This document provides summaries of polling data from Ipsos MORI on UK voting intentions, satisfaction with political leaders, and decisiveness of voting preferences from May to June 2017. Key findings include: - Conservative party lead over Labour reduced from 5% to 3% in headline voting intentions from May to June. - Satisfaction with Prime Minister Theresa May fell from 43% to 38% satisfied over the same period, while satisfaction with Labour leader Jeremy Corbyn rose slightly from 39% to 43% satisfied. - Majority of voters for all parties report having definitively decided how they will vote, though Liberal Democrat supporters express greater openness to changing their mind compared to Conservative and Labour backers.

1. Document Name Here | Month 2016 | Version 1 | Public | Internal Use Only | Confidential | Strictly Confidential (DELETE CLASSIFICATION)
© 2016 Ipsos. All rights reserved. Contains Ipsos' Confidential and Proprietary information
and may not be disclosed or reproduced without the prior written consent of Ipsos.
1
POLITICAL
MONITOR
JUNE 2017

2. Document Name Here | Month 2016 | Version 1 | Public | Internal Use Only | Confidential | Strictly Confidential (DELETE CLASSIFICATION) 2
VOTING
INTENTIONS

3. 3Political Monitor | June 2017 | Final | Public
HOW WOULD YOU VOTE IF THERE WERE A GENERAL ELECTION TOMORROW?
Source: Ipsos MORI Political Monitor
Base: 1,046 British adults 18+, 30th May – 1st June 2017 ; Headline Voting Intention: all 9/10 certain to vote and always/usually/it depends
vote in General Elections with overclaim adjustment = 883. Headline voting intention is based on a method that would have given most
accurate results in the 2015 GE. Margin of error is displayed at +/- 4%
Voting Intention
ALL GIVING A VOTING INTENTIONHEADLINE VOTING INTENTION
CONSERVATIVE LEAD = -3
CONSERVATIVE LEAD = +5
45%
40%
2%
2%
7%
4%
0 10 20 30 40 50 60
CONSERVATIVE
LABOUR
UKIP
GREEN
LIB DEM
OTHER
40%
43%
3%
1%
9%
4%
0 10 20 30 40 50 60
CONSERVATIVE
LABOUR
UKIP
GREEN
LIB DEM
OTHER

4. 4Political Monitor | June 2017 | Final | Public
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
May15
Jun15
Jul15
Aug15
Sep15
Oct15
Nov15
Dec15
Jan16
Feb16
Mar16
Apr16
May16
Jun16
Jul16
Aug16
Sep16
Oct16
Nov16
Dec16
Jan17
Feb17
Mar17
Apr17
May17
Jun17
Corbyn
elected
(Sept 15)
May
as PM
(July 16)
HOW WOULD YOU VOTE IF THERE WERE A GENERAL ELECTION TOMORROW?
Source: Ipsos MORI Political Monitor
Base: c. 800 British adults; Prior to July 2015 the turnout filter is “All certain to vote”; From July 2015 turnout filter is “all 9/10 certain to vote
and always/usually/it depends vote in General Elections
Headline voting intention: Since 2015 General Election
2015 General Election
5 point lead
CONSERVATIVE LABOUR

5. 5Political Monitor | June 2017 | Final | Public
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
Dec03
Jun04
Dec04
Jun05
Dec05
Jun06
Dec06
Jun07
Dec07
Jun08
Dec08
Jun09
Dec09
Jun10
Dec10
Jun11
Dec11
Jun12
Dec12
Jun13
Dec13
Jun14
Dec14
Jun15
Dec15
Jun16
Dec16
Jun17
2015 General Election
Miliband
elected
(Sept 10)
Corbyn
elected
(Sept 15)
May
as PM
(July 16)
HOW WOULD YOU VOTE IF THERE WERE A GENERAL ELECTION TOMORROW?
Source: Ipsos MORI Political Monitor
Base: c. 800 British adults; Prior to July 2015 the turnout filter is “All certain to vote”; From July 2015 turnout filter is “all 9/10 certain to vote
and always/usually/it depends vote in General Elections
Headline voting intention: December ‘03 – June ‘17
2005 General Election 2010 General Election
Cameron
elected
(Dec 05)
Brown
as PM
(June 07)
CONSERVATIVE LABOUR UKIP GREEN LIB DEM

6. Document Name Here | Month 2016 | Version 1 | Public | Internal Use Only | Confidential | Strictly Confidential (DELETE CLASSIFICATION) 6
SATISFACTION WITH THE
GOVERNMENT AND
PARTY LEADERS

7. 7Political Monitor | June 2017 | Final | Public
18%
55%
27%
Theresa May Jeremy Corbyn Paul Nuttall Tim Farron The Government
ARE YOU SATISFIED OR DISSATISFIED WITH THE WAY…. IS RUNNING THE COUNTRY / DOING HIS/HER JOB
AS PRIME MINISTER /LEADER OF THE LABOUR PARTY/LEADER OF UKIP /LEADER OF THE LIBERAL
DEMOCRATS ?
Source: Ipsos MORI Political Monitor
Base: 1,046 British adults 18+, 30th May – 1st June 2017. Swing is calculated as the average of change in % “satisfied” and % “dissatisfied
Satisfaction with leaders and the Government
38%
53%
8%
43%
50%
7%
39%
50%
11%
-13.5%
swing from May 2017
+8%
swing from May 2017
0%
swing from May
2017
-4%
swing from May
2017
-5.5%
swing from May 2017
-7 Net -11 Net -37 Net -19 Net -15 Net
SATISFIED 43% SATISFIED 39% SATISFIED 18% SATISFIED 25% SATISFIED 38%
DISSATISFIED 50% DISSATISFIED 50% DISSATISFIED 55% DISSATISFIED 44% DISSATISFIED 53%
25%
44%
30%

8. 8Political Monitor | June 2017 | Final | Public
HOW SATISFIED OR DISSATISFIED ARE YOU WITH THE WAY … IS DOING HIS/HER JOB AS … ?
Source: Ipsos MORI Political MonitorBase: c.1,000 British adults each month. In February 2015 and 2016 data for Paul Nuttall and Tim Farron was not collected
Satisfaction with Party leaders Sept 2015 – June 2017
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
Sep15
Oct15
Nov15
Dec15
Jan16
Feb16
Mar16
Apr16
May16
Jun16
Jul16
Aug16
Sep16
Oct16
Nov16
Dec16
Jan17
Feb17
Mar17
Apr17
May17
Jun17
MAY CORBYN FARRON NUTTALL
43%
39%
25%
18%

9. 9Political Monitor | June 2017 | Final | Public
HOW SATISFIED OR DISSATISFIED ARE YOU WITH THE WAY … IS DOING HIS/HER JOB AS PRIME
MINISTER?
Source: Ipsos MORI Political MonitorBase: c.1,000 British adults each month
Net satisfaction with Prime Ministers
MAY CAMERON BROWN MAJOR BLAIR THATCHER
Netsatisfaction
Note: Data collected prior to February 2008 was collected via face-to-face methodology; data collected from February 2008 was via telephone
May
Number of months after becoming Prime Minister

10. 10Political Monitor | June 2017 | Final | Public
HOW SATISFIED OR DISSATISFIED ARE YOU WITH THE WAY … IS DOING HIS JOB AS LEADER OF THE …
PARTY?
Source: Ipsos MORI Political MonitorBase: c.1,000 British adults each month
Net satisfaction with Opposition Leaders (1980 – 2017)
Note: Data collected prior to February 2008 was collected via face-to-face methodology; data collected from February 2008 was via telephone
Hague (97-01) Ducan Smith (01-03) Howard (03-05) Cameron (05-10)
Blair (94-97) Miliband (10-15) Corbyn (15-present) Kinnock (83-92)
Foot (80-83) Smith (92-94)
Number of months after becoming Opposition Leader
Netsatisfaction
Corbyn

11. 11Political Monitor | June 2017 | Final | Public
ARE YOU SATISFIED OR DISSATISFIED WITH THE WAY THERESA MAY IS DOING HER JOB AS PRIME
MINISTER?
Source: Ipsos MORI Political MonitorBase: 1,046 British adults 18+, 30th May – 1st June 2017
Theresa May (satisfaction)
43%
50%
7%
June 2017 August 2016 – June 2017
SATISFIED 43%
DISSATISFIED 50%
DON’T KNOW 7%
Net = -7
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
100
Aug-16
Sep-16
Oct-16
Nov-16
Dec-16
Jan-17
Feb-17
Mar-17
Apr-17
May-17
Jun-17
Dissatisfied
Satisfied

12. 12Political Monitor | June 2017 | Final | Public
ARE YOU SATISFIED OR DISSATISFIED WITH THE WAY THERESA MAY IS DOING HER JOB AS PRIME
MINISTER?
Source: Ipsos MORI Political MonitorBase: 267 Conservative supporters 18+ , 30th May – 1st June 2017
Theresa May (satisfaction amongst Conservative supporters)
82%
14%
4%
June 2017
SATISFIED 82%
DISSATISFIED 14%
DON’T KNOW 4%
Net = +68
August 2016 – June 2017
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
100
Aug-16
Sep-16
Oct-16
Nov-16
Dec-16
Jan-17
Feb-17
Mar-17
Apr-17
May-17
Jun-17
Dissatisfied
Satisfied

13. 13Political Monitor | June 2017 | Final | Public
39%
50%
11%
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
100
Sep-15
Oct-15
Nov-15
Dec-15
Jan-16
Feb-16
Mar-16
Aprl-16
May-16
Jun-16
Jul-16
Aug-16
Sep-16
Oct-16
Nov-16
Dec-16
Jan-17
Feb-17
Mar-17
Apr-17
May-17
Jun-17
SATISFIED 39%
DISSATISFIED 50%
DON’T KNOW 11%
Net = -11
ARE YOU SATISFIED OR DISSATISFIED WITH THE WAY JEREMY CORBYN IS DOING HIS JOB AS LEADER OF
THE LABOUR PARTY?
Source: Ipsos MORI Political MonitorBase: 1,046 British adults 18+, 30th May – 1st June 2017
Jeremy Corbyn (satisfaction)
June 2017 September 2015 – June 2017
Satisfied
Dissatisfied

14. 14Political Monitor | June 2017 | Final | Public
71%
19%
10%
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
100
Sep-15
Oct-15
Nov-15
Dec-15
Jan-16
Feb-16
Mar-16
Aprl-16
May-16
Jun-16
Jul-16
Aug-16
Sep-16
Oct-16
Nov-16
Dec-16
Jan-17
Feb-17
Mar-17
Apr-17
May-17
Jun-17
SATISFIED 71%
DISSATISFIED 19%
DON’T KNOW 10%
Net = +52
ARE YOU SATISFIED OR DISSATISFIED WITH THE WAY JEREMY CORBYN IS DOING HIS JOB AS LEADER OF
THE LABOUR PARTY?
Source: Ipsos MORI Political MonitorBase: 286 Labour supporters 18+, 30thMay – 1st June 2017
Jeremy Corbyn (satisfaction amongst Labour supporters)
June 2017 September 2015 – June 2017
Satisfied
Dissatisfied

15. 15Political Monitor | June 2017 | Final | Public
25%
44%
30%
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
100
Sep-15
Oct-15
Nov-15
Dec-15
Jan-16
Feb-16
Mar-16
Aprl-16
May-16
Jun-16
Jul-16
Aug-16
Sep-16
Oct-16
Nov-16
Dec-16
Jan-17
Mar-17
Apr-17
May-17
Jun-17
SATISFIED 25%
DISSATISFIED 44%
DON’T KNOW 30%
Net = -19
ARE YOU SATISFIED OR DISSATISFIED WITH THE WAY TIM FARRON IS DOING HIS JOB AS LEADER OF THE
LIBERAL DEMOCRATS?
Source: Ipsos MORI Political MonitorBase: 1,046 British adults 18+, 30th May – 1st June 2017
Tim Farron (satisfaction)
June 2017 September 2015 – June 2017
Satisfied
Dissatisfied

16. 16Political Monitor | June 2017 | Final | Public
ARE YOU SATISFIED OR DISSATISFIED WITH THE WAY PAUL NUTTALL IS DOING HIS JOB AS LEADER OF
UKIP, THE UK INDEPENDENCE PARTY?
Source: Ipsos MORI Political MonitorBase: 1,046 British adults 18+, 30th May – 1st June 2017
Paul Nuttall (satisfaction)
December 2016 – June 2017June 2017
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
100
Dec-16
Jan-17
Mar-17
Apr-17
May-17
Jun-17
Dissatisfied
Satisfied
18%
55%
27% SATISFIED 18%
DISSATISFIED 55%
DON’T KNOW 27%
Net = -37

17. Document Name Here | Month 2016 | Version 1 | Public | Internal Use Only | Confidential | Strictly Confidential (DELETE CLASSIFICATION) 17
VOTING DECISIONS

18. 18Political Monitor | June 2017 | Final | Public
HAVE YOU DEFINITELY DECIDED TO VOTE FOR THE ………. PARTY OR IS THERE A CHANCE YOU MAY
CHANGE YOUR MIND BEFORE YOU VOTE?
Source: Ipsos MORI Political MonitorBase: All giving a General Election Voting intention 940 British adults 18+, 30th May – 1st June 2017
The majority of voters have made up their mind
81%
73%
64%
71%
65%
57%
50%
60%
63%
67%
78%
17%
25%
32%
25%
32%
41%
49%
38%
36%
32%
20%
May-83
May 87
Mar-92
April 97
May 01
Apr-05
Apr-10
Apr-15
Apr-17
May-17
Jun-17
Definitely decided May change mind Don’t know

19. 19Political Monitor | June 2017 | Final | Public
HAVE YOU DEFINITELY DECIDED TO VOTE FOR THE ………. PARTY OR IS THERE A CHANCE YOU MAY
CHANGE YOUR MIND BEFORE YOU VOTE?
Source: Ipsos MORI Political MonitorBase: All giving a General Election Voting intention 940 British adults 18+, 30th May – 1st June 2017
Labour support hardens
60
44
48
43
42
21
21
22
23
36
32
20
40
51
46
56
57
76
78
77
75
63
67
78
Liberal Democrat supporters April 2017
Liberal Democrat supporters May 2017
Liberal Democrat supporters June 2017
Labour supporters April 2017
Labour supporters May 2017
Labour supporters June 2017
Conservative supporters April 2017
Conservative supporters May 2017
Conservative supporters June 2017
Overall April 2017
Overall May 2017
Overall June 2017
May change mind Definitely decided

20. 20Political Monitor | June 2017 | Final | Public
HAVE YOU DEFINITELY DECIDED TO VOTE FOR THE ………. PARTY OR IS THERE A CHANCE YOU MAY
CHANGE YOUR MIND BEFORE YOU VOTE?
Source: Ipsos MORI Political MonitorBase: All giving a General Election Voting intention 940 British adults 18+, 30th May – 1st June 2017
Lib Dem vote softer than Conservatives and Labour
48
21
23
20
46
76
75
78
% May change mind
Overall May 2017
Conservative supporters
Labour supporters
Liberal Democrat supporters
% Definitely decided

21. 21Political Monitor | June 2017 | Final | Public
May 2015 May 2017 June 2017
IF YOU DO CHANGE YOUR MIND ABOUT VOTING FOR THIS PARTY, WHICH PARTY WOULD YOU VOTE FOR
INSTEAD?
Source: Ipsos MORI Political MonitorBase: All registered who may change their mind (187), 5th-6th May 2015,15th-17th May 2017 and 30th May – 1st June 2017
Most popular second choice split between three largest
parties.
24%
12%
7%
10%
20%
1%
23%
14%
20%
14%
10%
17%
3%
22%
CONSERVATIVE LABOUR UKIP GREEN LIB DEM OTHER
NONE / WOULD
NOT VOTE
DON’T KNOW /
REFUSED
22%
23%
6%6%
20%
4%
5%
14%

22. 22Political Monitor | June 2017 | Final | Public
52
12
40
21
28
32
31
52
23
61
29
56
35
50
May, May 2017
May, April 2017
Cameron, April 2015
Cameron, April 2010
Howard, May 2005
Corbyn, May 2017
Corbyn, April 2017
Miliband, April 2015
Brown, Aprl 2010
Blair, May 2005
Blair, May 2001
Hague, May 2001
May, June 2017
Corbyn, June 2017
WHO DO YOU THINK WOULD MAKE THE MOST CAPABLE PRIME MINISTER, THE CONSERVATIVE’S
THERESA MAY, OR LABOUR’S JEREMY CORBYN?
Source: Ipsos MORI Political Monitor
Most capable Prime Minister since 2001
Base: 1,046 British adults 18+, 30th May – 1st June 2017

23. 23Political Monitor | June 2017 | Final | Public
WHO DO YOU THINK WOULD MAKE THE MOST CAPABLE PRIME MINISTER, THE CONSERVATIVE’S
THERESA MAY, OR LABOUR’S JEREMY CORBYN?
Source: Ipsos MORI Political Monitor
Most capable Prime Minister 2017
Base: 1,046 British adults 18+, 30th May – 1st June 2017
61%
56%
50%
23%
29%
35%
Apr-17
May-17
Jun-17
MAY CORBYN

24. Document Name Here | Month 2016 | Version 1 | Public | Internal Use Only | Confidential | Strictly Confidential (DELETE CLASSIFICATION)
© 2016 Ipsos. All rights reserved. Contains Ipsos' Confidential and Proprietary information
and may not be disclosed or reproduced without the prior written consent of Ipsos.
24
POLITICAL
MONITOR
June 2017