Theresa May continues to have strong backing from the British public according to Ipsos MORI’s latest Political Monitor. The new poll reveals that the Prime Minister’s honeymoon is yet to end with more than half (53%) of the public satisfied with her performance (up 8 points). One in three (36%) said they were dissatisfied with her (down 3 points) leaving Ms May a net satisfaction score of +17 (up 11 points).

1. Document Name Here | Month 2016 | Version 1 | Public | Internal Use Only | Confidential | Strictly Confidential (DELETE CLASSIFICATION)
© 2016 Ipsos. All rights reserved. Contains Ipsos' Confidential and Proprietary information
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1
Ipsos MORI
February 2017 POLITICAL MONITOR

2. Document Name Here | Month 2016 | Version 1 | Public | Internal Use Only | Confidential | Strictly Confidential (DELETE CLASSIFICATION) 2
VOTING
INTENTIONS

3. 3Political Monitor | February 2017 | Final | Public
40%
29%
9%
4%
13%
5%
HOW WOULD YOU VOTE IF THERE WERE A GENERAL ELECTION TOMORROW?
Source: Ipsos MORI Political Monitor
Base: 1,044 British adults 18+, 10th – 14th February 2017 ; Headline Voting Intention: all 9/10 certain to vote and always/usually/it depends
vote in General Elections = 748. Headline voting intention is based on a method that would have given most accurate results in the 2015
GE.
Voting Intention
37%
31%
8%
4%
13%
7%
ALL GIVING A VOTING INTENTIONHEADLINE VOTING INTENTION
CONSERVATIVE LEAD = +6
CONSERVATIVE LEAD = +11
CONSERVATIVE
LABOUR
UKIP
GREEN
LIB DEM
OTHER

4. 4Political Monitor | February 2017 | Final | Public
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
Aug03
Feb04
Aug04
Feb05
Aug05
Feb06
Aug06
Feb07
Aug07
Feb08
Aug08
Feb09
Aug09
Feb10
Aug10
Feb11
Aug11
Feb12
Aug12
Feb13
Aug13
Feb14
Aug14
Feb15
Aug15
Feb16
Aug16
Feb17
2015 General Election
Miliband
elected
(Sept 10)
Corbyn
elected
(Sept 15)
May
as PM
(July 16)
HOW WOULD YOU VOTE IF THERE WERE A GENERAL ELECTION TOMORROW?
Source: Ipsos MORI Political Monitor
Base: c. 800 British adults; Prior to July 2015 the turnout filter is “All certain to vote”; From July 2015 turnout filter is “all 9/10 certain to vote
and always/usually/it depends vote in General Elections
Headline voting intention: August ‘03 – February ‘17
2005 General Election 2010 General Election
Cameron
elected
(Dec 05)
Brown
as PM
(June 07)
CONSERVATIVE LABOUR UKIP GREEN LIB DEM

5. Document Name Here | Month 2016 | Version 1 | Public | Internal Use Only | Confidential | Strictly Confidential (DELETE CLASSIFICATION) 5
SATISFACTION WITH THE
GOVERNMENT AND
PARTY LEADERS

6. 6Political Monitor | February 2017 | Final | Public
Theresa May Jeremy Corbyn The Government
ARE YOU SATISFIED OR DISSATISFIED WITH THE WAY…. IS RUNNING THE COUNTRY / DOING HIS/HER JOB
AS PRIME MINISTER /LEADER OF THE LABOUR PARTY/LEADER OF UKIP /LEADER OF THE LIBERAL
DEMOCRATS ?
Source: Ipsos MORI Political Monitor
Base: 1,044 British adults 18+, 10th – 14th February 2017. Swing is calculated as the average of change in % “satisfied” and % “dissatisfied
Satisfaction with leaders and the Government
36%
54%
11%
53%36%
10%
24%
62%
15%
+5.5%
swing from January
2017
-1.5%
swing from January
2017
+1%
swing from January
2017
+17 Net -38 Net -18 Net
SATISFIED 53% SATISFIED 24% SATISFIED 36%
DISSATISFIED 36% DISSATISFIED 62% DISSATISFIED 54%

7. 7Political Monitor | February 2017 | Final | Public
HOW SATISFIED OR DISSATISFIED ARE YOU WITH THE WAY … IS DOING HIS/HER JOB AS … ?
Source: Ipsos MORI Political MonitorBase: c.1,000 British adults each month
Satisfaction with Party leaders Sept 2015 – Feb 2017
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
Sep15
Oct15
Nov15
Dec15
Jan16
Feb16
Mar16
Apr16
May16
Jun16
Jul16
Aug16
Sep16
Oct16
Nov16
Dec16
Jan17
Feb17
MAY CORBYN
53%
24%

8. 8Political Monitor | February 2017 | Final | Public
HOW SATISFIED OR DISSATISFIED ARE YOU WITH THE WAY … IS DOING HIS/HER JOB AS PRIME
MINISTER?
Source: Ipsos MORI Political MonitorBase: c.1,000 British adults each month
Net satisfaction with Prime Ministers
MAY CAMERON BROWN MAJOR BLAIR THATCHER
Netsatisfaction
NUMBER OF MONTHS FROM BECOMING PRIME MINISTER
Note: Data collected prior to February 2008 was collected via face-to-face methodology; data collected from February 2008 was via telephone
May

9. 9Political Monitor | February 2017 | Final | Public
HOW SATISFIED OR DISSATISFIED ARE YOU WITH THE WAY … IS DOING HIS JOB AS LEADER OF THE …
PARTY?
Source: Ipsos MORI Political MonitorBase: c.1,000 British adults each month
Net satisfaction with Opposition Leaders (1994 – 2017)
Note: Data collected prior to February 2008 was collected via face-to-face methodology; data collected from February 2008 was via telephone
Number of months from becoming Opposition Leader
Netsatisfaction
HOWARD BLAIR (94-97) DUNCAN SMITH (01-03) MILIBAND (10-15) CAMERON (05-10) HAGUE (97-01) CORBYN (15-present)
Corbyn

10. 10Political Monitor | February 2017 | Final | Public
ARE YOU SATISFIED OR DISSATISFIED WITH THE WAY THERESA MAY IS DOING HER JOB AS PRIME
MINISTER?
Source: Ipsos MORI Political MonitorBase: 1,044 British adults 18+, 10th – 14th February 2017
Theresa May (satisfaction)
53%
36%
10%
February 2017 August 2016 – February 2017
SATISFIED 53%
DISSATISFIED 36%
DON’T KNOW 10%
Net = +17
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
100
Aug-16
Sep-16
Oct-16
Nov-16
Dec-16
Jan-17
Feb-17
Dissatisfied
Satisfied

11. 11Political Monitor | February 2017 | Final | Public
ARE YOU SATISFIED OR DISSATISFIED WITH THE WAY THERESA MAY IS DOING HER JOB AS PRIME
MINISTER?
Source: Ipsos MORI Political MonitorBase: 343 Conservative supporters 18+ , 10th – 14th February 2017
Theresa May (satisfaction amongst Conservative supporters
89%
8%
4%
February 2017
SATISFIED 89%
DISSATISFIED 8%
DON’T KNOW 4%
Net = +81
August 2016 – February 2017
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
100
Aug-16
Sep-16
Oct-16
Nov-16
Dec-16
Jan-17
Feb-17
Dissatisfied
Satisfied

12. 12Political Monitor | February 2017 | Final | Public
24%
62%
15%
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
100
Sep-15
Oct-15
Nov-15
Dec-15
Jan-16
Feb-16
Mar-16
Aprl-16
May-16
Jun-16
Jul-16
Aug-16
Sep-16
Oct-16
Nov-16
Dec-16
Jan-17
Feb-17
SATISFIED 24%
DISSATISFIED 62%
DON’T KNOW 15%
Net = -38
ARE YOU SATISFIED OR DISSATISFIED WITH THE WAY JEREMY CORBYN IS DOING HIS JOB AS LEADER OF
THE LABOUR PARTY?
Source: Ipsos MORI Political MonitorBase: 1,044 British adults 18+, 10th – 14th February 2017
Jeremy Corbyn (satisfaction)
February 2017 September 2015 – February 2017
Satisfied
Dissatisfied

13. 13Political Monitor | February 2017 | Final | Public
41%
50%
9%
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
100
Sep-15
Oct-15
Nov-15
Dec-15
Jan-16
Feb-16
Mar-16
Aprl-16
May-16
Jun-16
Jul-16
Aug-16
Sep-16
Oct-16
Nov-16
Dec-16
Jan-17
Feb-17
SATISFIED 41%
DISSATISFIED 50%
DON’T KNOW 9%
Net = -9
ARE YOU SATISFIED OR DISSATISFIED WITH THE WAY JEREMY CORBYN IS DOING HIS JOB AS LEADER OF
THE LABOUR PARTY?
Source: Ipsos MORI Political MonitorBase: 264 Labour supporters 18+, 10th – 14th February 2017
Jeremy Corbyn (satisfaction amongst Labour supporters)
February 2017 September 2015 – February 2017
Satisfied
Dissatisfied

14. Document Name Here | Month 2016 | Version 1 | Public | Internal Use Only | Confidential | Strictly Confidential (DELETE CLASSIFICATION) 14
ECONOMIC
OPTIMISM

15. 15Political Monitor | February 2017 | Final | Public
28%
24%
44%
4%
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
Jul-04
Jan-05
Jul-05
Feb-06
Sep-06
May-07
Dec-07
Jun-08
Dec-08
Jun-09
Dec-09
Jun-10
Jan-11
Jul-117
Jan-12
Jul-12
Jan-13
Jul-13
Jan-14
Jul-14
Jan-15
Jul-15
Feb-16
Aug-16
Feb-17
IMPROVE 28%
STAY THE SAME 24%
GET WORSE 44%
DON’T KNOW 4%
EOI = -16
DO YOU THINK THAT THE GENERAL ECONOMIC CONDITION OF THE COUNTRY WILL IMPROVE, STAY THE
SAME OR GET WORSE OVER THE NEXT 12 MONTHS?
Source: Ipsos MORI Political MonitorBase: 1,044 British adults 18+, 10th – 14th February 2017
Economic Optimism Index
February 2017

16. 16Political Monitor | February 2017 | Final | Public
DO YOU THINK THAT THE GENERAL ECONOMIC CONDITION OF THE COUNTRY WILL IMPROVE, STAY THE
SAME OR GET WORSE OVER THE NEXT 12 MONTHS?
Source: Ipsos MORI Political MonitorBase: c.1,000 British adults each month
The Ipsos MORI Economic Optimism Index
-80
-60
-40
-20
0
20
40
Jun1997
Oct1997
Feb1998
Jun1998
Oct1998
Feb1999
Jun1999
Oct1999
Feb2000
Jun2000
Oct2000
Feb2001
Jun2001
Oct2001
Feb2002
Jun2002
Oct2002
Feb2003
Jun2003
Oct2003
Feb2004
Jun2004
Oct2004
Feb2005
Jun2005
Oct2005
Feb2006
Jun2006
Oct2006
Feb2007
Jun2007
Oct2007
Feb2008
Jun2008
Oct2008
Feb2009
Jun2009
Oct2009
Feb2010
Jun2010
Oct2010
Feb2011
Jun2011
Oct2011
Feb2012
Jun2012
Oct2012
Feb2013
Jun2013
Oct2013
Feb2014
Jun2014
Oct2014
Feb2015
Jun2015
Oct2015
Feb2016
Jun2016
Oct2016
Feb2017
-16

17. Document Name Here | Month 2016 | Version 1 | Public | Internal Use Only | Confidential | Strictly Confidential (DELETE CLASSIFICATION) 17
Foreign Relations

18. 18Political Monitor | February 2017 | Final | Public
47%
29%
19%
5%
EUROPE 47%
AMERICA 29%
COMMONWEALTH 19%
DON’T KNOW 5%
WHICH OF THESE - EUROPE, THE COMMONWEALTH OR AMERICA - IS THE MOST IMPORTANT TO
BRITAIN?
Source: Ipsos MORI Political MonitorBase: 1,044 British adults 18+, 10th – 14th February 2017
Britain’s foreign relations
February 2017
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
100
1969
1984
1986
1989
1991
1993
1996
2002
2003
2014
2017

19. 19Political Monitor | February 2017 | Final | Public
OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF MONTHS, WITH WHICH OF THESE FOREIGN LEADERS, IF ANY, DO YOU
THINK THERESA MAY SHOULD TRY TO BUILD THE STRONGEST RELATIONSHIP?
Source: Ipsos MORI Political MonitorBase: 1,044 British adults 18+, 10th – 14th February 2017
Theresa May’s relations with other leaders
26
24
17
12
5
3
3
1
4
6
Angela Merkel, the German Chancellor
Donald Trump, the US President
Jean-Claude Juncker, President of the European
Commission
Xi Jinping, the Chinese President
Vladimir Putin, the Russian President
Francois Hollande, the French President
None of them
Other
All of them
Don’t know

20. 20Political Monitor | February 2017 | Final | Public
AS YOU MAY KNOW, DONALD TRUMP IS EXPECTED TO VISIT BRITAIN LATER THIS YEAR IN AN OFFICIAL
STATE VISIT HOSTED BY THE QUEEN. DO YOU THINK HE SHOULD OR SHOULD NOT HAVE BEEN INVITED
TO A STATE VISIT TO BRITAIN THIS YEAR?
Source: Ipsos MORI Political MonitorBase: 1,044 British adults 18+, 10th – 14th February 2017
President Trump’s state visit
53 42
SHOULD SHOULD NOT

21. 21Political Monitor | February 2017 | Final | Public
AND IF DONALD TRUMP DOES VISIT BRITAIN LATER THIS YEAR, DO YOU THINK HE SHOULD OR SHOULD
NOT….?
Source: Ipsos MORI Political MonitorBase: 1,044 British adults 18+, 10th – 14th February 2017
President Trump’s state visit
44
43
45
47
52
43
SHOULD SHOULD NOT
Visit a London
mosque or Muslim
community group
Be invited to give a
speech to peers and
MPs in the Houses
of Parliament
Be invited to play a
round of golf on
the Queen’s golf
course at Balmoral

22. Document Name Here | Month 2016 | Version 1 | Public | Internal Use Only | Confidential | Strictly Confidential (DELETE CLASSIFICATION)
© 2016 Ipsos. All rights reserved. Contains Ipsos' Confidential and Proprietary information
and may not be disclosed or reproduced without the prior written consent of Ipsos.
22
February 2017
POLITICAL MONITOR