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Bulgarian EAS Market Outlook
The impact of the economy to Bulgarian EAS
market
Neli Vacheva,
Country manager, IDC Bulgaria



www.idc.com




Copyright 2007 IDC. Reproduction is forbidden unless authorized. All rights reserved.
Trends in the Economy, Bulgaria H1 2009

   Key Economic Indicators:
   GDP 2008: US $49,869 million
   GDP Growth slowdown from 6.1% in 2008
   to -2.8 in Q1 2009
      -3.4 in Q2 2009
   Population: 7,64 million
   Inflation:
   decrease from 11.4% in 2008
   to average 6% in Q1 2009 on annual basis
   Unemployment:
   6.2% in Q1 2009
   6.3% in Q2 2009



                                              Source: Bulgarian National Bank

 © 2009 IDC                                                      09/11/2009   2
Bulgarian IT market 2009 in CEE Context
               Bulgaria Total IT Market 2008                                        CEE Total IT Market 2008
                    US $1.1884 million                                                US $60 614.89 million

               Forecast 2008-2013 CAGR 6.6%*                                        Forecast 2008-2013 CAGR 5.7%

                                                             40%                                                                40%
                                                                    70,000
                                                                                                                                30%
2,100                                                        30%

                                                                    60,000                                                      20%
                                                             20%
1,700                                                                                                                           10%
                                                                    50,000
                                                             10%                                                                0%
1,300
                                                                    40,000                                                      -10%
                                                             0%
                                                                                                                                -20%
 900                                                                30,000
                                                             -10%
                                                                                                                                -30%

 500                                                         -20%   20,000                                                      -40%
        2007    2008   2009      2010   2011   2012   2013                   2007    2008   2009   2010   2011    2012   2013

                              Total IT Market
                                                                                               Total IT Market
                              Total IT Current
                                                                                               Current forecast

                                                                       (*Constant USD)               Source: IDC Black Book Q2, 2009


  © 2009 IDC
EAS Market Highlights Bulgaria

  EAS Software Market Size Bulgaria 2008 = US $18.22
  Growth: 1.7% (year-on-year) USD*


  Vendor Market Share of EAS L&M Revenue (US$M)
  Bulgaria, 2008


                                                   SAP
             Others                               34.5%
             37.5%
                                                             Microsoft:
                                                             16.2% Share
                                                             29.5% Growth in revenue
                                                             41 New EAS installations
                                                 Microsoft   (Standalone CRM installations not counted)
                 Infor
                                                  16.2%
                 3.4%
                           Oracle
                           8.5%




Source: IDC EAS Software Survey, Bulgaria 2008



© 2009 IDC                                                                                            09/11/2009   4
EAS (ERP) Market Highlights Bulgaria 2009


              Enterprise Application Software Market
              Growing saturation of the Large and Very Large corporate
              segments
              Underpenetrated Small and Medium Business Segments
              Growing maturity – the demand for ERM has been outstrip
              by demand for SCM, OM, CRM
              Consolidated market
              The L&M revenue in 2009 highly dependent on deals in
              Government sector;




 © 2009 IDC
EAS Market Highlights 2008/ 2009

                 EAS L&M Revenue by Functional Market, 2008

                           9.6%
                                      10.4%         Enterprise Resource
                                                    Management
              20.8%                                 Supply Chain Management

                                                    Operations & Manufacturing
                                                    Applications
                                                    Customer Relationship
                                                    Management
                                           37.6%
                                                    Business Analytics
                21.7%


             - (ERM) segment remained the largest functional area;
             - (SCM) and (OMA) functional areas became essential and the main
             purchasing criteria for enterprises;
             - Organizations from the large- and very-large-business segments
             additionally focus on budgeting and control of financial flows.


© 2009 IDC                                                                       09/11/2009   6
EAS Market Highlights

                     EAS L&M Revenue by Functional Market, 2008
                                      9.6%                      Enterprise Resource
                                                 10.4%          Management
                       20.8%                                    Supply Chain Management

                                                                Operations & Manufacturing
                                                                Applications
                                                            E
                                                                Customer Relationship
                                                    37.6%       Management
                         21.7%                                  Business Analytics

                           Functional Markets                             Growth
                           Enterprise Resource Management                  -28.5%
                           Supply Chain Management                         16.5%
                           Operations & Manufacturing Applications         53.9%
                           Customer Relationship Management                49.1%
                           Business Analytics                              45.2%



Source: IDC EAS Software Survey, Bulgaria 2008


 © 2009 IDC                                                                                  09/11/2009   7
EAS Market Highlights

                                                                                     17%
     Top 4 Sectors by EAS L&M
          Spending, 2008                                      37%


                                                 Change in                                    18%
                                   Value         persantage
Sector                             Share           points
Process Manufacturing               1 6.6%         -1 .9%
Discrete Manufacturing             1 8.3%          2.3%             11%             17%
Wholesale                          1 7 .3%         6.2%
Retail                             1 0.6%          3.0%
                                                                     Process Manufacturing
Rest of the Market                 37 .2%          -6.6%
                                                                     Discrete Manufacturing
T otal Market                     100.0%
                                                                     Wholesale

                                                                     Retail

                                                                     Rest of the Market




Source: IDC EAS Software Survey, Bulgaria 2008



© 2009 IDC                                                                                          09/11/2009   8
EAS Market Highlights

                                      EAS L&M Revenue (US$M)
                                    According to End-User Segment
                                             4.3%
                          19.2%                               Small Office (less than 1 0 people)
                                                      18.9%
                                                              Small Business (1 0-99 people)


                                                              Medium Business (1 00-499
                                                              people)
                   21.3%                                      Large Business (500-999 people)


                                                              V ery Large Business (> 1 000
                                                    36.3%     people)




Source: IDC EAS Software Survey, Bulgaria 2008



© 2009 IDC                                                                                          09/11/2009   9
CIO Priorities: 2008 vs. 2009
 European Enterprises’ IT Strategy for the Next 24 Months
                     Improving                                                                  Improving
                  alignment of IT                                                            alignment of IT
                  with business                                                              with business
                                                                                                  needs
                       needs
                                                                                                   43%
                        44%



                                                                Reducing cost of
                                                                       IT
    Reducing cost                                                    29%
        of IT                             Improving
        17%                             service levels
                                                                                                   Improving
                                       to the business                                         service levels to
                                             39%                                                 the business
                                                                               Other                  27%
                                                                                1%
Q. Which of the following
statements can be best applied
to the general trend of your IT                          The next drivers:
strategy for the next two years?
                                                          Need for integration with other internal and external apps
                                                          Analytics for better visibility to business
                                                          Need for more predictable financing of the IT activities
Note: n = 500/535                                         Second tier of EAS applications
Source: IDC European Services Survey 2008/2009


 © 2009 IDC                                                                                                    09/11/2009   10
Essential Guidance


                Make IT costs more predictable;

                Help customers understand the cost-saving opportunities;

                 Prepare for different approaches, not only in terms of
             pricing, but also with regard to the support provided to both
             clients and partners;

                Consider the growing need for integration of EAS systems
             with other applications and data sources, the increasing
             adoption of SOA, and growing pressure for compliance with
             security and data storage policies;




© 2009 IDC                                                                   09/11/2009   11
Key IT Market Highlights, CEE




              Neli Vacheva           IDC Bulgaria
              Tel: + 359 2 9693056   Dragan Tzankov Blvd 36
              nvacheva@idc.com       Sofia 1040
                                     Bulgaria
                                     Fax: + 420 221 423 155
              Country manager        www.idc-cema.com
              IDC Bulgarua           www.idc.com




 © 2009 IDC

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Neli Vacheva - IDC

  • 1. Bulgarian EAS Market Outlook The impact of the economy to Bulgarian EAS market Neli Vacheva, Country manager, IDC Bulgaria www.idc.com Copyright 2007 IDC. Reproduction is forbidden unless authorized. All rights reserved.
  • 2. Trends in the Economy, Bulgaria H1 2009 Key Economic Indicators: GDP 2008: US $49,869 million GDP Growth slowdown from 6.1% in 2008 to -2.8 in Q1 2009 -3.4 in Q2 2009 Population: 7,64 million Inflation: decrease from 11.4% in 2008 to average 6% in Q1 2009 on annual basis Unemployment: 6.2% in Q1 2009 6.3% in Q2 2009 Source: Bulgarian National Bank © 2009 IDC 09/11/2009 2
  • 3. Bulgarian IT market 2009 in CEE Context Bulgaria Total IT Market 2008 CEE Total IT Market 2008 US $1.1884 million US $60 614.89 million Forecast 2008-2013 CAGR 6.6%* Forecast 2008-2013 CAGR 5.7% 40% 40% 70,000 30% 2,100 30% 60,000 20% 20% 1,700 10% 50,000 10% 0% 1,300 40,000 -10% 0% -20% 900 30,000 -10% -30% 500 -20% 20,000 -40% 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 Total IT Market Total IT Market Total IT Current Current forecast (*Constant USD) Source: IDC Black Book Q2, 2009 © 2009 IDC
  • 4. EAS Market Highlights Bulgaria EAS Software Market Size Bulgaria 2008 = US $18.22 Growth: 1.7% (year-on-year) USD* Vendor Market Share of EAS L&M Revenue (US$M) Bulgaria, 2008 SAP Others 34.5% 37.5% Microsoft: 16.2% Share 29.5% Growth in revenue 41 New EAS installations Microsoft (Standalone CRM installations not counted) Infor 16.2% 3.4% Oracle 8.5% Source: IDC EAS Software Survey, Bulgaria 2008 © 2009 IDC 09/11/2009 4
  • 5. EAS (ERP) Market Highlights Bulgaria 2009 Enterprise Application Software Market Growing saturation of the Large and Very Large corporate segments Underpenetrated Small and Medium Business Segments Growing maturity – the demand for ERM has been outstrip by demand for SCM, OM, CRM Consolidated market The L&M revenue in 2009 highly dependent on deals in Government sector; © 2009 IDC
  • 6. EAS Market Highlights 2008/ 2009 EAS L&M Revenue by Functional Market, 2008 9.6% 10.4% Enterprise Resource Management 20.8% Supply Chain Management Operations & Manufacturing Applications Customer Relationship Management 37.6% Business Analytics 21.7% - (ERM) segment remained the largest functional area; - (SCM) and (OMA) functional areas became essential and the main purchasing criteria for enterprises; - Organizations from the large- and very-large-business segments additionally focus on budgeting and control of financial flows. © 2009 IDC 09/11/2009 6
  • 7. EAS Market Highlights EAS L&M Revenue by Functional Market, 2008 9.6% Enterprise Resource 10.4% Management 20.8% Supply Chain Management Operations & Manufacturing Applications E Customer Relationship 37.6% Management 21.7% Business Analytics Functional Markets Growth Enterprise Resource Management -28.5% Supply Chain Management 16.5% Operations & Manufacturing Applications 53.9% Customer Relationship Management 49.1% Business Analytics 45.2% Source: IDC EAS Software Survey, Bulgaria 2008 © 2009 IDC 09/11/2009 7
  • 8. EAS Market Highlights 17% Top 4 Sectors by EAS L&M Spending, 2008 37% Change in 18% Value persantage Sector Share points Process Manufacturing 1 6.6% -1 .9% Discrete Manufacturing 1 8.3% 2.3% 11% 17% Wholesale 1 7 .3% 6.2% Retail 1 0.6% 3.0% Process Manufacturing Rest of the Market 37 .2% -6.6% Discrete Manufacturing T otal Market 100.0% Wholesale Retail Rest of the Market Source: IDC EAS Software Survey, Bulgaria 2008 © 2009 IDC 09/11/2009 8
  • 9. EAS Market Highlights EAS L&M Revenue (US$M) According to End-User Segment 4.3% 19.2% Small Office (less than 1 0 people) 18.9% Small Business (1 0-99 people) Medium Business (1 00-499 people) 21.3% Large Business (500-999 people) V ery Large Business (> 1 000 36.3% people) Source: IDC EAS Software Survey, Bulgaria 2008 © 2009 IDC 09/11/2009 9
  • 10. CIO Priorities: 2008 vs. 2009 European Enterprises’ IT Strategy for the Next 24 Months Improving Improving alignment of IT alignment of IT with business with business needs needs 43% 44% Reducing cost of IT Reducing cost 29% of IT Improving 17% service levels Improving to the business service levels to 39% the business Other 27% 1% Q. Which of the following statements can be best applied to the general trend of your IT The next drivers: strategy for the next two years? Need for integration with other internal and external apps Analytics for better visibility to business Need for more predictable financing of the IT activities Note: n = 500/535 Second tier of EAS applications Source: IDC European Services Survey 2008/2009 © 2009 IDC 09/11/2009 10
  • 11. Essential Guidance Make IT costs more predictable; Help customers understand the cost-saving opportunities; Prepare for different approaches, not only in terms of pricing, but also with regard to the support provided to both clients and partners; Consider the growing need for integration of EAS systems with other applications and data sources, the increasing adoption of SOA, and growing pressure for compliance with security and data storage policies; © 2009 IDC 09/11/2009 11
  • 12. Key IT Market Highlights, CEE Neli Vacheva IDC Bulgaria Tel: + 359 2 9693056 Dragan Tzankov Blvd 36 nvacheva@idc.com Sofia 1040 Bulgaria Fax: + 420 221 423 155 Country manager www.idc-cema.com IDC Bulgarua www.idc.com © 2009 IDC