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Converging Customer Life Cycle
Risks Into a Single Department
Javier Mendez-Castillero
Risk Management Director
October 17 2011
Agenda
The true meaning of synergies and
efficiency in risk management
From sales to collections, holistic risk
management solutions
Using analytics to predict customer
behavior and mitigate exposure to risk
Using risk management to influence and
increase EBITDA
Organizations Today – Silo Mentality
Customers
OrderEntry
FraudPrevention
CreditScoring
RevenueAssurance
Collections
FraudEradication
Systems
Enterprise
Why Converging into a Single Entity?
• Many hands into one head creates fast decisions
and single coordination of efforts
• Revenue loses, missed cash opportunities and
unnecessary cost are all paid by the company after
all.
• Single objective of the company Get profitable
customers. Only achieved if we create the correct
environment for team work and eliminated duplicity
of efforts.
Where are the opportunities for the Company?
ReportedRevenue
CollectedRevenue
Revenue
Leak
Where is the Risk in Telcos?
• When something goes wrong, most likely will end up in Bad Debt Expense
• Fraud losses (bad debt mostly) is a direct consequence of credit risk policy
• The key is to find the balance in accepting the most customers with the minimun risk
and have enough controls to minimize errors in operations
Risk vs. Risk Management
A risk is a potential, unknown event that can negatively impact the
successful outcome of a project.
Risk is the combination of:
•the Likelihood of an event occurring, and
•its consequence to company when it occurs.
Risk Management: is the strategy across the enterprise designed to
identify potential events and manage the risk within the risk appetite
to provide reasonable assurance of achieving the entities business
objectives.
Consequence
Likelihood
654321
1
2
3
4
6
5
Consequence
Likelihood
Risk matrix and Risk Appetite
654321
1
2
3
4
6
5
Risk zone beyond
appetite boundary
Risk appetite
boundary
Risk zone only just
within appetite
boundary
Risk zone well within
risk appetite boundary
Risk Appetite
Risk appetite is the level of risk that is acceptable to the organisation.
Why Risk Managements Should be Holistic?
• Identify risks that reduces revenue
• Determine likelihood and
consequence
• Adapt the risk to the company
appetite
• Propose actions to treat the risk
• Avoid or Eliminate
• Reduce or Mitigate
• Transfer or Insure it
• Retain or accept it
• Communicate decision plan
• Monitor and review periodically
From Theory to Practice
Risk Management Controls Map in Yoigo
Risk Mgmt. Controls in Yoigo
Preventive Controls:
1. Documentation Control at point of sale
2. Customer data capturing normalization
3. Subscription limit per customer
4. Payment behavior for add-on customers
5. Deny list for known fraud cases
6. Credit scoring for new customers
7. Subscription redundancy verification
8. Sales monitoring of high risk products
9. Verification of bank account veracity
10. Logistics verification check for On-line orders
11. Communication with sales channel
12. HUR reports
13. Traffic Counters
14. Roaming fraud tool
15. Forensic Analysis
16. Payment Behavior Smart Collection Strategies
Documentation controls in Sales Distribution
1
Credit Modeling: Predicting Customer Behavior
• Modeled data from Yoigo customer
to better predict behavior
• Negative credit bureau to look for
know debtors
• Yoigo business rules to adapt to
market and strategies and produce
best scoring outcome
29,0%
30,2%
29,6%
28,2%
31,1%
29,2%
25,9%
25,0%
24,8%
25,6%
26,1%
24,2%
21,8%
21,1%
23,3%
26,8%
27,7%
26,4%
23,3%
32,3%
39,5%
36,4%
26,4%
22,4%
23,6%
27,8%
29,4%
28,8%
26,7%
30,3%
34,6%
35,5%
34,3%
14%
16%
18%
20%
22%
24%
26%
28%
30%
32%
34%
36%
38%
40%
ene-09
feb-09
mar-09
abr-09
may-09
jun-09
jul-09
ago-09
sep-09
oct-09
nov-09
dic-09
Jan-10
feb-10
mar-10
abr-10
may-10
jun-10
jul-10
ago-10
sep-10
oct-10
nov-10
dic-10
ene-11
feb-11
mar-11
abr-11
may-11
jun-11
jul-11
ago-11
sep-11
oct-11
nov-11
dic-11
Monthly Credit Rejection Rate3%
4%
3%
3%
2%
2%
3%
2%
1%
2%
2%
0%
2%
2%
2%
1%
1%
1%
2%
2%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
2%
1%
1%
40%
39%
40%
35%
32%
36%
38%
37%
41%
39%
36%
36%
28%
28%
28%
26%
26%
25%
23%
26%
25%
24%
26%
27%
25%
26%
25%
25%
26%
25%
20%
22%
21%
22%
17%
24%
23%
25%
24%
25%
27%
15%
15%
18%
17%
17%
16%
17%
13%
16%
17%
17%
15%
18%
15%
14%
15%
17%
17%
16%
0,00%
0,08%
0,00%
0,00%
0,00%
0,18%
0,17%
0,00%
0,00%
0,10%
0,18%
0,00%
0,00%
0,13%
0,07%
0,00%
0,00%
0,26%
0,00%
0,00%
0,14%
0,07%
0,00%
0,00%
0,14%
0,00%
0,00%
0,00%
0,00%
0,07%
36%
35%
36%
39%
48%
39%
36%
36%
33%
33%
35%
50%
55%
53%
53%
55%
57%
57%
62%
57%
56%
57%
57%
53%
57%
59%
58%
56%
55%
58%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30
Experian Rejection Reasons Scoring N. Riesgo B. Otro B. Telco Lista negra
High Risk Product Monitoring for Abuses
Live monitoring of sales of high risk product and take preventive action on
the fly. Normally done for new launches and promotion to test arbitrage
Manage exposure risk with credit limit counters
Three different counters (based on money spent)
– Premium Numbers (Voice, SMS y WAP)
– Roaming and International calls
– Total consumption
Two-step approach. Warning SMS and Barring
– Premium 50 - 70€ (Barring Premium)
– International 50 - 70€ (Barring Intl. and Roaming)
– Total Charge 80 - 120€ (Barring outgoing calls)
International NRTRDE traffic counter
– All countries grouped in 3 risk categories lists
– Counter base on number of MTC
– Counter base on rated amount of MTC
Intelligent preventing barring: Only calls allowed to visited
country and home country
Forensic Analysis for forged signatures
100% analysis of documentation for all “never paid” customers.
We assume they avoided Fraud and credit controls and we want to learn how
Payment Behavior Smart Collection Strategy
Dunning strategy based on customer
payment behavior
– Hot-lining to recurring debtors
– Payment promises to unemployed
– Pre due-date SMS to new customers
– Blaster message to procrastinators
– Intelligent IVR based on
segmentation
Results:
– 70% of collection is done with no
human intervention
– IVR account for 60% of payments
– Reduced cost of collection to 10%
Results Obtained by Unifying under Risk Dept.
• Bad Debt ratios significantly low
• First Payment Default bellow 5%
• Traffic Fraud Reduced to 25% of Bad Debt
• Cost of collections bellow 10%
• Automation of IVR
• Hot lining
• Elimination of outgoing call
• Collection ratio of 85% in 30 days
• Reduce collection agency cost (less volume)
• Help the overall growth of company
• Acquiring better customer with low bad debt
• Reducing Churn due to collection issues
• Reducing SAC (Subs. Acquisition Cost)
•Help to maintain high customer satisfaction level
• Simplicity of procceses
Customer Life Cycle and Risk into one Department

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Customer Life Cycle and Risk into one Department

  • 1. Converging Customer Life Cycle Risks Into a Single Department Javier Mendez-Castillero Risk Management Director October 17 2011
  • 2. Agenda The true meaning of synergies and efficiency in risk management From sales to collections, holistic risk management solutions Using analytics to predict customer behavior and mitigate exposure to risk Using risk management to influence and increase EBITDA
  • 3. Organizations Today – Silo Mentality Customers OrderEntry FraudPrevention CreditScoring RevenueAssurance Collections FraudEradication Systems Enterprise
  • 4. Why Converging into a Single Entity? • Many hands into one head creates fast decisions and single coordination of efforts • Revenue loses, missed cash opportunities and unnecessary cost are all paid by the company after all. • Single objective of the company Get profitable customers. Only achieved if we create the correct environment for team work and eliminated duplicity of efforts.
  • 5. Where are the opportunities for the Company? ReportedRevenue CollectedRevenue Revenue Leak
  • 6. Where is the Risk in Telcos? • When something goes wrong, most likely will end up in Bad Debt Expense • Fraud losses (bad debt mostly) is a direct consequence of credit risk policy • The key is to find the balance in accepting the most customers with the minimun risk and have enough controls to minimize errors in operations
  • 7. Risk vs. Risk Management A risk is a potential, unknown event that can negatively impact the successful outcome of a project. Risk is the combination of: •the Likelihood of an event occurring, and •its consequence to company when it occurs. Risk Management: is the strategy across the enterprise designed to identify potential events and manage the risk within the risk appetite to provide reasonable assurance of achieving the entities business objectives. Consequence Likelihood 654321 1 2 3 4 6 5
  • 8. Consequence Likelihood Risk matrix and Risk Appetite 654321 1 2 3 4 6 5 Risk zone beyond appetite boundary Risk appetite boundary Risk zone only just within appetite boundary Risk zone well within risk appetite boundary Risk Appetite Risk appetite is the level of risk that is acceptable to the organisation.
  • 9. Why Risk Managements Should be Holistic? • Identify risks that reduces revenue • Determine likelihood and consequence • Adapt the risk to the company appetite • Propose actions to treat the risk • Avoid or Eliminate • Reduce or Mitigate • Transfer or Insure it • Retain or accept it • Communicate decision plan • Monitor and review periodically
  • 10. From Theory to Practice
  • 11. Risk Management Controls Map in Yoigo
  • 12. Risk Mgmt. Controls in Yoigo Preventive Controls: 1. Documentation Control at point of sale 2. Customer data capturing normalization 3. Subscription limit per customer 4. Payment behavior for add-on customers 5. Deny list for known fraud cases 6. Credit scoring for new customers 7. Subscription redundancy verification 8. Sales monitoring of high risk products 9. Verification of bank account veracity 10. Logistics verification check for On-line orders 11. Communication with sales channel 12. HUR reports 13. Traffic Counters 14. Roaming fraud tool 15. Forensic Analysis 16. Payment Behavior Smart Collection Strategies
  • 13. Documentation controls in Sales Distribution 1
  • 14. Credit Modeling: Predicting Customer Behavior • Modeled data from Yoigo customer to better predict behavior • Negative credit bureau to look for know debtors • Yoigo business rules to adapt to market and strategies and produce best scoring outcome 29,0% 30,2% 29,6% 28,2% 31,1% 29,2% 25,9% 25,0% 24,8% 25,6% 26,1% 24,2% 21,8% 21,1% 23,3% 26,8% 27,7% 26,4% 23,3% 32,3% 39,5% 36,4% 26,4% 22,4% 23,6% 27,8% 29,4% 28,8% 26,7% 30,3% 34,6% 35,5% 34,3% 14% 16% 18% 20% 22% 24% 26% 28% 30% 32% 34% 36% 38% 40% ene-09 feb-09 mar-09 abr-09 may-09 jun-09 jul-09 ago-09 sep-09 oct-09 nov-09 dic-09 Jan-10 feb-10 mar-10 abr-10 may-10 jun-10 jul-10 ago-10 sep-10 oct-10 nov-10 dic-10 ene-11 feb-11 mar-11 abr-11 may-11 jun-11 jul-11 ago-11 sep-11 oct-11 nov-11 dic-11 Monthly Credit Rejection Rate3% 4% 3% 3% 2% 2% 3% 2% 1% 2% 2% 0% 2% 2% 2% 1% 1% 1% 2% 2% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 2% 1% 1% 40% 39% 40% 35% 32% 36% 38% 37% 41% 39% 36% 36% 28% 28% 28% 26% 26% 25% 23% 26% 25% 24% 26% 27% 25% 26% 25% 25% 26% 25% 20% 22% 21% 22% 17% 24% 23% 25% 24% 25% 27% 15% 15% 18% 17% 17% 16% 17% 13% 16% 17% 17% 15% 18% 15% 14% 15% 17% 17% 16% 0,00% 0,08% 0,00% 0,00% 0,00% 0,18% 0,17% 0,00% 0,00% 0,10% 0,18% 0,00% 0,00% 0,13% 0,07% 0,00% 0,00% 0,26% 0,00% 0,00% 0,14% 0,07% 0,00% 0,00% 0,14% 0,00% 0,00% 0,00% 0,00% 0,07% 36% 35% 36% 39% 48% 39% 36% 36% 33% 33% 35% 50% 55% 53% 53% 55% 57% 57% 62% 57% 56% 57% 57% 53% 57% 59% 58% 56% 55% 58% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100% 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 Experian Rejection Reasons Scoring N. Riesgo B. Otro B. Telco Lista negra
  • 15. High Risk Product Monitoring for Abuses Live monitoring of sales of high risk product and take preventive action on the fly. Normally done for new launches and promotion to test arbitrage
  • 16. Manage exposure risk with credit limit counters Three different counters (based on money spent) – Premium Numbers (Voice, SMS y WAP) – Roaming and International calls – Total consumption Two-step approach. Warning SMS and Barring – Premium 50 - 70€ (Barring Premium) – International 50 - 70€ (Barring Intl. and Roaming) – Total Charge 80 - 120€ (Barring outgoing calls) International NRTRDE traffic counter – All countries grouped in 3 risk categories lists – Counter base on number of MTC – Counter base on rated amount of MTC Intelligent preventing barring: Only calls allowed to visited country and home country
  • 17. Forensic Analysis for forged signatures 100% analysis of documentation for all “never paid” customers. We assume they avoided Fraud and credit controls and we want to learn how
  • 18. Payment Behavior Smart Collection Strategy Dunning strategy based on customer payment behavior – Hot-lining to recurring debtors – Payment promises to unemployed – Pre due-date SMS to new customers – Blaster message to procrastinators – Intelligent IVR based on segmentation Results: – 70% of collection is done with no human intervention – IVR account for 60% of payments – Reduced cost of collection to 10%
  • 19. Results Obtained by Unifying under Risk Dept. • Bad Debt ratios significantly low • First Payment Default bellow 5% • Traffic Fraud Reduced to 25% of Bad Debt • Cost of collections bellow 10% • Automation of IVR • Hot lining • Elimination of outgoing call • Collection ratio of 85% in 30 days • Reduce collection agency cost (less volume) • Help the overall growth of company • Acquiring better customer with low bad debt • Reducing Churn due to collection issues • Reducing SAC (Subs. Acquisition Cost) •Help to maintain high customer satisfaction level • Simplicity of procceses