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Economics of Strategy
               Fifth Edition
  Besanko, Dranove, Shanley, and Schaefer



               Chapter 8

Competitors and Competition

     Slides by: Richard Ponarul, California State University, Chico
                            Copyright  2010 John Wiley  Sons, Inc.
Competition

 If one firm’s strategic choice adversely
  affects the performance of another they are
  competitors
 A firm may have competitors in several
  input markets and output markets at the
  same time
 Competition can be either direct or indirect
Direct and Indirect Competitors

 Direct competitors: Strategic choice of one
  firm directly affects the performance of the
  other
 Indirect competitors: Strategic choice of one
  firm affects the performance of the other
  because of a strategic reaction by a third
  firm
Identifying Competitors

DOJ Guideline: Merger with all the
competitors should lead to a small but
significant non-transitory increase in price
(SSNIP)
  Small: At east 5%
  Non-transitory: At least for one year
Identifying Competitors

 In practice any one who produces a
  substitute product is a competitor
 Two products tend to be close substitutes
  when
  they have similar performance characteristics
  they have similar occasion for use and
  they are sold in the same geographic area
Performance Characteristics

 Performance characteristics describe what
  the product does to the customer
 Example from automobiles
  Seating capacity
  Curb appeal

  Power and handling

  Reliability
Occasion for Use

 Products may share characteristics but may
  differ in the way they are used
 Orange juice and cola are beverages but used
  in different occasions
 Another example: Hiking shoes versus court
  shoes
Geographic Area

 Identical products in two different
  geographic markets will not be substitutes
  due to “transportation costs”
 Bulky products like cement cannot be
  transported over long distances to benefit
  from geographic price difference
Empirical Approaches to Competitor Identification



 Cross price elasticity of demand
 Pattern of price changes over time
 Firms in the same Standard Industrial
  Classification (SIC)
Cross Price Elasticity


                 Q y / Q y
         yx 
                 Px / Px


If ηyx is positive, consumers
purchase more of Y when the
price of X increases
Patterns in Price Changes

 Prices of close competitors tend to be highly
  correlated
 Data on purchase patterns reveal how
  individual consumers react when sellers
  change their prices
Standard Industrial Classification (SIC)

 Products and services are identified by a
  seven digit code
 Each digit represents a finer degree of
  classification
 Products that belong to the same genre or
  the same SIC need not be substitutes
Geographic Competitor Identification

 When a firm sells in different geographical
  areas, it is important to be able identify the
  competitor in each area
 Rather than rely on geographical
  demarcations, the firm should look at the
  flow of goods and services across geographic
  regions
Identifying Competitors in the Area

 Step 1: Locate the catchment area. (where
  the customers come from)
 Step 2: Find out where the residents of the
  catchment area shop
 With some products like books and drugs
  being sold over the internet identifying
  geographic competition becomes more
  difficult
Market Structure

 Markets are often described by the degree of
  concentration
 Monopoly is one extreme with the highest
  concentration - one seller
 Perfect competition is the other extreme
  with innumerable sellers
Measures of Market Structure

 The N-firm concentration ratio
  (the combined market share of the largest N
  firms)
 Herfindahl index (the sum of squared
  market shares)
 When the relative size of the largest firms is
  important Herfindahl is likely to be more
  informative
Four Classes of Market Structure


   Nature of      Range of         Intensity of Price
 Competition     Herfindahls          Competition
Perfect        Usually < 0.2   Fierce
Competition
Monopolistic   Usually < 0.2   Depends on the degree
Competition                    of product differentiation
Oligopoly      0.2 to 0.6      Depends on inter-firm
                               rivalry
Monopoly       > 0.6           Light unless there is
                               threat of entry
Perfect Competition

 Many sellers who sell a homogenous good
 Many well informed buyers
 Consumers can costlessly shop around
 Sellers can enter and exit costlessly
 Each firm faces infinitely elastic demand
Zero Profit Condition

 With perfect competition economic profits
  go to zero
 When profits are maximized percentage
  contribution margin or PCM = 1/ where 
  is the elasticity of demand
 In perfect competition  is infinity and
  hence PCM = 0
Conditions for Fierce Price Competition

Even if the ideal conditions are not present,
price competition can be fierce when two or
more of the following conditions are met.
  There are many sellers
  Customers perceive the product to be
   homogenous
  There is excess capacity
Many Sellers

 Even when the industry is profitable, a low
  cost producer may prefer to set a low price
 With many sellers, cartels and collusive
  agreements harder to create and sustain
 Small players will be tempted to cheat and
  small cheaters may go undetected
Homogeneous Products

 Three sources of increased revenue when
 price is lowered
  Customers buying more
  New customers buying

  Customers switching from the competitors
Homogenous Products

 For firms that cut prices, customers
  switching from a competitor are likely to
  be the largest source of revenue gain
 Customers will be less loyal to the sellers
  and sellers are more likely to compete on
  price
Excess Capacity

 When a firm is operating below full capacity
  it can price below average cost to cover the
  variable cost
 If industry has excess capacity, prices fall
  below average cost and some firms may
  choose to exit
 If exit is not an option (capacity is industry
  specific) excess capacity and losses will
  persist for a while
Monopoly

 A monopolist faces little or no competition
  in the output market
 Monopolist can act in an unconstrained way
  in setting prices or quality
 If some fringe firms exist, their decisions do
  not materially affect the monopolist’s profits
Monopoly

 A monopolist faces a downward sloping
  demand curve
 Monopolist sets the price so that marginal
  revenue equals marginal cost
 Thus the monopolist’s price is above the
  marginal cost and its output below the
  competitive level
Monopoly and Output

 The traditional anti-trust view is that limited
  output and higher prices hurt the consumer.
 A competing (Demsetz) view is that
  consumers may benefit even at monopoly
  prices if the monopoly was the result of
  product innovations and efficient
  manufacturing.
Monopoly and Innovation

 A monopolist often succeeds in becoming
  one by either producing more efficiently
  than others in the industry or meeting the
  consumers’ needs better than others
 Hence, consumers may be net beneficiaries
  in situations where a firm succeeds in
  becoming a monopolist
Monopoly and Innovation

 Monopolists are more likely to be innovative
  (than firms facing perfect competition) since
  they can capture some of the benefits of
  successful innovation
 Since consumers also benefit from these
  innovations, they are hurt in the long run if
  the monopolist’s profits are restricted
Monopolistic Competition

 There are many sellers and they believe that
  their actions will not materially affect their
  competitors
 Each seller sells a differentiated product
 Unlike under perfect competition, in
  monopolistic competition each firm’s
  demand curve is downward sloping rather
  than flat
Vertical and Horizontal Differentiation

 Vertically differentiated products
  unambiguously differ in quality
 Horizontally differentiated products vary in
  certain product characteristics to appeal to
  different consumer groups
 An important source of horizontal
  differentiation is geographical location
Geography and Horizontal Differentiation

 Grocery stores attract clientele based on
  their location
 Consumers choose the store based on
  “transportation costs”
 Transportation costs prevent switching for
  small differences in price
Horizontal Differentiation

Figure 8.1: Sandwich Retailers in Linesville
Idiosyncratic Preferences

 Horizontal differentiation is possible with
  idiosyncratic preferences
 Location and Taste are important sources of
  idiosyncratic preferences
 Search costs discourage switching when
  prices are raised
Search Costs and Differentiation

 Search cost: Cost of finding information
  about alternatives
 Low cost sellers try lower the search costs
  (Example: Advertising)
 Some markets have high search costs
  (Example: Physicians)
Monopolistic Competition and Entry

 Since each firm’s demand curve is
  downward sloping, the price will be set
  above marginal cost
 If price exceeds average cost, the firm will
  earn economic profit
 Existence of economic profits will attract
  new entrants until each firm’s economic
  profit is zero
Monopolistic Competition and Entry

 Even if entry does not lower prices (highly
  differentiated products), new entrants will
  take away market share from the
  incumbents
 The drop in revenue caused by entry will
  reduce the economic profit
 If there is price competition (products that
  are not well differentiated) the erosion of
  economic profit will be quicker
Monopolistic Competition and Entry

 Customer loyalty allows prices to exceed
  marginal cost and encourages entry
 Entry considered excessive if fixed costs go
  up due to entry without a reduction in prices
 If entry increases variety valued by
  customers, then entry cannot be considered
  excessive
Oligopoly

 Market has a small number of sellers
 Pricing and output decisions by each firm
  affects the price and output in the industry
 Oligopoly models (Cournot, Bertrand) focus
  on how firms react to each other’s moves
Cournot Duopoly

 In the Cournot model each of the two firms
  pick the quantities Q1 and Q2 to be produced
 Each firm takes the other firm’s output as
  given and chooses the output that
  maximizes its profits
 The price that emerges clears the market
  (demand = supply)
Cournot Duopoly: An Illustration

 Both firms have constant marginal cost of
  $10
 Demand curve: P = 100 – Q1 – Q2
 Firm 1 chooses Q1 to maximize profits taking
  Q2 as given
 Reaction function: Q1 = 45 – 0.5Q2
 Firm 2’s problem is a mirror image of Firm
  1’s
Cournot Reaction Functions
Cournot Equilibrium

 If the two firms are identical to begin with,
  their outputs will be equal
 Each firm expects its rival to choose the
  Cournot equilibrium output
 If one of the firms is off the equilibrium,
  both firms will have to adjust their outputs
 Equilibrium is the point where
  adjustments will not be needed
Cournot Equilibrium

 The output in Cournot equilibrium will be
  less than the output under perfect
  competition but greater than under joint
  profit maximizing collusion
 As the number of firms increases, the
  output will drift towards perfect
  competition and prices and profits per firm
  will decline
Bertrand Duopoly

 In the Bertrand model, each firm selects its
  price and stands ready to sell whatever
  quantity is demanded at that price
 Each firm takes the price set by its rival as
  a given and sets its own price to maximize
  its profits
 In equilibrium, each firm correctly predicts
  its rivals price decision
Bertrand Reaction Functions
Bertrand Equilibrium

 If the two firms are identical to begin with,
  they will be setting the same price as each
  other
 The price will equal marginal cost (same as
  perfect competition) since otherwise each
  firm will have the incentive to undercut the
  other
Cournot and Bertrand Compared

 If the firms can adjust the output quickly,
  Bertrand type competition will ensue
 If the output cannot be increased quickly
  (capacity decision is made ahead of actual
  production) Cournot competition is the
  result
 In Bertrand competition two firms are
  sufficient to produce the same outcome as
  infinite number of firms
Bertrand Competition with Differentiation

 When the products of the rival firms are
  differentiated, the demand curves are
  different for each firm and so are the
  reaction functions
 The equilibrium prices are different for each
  firm and they exceed the respective marginal
  costs
Bertrand Competition with Differentiation

 When products are differentiated, price
  cutting is not as effective a way to stealing
  business
 At some point (prices still above marginal
  costs), reduced contribution margin from
  price cuts will not be offset by increased
  volume by customers switching
Market Structure: Causes

 Theory would predict that the larger the
  minimum efficient scale (MES) of
  production the greater will be the
  concentration.
 If entry is not easy concentration will be the
  result
 Monopolistic competition would mean
  easier entry and larger number of firms
Endogenous Sunk Costs

 Consumer goods markets seem to have a few
  large firms and many small firms
 The number of large firms and the total
  number of firms depend more on
  advertising costs than production costs
  (Sutton)
 Advertising costs are endogenous sunk costs
Endogenous Sunk Costs

 Early in the industry’s life cycle many small
  firms compete
 The winners invest in their brand name
  capital and grow large
 The smaller firms can try to match the
  investment and build their own brands or
  differentiate their products and seek niches
Price-Cost Margins & Concentration

 Theory would predict that price-cost
  margins will be higher in industries with
  greater concentration
 There could be other reasons for variation in
  price-cost margins
  Regulation

  Accounting practices
  Concentration of buyers
Price-Cost Margins & Concentration

 It is important to control for these
  extraneous factors to study the relation
  between concentration and price-cost
  margin
 Most studies focus on specific industries and
  compare geographically distinct markets
Evidence on Concentration and Price

 For several industries, prices are found to be
  higher in markets with higher concentration
 For locally provided services (doctors,
  plumbers etc.) the “entry threshold” –
  population needed to support a given
  number of sellers – increases fourfold
  between 1 and 2 sellers
Evidence on Concentration and Price

 En = entry threshold for n sellers
 For locally provided services E2 is about four
  times E1
 E3 - E2 > E2 – E1
 E4 – E3 = E3 – E2
 Intensity of price competition reaches the
  maximum with three sellers (Bresnahan and
  Reiss)
Copyright © 2010 John Wiley & Sons, Inc.

All rights reserved. Reproduction or translation of this work beyond
that permitted in section 117 of the1976 United States Copyright Act
without express permission from the copyright owner is unlawful.
Requests for further information should be addressed to the
Permissions Department, John Wiley & Sons, Inc. The purchaser may
make back-up copies for his/her own use only and not for distribution
or resale. The Publisher assumes no responsibility for errors,
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the use of the information herein.

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Competitors and competition ~ industry and competitive analysis

  • 1. Economics of Strategy Fifth Edition Besanko, Dranove, Shanley, and Schaefer Chapter 8 Competitors and Competition Slides by: Richard Ponarul, California State University, Chico Copyright  2010 John Wiley  Sons, Inc.
  • 2. Competition  If one firm’s strategic choice adversely affects the performance of another they are competitors  A firm may have competitors in several input markets and output markets at the same time  Competition can be either direct or indirect
  • 3. Direct and Indirect Competitors  Direct competitors: Strategic choice of one firm directly affects the performance of the other  Indirect competitors: Strategic choice of one firm affects the performance of the other because of a strategic reaction by a third firm
  • 4. Identifying Competitors DOJ Guideline: Merger with all the competitors should lead to a small but significant non-transitory increase in price (SSNIP)  Small: At east 5%  Non-transitory: At least for one year
  • 5. Identifying Competitors  In practice any one who produces a substitute product is a competitor  Two products tend to be close substitutes when  they have similar performance characteristics  they have similar occasion for use and  they are sold in the same geographic area
  • 6. Performance Characteristics  Performance characteristics describe what the product does to the customer  Example from automobiles  Seating capacity  Curb appeal  Power and handling  Reliability
  • 7. Occasion for Use  Products may share characteristics but may differ in the way they are used  Orange juice and cola are beverages but used in different occasions  Another example: Hiking shoes versus court shoes
  • 8. Geographic Area  Identical products in two different geographic markets will not be substitutes due to “transportation costs”  Bulky products like cement cannot be transported over long distances to benefit from geographic price difference
  • 9. Empirical Approaches to Competitor Identification  Cross price elasticity of demand  Pattern of price changes over time  Firms in the same Standard Industrial Classification (SIC)
  • 10. Cross Price Elasticity Q y / Q y  yx  Px / Px If ηyx is positive, consumers purchase more of Y when the price of X increases
  • 11. Patterns in Price Changes  Prices of close competitors tend to be highly correlated  Data on purchase patterns reveal how individual consumers react when sellers change their prices
  • 12. Standard Industrial Classification (SIC)  Products and services are identified by a seven digit code  Each digit represents a finer degree of classification  Products that belong to the same genre or the same SIC need not be substitutes
  • 13. Geographic Competitor Identification  When a firm sells in different geographical areas, it is important to be able identify the competitor in each area  Rather than rely on geographical demarcations, the firm should look at the flow of goods and services across geographic regions
  • 14. Identifying Competitors in the Area  Step 1: Locate the catchment area. (where the customers come from)  Step 2: Find out where the residents of the catchment area shop  With some products like books and drugs being sold over the internet identifying geographic competition becomes more difficult
  • 15. Market Structure  Markets are often described by the degree of concentration  Monopoly is one extreme with the highest concentration - one seller  Perfect competition is the other extreme with innumerable sellers
  • 16. Measures of Market Structure  The N-firm concentration ratio (the combined market share of the largest N firms)  Herfindahl index (the sum of squared market shares)  When the relative size of the largest firms is important Herfindahl is likely to be more informative
  • 17. Four Classes of Market Structure Nature of Range of Intensity of Price Competition Herfindahls Competition Perfect Usually < 0.2 Fierce Competition Monopolistic Usually < 0.2 Depends on the degree Competition of product differentiation Oligopoly 0.2 to 0.6 Depends on inter-firm rivalry Monopoly > 0.6 Light unless there is threat of entry
  • 18. Perfect Competition  Many sellers who sell a homogenous good  Many well informed buyers  Consumers can costlessly shop around  Sellers can enter and exit costlessly  Each firm faces infinitely elastic demand
  • 19. Zero Profit Condition  With perfect competition economic profits go to zero  When profits are maximized percentage contribution margin or PCM = 1/ where  is the elasticity of demand  In perfect competition  is infinity and hence PCM = 0
  • 20. Conditions for Fierce Price Competition Even if the ideal conditions are not present, price competition can be fierce when two or more of the following conditions are met.  There are many sellers  Customers perceive the product to be homogenous  There is excess capacity
  • 21. Many Sellers  Even when the industry is profitable, a low cost producer may prefer to set a low price  With many sellers, cartels and collusive agreements harder to create and sustain  Small players will be tempted to cheat and small cheaters may go undetected
  • 22. Homogeneous Products  Three sources of increased revenue when price is lowered  Customers buying more  New customers buying  Customers switching from the competitors
  • 23. Homogenous Products  For firms that cut prices, customers switching from a competitor are likely to be the largest source of revenue gain  Customers will be less loyal to the sellers and sellers are more likely to compete on price
  • 24. Excess Capacity  When a firm is operating below full capacity it can price below average cost to cover the variable cost  If industry has excess capacity, prices fall below average cost and some firms may choose to exit  If exit is not an option (capacity is industry specific) excess capacity and losses will persist for a while
  • 25. Monopoly  A monopolist faces little or no competition in the output market  Monopolist can act in an unconstrained way in setting prices or quality  If some fringe firms exist, their decisions do not materially affect the monopolist’s profits
  • 26. Monopoly  A monopolist faces a downward sloping demand curve  Monopolist sets the price so that marginal revenue equals marginal cost  Thus the monopolist’s price is above the marginal cost and its output below the competitive level
  • 27. Monopoly and Output  The traditional anti-trust view is that limited output and higher prices hurt the consumer.  A competing (Demsetz) view is that consumers may benefit even at monopoly prices if the monopoly was the result of product innovations and efficient manufacturing.
  • 28. Monopoly and Innovation  A monopolist often succeeds in becoming one by either producing more efficiently than others in the industry or meeting the consumers’ needs better than others  Hence, consumers may be net beneficiaries in situations where a firm succeeds in becoming a monopolist
  • 29. Monopoly and Innovation  Monopolists are more likely to be innovative (than firms facing perfect competition) since they can capture some of the benefits of successful innovation  Since consumers also benefit from these innovations, they are hurt in the long run if the monopolist’s profits are restricted
  • 30. Monopolistic Competition  There are many sellers and they believe that their actions will not materially affect their competitors  Each seller sells a differentiated product  Unlike under perfect competition, in monopolistic competition each firm’s demand curve is downward sloping rather than flat
  • 31. Vertical and Horizontal Differentiation  Vertically differentiated products unambiguously differ in quality  Horizontally differentiated products vary in certain product characteristics to appeal to different consumer groups  An important source of horizontal differentiation is geographical location
  • 32. Geography and Horizontal Differentiation  Grocery stores attract clientele based on their location  Consumers choose the store based on “transportation costs”  Transportation costs prevent switching for small differences in price
  • 33. Horizontal Differentiation Figure 8.1: Sandwich Retailers in Linesville
  • 34. Idiosyncratic Preferences  Horizontal differentiation is possible with idiosyncratic preferences  Location and Taste are important sources of idiosyncratic preferences  Search costs discourage switching when prices are raised
  • 35. Search Costs and Differentiation  Search cost: Cost of finding information about alternatives  Low cost sellers try lower the search costs (Example: Advertising)  Some markets have high search costs (Example: Physicians)
  • 36. Monopolistic Competition and Entry  Since each firm’s demand curve is downward sloping, the price will be set above marginal cost  If price exceeds average cost, the firm will earn economic profit  Existence of economic profits will attract new entrants until each firm’s economic profit is zero
  • 37. Monopolistic Competition and Entry  Even if entry does not lower prices (highly differentiated products), new entrants will take away market share from the incumbents  The drop in revenue caused by entry will reduce the economic profit  If there is price competition (products that are not well differentiated) the erosion of economic profit will be quicker
  • 38. Monopolistic Competition and Entry  Customer loyalty allows prices to exceed marginal cost and encourages entry  Entry considered excessive if fixed costs go up due to entry without a reduction in prices  If entry increases variety valued by customers, then entry cannot be considered excessive
  • 39. Oligopoly  Market has a small number of sellers  Pricing and output decisions by each firm affects the price and output in the industry  Oligopoly models (Cournot, Bertrand) focus on how firms react to each other’s moves
  • 40. Cournot Duopoly  In the Cournot model each of the two firms pick the quantities Q1 and Q2 to be produced  Each firm takes the other firm’s output as given and chooses the output that maximizes its profits  The price that emerges clears the market (demand = supply)
  • 41. Cournot Duopoly: An Illustration  Both firms have constant marginal cost of $10  Demand curve: P = 100 – Q1 – Q2  Firm 1 chooses Q1 to maximize profits taking Q2 as given  Reaction function: Q1 = 45 – 0.5Q2  Firm 2’s problem is a mirror image of Firm 1’s
  • 43. Cournot Equilibrium  If the two firms are identical to begin with, their outputs will be equal  Each firm expects its rival to choose the Cournot equilibrium output  If one of the firms is off the equilibrium, both firms will have to adjust their outputs  Equilibrium is the point where adjustments will not be needed
  • 44. Cournot Equilibrium  The output in Cournot equilibrium will be less than the output under perfect competition but greater than under joint profit maximizing collusion  As the number of firms increases, the output will drift towards perfect competition and prices and profits per firm will decline
  • 45. Bertrand Duopoly  In the Bertrand model, each firm selects its price and stands ready to sell whatever quantity is demanded at that price  Each firm takes the price set by its rival as a given and sets its own price to maximize its profits  In equilibrium, each firm correctly predicts its rivals price decision
  • 47. Bertrand Equilibrium  If the two firms are identical to begin with, they will be setting the same price as each other  The price will equal marginal cost (same as perfect competition) since otherwise each firm will have the incentive to undercut the other
  • 48. Cournot and Bertrand Compared  If the firms can adjust the output quickly, Bertrand type competition will ensue  If the output cannot be increased quickly (capacity decision is made ahead of actual production) Cournot competition is the result  In Bertrand competition two firms are sufficient to produce the same outcome as infinite number of firms
  • 49. Bertrand Competition with Differentiation  When the products of the rival firms are differentiated, the demand curves are different for each firm and so are the reaction functions  The equilibrium prices are different for each firm and they exceed the respective marginal costs
  • 50. Bertrand Competition with Differentiation  When products are differentiated, price cutting is not as effective a way to stealing business  At some point (prices still above marginal costs), reduced contribution margin from price cuts will not be offset by increased volume by customers switching
  • 51. Market Structure: Causes  Theory would predict that the larger the minimum efficient scale (MES) of production the greater will be the concentration.  If entry is not easy concentration will be the result  Monopolistic competition would mean easier entry and larger number of firms
  • 52. Endogenous Sunk Costs  Consumer goods markets seem to have a few large firms and many small firms  The number of large firms and the total number of firms depend more on advertising costs than production costs (Sutton)  Advertising costs are endogenous sunk costs
  • 53. Endogenous Sunk Costs  Early in the industry’s life cycle many small firms compete  The winners invest in their brand name capital and grow large  The smaller firms can try to match the investment and build their own brands or differentiate their products and seek niches
  • 54. Price-Cost Margins & Concentration  Theory would predict that price-cost margins will be higher in industries with greater concentration  There could be other reasons for variation in price-cost margins  Regulation  Accounting practices  Concentration of buyers
  • 55. Price-Cost Margins & Concentration  It is important to control for these extraneous factors to study the relation between concentration and price-cost margin  Most studies focus on specific industries and compare geographically distinct markets
  • 56. Evidence on Concentration and Price  For several industries, prices are found to be higher in markets with higher concentration  For locally provided services (doctors, plumbers etc.) the “entry threshold” – population needed to support a given number of sellers – increases fourfold between 1 and 2 sellers
  • 57. Evidence on Concentration and Price  En = entry threshold for n sellers  For locally provided services E2 is about four times E1  E3 - E2 > E2 – E1  E4 – E3 = E3 – E2  Intensity of price competition reaches the maximum with three sellers (Bresnahan and Reiss)
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