, in March 2017.

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Ipsos MORI Issues Index: February 2018

  1. 1. February 2018 IPSOS MORI ISSUES INDEX Contacts: Gideon.Skinner@ipsos.com Michael.Clemence@ipsos.com 020 7347 3000
  2. 2. 2 Issues Facing Britain – February Base: 1,006 British adults 18+, 2 – 11 February 2018 What do you see as the most/other important issues facing Britain today? Source: Ipsos MORI Issues Index 54% 52% 22% 22% 19% 19% 17% 14% 13% 12% NHS/Hospitals/Healthcare Common Market/Brexit/EU/Europe Immigration/immigrants Education/schools Housing Economy Poverty/Inequality Crime/Law and Order/ASB Ageing population/social care Defence/foreign affairs/terrorism -1 +6 +3 +2 -1 -2 -1 % Change since Jan: Position Top mentions % +1 +1 -1 +2 -1
  3. 3. 3 Issues Facing Britain – February What do you see as the most/other important issues facing Britain today? Source: Ipsos MORI Issues Index 54% 52% 22% 22% 19% 19% 17% 14% 13% 12% 18% 34% 7% 2% 3% 4% 3% 3% 3% 2% NHS/Hospitals/Healthcare Common Market/Brexit/EU/Europe Immigration/immigrants Education/schools Housing Economy Poverty/Inequality Crime/Law and Order/ASB Ageing population/social care Defence/foreign affairs/terrorism Top mentions % MOST/OTHER IMPORTANT ISSUES MOST IMPORTANT ISSUE Base: 1,006 British adults 18+, 2 – 11 February 2018
  4. 4. 4 Issues Facing Britain: Long Term Trends Base: representative sample of c.1,000 British adults age 18+ each month, interviewed face-to-face in home What do you see as the most/other important issues facing Britain today? Source: Ipsos MORI Issues Index 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 May 1997 May 1998 May 1999 May 2000 May 2001 May 2002 May 2003 May 2004 May 2005 May 2006 May 2007 May 2008 May 2009 May 2010 May 2011 May 2012 May 2013 May 2014 May 2015 May 2016 May 2017 NHS UNEMPLOYMENT CRIME/LAW & ORDER ECONOMY IMMIGRATION EU/BREXIT
  5. 5. 5 Issues Facing Britain: Ten Year Trends Base: representative sample of c.1,000 British adults age 18+ each month, interviewed face-to-face in home What do you see as the most/other important issues facing Britain today? Source: Ipsos MORI Issues Index 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 Feb 2008 Feb 2009 Feb 2010 Feb 2011 Feb 2012 Feb 2013 Feb 2014 Feb 2015 Feb 2016 Feb 2017 Feb 2018 NHS EU/BREXIT IMMIGRATION ECONOMY HOUSING UNEMPLOYMENT
  6. 6. 6 Base: representative sample of c.1,000 British adults age 18+ each month, interviewed face-to-face in home 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% May-10 Feb-11 Nov-11 Aug-12 May-13 Feb-14 Nov-14 Aug-15 May-16 Feb-17 Nov-17 Issues Facing Britain: Single Biggest Issue 2010 - 2018 What do you see as the most important issue facing Britain today? Source: Ipsos MORI Issues Index NHS EU/BREXIT IMMIGRATION ECONOMY DEFENCE/ TERRORISM UNEMPLOYMENT
  7. 7. 7 Cameron becomes PM GE 2017Vote for Brexit; May becomes PM Issues Facing Britain: NHS / Hospitals / Healthcare What do you see as the most/other important issues facing Britain today? 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 May 1997 May 1998 May 1999 May 2000 May 2001 May 2002 May 2003 May 2004 May 2005 May 2006 May 2007 May 2008 May 2009 May 2010 May 2011 May 2012 May 2013 May 2014 May 2015 May 2016 May 2017 Report says waiting lists have doubled under Labour Lowest score since December 1985 (12%%) Highest score since April 2002 (61%%) Source: Ipsos MORI Issues IndexBase: representative sample of c.1,000 British adults age 18+ each month, interviewed face-to-face in home
  8. 8. 8 GE 2017Vote for Brexit; May becomes PM Cameron becomes PM Issues Facing Britain: Common Market / Europe / EU / Brexit What do you see as the most/other important issues facing Britain today? Source: Ipsos MORI Issues Index 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 May 1997 May 1998 May 1999 May 2000 May 2001 May 2002 May 2003 May 2004 May 2005 May 2006 May 2007 May 2008 May 2009 May 2010 May 2011 May 2012 May 2013 May 2014 May 2015 May 2016 May 2017 Treaty of Accession: ten new EU Member States France and Holland reject ratification of EU constitution Lowest score recorded (1%%) Base: representative sample of c.1,000 British adults age 18+ each month, interviewed face-to-face in home 52%: Highest recorded score
  9. 9. 9 GE 2017Vote for Brexit; May becomes PM Cameron becomes PM Issues Facing Britain: Immigration / Immigrants Base: representative sample of c.1,000 British adults age 18+ each month, interviewed face-to-face in home NB Until Sept 2014 the code was race relations/immigration/immigrants What do you see as the most/other important issues facing Britain today? 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 May 1997 May 1998 May 1999 May 2000 May 2001 May 2002 May 2003 May 2004 May 2005 May 2006 May 2007 May 2008 May 2009 May 2010 May 2011 May 2012 May 2013 May 2014 May 2015 May 2016 May 2017 Border controls relaxed for “A8” EU Countries (Poland, etc.%) Source: Ipsos MORI Issues Index EU Border controls relaxed for Romanians and Bulgarians Highest concern ever recorded (56%%)
  10. 10. 10 GE 2017Vote for Brexit; May becomes PM Cameron becomes PM Issues Facing Britain: Economy / Economic situation What do you see as the most/other important issues facing Britain today? Source: Ipsos MORI Issues Index 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 May 1997 May 1998 May 1999 May 2000 May 2001 May 2002 May 2003 May 2004 May 2005 May 2006 May 2007 May 2008 May 2009 May 2010 May 2011 May 2012 May 2013 May 2014 May 2015 May 2016 May 2017 Global recession and Russian Financial crisis Highest score since 1992; Most important issue for the first time Sub-prime mortgage crisis in the US Base: representative sample of c.1,000 British adults age 18+ each month, interviewed face-to-face in home Northern Rock nationalised Lowest score since December 2007 (17%%)
  11. 11. 11 GE 2017Vote for Brexit; May becomes PM Cameron becomes PM Issues Facing Britain: Unemployment / Factory closure / Lack of industry What do you see as the most/other important issues facing Britain today? 0 10 20 30 40 50 May 1997 May 1998 May 1999 May 2000 May 2001 May 2002 May 2003 May 2004 May 2005 May 2006 May 2007 May 2008 May 2009 May 2010 May 2011 May 2012 May 2013 May 2014 May 2015 May 2016 May 2017 Unemployment falls below 1 million for first time in 25 years Minimum wage introduced Unemployment in Britain rises to 5.5% Lowest ever score (5%%) Youth unemployment reaches 1 million Lowest score since July 2008 (10%%) Base: representative sample of c.1,000 British adults age 18+ each month, interviewed face-to-face in home Source: Ipsos MORI Issues Index
  12. 12. 12 GE 2017Vote for Brexit; May becomes PM Cameron becomes PM Issues Facing Britain: Education / Schools What do you see as the most/other important issues facing Britain today? Source: Ipsos MORI Issues Index 0 10 20 30 40 50 May 1997 May 1998 May 1999 May 2000 May 2001 May 2002 May 2003 May 2004 May 2005 May 2006 May 2007 May 2008 May 2009 May 2010 May 2011 May 2012 May 2013 May 2014 May 2015 May 2016 May 2017 Introduction of university tuition fees; Education most important issue First City Academies introduced Lowest score since Dec 1985 (9%%) Labour’s second term - pledge to improve failing secondary schools Highest score since September 2006 (27%%) Base: representative sample of c.1,000 British adults age 18+ each month, interviewed face-to-face in home
  13. 13. 13 GE 2017Vote for Brexit; May becomes PM Cameron becomes PM Issues Facing Britain: Crime / Law & Order / Violence / Vandalism / ASB Base: representative sample of c.1,000 British adults age 18+ each month, interviewed face-to-face in home What do you see as the most/other important issues facing Britain today? Source: Ipsos MORI Issues Index 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 May 1997 May 1998 May 1999 May 2000 May 2001 May 2002 May 2003 May 2004 May 2005 May 2006 May 2007 May 2008 May 2009 May 2010 May 2011 May 2012 May 2013 May 2014 May 2015 May 2016 May 2017 May day riots Riots across England Lowest score since March 1991 (8%%)
  14. 14. 14 GE 2017Vote for Brexit; May becomes PM Cameron becomes PM Issues Facing Britain: Defence / Foreign Affairs / International terrorism What do you see as the most/other important issues facing Britain today? Source: Ipsos MORI Issues Index 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 May 1997 May 1998 May 1999 May 2000 May 2001 May 2002 May 2003 May 2004 May 2005 May 2006 May 2007 May 2008 May 2009 May 2010 May 2011 May 2012 May 2013 May 2014 May 2015 May 2016 May 2017 9/11 “7/7” London Bombing Invasion of Iraq UK withdraws from Iraq War in Kosovo Parliamentary vote against action in Syria NATO bombing in Libya Rise of IS Base: representative sample of c.1,000 British adults age 18+ each month, interviewed face-to-face in home Paris attacks and Parliamentary vote for action against IS in Syria London Bridge attack
  15. 15. 15 GE 2017Vote for Brexit; May becomes PM Cameron becomes PM Issues Facing Britain: Poverty/inequality What do you see as the most/other important issues facing Britain today? Source: Ipsos MORI Issues Index 0 5 10 15 20 25 May 1998 May 1999 May 2000 May 2001 May 2002 May 2003 May 2004 May 2005 May 2006 May 2007 May 2008 May 2009 May 2010 May 2011 May 2012 May 2013 May 2014 May 2015 May 2016 May 2017 Sept 1999: Alastair Darling – “one child in three” living in poverty December 2016: highest score recorded (20%%) January 2005: Make Poverty History campaign launched on New Year’s Day Base: representative sample of c.1,000 British adults age 18+ each month, interviewed face-to-face in home
  16. 16. 16 GE 2017Vote for Brexit; May becomes PM Cameron becomes PM Issues Facing Britain: Inflation/Prices What do you see as the most/other important issues facing Britain today? Source: Ipsos MORI Issues Index 0 5 10 15 20 25 30 May 1997 May 1998 May 1999 May 2000 May 2001 May 2002 May 2003 May 2004 May 2005 May 2006 May 2007 May 2008 May 2009 May 2010 May 2011 May 2012 May 2013 May 2014 May 2015 May 2016 May 2017 Lowest score since Sep 2007 (4%%) Inflation rate hits 16 year peak Inflation rises to 3.4% Base: representative sample of c.1,000 British adults age 18+ each month, interviewed face-to-face in home
  17. 17. 17 GE 2017Vote for Brexit; May becomes PM Cameron becomes PM Issues Facing Britain: Housing What do you see as the most/other important issues facing Britain today? Source: Ipsos MORI Issues Index 0 5 10 15 20 25 30 May 1997 May 1998 May 1999 May 2000 May 2001 May 2002 May 2003 May 2004 May 2005 May 2006 May 2007 May 2008 May 2009 May 2010 May 2011 May 2012 May 2013 May 2014 May 2015 May 2016 May 2017 Highest score since October 1974 (22%%) Base: representative sample of c.1,000 British adults age 18+ each month, interviewed face-to-face in home
  18. 18. 18 GE 2017Vote for Brexit; May becomes PM Cameron becomes PM Issues Facing Britain: Pensions/Social Security/Benefits What do you see as the most/other important issues facing Britain today? Source: Ipsos MORI Issues Index 0 5 10 15 20 25 30 May 1997 May 1998 May 1999 May 2000 May 2001 May 2002 May 2003 May 2004 May 2005 May 2006 May 2007 May 2008 May 2009 May 2010 May 2011 May 2012 May 2013 May 2014 May 2015 May 2016 May 2017 Equitable Life sells its non-profit pension annuities Labour proposes ‘affluence testing’ to exclude the well-off from state benefits Gordon Brown unveils pension credits Pensions commission report – “more than 12 million working people are not saving enough for their retirement” Lowest ever score (3%%) Base: representative sample of c.1,000 British adults age 18+ each month, interviewed face-to-face in home
  19. 19. 19 GE 2017Vote for Brexit; May becomes PMCameron becomes PM Issues Facing Britain: Pollution / Environment What do you see as the most/other important issues facing Britain today? Source: Ipsos MORI Issues Index 0 5 10 15 20 May 1997 May 1998 May 1999 May 2000 May 2001 May 2002 May 2003 May 2004 May 2005 May 2006 May 2007 May 2008 May 2009 May 2010 May 2011 May 2012 May 2013 May 2014 May 2015 May 2016 May 2017 Wettest Autumn since records began – widespread flooding Nine killed in gales across Britain and EU proposes carbon emission cuts of 20% by 2020 Winter flooding and storms Base: representative sample of c.1,000 British adults age 18+ each month, interviewed face-to-face in home
  20. 20. 20 GE 2017Vote for Brexit; May becomes PM Cameron becomes PM Issues Facing Britain: Low pay/minimum wage/fair wages What do you see as the most/other important issues facing Britain today? Source: Ipsos MORI Issues Index 0 5 10 15 20 May 1999 May 2000 May 2001 May 2002 May 2003 May 2004 May 2005 May 2006 May 2007 May 2008 May 2009 May 2010 May 2011 May 2012 May 2013 May 2014 May 2015 May 2016 May 2017 Base: representative sample of c.1,000 British adults age 18+ each month, interviewed face-to-face in home Highest recorded score (15%%)
  21. 21. 21 Issues Facing Britain: Party support Base: 1,006 British adults 18+, 2 – 11 February 2018 What do you see as the most/other important issues facing Britain today? Source: Ipsos MORI Issues Index 58% 69% 33% 23% 15% 18% 8% 14% 15% 18% 64% 46% 17% 27% 25% 21% 24% 17% 12% 9% NHS/Hospitals/Healthcare Common Market/Brexit/EU/Europe Immigration/immigrants Education Housing Economy Poverty/Inequality Crime/Law and Order/ASB Ageing population/social care Defence/foreign affairs/terrorism Top mentions % CONSERVATIVE SUPPORTERS LABOUR SUPPORTERS
  22. 22. 22 Issues Facing Britain: Men and women Base: 1,006 British adults 18+, 2 – 11 February 2018 What do you see as the most/other important issues facing Britain today? Source: Ipsos MORI Issues Index 50% 53% 21% 17% 16% 22% 17% 15% 12% 14% 58% 50% 24% 26% 23% 15% 18% 14% 14% 11% NHS/Hospitals/Healthcare Common Market/Brexit/EU/Europe Immigration/immigrants Education/Schools Housing Economy Poverty/Inequality Crime/Law and Order/ASB Ageing population/social care Defence/foreign affairs/terrorism Top mentions % MEN WOMEN
  23. 23. 23 Issues Facing Britain: Social grade Base: 1,006 British adults 18+, 2 – 11 February 2018 What do you see as the most/other important issues facing Britain today? Source: Ipsos MORI Issues Index 54% 61% 20% 24% 17% 22% 19% 13% 15% 14% 54% 40% 25% 19% 22% 14% 15% 16% 10% 10% NHS/Hospitals/Healthcare Common Market/Brexit/EU/Europe Immigration/immigrants Education Housing Economy Poverty/Inequality Crime/Law and Order/ASB Ageing population/social care Defence/foreign affairs/terrorism Top mentions % ABC1 C2DE
  24. 24. 24 Issues Facing Britain: Age group Base: 1006 British adults 18+, 2 – 11 February 2018 What do you see as the most/other important issues facing Britain today? Source: Ipsos MORI Issues Index 45% 38% 15% 24% 24% 18% 20% 15% 8% 15% 53% 57% 24% 25% 19% 18% 21% 13% 13% 11% 63% 59% 27% 17% 17% 19% 12% 16% 16% 11% NHS/Hospitals/Healthcare Common Market/Brexit/EU/Europe Immigration/immigrants Education/Schools Housing Economy Poverty/Inequality Crime/Law and Order/ASB Ageing population/social care Defence/foreign affairs/terrorism Top mentions % 18-34 35-54 55+
  25. 25. 25 Issues Facing Britain: Age and social grade What do you see as the most/other important issues facing Britain today? Top three issues by age and social grade Source: Ipsos MORI Issues IndexBase: 1,006 British adults 18+, 2 – 11 February 2018 68% 60% 24% EU/Brexit NHS Economy 65% 56% 23% EU/Brexit NHS Education 49% 45% 29% EU/Brexit NHS Education 65% 49% 32% NHS EU/Brexit Immigration 48% 45% 28% NHS EU/Brexit Education 46% 32% 24% NHS Housing EU/Brexit 18-3435-5455+ ABC1 C2DE Social grade Agebracket
  26. 26. 26 Issues Facing Britain: Concern about the NHS by subgroup Base: 1,006 British adults 18+, 2 – 11 February 2018 What do you see as the most/other important issues facing Britain today? NHS Ipsos MORI Issues Index 18-24 25-34 35-44 45-54 55-64 65+ Concern about the NHS by age group: 44% 53% 56% 64% Concern by region: 54% 50% 58% 58% 64% 59% 49% 57% 51% Overall Concern about the NHS by key demographic groups: 42% 42% 48% 57% 58% 66% 47% Men Women CON LAB AB C1 C2 DE Social GradeGender Party support
  27. 27. 27 Issues Facing Britain: Concern about Brexit/EU by subgroup Base: 1,006 British adults 18+, 2 – 11 February 2018 What do you see as the most/other important issues facing Britain today? EU/Europe/Brexit Ipsos MORI Issues Index 18-24 25-34 35-44 45-54 55-64 65+ Concern about the EU/Brexit by age group: 64% 51% 41% 69% Concern by region: 52% 53% 50% 69% 46% 67% 56% 50% 32% Overall Concern about the EU/Brexit by key demographic groups: 42% 32% 42% 69% 57% 61% 44% Men Women CON LAB AB C1 C2 DE Social GradeGender Party support
  28. 28. 28 Issues Facing Britain Months with multiple issues scoring more than 50% Base: representative sample of c.1,000 British adults age 18+ each month, interviewed face-to-face in home What do you see as the most/other important issues facing Britain today? Ipsos MORI Issues Index 1977 1979 1981 1983 1985 1987 1989 1991 1993 1995 1997 1999 2001 2003 2005 2007 2009 2011 2013 2015 2017 2018 Month Big issues for the month November 1977 Inflation/prices (64%) Unemployment (50%) August 1978 Inflation/prices (63%) Unemployment (55%) February 1979 Trade Unions (73%) Inflation/prices (66%) April 1979 Inflation/prices (68%) Trade Unions (56%) Unemployment (53%) February 1980 Inflation/prices (65%) Trade Unions (55%) April 1980 Inflation/prices (69%) Trade Unions (53%) Unemployment (51%) December 1987 Unemployment (57%) NHS (52%) March 1988 NHS (60%) Unemployment (56%) April 1988 Unemployment (53%) NHS (50%) October 1991 Unemployment (54%) NHS (51%) September 1992 Unemployment (61%) Economy (53%) October 1992 Unemployment (74%) Economy (50%) April 1997 NHS (63%) Education (54%) February 2018 NHS (54%) Brexit (52%)
  29. 29. February 2018 IPSOS MORI ISSUES INDEX For more information contact: Gideon.Skinner@ipsos.com Michael.Clemence@ipsos.com

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