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ninth edition
STEPHEN P. ROBBINS
PowerPoint Presentation by Charlie Cook
The University of West Alabama
MARY COULTER
© 2007 Prentice Hall, Inc.
All rights reserved.
Decision-Making:
The Essence of
the Manager’s Job
Chapter
6
© 2007 Prentice Hall, Inc. All rights reserved. 6–2
L E A R N I N G O U T L I N E
Follow this Learning Outline as you read and study this chapter.
The Decision-Making Process
• Define decision and decision-making process.
• Describe the eight steps in the decision-making process.
The Manager as Decision Maker
• Discuss the assumptions of rational decision making.
• Describe the concepts of bounded rationality, satisficing,
and escalation of commitment.
• Explain intuitive decision making.
• Contrast programmed and nonprogrammed decisions.
© 2007 Prentice Hall, Inc. All rights reserved. 6–3
L E A R N I N G O U T L I N E (cont’d)
Follow this Learning Outline as you read and study this chapter.
The Manager as Decision Maker (cont’d)
• Contrast the three decision-making conditions.
• Explain maximax, maximin, and minimax decision choice
approaches.
• Describe the four decision making styles.
• Discuss the twelve decision-making biases managers may
exhibit.
• Describe how manager can deal with the negative effects
of decision errors and biases.
• Explain the managerial decision-making model.
© 2007 Prentice Hall, Inc. All rights reserved. 6–4
L E A R N I N G O U T L I N E (cont’d)
Follow this Learning Outline as you read and study this chapter.
Decision Making for Today’s World
• Explain how managers can make effective decisions in
today’s world.
• List six characteristics of an effective decision-making
process.
• Describe the five habits of highly reliable organizations.
© 2007 Prentice Hall, Inc. All rights reserved. 6–5
Decision Making
• Decision
Making a choice from two or more alternatives.
• The Decision-Making Process
Identifying a problem and decision criteria and
allocating weights to the criteria.
Developing, analyzing, and selecting an alternative
that can resolve the problem.
Implementing the selected alternative.
Evaluating the decision’s effectiveness.
© 2007 Prentice Hall, Inc. All rights reserved. 6–6
Exhibit 6–1
The Decision-Making Process
© 2007 Prentice Hall, Inc. All rights reserved. 6–7
Step 1: Identifying the Problem
• Problem
A discrepancy between an existing and desired state
of affairs.
• Characteristics of Problems
A problem becomes a problem when a manager
becomes aware of it.
There is pressure to solve the problem.
The manager must have the authority, information, or
resources needed to solve the problem.
© 2007 Prentice Hall, Inc. All rights reserved. 6–8
Step 2: Identifying Decision Criteria
• Decision criteria are factors that are important
(relevant) to resolving the problem.
Costs that will be incurred (investments required)
Risks likely to be encountered (chance of failure)
Outcomes that are desired (growth of the firm)
Step 3: Allocating Weights to the Criteria
• Decision criteria are not of equal importance:
Assigning a weight to each item places the items in
the correct priority order of their importance in the
decision making process.
© 2007 Prentice Hall, Inc. All rights reserved. 6–9
Exhibit 6–2 Criteria and Weights for Computer Replacement Decision
Criterion Weight
Memory and Storage 10
Battery life 8
Carrying Weight 6
Warranty 4
Display Quality 3
© 2007 Prentice Hall, Inc. All rights reserved. 6–10
Step 4: Developing Alternatives
• Identifying viable alternatives
Alternatives are listed (without evaluation) that can
resolve the problem.
Step 5: Analyzing Alternatives
• Appraising each alternative’s strengths and
weaknesses
An alternative’s appraisal is based on its ability to
resolve the issues identified in steps 2 and 3.
© 2007 Prentice Hall, Inc. All rights reserved. 6–11
Exhibit 6–3 Assessed Values of Laptop Computers
Using Decision Criteria
© 2007 Prentice Hall, Inc. All rights reserved. 6–12
Step 6: Selecting an Alternative
• Choosing the best alternative
The alternative with the highest total weight is
chosen.
Step 7: Implementing the Alternative
• Putting the chosen alternative into action.
Conveying the decision to and gaining commitment
from those who will carry out the decision.
© 2007 Prentice Hall, Inc. All rights reserved. 6–13
Exhibit 6–4 Evaluation of Laptop Alternatives
Against Weighted Criteria
© 2007 Prentice Hall, Inc. All rights reserved. 6–14
Step 8: Evaluating the Decision’s
Effectiveness
• The soundness of the decision is judged by its
outcomes.
How effectively was the problem resolved by
outcomes resulting from the chosen alternatives?
If the problem was not resolved, what went wrong?
© 2007 Prentice Hall, Inc. All rights reserved. 6–15
Exhibit 6–5 Decisions in the Management Functions
© 2007 Prentice Hall, Inc. All rights reserved. 6–16
The Role of Intuition
• Intuitive decision making
Making decisions on the basis of experience, feelings,
and accumulated judgment.
© 2007 Prentice Hall, Inc. All rights reserved. 6–17
Exhibit 6–7 What is Intuition?
Source: Based on L. A. Burke and M. K. Miller, “Taking the Mystery Out of Intuitive
Decision Making,” Academy of Management Executive, October 1999, pp. 91–99.
© 2007 Prentice Hall, Inc. All rights reserved. 6–18
Types of Problems and Decisions
• Structured Problems
Involve goals that clear.
Are familiar (have occurred before).
Are easily and completely defined—information about
the problem is available and complete.
• Programmed Decision
A repetitive decision that can be handled by a routine
approach.
© 2007 Prentice Hall, Inc. All rights reserved. 6–19
Types of Programmed Decisions
• Policy
A general guideline for making a decision about a
structured problem.
• Procedure
A series of interrelated steps that a manager can use
to respond (applying a policy) to a structured problem.
• Rule
An explicit statement that limits what a manager or
employee can or cannot do.
© 2007 Prentice Hall, Inc. All rights reserved. 6–20
Policy, Procedure, and Rule Examples
• Policy
Accept all customer-returned merchandise.
• Procedure
Follow all steps for completing merchandise return
documentation.
• Rules
Managers must approve all refunds over $50.00.
No credit purchases are refunded for cash.
© 2007 Prentice Hall, Inc. All rights reserved. 6–21
Problems and Decisions (cont’d)
• Unstructured Problems
Problems that are new or unusual and for which
information is ambiguous or incomplete.
Problems that will require custom-made solutions.
• Nonprogrammed Decisions
Decisions that are unique and nonrecurring.
Decisions that generate unique responses.

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Chapter 4.ppt

  • 1. ninth edition STEPHEN P. ROBBINS PowerPoint Presentation by Charlie Cook The University of West Alabama MARY COULTER © 2007 Prentice Hall, Inc. All rights reserved. Decision-Making: The Essence of the Manager’s Job Chapter 6
  • 2. © 2007 Prentice Hall, Inc. All rights reserved. 6–2 L E A R N I N G O U T L I N E Follow this Learning Outline as you read and study this chapter. The Decision-Making Process • Define decision and decision-making process. • Describe the eight steps in the decision-making process. The Manager as Decision Maker • Discuss the assumptions of rational decision making. • Describe the concepts of bounded rationality, satisficing, and escalation of commitment. • Explain intuitive decision making. • Contrast programmed and nonprogrammed decisions.
  • 3. © 2007 Prentice Hall, Inc. All rights reserved. 6–3 L E A R N I N G O U T L I N E (cont’d) Follow this Learning Outline as you read and study this chapter. The Manager as Decision Maker (cont’d) • Contrast the three decision-making conditions. • Explain maximax, maximin, and minimax decision choice approaches. • Describe the four decision making styles. • Discuss the twelve decision-making biases managers may exhibit. • Describe how manager can deal with the negative effects of decision errors and biases. • Explain the managerial decision-making model.
  • 4. © 2007 Prentice Hall, Inc. All rights reserved. 6–4 L E A R N I N G O U T L I N E (cont’d) Follow this Learning Outline as you read and study this chapter. Decision Making for Today’s World • Explain how managers can make effective decisions in today’s world. • List six characteristics of an effective decision-making process. • Describe the five habits of highly reliable organizations.
  • 5. © 2007 Prentice Hall, Inc. All rights reserved. 6–5 Decision Making • Decision Making a choice from two or more alternatives. • The Decision-Making Process Identifying a problem and decision criteria and allocating weights to the criteria. Developing, analyzing, and selecting an alternative that can resolve the problem. Implementing the selected alternative. Evaluating the decision’s effectiveness.
  • 6. © 2007 Prentice Hall, Inc. All rights reserved. 6–6 Exhibit 6–1 The Decision-Making Process
  • 7. © 2007 Prentice Hall, Inc. All rights reserved. 6–7 Step 1: Identifying the Problem • Problem A discrepancy between an existing and desired state of affairs. • Characteristics of Problems A problem becomes a problem when a manager becomes aware of it. There is pressure to solve the problem. The manager must have the authority, information, or resources needed to solve the problem.
  • 8. © 2007 Prentice Hall, Inc. All rights reserved. 6–8 Step 2: Identifying Decision Criteria • Decision criteria are factors that are important (relevant) to resolving the problem. Costs that will be incurred (investments required) Risks likely to be encountered (chance of failure) Outcomes that are desired (growth of the firm) Step 3: Allocating Weights to the Criteria • Decision criteria are not of equal importance: Assigning a weight to each item places the items in the correct priority order of their importance in the decision making process.
  • 9. © 2007 Prentice Hall, Inc. All rights reserved. 6–9 Exhibit 6–2 Criteria and Weights for Computer Replacement Decision Criterion Weight Memory and Storage 10 Battery life 8 Carrying Weight 6 Warranty 4 Display Quality 3
  • 10. © 2007 Prentice Hall, Inc. All rights reserved. 6–10 Step 4: Developing Alternatives • Identifying viable alternatives Alternatives are listed (without evaluation) that can resolve the problem. Step 5: Analyzing Alternatives • Appraising each alternative’s strengths and weaknesses An alternative’s appraisal is based on its ability to resolve the issues identified in steps 2 and 3.
  • 11. © 2007 Prentice Hall, Inc. All rights reserved. 6–11 Exhibit 6–3 Assessed Values of Laptop Computers Using Decision Criteria
  • 12. © 2007 Prentice Hall, Inc. All rights reserved. 6–12 Step 6: Selecting an Alternative • Choosing the best alternative The alternative with the highest total weight is chosen. Step 7: Implementing the Alternative • Putting the chosen alternative into action. Conveying the decision to and gaining commitment from those who will carry out the decision.
  • 13. © 2007 Prentice Hall, Inc. All rights reserved. 6–13 Exhibit 6–4 Evaluation of Laptop Alternatives Against Weighted Criteria
  • 14. © 2007 Prentice Hall, Inc. All rights reserved. 6–14 Step 8: Evaluating the Decision’s Effectiveness • The soundness of the decision is judged by its outcomes. How effectively was the problem resolved by outcomes resulting from the chosen alternatives? If the problem was not resolved, what went wrong?
  • 15. © 2007 Prentice Hall, Inc. All rights reserved. 6–15 Exhibit 6–5 Decisions in the Management Functions
  • 16. © 2007 Prentice Hall, Inc. All rights reserved. 6–16 The Role of Intuition • Intuitive decision making Making decisions on the basis of experience, feelings, and accumulated judgment.
  • 17. © 2007 Prentice Hall, Inc. All rights reserved. 6–17 Exhibit 6–7 What is Intuition? Source: Based on L. A. Burke and M. K. Miller, “Taking the Mystery Out of Intuitive Decision Making,” Academy of Management Executive, October 1999, pp. 91–99.
  • 18. © 2007 Prentice Hall, Inc. All rights reserved. 6–18 Types of Problems and Decisions • Structured Problems Involve goals that clear. Are familiar (have occurred before). Are easily and completely defined—information about the problem is available and complete. • Programmed Decision A repetitive decision that can be handled by a routine approach.
  • 19. © 2007 Prentice Hall, Inc. All rights reserved. 6–19 Types of Programmed Decisions • Policy A general guideline for making a decision about a structured problem. • Procedure A series of interrelated steps that a manager can use to respond (applying a policy) to a structured problem. • Rule An explicit statement that limits what a manager or employee can or cannot do.
  • 20. © 2007 Prentice Hall, Inc. All rights reserved. 6–20 Policy, Procedure, and Rule Examples • Policy Accept all customer-returned merchandise. • Procedure Follow all steps for completing merchandise return documentation. • Rules Managers must approve all refunds over $50.00. No credit purchases are refunded for cash.
  • 21. © 2007 Prentice Hall, Inc. All rights reserved. 6–21 Problems and Decisions (cont’d) • Unstructured Problems Problems that are new or unusual and for which information is ambiguous or incomplete. Problems that will require custom-made solutions. • Nonprogrammed Decisions Decisions that are unique and nonrecurring. Decisions that generate unique responses.