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Brave New World: Are consumers ready for AI? | Ipsos 1
By Kirsten Riolo and Pascal Bourgeat
Are consumers ready for AI?
Brave New World: Are consumers ready for AI? | Ipsos 2
Introduction
Hello to the Age of Cognition
Comment by Ipsos Behavioural Scientist, Dr. Pascal Bourgeat
PART 1: HOW MUCH DO AUSTRALIAN CONSUMERS KNOW ABOUT AI?
1.1 	 AI — it’s all the same to us
1.2 	 Amongst those who have heard of AI, the majority have very limited knowledge
about the technologies in this space
1.3 	When it comes to current, real life applications of AI, awareness is mixed
1.4 	 For certain applications of AI, people are not convinced that the benefits
outweigh the risks — especially when it’s about relinquishing control of human
life and their money
PART 2: HOW DO AUSTRALIAN CONSUMERS FEEL ABOUT AI AND ITS
POTENTIAL ROLE IN THE FUTURE?
2.1 	 Australians are conflicted when it comes to how they feel about technology
in general
2.2 	Some are optimistic about AI, while many just don’t know what to think
2.3 	 People are most afraid of robots taking jobs
2.4 	 People are open to AI if makes likes life as a consumer easier but few are
comfortable with the idea of interacting with robots
CONTENTS
3
4
?
9
10
11
12
15
16
17
18
Brave New World: Are consumers ready for AI? | Ipsos 2
Brave New World: Are consumers ready for AI? | Ipsos 3
Barely a week goes by, it seems, without a
provocative and usually fear-inducing media
headline about Artificial Intelligence and its
potential to reshape the world as we know
it. High profile figures in the technology world
in particular, notably Tesla’s Elon Musk, have
issued multiple public warnings about the
potential for AI based weapons developed
for warfare to become dangerously
‘autonomous’, while others, including
Alibaba’s Jack Ma, have warned of mass
job losses in coming decades.
Meanwhile, the business world continues to
scramble to understand how they can best
implement AI into everything from back-end
and operations to product development,
CX and marketing. The growth in chat bots
will attest to that, with ING Direct the latest
Australian organisation to announce plans
to employ the use of bots on social media.
But little is heard about what consumers —
who are at the very heart of business, big and
small — actually understand of AI. Do they
even know what it is? What do they make
of all of the hype and the ‘man vs machine’
vision of the future painted by the likes of Elon
Musk? And as consumers, what are their
comfort levels around the use of AI in the
touch points they interact with every day?
To explore perceptions, Ipsos conducted a
survey amongst a representative sample of
more than 1000 Australians, which revealed
that most people understand little about the
range of technologies that fall under the AI
banner and what they do know is informed by
Hollywood — ‘the Terminator effect,’ if you like.
The research also reveals that Australians
are conflicted about the role of technology
in their lives more broadly, as well as the role
of AI. They’re not quite sure whether to be
afraid or hopeful.
However, one thing is certain. A majority —
7 in 10 — believe that the labour market of
the future will be radically reshaped, resigning
themselves to a tomorrow where many jobs
are done by robots. Further — more than 6 in
10 — believe that replacing human workers
with AI will be bad for society.
With so much concern about particular
elements of AI taking, perhaps the most
pressing job of business is to first educate
consumers and then to address and alleviate
their fears.
In addition to outlining the research findings,
we’d like to share the thoughts of Ipsos
Director of Behavioural Science, Dr Pascal
Bourgeat. In his piece, ‘Hello to the Age of
Cognition,’ Pascal explores AI through the
lens of Behavioural Science and sets the
scene for what AI really can do.
Kirsten Riolo
Director, Ipsos
INTRODUCTION
Brave New World: Are consumers ready for AI? | Ipsos 3
Brave New World: Are consumers ready for AI? | Ipsos 4
Pascal Bourgeat, director of behavioural science, Ipsos
Hello the age of cognition!
Brave New World: Are consumers ready for AI? | Ipsos 5
Memory, RAM and computing are not intelligence. As US science fiction
writer Terry Bisson likes to put it “the meat does the thinking”. Bisson
echoes the words of the father of AI, Marvin Minsky who coined the term
and founded the AI Lab at MIT: “The brain happens to be a meat machine”.
Minsky’s original vision for AI was to make it “the science of making machines do things that
would require intelligence if done by men”. This does not mean of course that the machines
have to be intelligent in the way a human is thought to be intelligent: developing flexible
and phenomenal social-cognitive abilities, learning adaptively, making new inferences and
connections with everything and anything, understanding the same thing more than one way,
thinking in different ways through emotion or reason and in different layers, having a view
of the world around us and continuously engaging in cognitive processes that have off-the-
chart energy efficiency. All that with a ridiculously low-sized working memory (aka RAM). Add
humour: does AI think ‘How many robots does it take to change a light bulb’ is funny”? And
consciousness, of course, but that’s another box we may never truly open.
If we compare AI (as bundles of hardware and/or software) with the human brain, AI remains
a failure, at beast a work in progress, despite the slick images from Hollywood and the current
hype in media old and new. Whether AI will ever be able to develop a general human-like
intelligence is still completely open. Neuroscientists who look at 100 billion neurons, with up
to 10,000 synapses each and 180,000 kilometres of axonal cabling to link different areas of
the brain with each other (most of the cabling sheathed with myelin to guarantee electrical
conductivity) may have their doubts as to what we can ever achieve with a machine in
comparison with the human brain.
AI IS NOT INTELLIGENCE
Brave New World: Are consumers ready for AI? | Ipsos 6
On the other side, the public however, as the latest Ipsos survey shows, has already sensed the
true nature and achievement of AI but is unsure of everything that it means for their professional
and personal lives. In its basic but enduring form of ‘supervised machine-based learning’ (ML), AI
has already permeated many areas of society, running silently in the background or in humanised
(voice-based) interactive systems today, running autonomously in robotic machines tomorrow.
Banking, telecommunications, manufacturing, defence and national security, the tax office,
human resource managers, retailers, the public sector, the technology, big and small are into it.
AI IS ALREADY EMBEDDED
IN OUR DAILY LIFE
Behavioural and neuroscience clearly show how uncertainty breeds fear and people are
‘reasonably’ worried of a whole army of systems and machines that could take away, if not
their jobs, at least many tasks, even though they find those very tasks boring or repetitive or
sometimes make a serious mess of them. Nobody knows what the labour market of the future
will look like if drivers, factory workers, contract lawyers, accountants, GPs and surgeons,
journalists or retail sales assistants do not perform their job as effectively, error-free, efficiently
and tirelessly as ‘narrowly-intelligent’ as machines. Still, the prospect is that tasks (more than
jobs) are at risk to become automated. The public’s fears may be exaggerated but are probably
not unfounded.
PEOPLE HAVE EXAGGERATED
FEARS OF AI
Brave New World: Are consumers ready for AI? | Ipsos 7
The solution lies in cooperation. This is always the case in human societies as we benefit as
much from competition as we benefit from cooperation. This time however, cooperation is with
machines. ML still works best as the eyes that are peerless at detecting patterns in an ocean of
data which is way beyond what we can comfortably swim in. If we care to look carefully, those
patterns often contain valuable ‘behavioural insights’. We may not be able to see them in the
first place (hence the role of machines as eyes) but if we know how behaviour works, by taking
on board the many lessons and principles from the many areas of behavioural science, then
we can make sense of some of those patterns and create value and social goods for business,
public policy and services and the not-for-profit sector.
Ipsos is getting busy doing just that at the nexus of data science and behavioural science. It doesn’t
matter what the data is (tightly structured or more unstructured) or where it comes from and what the
sector is (banking or hospitality, technological innovation or online retail, workplace safety or energy
conservation, etc.). The universe of social media data is currently our best feed for ML but customers’
databases, surveys with lots of participants and of course, any source of passive monitoring data
(GPS and location, physiological and sensory tracking devices, behavioural data from transport
patterns to self-regulation) are all available ‘food for insight’. Behavioural and cognitive science is not
a fad, it is the final frontier. Or is it? Hello the Age of Cognition, goodbye the Age of Information!
COGNITIVE COMPUTING IS THE
NEW BUSINESS EL DORADO
HUMAN-MACHINE COOPERATION
POWERS THE AGE OF COGNITION
Business is eyeing cognitive computing as a new source of growth, if not a new El Dorado of
productivity but Artificial Intelligence, human centred design, behavioural insights and business
performance metrics do not easily fit in a neat golden square. The machines of course are not
going to fill in the square, it’s (still) the job of people.
Therein lies the problem for AI. Despite trumpeted advances in deep learning and learning that runs
unsupervised, AI machines remain the dummies of the social-cognitive world. And most of what
business is yet to fully exploit in its golden square is part of the social cognitive world, the world of
human behaviour in its predictability and complexity but also apparent paradoxes and confusion.
Brave New World: Are consumers ready for AI? | Ipsos 8
How much do Australian
consumers know about AI?
Brave New World: Are consumers ready for AI? | Ipsos 9
Question: Which of the following have you heard of?
Base: Total sample (n=1038)
IoTor Internet of Things
Machine
Learning
Botsor Chatbots
ARor Augmented
Reality
AIor Artificial Intelligence
VRor Virtual Reality
75%
33%
84%
23%
22%
38%
BEYOND THE TERM AI ITSELF AND VIRTUAL REALITY, AWARENESS OF
THE DIFFERENT TYPES OF TECHNOLOGIES IN THIS SPACE IS LOW
AI — IT’S ALL THE SAME TO US
‘AI’ has become something of an umbrella term used to describe the use of Artificial Intelligence
in a wide range of contexts and applications, including everything from ‘robots,’ automation and
machine learning right through to Augmented Reality and Virtual Reality.
The research findings reveal that among Australian consumers, actual awareness of the broad
range of technologies that sit underneath the AI banner is low, suggesting that the most
pressing job for policymakers and businesses looking to implement new AI technologies is
education — starting from a basic level, one step at a time.
While awareness of the term AI itself is really high — 75% have heard of AI, along with
Virtual Reality — 84% have heard of this — awareness of other types of AI applications and
technologies is much lower. Only around 1 in 4 (23%) have heard of machine learning and a
similar proportion (22%) have heard of The Internet of Things.
Brave New World: Are consumers ready for AI? | Ipsos 9
1.1
Brave New World: Are consumers ready for AI? | Ipsos 10
AMONGST THOSE WHO HAVE
HEARD OF THE DIFFERENT
TYPES OF AI TECHNOLOGIES,
THE MAJORITY HAVE VERY
LIMITED KNOWLEDGE
Only very small proportions of those Australian consumers who have heard of AI technologies
feel that they know ‘a great deal’ about them (see chart below). The majority of Australians sit
in the ‘I’ve heard of but know nothing about’ and ‘I know just a little’ camps.
Question: How much, if anything would you say you know about each of the following?
HOW MUCH DO AUSTRALIANS KNOW ABOUT DIFFERENT TYPES OF AI
APPLICATIONS AND TECHNOLOGIES?
Brave New World: Are consumers ready for AI? | Ipsos 10
16%
AI
or Artificial
Intelligence
VR
or Virtual
Reality
Machine
Learning
IoT
or Internet
of Things
AR
orAugmented
Reality
Bots
or
Chatbots
Just a little
A fair amount
A great deal
Heard of but
know nothing
about
Base 773 876 243 228 346 398
1.2
23% 20% 21% 26% 26% 27%
19% 18%
24%
20% 19%
57% 57% 55% 42%
48% 49%
3% 4% 7% 8% 7% 5%
Brave New World: Are consumers ready for AI? | Ipsos 11
Thanks to Apple and Microsoft’s virtual assistants Suri and Alexa, and Google’s high profile
work in cars, awareness of the use of AI in the form of speech recognition (72%) and driverless
vehicles (80%) is high. Awareness of AI used in facial recognition (73%) is similarly high, along
with highly targeted advertising (69%).
However, awareness of the use of AI in other contexts is much lower: the armed forces (25%),
medical diagnosis (33%), in the care of the elderly (33%) and in the financial market (24%).
WHEN IT COMES TO CURRENT,
REAL LIFE APPLICATIONS OF
AI, AWARENESS IS MIXED
Question: For each, which have you seen/ heard anything about this technology?
Base: Total sample (n=1038)
Computers which can make investments in the stock market by adapting to the
financial market
Robots which can make their own decisions and can be used by the armed forces
Robots that can adapt to the home environment for example helping to care for
older people
Computer programmes which show you websites or advertisements based on your
web browsing habits
Computers that can recognise speech and answer questions
Facial recognition computers which can learn identities through CCTV video to
catch criminals
Driverless vehicles which can adapt to road and traffic conditions
24%
25%
32%
69%
72%
73%
80%
HOW AWARE ARE PEOPLE OF CURRENT, POPULAR APPLICATIONS OF AI?
$
1.3
Brave New World: Are consumers ready for AI? | Ipsos 12
The research explored people’s perceptions of the risks and benefits of different types of AI
applications. The findings reveal that Australians believe there to be significant risk associated
with the use of some forms of AI, and that the risks of these outweigh the benefits, particularly
when it means potentially losing control over human life and their money.
Of all the AI applications presented to respondents, facial recognition computers which
can learn identities through CCTV video to catch criminals and computers that can
recognise speech and answer questions were considered to be the most benign, with
fewer than 10% believing that the risks are slightly or much bigger than the benefits.
The AI applications perceived risky were those where human life could be put at risk —
driverless vehicles (31% believe the risks are slightly or much bigger than the benefits) and
robots which can make their own decisions and can be used by the armed forces
(42% believe the risks are slightly or much bigger than the benefits). Meanwhile, leaving their
money in the hands of AI was also deemed to be risky — 34% considered the risks of using AI
in making investments in the stock market to be slightly or much bigger than the benefits.
FOR CERTAIN APPLICATIONS
OF AI, PEOPLE ARE NOT
CONVINCED THAT THE
BENEFITS OUTWEIGH THE
RISKS — ESPECIALLY WHEN
IT’S ABOUT RELINQUISHING
CONTROL OF HUMAN LIFE
AND THEIR MONEY
1.4
Brave New World: Are consumers ready for AI? | Ipsos 13
Question: Which of the following is closest to your view about the balance of risks and benefits with machines doing these tasks?
Base: Total sample (n=1038). Top 2 boxes, bottom 2 boxes. Totals may not add up due to rounding.
Don’t know The benefits and risks are both equal
The risks outweigh the benefits The benefits outweigh the risks
Computers that can recognise speech and answer questions
Driverless vehicles which can adapt to road and traffic conditions
Facial recognition computers which can learn identities through CCTV video
to catch criminals
Computer programmes which show you websites or advertisements based
on your web browsing habits
Computers which analyse medical records to help diagnose patients
Robots which can make their own decisions and can be used by the armed forces
Robots that can adapt to the home environment for example helping
to care for older people
Computers which can make investments in the stock market by adapting
to the financial market
PERCIEVED RISKS AND BENEFITS
$
14% 7% 21% 59%
12% 31% 24% 34%
12% 7% 16% 65%
14% 22% 33% 31%
16% 24% 23% 38%
17% 42% 23% 18%
16% 20% 24% 41%
18% 34% 28% 19%
Brave New World: Are consumers ready for AI? | Ipsos 14
How do Australian consumers
feel about AI and its
potential role in the future?
Brave New World: Are consumers ready for AI? | Ipsos 15
Australians may be ravenous consumers of technology but the research findings reveal that
they are conflicted when it comes to how they feel about technology and the role it plays in their
lives and the world in general. Will technology be society’s saviour or its undoing? Will it become
something to be feared in the future or will it solve the currently unsolvable?
They’re not quite sure. On the one hand, just under half (48%) feel optimistic about the
future of technology and the same proportion (48%) are looking to technology to help
solve some of the world’s biggest problems in the future. However, at the same time,
very similar proportions are fearful of the impact of technology: 46% are afraid of technology
taking over in the future and just over half (54%) believe that we already rely too much
on technology.
AUSTRALIANS ARE
CONFLICTED WHEN IT COMES
TO HOW THEY FEEL ABOUT
TECHNOLOGY IN GENERAL
“We already rely too much
on technology”
“I’m afraid of technology
taking over in the future”
“I feel optimistic about
the future of technology”
“I believe in the future
technology will help
solve some of the world’s
biggest problems”
54% 48%
46% 48%
Base: All (n=1038), net agree, net disagree. Totals may not add up due to rounding.
agree
neither agree nor disagree
disagree agree
neither agree nor disagree
disagree
agree
neither agree nor disagree
disagree agree
neither agree nor disagree
disagree
25% 29%
20% 26% 16% 37%
17% 35%
2.1
Brave New World: Are consumers ready for AI? | Ipsos 16
It’s a similar picture when it comes to broad perceptions around AI, which are similarity
divided. Just under half (49%) believe that AI could make the world a better place if
used correctly, while 38% believe we need Artificial Intelligence to take us to the next
level of progress. Interestingly, the division here isn’t so much between those who agree and
disagree, but between those that have an opinion and those who just don’t know what to think
(see chart below).
SOME OF US ARE OPTIMISTIC
ABOUT AI, WHILE MANY JUST
DON’T KNOW WHAT TO THINK
49+17+34+A
“Artificial Intelligence and
robots, if used correctly, could
make the world a better place”
38+22+40+A
“We need Artificial Intelligence
to take us to the next level of
technological progress”
49%
34%
17%
38%
23%
40%
Base: All (n=1038), net agree, net disagree. Totals may not add up due to rounding
Agree Disagree Niether agree nor disagree
2.2
Brave New World: Are consumers ready for AI? | Ipsos 17
Of all the potential impacts of AI, at present, its power to reshape the labour market of the future
is driving much of the uncertainty and anxiety. A majority have resigned themselves to a future
where AI does the work of humans: seven in 10 (70%) Australians believe that many jobs in
the future will be done by robots and many believe that this won’t be a good thing: 6 in 10
(62%) believe that using robots and Artificial Intelligence to replace human workers is
bad for society.
Interestingly however, when it comes to AI’s potential impact on them personally in the future,
a different picture emerges: only about 3 in 10 (32%) are worried about their own jobs
eventually be replaced by robots and Artificial Intelligence.
PEOPLE ARE MOST AFRAID
OF ROBOTS TAKING JOBS
“Using robots and
Artificial Intelligence to
replace human workers
is bad for society”
“I worry my job will
eventually be replaced
by robots and
Artificial Intelligence”
62%70% 32%
“In the future many
jobs will be done by
robots and Artificial
Intelligence”
Base: All (n=1038), net agree, net disagree. Totals may not add up due to rounding
Disagree: 8%
Neither agree or disagree: 22%
Disagree: 12%
Neither agree or disagree: 26%
Disagree: 36%
Neither agree or disagree: 33%
2.3
Brave New World: Are consumers ready for AI? | Ipsos 18
AUSTRALIANS ARE OPEN TO
AI IF IT MAKES LIKES LIFE
AS A CONSUMER EASIER BUT
FEW ARE COMFORTABLE WITH
THE IDEA OF INTERACTING
WITH ROBOTS
While 4 in 10 (41%) say they are happy to use products and services that use Artificial Intelligence
if it makes their life easier, the majority don’t like the idea of AI being used in customer service.
More than 6 in 10 (66%) don’t like the idea of a robot being used by companies to
communicate with their customers, while around 6 in 10 (59%) don’t like the idea of
talking to a robot to help them make a purchase.
Base: Total sample (n=1038) net agree, net disagree. Totals may not add up due to rounding.
“I am happy to use
products and services that
use Artificial Intelligence if
it makes my life easier”
“I do not like the idea of
talking to a robot to help
me make a purchase”
“I do not like the idea of
a robot being used by
companies to communicate
with their customers”
41% 59% 66%
22%
16% 13%37%
25% 22%
Agree DisagreeNiether agree nor disagree
2.4
Brave New World: Are consumers ready for AI? | Ipsos 19
Kirsten Riolo
Director, SMX (Social Media Exchange), Ipsos
Kirsten has 20 years of experience working in research and media measurement. Kirsten
is a QPMR practitioner and a member of AMSRS, with qualitative and quantitative
experience across brand, service and product tracking projects, product development,
media creative evaluation (print, radio, outdoor, online and television) as well as print, digital
audience, online communities and social media measurement. She holds a Bachelor’s
degree from The Australian National University and a Masters of Management from the
Macquarie Graduate School of Management in Sydney. Kirsten has experience working
with new technologies and social media measurement across a range of industries such
as automotive, banking, financial services, not for profit, government, FMCG, CPG,
entertainment, media and property development.
Dr Pascal Bourgeat
Director of Behavioural Science, Ipsos
Pascal Bourgeat, Ph.D. is Director of Behavioural Science at Ipsos in Australia and APAC
lead. He designs research and works with private and public sector clients and Ipsos
teams in Australia and around the world on a range of behaviour-related issues: CPG
consumers and shoppers, customers of service sectors, users of public services like health
and transport, environment and resources, social and public services, patients, healthcare
professionals and more. Pascal is one of Ipsos global behavioural economics and
behavioural science experts and is based in Sydney. He is a regular writer and speaker on
all things behaviour and is currently involved in developing behavioural insights at the nexus
of Machine Learning, lab/life ethnography and behavioural science.
ABOUT THE AUTHORS
Brave New World: Are consumers ready for AI? | Ipsos 19
Brave New World: Are consumers ready for AI? | Ipsos 20
Ipsos is an independent, global market and social research company with offices in
87 countries.
In Australia Ipsos has offices in Sydney, Melbourne, Brisbane and Perth, as well as
Auckland and Wellington in New Zealand.
ABOUT IPSOS AUSTRALIA
AND NEW ZEALAND
For more details contact:
Kirsten Riolo
kirsten.riolo@ipsos.com

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Brave New World - Are consumers ready for AI?

  • 1. Brave New World: Are consumers ready for AI? | Ipsos 1 By Kirsten Riolo and Pascal Bourgeat Are consumers ready for AI?
  • 2. Brave New World: Are consumers ready for AI? | Ipsos 2 Introduction Hello to the Age of Cognition Comment by Ipsos Behavioural Scientist, Dr. Pascal Bourgeat PART 1: HOW MUCH DO AUSTRALIAN CONSUMERS KNOW ABOUT AI? 1.1 AI — it’s all the same to us 1.2 Amongst those who have heard of AI, the majority have very limited knowledge about the technologies in this space 1.3 When it comes to current, real life applications of AI, awareness is mixed 1.4 For certain applications of AI, people are not convinced that the benefits outweigh the risks — especially when it’s about relinquishing control of human life and their money PART 2: HOW DO AUSTRALIAN CONSUMERS FEEL ABOUT AI AND ITS POTENTIAL ROLE IN THE FUTURE? 2.1 Australians are conflicted when it comes to how they feel about technology in general 2.2 Some are optimistic about AI, while many just don’t know what to think 2.3 People are most afraid of robots taking jobs 2.4 People are open to AI if makes likes life as a consumer easier but few are comfortable with the idea of interacting with robots CONTENTS 3 4 ? 9 10 11 12 15 16 17 18 Brave New World: Are consumers ready for AI? | Ipsos 2
  • 3. Brave New World: Are consumers ready for AI? | Ipsos 3 Barely a week goes by, it seems, without a provocative and usually fear-inducing media headline about Artificial Intelligence and its potential to reshape the world as we know it. High profile figures in the technology world in particular, notably Tesla’s Elon Musk, have issued multiple public warnings about the potential for AI based weapons developed for warfare to become dangerously ‘autonomous’, while others, including Alibaba’s Jack Ma, have warned of mass job losses in coming decades. Meanwhile, the business world continues to scramble to understand how they can best implement AI into everything from back-end and operations to product development, CX and marketing. The growth in chat bots will attest to that, with ING Direct the latest Australian organisation to announce plans to employ the use of bots on social media. But little is heard about what consumers — who are at the very heart of business, big and small — actually understand of AI. Do they even know what it is? What do they make of all of the hype and the ‘man vs machine’ vision of the future painted by the likes of Elon Musk? And as consumers, what are their comfort levels around the use of AI in the touch points they interact with every day? To explore perceptions, Ipsos conducted a survey amongst a representative sample of more than 1000 Australians, which revealed that most people understand little about the range of technologies that fall under the AI banner and what they do know is informed by Hollywood — ‘the Terminator effect,’ if you like. The research also reveals that Australians are conflicted about the role of technology in their lives more broadly, as well as the role of AI. They’re not quite sure whether to be afraid or hopeful. However, one thing is certain. A majority — 7 in 10 — believe that the labour market of the future will be radically reshaped, resigning themselves to a tomorrow where many jobs are done by robots. Further — more than 6 in 10 — believe that replacing human workers with AI will be bad for society. With so much concern about particular elements of AI taking, perhaps the most pressing job of business is to first educate consumers and then to address and alleviate their fears. In addition to outlining the research findings, we’d like to share the thoughts of Ipsos Director of Behavioural Science, Dr Pascal Bourgeat. In his piece, ‘Hello to the Age of Cognition,’ Pascal explores AI through the lens of Behavioural Science and sets the scene for what AI really can do. Kirsten Riolo Director, Ipsos INTRODUCTION Brave New World: Are consumers ready for AI? | Ipsos 3
  • 4. Brave New World: Are consumers ready for AI? | Ipsos 4 Pascal Bourgeat, director of behavioural science, Ipsos Hello the age of cognition!
  • 5. Brave New World: Are consumers ready for AI? | Ipsos 5 Memory, RAM and computing are not intelligence. As US science fiction writer Terry Bisson likes to put it “the meat does the thinking”. Bisson echoes the words of the father of AI, Marvin Minsky who coined the term and founded the AI Lab at MIT: “The brain happens to be a meat machine”. Minsky’s original vision for AI was to make it “the science of making machines do things that would require intelligence if done by men”. This does not mean of course that the machines have to be intelligent in the way a human is thought to be intelligent: developing flexible and phenomenal social-cognitive abilities, learning adaptively, making new inferences and connections with everything and anything, understanding the same thing more than one way, thinking in different ways through emotion or reason and in different layers, having a view of the world around us and continuously engaging in cognitive processes that have off-the- chart energy efficiency. All that with a ridiculously low-sized working memory (aka RAM). Add humour: does AI think ‘How many robots does it take to change a light bulb’ is funny”? And consciousness, of course, but that’s another box we may never truly open. If we compare AI (as bundles of hardware and/or software) with the human brain, AI remains a failure, at beast a work in progress, despite the slick images from Hollywood and the current hype in media old and new. Whether AI will ever be able to develop a general human-like intelligence is still completely open. Neuroscientists who look at 100 billion neurons, with up to 10,000 synapses each and 180,000 kilometres of axonal cabling to link different areas of the brain with each other (most of the cabling sheathed with myelin to guarantee electrical conductivity) may have their doubts as to what we can ever achieve with a machine in comparison with the human brain. AI IS NOT INTELLIGENCE
  • 6. Brave New World: Are consumers ready for AI? | Ipsos 6 On the other side, the public however, as the latest Ipsos survey shows, has already sensed the true nature and achievement of AI but is unsure of everything that it means for their professional and personal lives. In its basic but enduring form of ‘supervised machine-based learning’ (ML), AI has already permeated many areas of society, running silently in the background or in humanised (voice-based) interactive systems today, running autonomously in robotic machines tomorrow. Banking, telecommunications, manufacturing, defence and national security, the tax office, human resource managers, retailers, the public sector, the technology, big and small are into it. AI IS ALREADY EMBEDDED IN OUR DAILY LIFE Behavioural and neuroscience clearly show how uncertainty breeds fear and people are ‘reasonably’ worried of a whole army of systems and machines that could take away, if not their jobs, at least many tasks, even though they find those very tasks boring or repetitive or sometimes make a serious mess of them. Nobody knows what the labour market of the future will look like if drivers, factory workers, contract lawyers, accountants, GPs and surgeons, journalists or retail sales assistants do not perform their job as effectively, error-free, efficiently and tirelessly as ‘narrowly-intelligent’ as machines. Still, the prospect is that tasks (more than jobs) are at risk to become automated. The public’s fears may be exaggerated but are probably not unfounded. PEOPLE HAVE EXAGGERATED FEARS OF AI
  • 7. Brave New World: Are consumers ready for AI? | Ipsos 7 The solution lies in cooperation. This is always the case in human societies as we benefit as much from competition as we benefit from cooperation. This time however, cooperation is with machines. ML still works best as the eyes that are peerless at detecting patterns in an ocean of data which is way beyond what we can comfortably swim in. If we care to look carefully, those patterns often contain valuable ‘behavioural insights’. We may not be able to see them in the first place (hence the role of machines as eyes) but if we know how behaviour works, by taking on board the many lessons and principles from the many areas of behavioural science, then we can make sense of some of those patterns and create value and social goods for business, public policy and services and the not-for-profit sector. Ipsos is getting busy doing just that at the nexus of data science and behavioural science. It doesn’t matter what the data is (tightly structured or more unstructured) or where it comes from and what the sector is (banking or hospitality, technological innovation or online retail, workplace safety or energy conservation, etc.). The universe of social media data is currently our best feed for ML but customers’ databases, surveys with lots of participants and of course, any source of passive monitoring data (GPS and location, physiological and sensory tracking devices, behavioural data from transport patterns to self-regulation) are all available ‘food for insight’. Behavioural and cognitive science is not a fad, it is the final frontier. Or is it? Hello the Age of Cognition, goodbye the Age of Information! COGNITIVE COMPUTING IS THE NEW BUSINESS EL DORADO HUMAN-MACHINE COOPERATION POWERS THE AGE OF COGNITION Business is eyeing cognitive computing as a new source of growth, if not a new El Dorado of productivity but Artificial Intelligence, human centred design, behavioural insights and business performance metrics do not easily fit in a neat golden square. The machines of course are not going to fill in the square, it’s (still) the job of people. Therein lies the problem for AI. Despite trumpeted advances in deep learning and learning that runs unsupervised, AI machines remain the dummies of the social-cognitive world. And most of what business is yet to fully exploit in its golden square is part of the social cognitive world, the world of human behaviour in its predictability and complexity but also apparent paradoxes and confusion.
  • 8. Brave New World: Are consumers ready for AI? | Ipsos 8 How much do Australian consumers know about AI?
  • 9. Brave New World: Are consumers ready for AI? | Ipsos 9 Question: Which of the following have you heard of? Base: Total sample (n=1038) IoTor Internet of Things Machine Learning Botsor Chatbots ARor Augmented Reality AIor Artificial Intelligence VRor Virtual Reality 75% 33% 84% 23% 22% 38% BEYOND THE TERM AI ITSELF AND VIRTUAL REALITY, AWARENESS OF THE DIFFERENT TYPES OF TECHNOLOGIES IN THIS SPACE IS LOW AI — IT’S ALL THE SAME TO US ‘AI’ has become something of an umbrella term used to describe the use of Artificial Intelligence in a wide range of contexts and applications, including everything from ‘robots,’ automation and machine learning right through to Augmented Reality and Virtual Reality. The research findings reveal that among Australian consumers, actual awareness of the broad range of technologies that sit underneath the AI banner is low, suggesting that the most pressing job for policymakers and businesses looking to implement new AI technologies is education — starting from a basic level, one step at a time. While awareness of the term AI itself is really high — 75% have heard of AI, along with Virtual Reality — 84% have heard of this — awareness of other types of AI applications and technologies is much lower. Only around 1 in 4 (23%) have heard of machine learning and a similar proportion (22%) have heard of The Internet of Things. Brave New World: Are consumers ready for AI? | Ipsos 9 1.1
  • 10. Brave New World: Are consumers ready for AI? | Ipsos 10 AMONGST THOSE WHO HAVE HEARD OF THE DIFFERENT TYPES OF AI TECHNOLOGIES, THE MAJORITY HAVE VERY LIMITED KNOWLEDGE Only very small proportions of those Australian consumers who have heard of AI technologies feel that they know ‘a great deal’ about them (see chart below). The majority of Australians sit in the ‘I’ve heard of but know nothing about’ and ‘I know just a little’ camps. Question: How much, if anything would you say you know about each of the following? HOW MUCH DO AUSTRALIANS KNOW ABOUT DIFFERENT TYPES OF AI APPLICATIONS AND TECHNOLOGIES? Brave New World: Are consumers ready for AI? | Ipsos 10 16% AI or Artificial Intelligence VR or Virtual Reality Machine Learning IoT or Internet of Things AR orAugmented Reality Bots or Chatbots Just a little A fair amount A great deal Heard of but know nothing about Base 773 876 243 228 346 398 1.2 23% 20% 21% 26% 26% 27% 19% 18% 24% 20% 19% 57% 57% 55% 42% 48% 49% 3% 4% 7% 8% 7% 5%
  • 11. Brave New World: Are consumers ready for AI? | Ipsos 11 Thanks to Apple and Microsoft’s virtual assistants Suri and Alexa, and Google’s high profile work in cars, awareness of the use of AI in the form of speech recognition (72%) and driverless vehicles (80%) is high. Awareness of AI used in facial recognition (73%) is similarly high, along with highly targeted advertising (69%). However, awareness of the use of AI in other contexts is much lower: the armed forces (25%), medical diagnosis (33%), in the care of the elderly (33%) and in the financial market (24%). WHEN IT COMES TO CURRENT, REAL LIFE APPLICATIONS OF AI, AWARENESS IS MIXED Question: For each, which have you seen/ heard anything about this technology? Base: Total sample (n=1038) Computers which can make investments in the stock market by adapting to the financial market Robots which can make their own decisions and can be used by the armed forces Robots that can adapt to the home environment for example helping to care for older people Computer programmes which show you websites or advertisements based on your web browsing habits Computers that can recognise speech and answer questions Facial recognition computers which can learn identities through CCTV video to catch criminals Driverless vehicles which can adapt to road and traffic conditions 24% 25% 32% 69% 72% 73% 80% HOW AWARE ARE PEOPLE OF CURRENT, POPULAR APPLICATIONS OF AI? $ 1.3
  • 12. Brave New World: Are consumers ready for AI? | Ipsos 12 The research explored people’s perceptions of the risks and benefits of different types of AI applications. The findings reveal that Australians believe there to be significant risk associated with the use of some forms of AI, and that the risks of these outweigh the benefits, particularly when it means potentially losing control over human life and their money. Of all the AI applications presented to respondents, facial recognition computers which can learn identities through CCTV video to catch criminals and computers that can recognise speech and answer questions were considered to be the most benign, with fewer than 10% believing that the risks are slightly or much bigger than the benefits. The AI applications perceived risky were those where human life could be put at risk — driverless vehicles (31% believe the risks are slightly or much bigger than the benefits) and robots which can make their own decisions and can be used by the armed forces (42% believe the risks are slightly or much bigger than the benefits). Meanwhile, leaving their money in the hands of AI was also deemed to be risky — 34% considered the risks of using AI in making investments in the stock market to be slightly or much bigger than the benefits. FOR CERTAIN APPLICATIONS OF AI, PEOPLE ARE NOT CONVINCED THAT THE BENEFITS OUTWEIGH THE RISKS — ESPECIALLY WHEN IT’S ABOUT RELINQUISHING CONTROL OF HUMAN LIFE AND THEIR MONEY 1.4
  • 13. Brave New World: Are consumers ready for AI? | Ipsos 13 Question: Which of the following is closest to your view about the balance of risks and benefits with machines doing these tasks? Base: Total sample (n=1038). Top 2 boxes, bottom 2 boxes. Totals may not add up due to rounding. Don’t know The benefits and risks are both equal The risks outweigh the benefits The benefits outweigh the risks Computers that can recognise speech and answer questions Driverless vehicles which can adapt to road and traffic conditions Facial recognition computers which can learn identities through CCTV video to catch criminals Computer programmes which show you websites or advertisements based on your web browsing habits Computers which analyse medical records to help diagnose patients Robots which can make their own decisions and can be used by the armed forces Robots that can adapt to the home environment for example helping to care for older people Computers which can make investments in the stock market by adapting to the financial market PERCIEVED RISKS AND BENEFITS $ 14% 7% 21% 59% 12% 31% 24% 34% 12% 7% 16% 65% 14% 22% 33% 31% 16% 24% 23% 38% 17% 42% 23% 18% 16% 20% 24% 41% 18% 34% 28% 19%
  • 14. Brave New World: Are consumers ready for AI? | Ipsos 14 How do Australian consumers feel about AI and its potential role in the future?
  • 15. Brave New World: Are consumers ready for AI? | Ipsos 15 Australians may be ravenous consumers of technology but the research findings reveal that they are conflicted when it comes to how they feel about technology and the role it plays in their lives and the world in general. Will technology be society’s saviour or its undoing? Will it become something to be feared in the future or will it solve the currently unsolvable? They’re not quite sure. On the one hand, just under half (48%) feel optimistic about the future of technology and the same proportion (48%) are looking to technology to help solve some of the world’s biggest problems in the future. However, at the same time, very similar proportions are fearful of the impact of technology: 46% are afraid of technology taking over in the future and just over half (54%) believe that we already rely too much on technology. AUSTRALIANS ARE CONFLICTED WHEN IT COMES TO HOW THEY FEEL ABOUT TECHNOLOGY IN GENERAL “We already rely too much on technology” “I’m afraid of technology taking over in the future” “I feel optimistic about the future of technology” “I believe in the future technology will help solve some of the world’s biggest problems” 54% 48% 46% 48% Base: All (n=1038), net agree, net disagree. Totals may not add up due to rounding. agree neither agree nor disagree disagree agree neither agree nor disagree disagree agree neither agree nor disagree disagree agree neither agree nor disagree disagree 25% 29% 20% 26% 16% 37% 17% 35% 2.1
  • 16. Brave New World: Are consumers ready for AI? | Ipsos 16 It’s a similar picture when it comes to broad perceptions around AI, which are similarity divided. Just under half (49%) believe that AI could make the world a better place if used correctly, while 38% believe we need Artificial Intelligence to take us to the next level of progress. Interestingly, the division here isn’t so much between those who agree and disagree, but between those that have an opinion and those who just don’t know what to think (see chart below). SOME OF US ARE OPTIMISTIC ABOUT AI, WHILE MANY JUST DON’T KNOW WHAT TO THINK 49+17+34+A “Artificial Intelligence and robots, if used correctly, could make the world a better place” 38+22+40+A “We need Artificial Intelligence to take us to the next level of technological progress” 49% 34% 17% 38% 23% 40% Base: All (n=1038), net agree, net disagree. Totals may not add up due to rounding Agree Disagree Niether agree nor disagree 2.2
  • 17. Brave New World: Are consumers ready for AI? | Ipsos 17 Of all the potential impacts of AI, at present, its power to reshape the labour market of the future is driving much of the uncertainty and anxiety. A majority have resigned themselves to a future where AI does the work of humans: seven in 10 (70%) Australians believe that many jobs in the future will be done by robots and many believe that this won’t be a good thing: 6 in 10 (62%) believe that using robots and Artificial Intelligence to replace human workers is bad for society. Interestingly however, when it comes to AI’s potential impact on them personally in the future, a different picture emerges: only about 3 in 10 (32%) are worried about their own jobs eventually be replaced by robots and Artificial Intelligence. PEOPLE ARE MOST AFRAID OF ROBOTS TAKING JOBS “Using robots and Artificial Intelligence to replace human workers is bad for society” “I worry my job will eventually be replaced by robots and Artificial Intelligence” 62%70% 32% “In the future many jobs will be done by robots and Artificial Intelligence” Base: All (n=1038), net agree, net disagree. Totals may not add up due to rounding Disagree: 8% Neither agree or disagree: 22% Disagree: 12% Neither agree or disagree: 26% Disagree: 36% Neither agree or disagree: 33% 2.3
  • 18. Brave New World: Are consumers ready for AI? | Ipsos 18 AUSTRALIANS ARE OPEN TO AI IF IT MAKES LIKES LIFE AS A CONSUMER EASIER BUT FEW ARE COMFORTABLE WITH THE IDEA OF INTERACTING WITH ROBOTS While 4 in 10 (41%) say they are happy to use products and services that use Artificial Intelligence if it makes their life easier, the majority don’t like the idea of AI being used in customer service. More than 6 in 10 (66%) don’t like the idea of a robot being used by companies to communicate with their customers, while around 6 in 10 (59%) don’t like the idea of talking to a robot to help them make a purchase. Base: Total sample (n=1038) net agree, net disagree. Totals may not add up due to rounding. “I am happy to use products and services that use Artificial Intelligence if it makes my life easier” “I do not like the idea of talking to a robot to help me make a purchase” “I do not like the idea of a robot being used by companies to communicate with their customers” 41% 59% 66% 22% 16% 13%37% 25% 22% Agree DisagreeNiether agree nor disagree 2.4
  • 19. Brave New World: Are consumers ready for AI? | Ipsos 19 Kirsten Riolo Director, SMX (Social Media Exchange), Ipsos Kirsten has 20 years of experience working in research and media measurement. Kirsten is a QPMR practitioner and a member of AMSRS, with qualitative and quantitative experience across brand, service and product tracking projects, product development, media creative evaluation (print, radio, outdoor, online and television) as well as print, digital audience, online communities and social media measurement. She holds a Bachelor’s degree from The Australian National University and a Masters of Management from the Macquarie Graduate School of Management in Sydney. Kirsten has experience working with new technologies and social media measurement across a range of industries such as automotive, banking, financial services, not for profit, government, FMCG, CPG, entertainment, media and property development. Dr Pascal Bourgeat Director of Behavioural Science, Ipsos Pascal Bourgeat, Ph.D. is Director of Behavioural Science at Ipsos in Australia and APAC lead. He designs research and works with private and public sector clients and Ipsos teams in Australia and around the world on a range of behaviour-related issues: CPG consumers and shoppers, customers of service sectors, users of public services like health and transport, environment and resources, social and public services, patients, healthcare professionals and more. Pascal is one of Ipsos global behavioural economics and behavioural science experts and is based in Sydney. He is a regular writer and speaker on all things behaviour and is currently involved in developing behavioural insights at the nexus of Machine Learning, lab/life ethnography and behavioural science. ABOUT THE AUTHORS Brave New World: Are consumers ready for AI? | Ipsos 19
  • 20. Brave New World: Are consumers ready for AI? | Ipsos 20 Ipsos is an independent, global market and social research company with offices in 87 countries. In Australia Ipsos has offices in Sydney, Melbourne, Brisbane and Perth, as well as Auckland and Wellington in New Zealand. ABOUT IPSOS AUSTRALIA AND NEW ZEALAND For more details contact: Kirsten Riolo kirsten.riolo@ipsos.com