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Chapter 4.ppt
1.
ninth edition STEPHEN P.
ROBBINS PowerPoint Presentation by Charlie Cook The University of West Alabama MARY COULTER © 2007 Prentice Hall, Inc. All rights reserved. Decision-Making: The Essence of the Manager’s Job Chapter 6
2.
© 2007 Prentice
Hall, Inc. All rights reserved. 6–2 L E A R N I N G O U T L I N E Follow this Learning Outline as you read and study this chapter. The Decision-Making Process • Define decision and decision-making process. • Describe the eight steps in the decision-making process. The Manager as Decision Maker • Discuss the assumptions of rational decision making. • Describe the concepts of bounded rationality, satisficing, and escalation of commitment. • Explain intuitive decision making. • Contrast programmed and nonprogrammed decisions.
3.
© 2007 Prentice
Hall, Inc. All rights reserved. 6–3 L E A R N I N G O U T L I N E (cont’d) Follow this Learning Outline as you read and study this chapter. The Manager as Decision Maker (cont’d) • Contrast the three decision-making conditions. • Explain maximax, maximin, and minimax decision choice approaches. • Describe the four decision making styles. • Discuss the twelve decision-making biases managers may exhibit. • Describe how manager can deal with the negative effects of decision errors and biases. • Explain the managerial decision-making model.
4.
© 2007 Prentice
Hall, Inc. All rights reserved. 6–4 L E A R N I N G O U T L I N E (cont’d) Follow this Learning Outline as you read and study this chapter. Decision Making for Today’s World • Explain how managers can make effective decisions in today’s world. • List six characteristics of an effective decision-making process. • Describe the five habits of highly reliable organizations.
5.
© 2007 Prentice
Hall, Inc. All rights reserved. 6–5 Decision Making • Decision Making a choice from two or more alternatives. • The Decision-Making Process Identifying a problem and decision criteria and allocating weights to the criteria. Developing, analyzing, and selecting an alternative that can resolve the problem. Implementing the selected alternative. Evaluating the decision’s effectiveness.
6.
© 2007 Prentice
Hall, Inc. All rights reserved. 6–6 Exhibit 6–1 The Decision-Making Process
7.
© 2007 Prentice
Hall, Inc. All rights reserved. 6–7 Step 1: Identifying the Problem • Problem A discrepancy between an existing and desired state of affairs. • Characteristics of Problems A problem becomes a problem when a manager becomes aware of it. There is pressure to solve the problem. The manager must have the authority, information, or resources needed to solve the problem.
8.
© 2007 Prentice
Hall, Inc. All rights reserved. 6–8 Step 2: Identifying Decision Criteria • Decision criteria are factors that are important (relevant) to resolving the problem. Costs that will be incurred (investments required) Risks likely to be encountered (chance of failure) Outcomes that are desired (growth of the firm) Step 3: Allocating Weights to the Criteria • Decision criteria are not of equal importance: Assigning a weight to each item places the items in the correct priority order of their importance in the decision making process.
9.
© 2007 Prentice
Hall, Inc. All rights reserved. 6–9 Exhibit 6–2 Criteria and Weights for Computer Replacement Decision Criterion Weight Memory and Storage 10 Battery life 8 Carrying Weight 6 Warranty 4 Display Quality 3
10.
© 2007 Prentice
Hall, Inc. All rights reserved. 6–10 Step 4: Developing Alternatives • Identifying viable alternatives Alternatives are listed (without evaluation) that can resolve the problem. Step 5: Analyzing Alternatives • Appraising each alternative’s strengths and weaknesses An alternative’s appraisal is based on its ability to resolve the issues identified in steps 2 and 3.
11.
© 2007 Prentice
Hall, Inc. All rights reserved. 6–11 Exhibit 6–3 Assessed Values of Laptop Computers Using Decision Criteria
12.
© 2007 Prentice
Hall, Inc. All rights reserved. 6–12 Step 6: Selecting an Alternative • Choosing the best alternative The alternative with the highest total weight is chosen. Step 7: Implementing the Alternative • Putting the chosen alternative into action. Conveying the decision to and gaining commitment from those who will carry out the decision.
13.
© 2007 Prentice
Hall, Inc. All rights reserved. 6–13 Exhibit 6–4 Evaluation of Laptop Alternatives Against Weighted Criteria
14.
© 2007 Prentice
Hall, Inc. All rights reserved. 6–14 Step 8: Evaluating the Decision’s Effectiveness • The soundness of the decision is judged by its outcomes. How effectively was the problem resolved by outcomes resulting from the chosen alternatives? If the problem was not resolved, what went wrong?
15.
© 2007 Prentice
Hall, Inc. All rights reserved. 6–15 Exhibit 6–5 Decisions in the Management Functions
16.
© 2007 Prentice
Hall, Inc. All rights reserved. 6–16 The Role of Intuition • Intuitive decision making Making decisions on the basis of experience, feelings, and accumulated judgment.
17.
© 2007 Prentice
Hall, Inc. All rights reserved. 6–17 Exhibit 6–7 What is Intuition? Source: Based on L. A. Burke and M. K. Miller, “Taking the Mystery Out of Intuitive Decision Making,” Academy of Management Executive, October 1999, pp. 91–99.
18.
© 2007 Prentice
Hall, Inc. All rights reserved. 6–18 Types of Problems and Decisions • Structured Problems Involve goals that clear. Are familiar (have occurred before). Are easily and completely defined—information about the problem is available and complete. • Programmed Decision A repetitive decision that can be handled by a routine approach.
19.
© 2007 Prentice
Hall, Inc. All rights reserved. 6–19 Types of Programmed Decisions • Policy A general guideline for making a decision about a structured problem. • Procedure A series of interrelated steps that a manager can use to respond (applying a policy) to a structured problem. • Rule An explicit statement that limits what a manager or employee can or cannot do.
20.
© 2007 Prentice
Hall, Inc. All rights reserved. 6–20 Policy, Procedure, and Rule Examples • Policy Accept all customer-returned merchandise. • Procedure Follow all steps for completing merchandise return documentation. • Rules Managers must approve all refunds over $50.00. No credit purchases are refunded for cash.
21.
© 2007 Prentice
Hall, Inc. All rights reserved. 6–21 Problems and Decisions (cont’d) • Unstructured Problems Problems that are new or unusual and for which information is ambiguous or incomplete. Problems that will require custom-made solutions. • Nonprogrammed Decisions Decisions that are unique and nonrecurring. Decisions that generate unique responses.
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