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The LA Riots & Economics of Urban Unrest

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The Los Angeles riot of 1992 resulted in 52 deaths, 2500 injuries and at least $446 million in property damage; this staggering toll rekindled interest in understanding the underlying causes of the widespread social phenomenon of rioting. We examine the causes of the rioting using international data, evidence from the race riots of the 1960's in the US, and Census data of Los Angeles, 1990. We find some support for the notions that the opportunity costs of time and the potential costs of punishment influence the incidence and intensity of riots. Beyond these individual costs and benefits, community structure matters. In our results, ethnic diversity seems a significant determinant of rioting, while we find little evidence that poverty in the community matters.

Publié dans : Économie & finance
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The LA Riots & Economics of Urban Unrest

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  25. 25. aaaaiaa IitiuO"anisiOiwdiUniniE1qx3:eaU3llDbns9bslT".(QQI)iIO.J.3bns.AbA .8-Q1:(L)XDeimono331oIEmuot "1rimvnIbns'ViIidtnIis3ijiloqnoiudiiiQ3mo3nl°.(EQI)j013q.51bn.s.AMni1A .bodq13omirn .(nwoiHe1fliJ:AMnoioff).b5112iv351viDv1nvñnUodT.(IVQI).3b1eflnH .(2noii&ilduqAD:YT4jioim&1niH).bhoW3cfiIolpodbnsHth3iiilog.(IQI)2.AliuH i3iiipp!&nuoL"r13Eo1qqA3imonoa3nA:in3rncl2inuqbriEorniiD".(8Q1)2ii) .VJ-QàIVvmono33 .(qiivinUbicufxO:bd1xO).ipi5111iUv'iiD*ioYwT4ciT.(OQQI).1nimoH £fluffiwoID3imono33io1xibnqqAsU".(Q8QI)luIoW1oHbriErtdo51OT1EH iqEnbhoWSHRT4".hinuoD1onoit2-oiD mobns5l:AioYwe'I).iioisU1oJET3mTirliObilE:ic1i4'Iiv3U.(OQQI)v'Si&IsñD .(euoH 'izivinUbidlxO:hoYw3T4)f12flIcLT.(VQI).512nbIwEU i1dT:J1Io3nID).voIpioo2nivbuA:bi3iu.(QI)Iim3rnicb1iuU boowcrniO:TDtioqtW)•jjp1gaBopnIoiV.(IVQI).51no2Io1 oimonoo3(tE3I1r1IA"nOi33TIU2n11o1boMmuhdiliupd1noDA".(IQQ1).HnEmo1D .Q-1Q:f8wiv51 iT3rlT:AioYwT4)i3iflnpDIE3iiIpgpAoodbnsH.(08QI).51.TriuD '1ii3vinU1icI3nEM:1eirI3nEM).a1d5l5yjjjmulg.(Q1).3rmwEd2doH .(qsimo1iIsD1o'iiisvinU:I3h9ff).i3iffnoDni2guolO3inrIl3.(a8QI).UsiiwioH noiiuIove51IE3iiuloqbEqi3iinsflUIo'Io9ñTA:tiI3jjs1qbnsahEq.(Q8QI).T!n.BluA .V-I4:(I)13iOdD3!IdLrq oJrIT:&nAoJ).etpi5lcfinibnEie1bnU•(Q2I)miTInA20J110TE1a .(miT&nA
  26. 26. 'bnoMdf1o'bin2DaA:2qfihIomi5FIo&imsn'U311T".(Q1).2rirtsmdoJ riiu81o1o0f1323tub1Ob1o1rLE2"1QI-Q81'nsrrn3O12sdiqiJni2floiE1inom0 iqs1nbFioW ..IV-18:(E)XDimonoio1Ecr1uo1vhiisiiOthwoiObnEnoiiqt.rrioD".(QQI)qoiusM i3vJnsvnDA:2iobioiUIsi3ESFIo2usDoriT".(EVQI)hEID14.Tbus.WnsioM Iô8Ewiv51fE3ioIoi3o2nsoiiomA"noitnsIqx3 d]:HjJ3ild1Jbns1siqsDIsi3o2:iinummoDuoioqoiorIT°.(sEQQL)CI.51cnsniu EIbsgo1flZ3ilOfflA .vlsilrr,oboMni2noijibElT3iviD:hoWvasl3omoUnbIsM.(dQQI).0.51jnsriiu 'iiovinUnooonjiq:.1.Mnoto3nh) (.bo)f!3LJ1.VninomoDuin3o3iiIo1odibns3no11e1q.(QQI)•qiomo51 .(qo&irIDoiiiovinU:os3ir1D).vnhidinogo51Jsioo2busIsubivibnl .(niwil.0.51:JIboowomoH).onsni13ildug.(I8QI).Ho5I iebioiUIsi3sSIbhevo2orbbusoiiiDb3iinO3s1sf11)1siuim2".(VQ1).2nsmioIiq2 EV-IVVI1wiv511E3ip1oi3o2nsiiomA io2bebnsqx3nA:(*isM)oldsTblioWorIT"(1QI)nooHusiAbustiodo5liomrnu2 .8ôE-V:WDimonooismuol,vhotisuO88QI-OI:r1o2ilqmoIsrIoiism5tnIb .(njrIaj1ducIoniblA:oirD).oitiDuioooM.(QI)ioduosT.Abus.)1ioduosT iiiovinUogbiidmsD:obiidrnsD).irnono3Is3isrnor1tsM.(8i).Asms'sIsT nnA).-iotsjbnI15i3p2busIs3iiilogjoloodbnsHbhoW.(VQI)nothuH.Mbus.DiohsT .(sI2qDI:IMiodiA bisv-isH:AlvlobhdrnsD).viulnoDuoil!odo51orIT.(VQI)'iiiT.51brisIIiT.J.DIIiT 'iiiovinU .QQ-8.qqjIo3iodDpilduq"rioiiuIovo5FboxobjnsqorIT'.(IVQI).2.0I3o1IuT .14.U:FioYwoM).noisinsthUbboWboat3og2o.(ouiiorbobus88I).noitsMboiinU .(33m0 00q.2noiisloqOnommovo0nooottimmo.oisno2.(8QI)o18noJ.2.U rlguoiuitôI--21ob1oiUliviDbusoi51ioMIobui11&t2.anoisgitovnInooollidnrno3du2
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  33. 33. Ci) MP!G auq PI9CI( WSA 9120 UCflG IJ!ebsu!C2 i.iOe: suqsq GOL lu bsLGupe2G2 29U9L ELLOL (o5) (o6) (js) 29WbIG 2IG 3.252 .28 5542 H!2b9U!C 918 349 363 54 J6. 9U9L ELLOL (o4) (1 o) (o9) 2SwbIG 2!G 44'486 5398 31429 819C1( 439 399 390 282 335 2IsuqsLq ELLOL (os) (0.4) (3e) 2SWbIe 21!G .l240 48'2.5 494 MP!G 299 244 345 (Hon2epoIq2) HOWGOMUGL2IJ!b SG2 29Uq9Lq ELLOL (04) (1 2) ()29wb16 2! 221848 31312 21200 H!2bSU!C 92 98 45 9uq9Lq ELLOL (o.s) (.9) (j •g) 2SWbIG 2! 431499 51324 51334 BI9CI 39 eo 2 29 29U9L ELLOL (o5) (o2) ()29WbIG 2! 841959 481088 403 MP!G 1.43 424 403 140 (Ewbo1Gq sqna OAGL j) 2G1t EWbIOXWGU4 9G2 29uq9Lq ELLOL (oe) (se) (5o) 2swbIe2!e 18403 644 41259 H!ebSU!C 103 8. 95 66 SU9L ELLOL (4.5) (sa) (ss) 2SwblG 2!G 3026 290 958 BI9C 422 196 439 520 suqsiq ELLOL (os) (.r) (ssi) 2SWbIG 2!G 151133 31324 50 MP!G 99 95 94 00 (INIea .le-3o) flUGWbOWGU 9G2 48O 4680 480 .4860 48.0CJ) fl2 IY conuO 2OW CGULSI IV (beLcGu) iOyuäeiee !U W .laao2: Iuq!A,qngI EOLCG2 J.SPIG IS
  34. 34. (.1) MJJI4G suq PI9CI( wsl 9120 UCnqG p!2b9U!C2 29U9LELLOL (o3) ()29WbIG 2!G 3.S252 528 5542 H!2bSU!C 181 452 508 218Uq9Lq ELLOL (o) (.is) (o8) 2SWbIG 2! Jct'468 5386 BISCK 343 56.1 348 328 9u9L ELLOL (o3) (oe) (28) 29wbie 2!G I24O J82.5 .184 84 95 .6 84 (HonaepoIq2) EGWSIG esqeq onepoq f9U9L ELLOL (os) (oa) (o) 2SWbiG 2! 8524. 4885 2594 H!2b9U!C 332 302 .168 suqsq ELLOL (o4) (o0) (o6) 2sWbIG 2!G 4348O 33o8 3095 448 239 344 29U9L ELLOL (o4) (ox) (e•) 2SWbIG 2! 3'f3.3 12'058 26 MP!G 43 403 X8 236 (c!IqLeu J9 fluqeL) Cp!Iq boeLiA K9G2 39U9L ELLOL (o4) (oe) (o4) 29wb16 2!9 J83431 .10a825 43OQ8 H!2bSU!C 595 340 .182 303 suqLq ELLOL (o3) (oe) (o2) 29WbIG 2!6 40a536 4I4 683O BISC1( 344 533 538 348 363 suqsq ELLOL (os) (o4) (53) 29wb19 2!!G 4.•'161 46'85. 203 MP!G .105 210 bOAGI4A KSO2 (vii bGL2OU2) .1060 .1680 .16.O .1660 46.O(1) fl2 IV COnLU1 2011W CGL4L91 IV (beLceuj) bOAEKIA jspG p--ro yUdGIe !U WG iaaoa: COWWflU!1A EOLCG2
  35. 35. beunItno3.deldsT a331OYIIIIUMMO3 .AJlsiine3rliuo2ytnuo3.AJ ()02F9iX1 IioITueImelaJAI3A1 (neneq) eare.r.rce.o0.8afirfW oerer'creeIqms (F.)(CD)(F.0) c.oea.ore.orerr oee,eeoeiaelqms8 (8.0)(2.0)(t..D) ese.oe.er3lnsqeiH aaoraaorr,eereii2elqma8 (p.0)(8.0)(tO) 8Cot8.osiaA rat,rOCO8t.eii3eIqms2 (r.8)()(p.0) ()VTIJI8OMGJOH3UOH (Ine3eq) bevoMtBdTsblorluuoH 2.CetiriW eiaelqrns8 (8&)(.0) 8CC0.)13618 COr,Crei3elqms2 (80)(p.0) C.eC8.e3insqaiH tC882ei2eIqmB2 (Cr)(CD) (t)opAri'eYovflnOIs3oJ 8.tejiriW c.r.absoidA (s.C)(8.0)(p.0) ear.or'c.rets8er1O ()(8.0)(CC) tnuo3M (DC)(C.0) 8.Ft0.88O.t(t)A3o2eR (C.)(8.0)(t..D) 2rC9008CeiCelqms2 ,13S18 8.08.tbsoidA (8.)(0.)(r.t) 'VCt.rrets2,er1tO (C.)(*)(2.0) e.rer.8inuo3&i (8.)(2.0) tF8.88G.()A3otee (8.)(8.r)(OF) tar,r28C,0C2,8eiaelqms2 Fart.2c.OFbso,dA ()(Ct)(8.0) 8.8r.eelelaisrilO (s.C)(OF)(.D) F.8tnuo3AJ (C.)(8.0) 8.14 (C.r)(.0) 22888tetexiaslqms2 .e3insqeli'iebubniodeyetnebsidbnsaetiriwecusoedeoornertieiomofemuenoiludhleibisbsR(F) .oeelseyevftnods3ot,lesbibludelseysvftfeelsillnibevombloreuoilsilli,lesIonbibocerelqmee-oioimeuane3() .eblodeeuortlieesn.eeqe1Ii,0QFoR.bevomIsillebloilecuorlioiytnociogseiseyevilnoilsool022Fio(C) .eldslisvscinolismidfnlylnucooilageciseyevilelsiesillnibevilblorlesuollciiiieelsoibniylnoeuene3sillocerni()
  36. 36. xM.voQ.bi8niMedQ 8eld6T oiIno61sayti3-aaoi3aoaet eeuIVeIdsrtBV—saeId6T eIdEhsV F .8e V88.8r F88.CF 898.C 888.F 8.F88 88t.9 8F0.8 ,co o oe.o e8.0t'c98.0 0F.088.O 80.080.0 8e.O8.0 80C.08VF.0 eee.rrrea.to 99.F808.8 £98.0C8.F o oee.r CF oec.oer p.80.089F &P'Q.FF9F 8C9.eer aeo.oer cir.9F tF.09F 8'c'V.'ceeF 88.FF9F FF9.£8 F8.C£8 'V08.£8 noiisleiio3eldshsV—d8eId6T OpxeloqvoIoqnQffl1voqie,oameriiwnqoqwnlOaqoqlOageerftuoaiuooeld6hEV (anoitsvieadOeF) 000.F 000.tt0.0- 000.F.8E.0-0.0- 000.FFF.0&.08FC.O- 000.F01'F.0-880.00.0.0-£80.0- 000.1.eo.o-e.o-eao.o-er.o-8CC.O 000.Fe0.o80.0-C'V&.O-F0.088.0-FF.0 000.F 000.FCt0.0- rc.o 8F.0-ec.o 0.00F.0- 8F.0-CE.0 CF.0-8FF.0- 00C.0F8F.0- C8F.0- • 000.r 000.Foer.o- ce.oeoo.o CFF.0-VcC.0 ro.ooc.o F8.0C.0- 8.0- 880.0880.0- cr.O-F.0- 8C0.0-FCS.0 0-14.0 809F-889Fbenu330oiR mmubIbmerliuo2 009Fxsbninoiispeipe2 (p01)089FnoitsIuqo (pol)089FnoitsluqoqehrIwno1 ytinummooeir1wnonospA 089FeisinemyoIqmenuetiiiwnoll 009FstsRytievoevitsl&R 009FetsSlqirlaisnwoemoHsvitsls1 89FaeiutibneqxetnsmmevoOs3iIoq-nol,1 089Faeiutibrisqx3&iIodl 809F-889Fbeiiuotoi$R ymmubytbmsdlluo8 009Fxebninodspeipe2 (p01)009FnoitsiuqoS (p01)089Fnoilsluqoqeu1wnoI4 yiinummoosflilwnonospA 089Fesitnemyolqmenuetiriwnoki 009FeisIytievoevitsleR 089FetsRqirlaisnwoemoHevitsleI 89FaeiutibnsqxsinemmsvoOsoiloq-nokl 009Fes,utibneqxJe3iIo (pol)ataeiiA (gol)enoaiA (p01)aenuLnl (anodsveadO£8)F=iuooO 0.O880.0-0-C0.0FF.0-4&8.0F88.0OFF.0-080.0(pol)atasnA 8t0.0F0.O0.0-80E.0-OFF.00F.0-£8.0F9.090.0-¶00.0(pol)anoaiA 80C.0080.0-ee.o-8F0.0-88F.0-8F0.0B8.00F.0-900.0-(pol)aehutnl
  37. 37. 2191!2flC9U1 2!äUI4JCSUI 9 fiG 2oO 16A61 2191!21!CsII1% 2!dU1IJCSUI 9 1116 .1 Oo0 IGAGI 9U9L 611012 sbbesi !u b916u1116262 oje: E2fW96 s bLopI4 LGaLG22!0112 0P261A91!0U2 465 i as b26flO -2dn9LGq 0548 O53. (5•595) (5•'3s) COU2I9UI -9244 (ooo3) iiou-boiice OOAGLUWGUI 6xbGuqnLG2 bei csbiis j90 0002 (oo33) boIIcG GxbGuqnL62 bei. csbIl9 aeo -o.o (oea) (0943) b6191!AG IJOWGOMU6L2P!b L916 (uouMpi1G1o9I) -.i ae -i si s (o593) (osee) bGI9I!A6 boAsI4A 1916 iaeo (uouMp!1G1o9I) 0062 0I9 (3.54t) (s)VIOLJMIJ!16 flUGWbI01WGU1 19j6 '1690 2309 2'90.1 (o2) 0220 '0G 0U0uMp!G COWWnUIX -0249 -043 (o.iao) (o5o3) 1O 0 UOUMpIIG bobni9pou 4690 0296 022'9 (osss) (oss.) ba ouos bobnspou .iaeo 0056 0052 (oo.19) (oo.18) 2GäLGO9I!OU !u6x .1690 0012 0055 (ota) (oa2) 20(11116W c11A qnwwA -o.880 DGbGuqeu AgL!spIe: OCCflLLGUCG GäL622!OU .1 gG&G2!OU 3 iaeoa OCCflLLGUCG bGäLG22!0U2 jS(G e
  38. 38. 4Sfi2!C9IIA a!au!4!c9u 9IPG 2oo IGAGI 249!2!C9IIA 2!U!4iC9Uj 94 11)6 4 Oo0 IGAGI 4$uq9Lq GLLOL2 9bbGSL u b9L6u4p6a92 oG: E24IW946 92 40P14 L6&622!0U2 QP2GLA941OU2 93 93 eenqo-ednsLeq 0419 (5e52) (3tl't) (3s38) COU249U 0452 o.oae -.5e5 (ooo3) (ooo4) (ooot) Vou-bol!cG aoAcLuwouI 6Xb6Uq!4flLG2 beL csbI4s 4890 0004 0005 0004 (oose) (oo32) (0035) bOI!C6 6Xb6Uq4flL62 beL csbis -oo28 -0400 -0039 (oas) (ria) (4o89) b6194!A6 IJOW6OMUSL2P!b L946 (uouMpile4o491) -O20 -0328 0432 (ot35) (o22e) (o239) bGI94IAG boAeI4A L946 ,8eo (uouMp!4e4o491) 095.1 -o.2e5 0493 (a893) (2459) (4991) VOUMPIIG nu6wbio1w6ui 1946 1890 89'40 (oeae) (oaos) (o925) yäe OflJ6 UOUMP!46 COWWflU!41¼ F040 -028. _oJ (o3o5) (o3a5) (o398) ro0 OtUOUMIJ!46 bobnlellou 1090 1434 4192 0S49 (o335) (o'450) (oto) ba o& bobnlsliou I 890 -0499 -0399 03 (oo54) (oo34) (oosa) 2eOLeOsl!ou !U19X .1890 -0028 -0059 -00'40 (o2a) (ox48) (oo..) 2011WGLU cA qnwwA -o.s.2 -0289 -0204 yI.L6p VL2OU3 IUII1L!G D6b6uq6usL!spea 108 ot roä o roa ot E5eÔLG?2!OU 4 bG8Le!ou KG8LG!OU 3 iaeoa iio Iueu2!1A beäLoaaiou2 .L9plG
  39. 39. 29U VUOU!O ynepu 091192 1SCKCOUAIIIG 29U 1026 269U16 HOfl2OU E2flW9G res 1!KGIA o I!O COIflWPflC 29U D!eäo bIJOGU!X I'192PA!II6 ewbpie E2!w94Gq 2OW6MP9 rIKGI1% O K!0 Juq!9usboJte V'J!IM9fll(6G CfGAG(9U roe Uäei€2 B9 II! WOLG Cli !C90 bpIIsqGlbpIs D6IL0! 29U ELSUC!CCO BO2OU Ms2pIuäou' DC GM0I E2Iw946q oe r!6IA 0 l!°4 .iaao K9U1(IUaa 01 rsLae C!P62 P7' W E2!WsGq bL0P9P!lR7 04 S I!O occLeuce ISPIG 9
  40. 40. IthOU LGdr1G3 q' flbl' Iq ncra' 9uq L0W 013 5G EXCc LGGLGIJC62 1WG' 3ia'ruGGLTua t's 1Gc0Lq' CPCaO LL3Pfl13G' BOO13 Qop6' 013tG G' gLçrciGa .ow ro nua y y' octou oic.' oc xsor.mg-oij acJJGI.Gg 0w g t'EXI21EXI2 tcjj o cnttuc bGoqc8 orix.c p.YC]flqGq Mgr.r.GIJapnta (Wa) ioo aao,r corTGaG ai-qGua 9LGJC MTUqoMa' OAGLf7tU cgr. J.oLouo (cIJq) C0UIJflG OAGt 8GAGtJ ggAa bob ao OxJ 8rx-pOrrL joonya LgUJbgaGt ATOTGLYcG jwb (M') 0f1J IL0M LOGIC8 uq p0çjGa apo8 -t€g 2GlcG (MV) oAGLrILxJrrJa cgl WOX.G gpxJ 30 gLaOIJa ug gLLG22 LGbOLGg cpzonap qocou LG3 )rTa ggr. wgurajic' pLGg)qIsa pJqoa giJq ATOIGLICG px.Gg)ca 0114 tOTIoMTUa qGwoaz9c0u 100 Xoncpa uni 2g13 '1086 (CV) L8J] 11LLJ2 ru0 wop 8cGJ6 9GL CLGM 2OM8 fTb 29J LLgIJG8C0 (cv) fl8J68868 qwgaGq uq W0L6 J91J 1'000 8LLG8$8 w9qs DGw0XJ8CLgç0r8 JO 80LG8 uq 8G tTLG2t WOLG IPU 100 II DTGa0 (Cv) aL7Tb6L 8GAGL9I p6p.1a2 DGW0IJ8T.9I0L2 prOC)C LGGMX 0tTCGL2 r.6g OLT pX TcapnLap () WSIJ W)CflJ GJGbpoIs6 C]J VL2OIJ LGboL5q MugoMa procut aonb ot pcjc wGIJ pg mjJTcG (LV) bpJ9qGJbJ.fl8 Ktua', xq 8 2JJO L.JTU0. IJCTq6IJc8 L1181J 8W2 arm 8J boJTCG 0tCGL' ajsorrga .J0g1JGX bGoLT (IF) bLoC6840t8 ccc boITcG MTJJ LOC)C2 iiq PP] owp (RE) L9T0 YLlg JL0M PTC)C2 rq LOC)C2 9ç bia CZ 2GAGtT Xonua wGIJ' 2)Jo(TCTIJa I2 !oqGX KILTa DX', açob ociguq (CV) WTIJOL pJc(-gGu2 4GM XOr.)C (MA) CT0BG bLoGaçoLa TU HLIGW 49C)C M0 MJTG WGZJ 113 CL1TC)C G2C6 3 bop-c oc6L2 pJJr1L6q aoba uq Pfl8J632G2 L1W68 d(T2LG Lg]]X T0 AToGIJg t9wb8aG wor. gjsgzs 130 j6M IOCJJG11G (ij) lLIco boj-rcG 8ç9T0U AOXTflTh rooc 80LG2 bOJTcG 1186 gGgLag2 wo]ocoA C0C)CcTT CO22G I4GM6LJC (4'1) 31 gLLG8a OL qaotqGI.X coIIqsTc qaou (MI) Mpq°'a ap6i.Gg 013 3 bOflCG ca fl92 AGa2 (&A) boTTcG 84To1Ja LGpOWp6q tjq 01C6I. ajoc gig CCA COITUCTI 6CTLG8 C(7GM 90f7 30 pn1Tg1IJa2 prlLIJGqt roocTIja gLTq s 'Tiiq cowo 0LGL8 ]L1 490IJ1 ccTgLq E11aGIJG (Os) WTU0L qgwga6 DGX.o1I (NI) W01010A coc)cc9r loaaGq po boJTcG w1uT-aI9ou DGUAGL (Ca) 20rG MflJM8 awgajsg IqaGboLc (C.L) 0LG MflJqOM2 8W98JGq BZwLraLu (yr) tGq bL068GL2 2G T.G8 gLJq 8C]( g IJG8 CL6M J1IJ2J042 LGboLcGg (cv) Loc)c-JLoMrua coirGaG 8F1q6LT48 211PM2X acq-orJ ioocna bOTTCG (126 68La8a 0 COIJL0I CtOMq 0 QA6r 300 IG82 xJg 30 1LTnL168 WOp ggc)C2 C0WW11GL2 9 ciø D..CITb1TOIJ O YBbE}IDIX I: 2ErECLED OJ.HEK CLLIE2

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