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LVMH Decision Making Assignment
LVMH Decision Making Assignment
LVMH Decision Making Assignment
LVMH Decision Making Assignment
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LVMH Decision Making Assignment
LVMH Decision Making Assignment
LVMH Decision Making Assignment
LVMH Decision Making Assignment
LVMH Decision Making Assignment
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LVMH Decision Making Assignment
LVMH Decision Making Assignment
LVMH Decision Making Assignment
LVMH Decision Making Assignment
LVMH Decision Making Assignment
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LVMH Decision Making Assignment
LVMH Decision Making Assignment
LVMH Decision Making Assignment
LVMH Decision Making Assignment
LVMH Decision Making Assignment
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LVMH Decision Making Assignment
LVMH Decision Making Assignment
LVMH Decision Making Assignment
LVMH Decision Making Assignment
LVMH Decision Making Assignment
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LVMH Decision Making Assignment
LVMH Decision Making Assignment
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LVMH Decision Making Assignment

  1. Chan Chee Mang TP021569 BM014-3-3-DMKG Table of Contents Non-Financial Plan.....................................................................................................................3 1.0 Introduction ................................................................................................................................. 2 2.0 Demographic and Social Trends ................................................................................................. 3 3.0 Counterfeit Issues........................................................................................................................ 4 3.1 Recommendations ......................................................................................................................... 5 4.0 Competition (Porter‟s 5 Forces) .................................................................................................. 6 4.1 Bargaining Power of Buyers ................................................................................................... 7 4.2 Bargaining Power of Suppliers ............................................................................................... 8 4.3 Threats of New Entrants ......................................................................................................... 8 4.4 Threats of Substitute Products or Services ............................................................................. 9 4.5 Rivalry amongst Existing Competitors ................................................................................... 9 5.0 Marketing .................................................................................................................................. 10 5.1 Product .................................................................................................................................. 10 5.2 Price ...................................................................................................................................... 11 5.3 Place ...................................................................................................................................... 11 5.4 Promotion.............................................................................................................................. 12 6.0 Environmental Issues ................................................................................................................ 12 7.0 Plan 1 ........................................................................................................................................ 14 7.1 Maximax ............................................................................................................................... 14 7.2 Maximin ................................................................................................................................ 14 7.3 Minimax Regret .................................................................................................................... 15 7.4 Hurwicz (Criterion of Realism) ............................................................................................ 16 7.5 Expected Value Approach .................................................................................................... 16 7.6 Expected Opportunity Loss Approach .................................................................................. 17 7.7 Expected Value of Perfect Information (EVPI) .................................................................... 17 8.0 Plan 2 ........................................................................................................................................ 18 9.0 References ................................................................................................................................. 19 10.0 Appendices................................................................................................................................ 24 10.1 Appendix 1 ............................................................................................................................ 24 10.2 Appendix 2 ................................................................................................................................ 25 10.3 Appendix 3 ............................................................................................................................ 26 Asia Pacific University of Technology & Innovation Page | 1
  2. Chan Chee Mang TP021569 BM014-3-3-DMKG Non-Financial Plan 1.0 Introduction Louis Vuitton Malletier, a well-known brand which always referred as Louis or LV. LV has become a dream, icon, representatives of elegance essence which is widely used by the fashion media when being described (Pub Articles, 2012). In the year 1854, Louis Vuitton, started his French fashion in Paris with a suitcase store concept using his own name and the brand itself was later widely spread through the areas for its leather products for almost one century time. In addition, LVMH- Moët Hennessy Louis Vuitton SA, was then created through a $4 billion merger in 1987, is the world's leading luxury goods vendor, providing products –perfumes, designer handbags, jewelry, accessories, sunglasses and books (Funding Universe, 2000). The successful merging is one of the important aspects which made LV‟s luxurious fashion image. LVMH group mission is to represent around the world with the most refined qualities of Western `Art de Vivre‟ and continues improvement in synonymous with both elegance and creativity. LVMH emphasizes on the word „Perfection‟ by paying close attention towards every details in their products, at the same time making their products and cultural values embodied with blending tradition and innovation, kindle dreams and fantasies. Nowadays, Louis Vuitton diversified their product lines. Besides bags and leather products, LV logo and monogram is not only on accessories, shoes, sunglasses, timepieces, and jewelries, but also other trend indicators such as books and stationeries. LV is the global current leading international fashion selling their products in authentic LV boutiques, upscale department stores and also through its online website. This is because LV products are high standard in terms of quality and status which are highly priced; their market is targeted and segmented for luxurious consumer which made them not easily affordable for regular consumer. With its increased market, LV has gained many rivals in the luxury brand industry such as Versace, Hermes, Burberry, Chanel, Prada, Gucci, Versace, Hermes and so on. LVMH has become the star brand whilst focusing on their brand history, quality control, marketing buzz, and right designs as the key elements. Having its corporate strategy focuses Asia Pacific University of Technology & Innovation Page | 2
  3. Chan Chee Mang TP021569 BM014-3-3-DMKG on business diversification, merger and acquisition, LVMH has become the top producer of luxury products, engaging on all luxury market segments and global renowned brand, and its marketing activities are the organisation‟s competitive advantages and core competencies through product quality, service quality, innovation and skills. 2.0 Demographic and Social Trends It is vital for Louis Vuitton to have well understanding in demographic and knowledge in social trends from time-to-time in order to identify the target market to get the right market segment, continuously improve with innovated and creative products to cater the market demands in order to achieve competitive edge in the luxury industry. LV brand has been strategized to target different nation, both men and women ranging from the age from 22 years old to 65 years. LV consumers has been revealed in through the increase of aging population of minority from the loyal baby boomers, majority generation X and Y which shares the same attitude of going after luxurious lifestyles with a certain degree of social status and education level. LV consumers are similar in their buying power and spending power which are greater from very rich to middle class, as it evolve the economies of some developing countries such as China, India and Brazil. A good example would be the result which LV has contributed in China and Japan with the rapid rise of net profit since 2000s. LV should strategies on alternating their design products made for niche consumer meaning a specific product made for only a certain demographic groups. With this, it will also allow the company to correctly identify the needs of the marketing target and segments to ensure the brand‟s milestone. Compared to its origin country, LV has stronger brand reputation in Asian countries like Taiwan, Japan and Hong Kong. This happen especially on the LV leather bags product. By the bags products itself, LV has achieved 40 per cent sales among Japanese Woman since year 2000s. With the result, LV has successfully captured the Asian market by changing their lifestyles through the unique monogram and high quality products (Marketing to China, 2012). Moreover, LV should also consider scheming products for big sized women or tall men markets. In fact, nowadays there are changes in the Western consumer groups especially Asia Pacific University of Technology & Innovation Page | 3
  4. Chan Chee Mang TP021569 BM014-3-3-DMKG Americans on their attitude and behaviour towards luxury products. Due to the population average weight of American citizens, many of them find it difficult for branded products to suit them (Nguyen, 2004). If only LV can cater their design product to this wildest upward segment in the market with characterising their product, they will be able to gain another potential profitable market (Pew Research Center, 2012). This can be proven according to researches, Asian Americans are the highest income, best educated and fastest growing racial group in the United States America‟s child population grew more far diverse over the past decade as a decline in the ranks of white children was offset by surging growth of Asians and Hispanics (Dougherty, C., 2011). Asian Americans and Hispanics may be the minorities but these groups in particular are experiencing growth in buying power that greatly exceeds that of the general population which will be the good opportunity for LV products (Fahmy, S., 2010). 3.0 Counterfeit Issues Louis Vuitton is one of the world famous owners of registered and common law trademarks. As the following are the common “LV trademarks”: (Sources from: Fashion Law Notes, 2012, LOUIS VUITTON WINS IMPORTANT RULING IN THE BATTLE AGAINST COUNTERFEITING, available at: http://www.fashionlawnotes.com/2012/04/louis-vuitton-wins-important-ruling-in.html) Asia Pacific University of Technology & Innovation Page | 4
  5. Chan Chee Mang TP021569 BM014-3-3-DMKG (Sources from: Detailed trademark information from the official, 2012, European Union trademark database (CTM), available at: http://trademark.markify.com/trademarks/ctm/lv's+dairek+usa./003939501) George Vuitton, Louis Vuitton‟s son created the “Toile Monogram” pattern, comprised with the initials LV and 3 distinctive design elements- a circle with a four-leafed flower inset; a curved beige diamond with a four-point star inset; and its negative, in the 1890‟s to protect the Louis Vuitton brand products from the unlawful imitators. Since that time, Louis Vuitton has manufactured and sold their products bearing from Toile Monogram and secured numeral federal trademark registrations for LV trademarks, including the Toile Monogram and every elements of the pattern. Since its founding in 1854, Louis Vuitton has built up its reputation worldwide for its design, innovation, quality and style in women‟s and men‟s leather goods, fashion apparels and accessories. To help protect its valuable trademarks and to preserve the good will and exclusivity of Louis Vuitton designs, Louis Vuitton closely controls the sales of its products and the use of its trademarks, and has devoted and continues to devote substantial resources to protect LV trademarks. 3.1 Recommendations In the numerous fake LV products, the biggest sources are from Turkey, China, Thailand, followed by Italy, South Korea and Morocco (Toy, S., 2012). Since LV has counterfeited many issues on the violation of the trademarks, they should emphasise on providing proper education on the brand itself and knowledge on the trademarks towards their customer as premeasures by encouraging the customers on its genuine product. With the increase of awareness on differentiating the real and the fake product (substitutes), can prevent and reduce the number of substitutes in the market. And yet, LV is able to sustain their brand in Asia Pacific University of Technology & Innovation Page | 5
  6. Chan Chee Mang TP021569 BM014-3-3-DMKG the marketplace. Assisting with the brand education, LV should set up an expert team made up by auditors and attorney generals in order to be responsible in presenting law suits or special investigation on trademark issues. Also, LV should find ways in aligning with the government policy regards to intellectual property rights in each state along with the copyright policies stating in the constitution law. By this, help contributions from the government will allow LV to have legislative effect to encounter the copycats. For example, a French maker of luxury goods, has successfully lobbied the French parliament to make the import of even one counterfeit article a criminal offense (Toy, S., 2012). Furthermore, the order got into effect in 60 days unless President Barack Obama overrules it on public policy grounds, directs Customs and Border Protection to turn away any products that are made in a way that is similar or copies the Louis Vuitton trademarks (Slind, V., 2012). This shows that in USA and France, only genuine LV products are able to enter to the market and the action reduces the chances for counterfeit products in the market. As the world leading luxury brand, everyday Louis Vuitton knowingly faces the stark of reality battling and interdicting the proliferation of infringements of LV trademarks. LV has been facing many counterfeiting issues especially in protecting their intellectual property rights (IPR). As time passed, LV has become one of the most counterfeited fashion brands in global. Recently, there is a rise in counterfeiting luxury products because numerous manufacturing has been shifted to countries with poor intellectual property rights and with the opportunity provided to those countries by technology such as Vietnam. But still, Louis Vuitton is proud of its reputation for protecting intellectual property and creativity. 4.0 Competition (Porter’s 5 Forces) To appraise the competition in the luxury brand industry, it is compulsory for company like LVMH to adopt Porter‟s Five Forces model in order to identify their position in the marketplace, to analyse the attractiveness and productivity of LVMH‟s products, and to predict and determine approaches of the 5 forces (factors) which are risk of new entrants, bargaining power of buyers, bargaining power of suppliers, rivalry among established firms and the threat of substitutes. Asia Pacific University of Technology & Innovation Page | 6
  7. Chan Chee Mang TP021569 BM014-3-3-DMKG 4.1 Bargaining Power of Buyers In LVMH case, the bargaining power of buyers is relatively low. This is because the targeted customers of LVMH are smaller in terms of market size, limited in amount of number of customers resulted less need of buyers to intellect with company‟s total orders. There are two types of customers which are the super-rich and middle-market customers, who selectively trade-up to higher levels of quality, taste and aspiration. The super-rich customers, also known as the High Net worth Individuals, seem not subject to the world economic cycles. In addition, they are a growing number. Estimates predict that their number will increase from 26 million in 2000 to 40 million in 2005 shows an increase of 9% p.a. The middle-market customers are those that are willing to buy luxury goods, but "they want the hottest, trendiest design, which increasingly have to be marketed in creative and expensive ways". They can potentially expand the market quite dramatically, as they are part of the upper-middle class. They are considered to be both a great opportunity (show no price sensitivity when buying the "hottest" product) but they are also a threat. "They are more demanding, more selective and show less brand loyalty than the super-rich class". This implies for the luxury goods industry a difficult equilibrium between the two kinds of customers, because both are not necessarily compatible. This can lead to a difficult trade-off between satisfying a smaller number of loyal customers and a larger number of more volatile customers. In summary, LVMH customers are grouped up in the categories of the extremely high income people, rich to middle income level customers and for so, LV products are highly priced. The company emphasises on brand loyalty and customer loyalty. Since the product differentiation is high, customers including the retailers and end users will not be able to have negotiation or bargain on their products. With this reason, high end products of LVMH doesn‟t offer discount sales. Asia Pacific University of Technology & Innovation Page | 7
  8. Chan Chee Mang TP021569 BM014-3-3-DMKG 4.2 Bargaining Power of Suppliers The bargaining power of the suppliers depends on the segment. As some tended to have increased bargaining power, this leads to the concentration and vertical integration trend in the industry, one of the reasons for which is to lessen the bargaining power of the suppliers. Until now, there is not observed concentration among the suppliers of the luxury goods industry among themselves. There is however a trend for larger houses to buy smaller suppliers and to deprive the market forms access to those suppliers. For example, LVMH has recently taken over Les Tanneries Roux, a Romans-sure-Isere-based leather supplier (Accessories Magazine, 2012). With this move to acquire key suppliers will reduce the bargaining power of suppliers in terms of leather products. By limiting the capability to play suppliers contrary to each other, LVMH would be able to save costs on storage space and capable in making sure of the quality of products supplied. In the case of LVMH‟s bargaining power of suppliers is relatively low. This is because the company often purchase raw materials from suppliers in basis of consignment. With this method, it reduces the loss marking and establishes economies of scale. 4.3 Threats of New Entrants There are a few new entrant threats which LVMH can focus on evaluate how much of a threat of new entrants are for LVMH it is critical to scrutinise the blockades of entry into the business. First of all, new entrants made up mainly by new designers- starters of new own brand in the industry. Normally, if these new entrants are successful, they would be quickly acquired by the more famous brand of the industry to provide them facilities and needed infrastructure for growth. In return, if the new entrant remained independent, this would represent a threat to company like LVMH by capturing the volatile middle market customers (Hills and Jones, 2010). These customers go after the established name and the perception build around it, after the quality and design. All these elements take time to be built, which makes the threat of new entrants less significant. Asia Pacific University of Technology & Innovation Page | 8
  9. Chan Chee Mang TP021569 BM014-3-3-DMKG In contrast, threat of new entrants can be low as barriers to entry are high. As LVMH has fashioned and already built a strong brand image and perception in the market for long time, customer‟s loyalty and trustworthy deep-rooted for its brand name, product service and quality are undeniable whereby a new entrant cannot be compatible for short period of time which is why barriers to stay are also relatively high as company has to engage between elite, durable, and fashionable reputation. Big Brand Company like LVMH has been functioning in the luxury products market for a century gives them the complete cost advantage in business key development which is absolute to new entrants by playing well in engaging their image in the marketplace to sustain their perception to cater not only customer‟s needs and wants but also the customers‟ desires. Later on, many new entrants find it difficult to survive and would easily be kicked out from the market. A very good example of new entrant is Hermes newly launched in Shang Xia, China. Not for long, they have to close down due to unable to sustain in the China market. 4.4 Threats of Substitute Products or Services In LVMH case, threats of substitute products or services are relatively high. This is due to, besides Louis Vuitton, there are many other luxury products such as Prada, Dior, Chanel, Hermes, Armani Exchange and so on. However, the main direct competitor to LVMH is Pinault-Printemps-Redoute (PPR), a French luxury holdings company that includes such brands as Yves Saint Laurent and Gucci, and Compagnie Financiere Richemont. Another is a Swiss luxury company that includes such brands as Cartier and Montblanc. Each major luxury brand has their own reputation and quality. Thus, it is important for LVMH to emphasise on the company core competency, uniqueness of product and service, to well- manage counterfeit issues and to attract and retain capable employees in order to have better value chain and distribution to reach the final users. Also, due to the uniqueness of LVMH on their “Toiler Monogram”, substitutes find it hard to earn in the market when the loyal customers are well-knowledge on the differences. 4.5 Rivalry amongst Existing Competitors Asia Pacific University of Technology & Innovation Page | 9
  10. Chan Chee Mang TP021569 BM014-3-3-DMKG The competitiveness in the industry can be qualified as relatively high, but given the high margins and the customers' perception about the price, the competition is not on price, but rather on quality and image perception, as well as on the ability to attract the right designers with right abilities. This created “Wars of Talents”. For example, LVMH has the star designer-Marc Jacobs. For the rivalries, the barriers to entry are very high. LVMH has built the intangible image and the perception built around the brand. The barriers to stay are also very high: there is a continuous need to "feed" the image, to maintain the perception but still to respond to customers' needs and changing expectations. The trade-off between exclusivity, stylishness, extravagance and lasting image makes it difficult to be for a long time in the business. There are hardly any barriers to exit given the high barriers to entry and to stay and the low barriers to exit, the dynamics of the industry are: few big players and only the best, as the others either cannot get in, or are easily out. Moreover, LMVH have to bear copycats as the high level of fakes as an open publicity and competition from other brands, as there is only a limited group of customers who can afford to buy the genuine products due to limited brands. 5.0 Marketing The marketing mix 4Ps which are mainly product, price, place and promotion work as the basic elements for marketing plan for LVMH in projecting their products and services into the marketplaces. 5.1 Product Louis Vuitton becomes one of the best luxury brands in the global market with products designed by the well-known and talented designer-Marc Jacob and high quality of raw materials (Louis Vuitton, 2012). LV‟s main products ranging with leather bags and wallets including luggage, handbags and cosmetic bags with monogram as its product line. Later on, LV starts to expand its product line to monogram denim, multicolour, vernis, and damier canvas. Also, there are increased of variety on product types as well offering jewelleries, sunglasses, belts, timepieces, scarves, accessories and lots more. Each product is labelled Asia Pacific University of Technology & Innovation Page | 10
  11. Chan Chee Mang TP021569 BM014-3-3-DMKG with the brand name, Louis Vuitton. Furthermore, product of Louis Vuitton are divided into 3 levels mainly the core product which is luxury, the actual product which includes brand, fashion, durable, quality, and lines of product, the augmented product which includes customer care, service, gift wrappings, and warranties. Below is the 3-leves of LV‟s products. Durable Fashion Customer Warranties Care ‘Luxury’ Quality Brand Lines of Product Gift Service Wrappings 5.2 Price LV‟s main target customers are from rich to middle class populations. These two groups of people are sharing the same attitude of going after luxurious and have disposable income. LV priced their products highly, not easily affordable by anyone using skimming strategy and wouldn‟t offer discount because of its brand name, service and quality of its products. Its premium pricing is supported by its luxury image and limited quantity for every product designed. Also, this is to ensure LV is able to maximise its revenue before any substitute appear in the marketplace. 5.3 Place Louis Vuitton only sells expensive and luxurious products, they do not apply wide range for distribution channels. So majority of their products are displayed only at limited stores like upscale department stores, LV‟s authentic boutique, its official website, and mostly at Asia Pacific University of Technology & Innovation Page | 11
  12. Chan Chee Mang TP021569 BM014-3-3-DMKG national borders.This is to ensure LVMH can monitor efficiently of the distribution channel closely and to protect their intellectual property. Suggestion for LV in strengthening their place strategy along with market expansion is to establish more stores at the capital city of developing counties in East Asian regions like in India with the existing 4 stores (Louis Vuitton, 2012). This is because countries like China, Japan, Taiwan, Singapore and others are having high demand in changes, creativity and innovation with fast growing economies and the increase of income level. 5.4 Promotion Louis Vuitton has been focuses for personal product selling for many years and not with discount sales or promotion in order to maintain the brand luxury reputation. LV promotes their products especially new designs by advertising in upscale and fashion magazines as marketing tool such as Vogue and Elle, sometimes billboards in countries like South Korea and Japan in order to create customer awareness and quality recognition. There are also various advertisements done by LV to increase on customer knowledge and recognition. In Western countries, LV has been using celebrities like Madonna and Angelina Jolie. In Asian region, LV should elect their brand ambassador who are having the closest image and personality in the media towards their product as promotion spokesperson, in order to attract for attention and generate more sales from their products. For example, Girls Generation (also known as SNSD), the “Gorgeous Goddesses” of Korean- Pop idol icon in group who already won over the hearts of Asian countries, Los Angeles and even Paris. Recently, this group of girls had won over with the highest voting as country representative icon of South Korea in London Olympic 2012 with their elegance, splendid, pretty princesses look in fashion, not Justin Bieber or any other international super star. 6.0 Environmental Issues Environmental, social and ethical pressures on the global textiles and fashion sector emerged in Europe in the early 1980s. The main driver was consumer concern over the safety of the materials. However in parallel with this trend, a minority group of ethical consumers demanded “chemical-free” and low environmental impact clothing and fashion goods. This Asia Pacific University of Technology & Innovation Page | 12
  13. Chan Chee Mang TP021569 BM014-3-3-DMKG resulted in the European and later the US organic labelling system being extended to include criteria for clothing and textiles, such as organic cotton (United Nation Global Compact, 2006). As of 2007, the sector was the fastest growing part of the global cotton industry with growth of more than 50% a year. With reference to safety standards, primarily addressing consumer concern over chemicals in textiles, the Oeko-Tex standard has become highly popular in the industry. Although unknown to consumers, it tests for chemicals such as flame retardants in clothes and categorizes goods according to their likely exposure to humans. Thus the issue of chemicals in clothing has become largely one of liability risk control for the industry with the consumers obviously expecting products to pose no risk to their health. Louis Vuitton-a niche brand at the top end of the luxury fashion industry, has emerged which promote themselves primarily on sustainability grounds People Tree in the UK states that it “creates Fair Trade and organic clothing and accessories by forming lasting partnerships with Fair Trade, organic producers in developing countries. Leading fashion journal Marie Claire ranked its “top 10” eco brands in a recent issue. The key issues remain chemicals in clothing with certified by organic and Fair Trade labels), worker treatment also certified by SA 8000 and Fair Trade, and increasingly mainstream environmental issues such as climate change. The Carbon Reduction Label verifies LVMH product‟s cradle-to-grave carbon footprint, although is not specific to clothing (LVMH Environment Report, 2011). The Fair Trade movement has also had a significant impact on the luxury product business. The standard combines a number of ethical issues of potential concern to consumers such as environmental factors, fair treatment of developing country suppliers and worker welfare (including child labour, minimum wages, working hours and employee benefits). LVMH has also made their company commitments on the full range of ethical issues, due to the difficulties of switching their supply chains and products lines completely in favour of organic or Fair Trade certified or other standards and norms, they tried to move as fast as possible. Although, LVMH is moving slowly, to ensure they capture the market if it becomes significant, the world‟s largest fashion brand Louis Vuitton recently acquired an eco fashion label (LVMH, 2012). It is clear certain issues can be overcome, as a demand by Western consumers that leading brands manage the Corporate Social Responsibility (CSR) properly. Asia Pacific University of Technology & Innovation Page | 13
  14. Chan Chee Mang TP021569 BM014-3-3-DMKG Financial Plan 7.0 Plan 1 State of Nature Decision Competitive Foreign Conditions ($) Poor Competitive Conditions ($) Expand 800,000 500,000 Maintain status quo 1,300,000 -150,000 Sell now 320,000 320,000 7.1 Maximax State of Nature Decision Competitive Foreign Poor Competitive Maximax ($) Conditions ($) Conditions ($) Expand 800,000 500,000 800,000 Maintain status quo 1,300,000 -150,000 1,300,000 Sell now 320,000 320,000 320,000 Therefore, according to Maximax approach showing with the figure $ 1,300,000, Louis Vuitton should accept decision to Maintain Status Quo of their company in order to remain their finance situation in long run. 7.2 Maximin State of Nature Decision Competitive Foreign Poor Competitive Maximin ($) Conditions ($) Conditions ($) Asia Pacific University of Technology & Innovation Page | 14
  15. Chan Chee Mang TP021569 BM014-3-3-DMKG Expand 800,000 500,000 500,000 Maintain status quo 1,300,000 -150,000 -150,000 Sell now 320,000 320,000 320,000 Therefore, according to Maximin approach showing the figure $ 500,000, Louis Vuitton should accept decision to Expand the Market for their company in order to gain more sales and revenue. 7.3 Minimax Regret State of Nature Competitive ($) Poor ($) Minimax Decision Foreign Competitive Regret ($) Conditions ($) Conditions ($) 1,300,000 – 500,000 – Expand 800,000 800,000 = 500,000 500,000 = 0 500,000 500,000 1,300,000 – 500,000 – (- Maintain status 1,300,000 1,300,000 = 0 -150,000 150,000) = 650,000 quo 650,000 1,300,000 – 500,000 – Sell now 320,000 320,000 = 320,000 320,000 = 980,000 980,000 180,000 Therefore, according to Minimax Regret approach showing the figure $ 500,000, Louis Vuitton should accept decision to Expand their Market in order for the company to generate more sales and revenue and yet higher return in investment. Asia Pacific University of Technology & Innovation Page | 15
  16. Chan Chee Mang TP021569 BM014-3-3-DMKG 7.4 Hurwicz (Criterion of Realism) Competitive Poor Alternatives Foreign Competitive Criterion of Realism ($) Conditions ($) Conditions ($) D1 500,000 0 (0.3)(500,000) + (0.7)(0) = 150,000 D2 0 650,000 (0.3)(650,000) + (0.7)(0) = 195,000 D3 980,000 180,000 (0.3)(980,000) + (0.7)(180,000) = 420,000 Therefore, according to Hurwicz approach showing the highest value which is $ 420,000 of Criterion of Realism, Louis Vuitton should accept the decision of D3 which is to Sell their Business as the best option to gain more finance capital from company‟s share. 7.5 Expected Value Approach Alternatives Competitive Foreign Poor Competitive Expected Value ($) Conditions $ (0.7) Conditions $ (0.3) D1 $800,000 $500,000 (800,000)(0.7)+(500,000)(0.3) = 710,000 D2 1,300,000 -150,000 (1,300,000)(0.7)+(-150,000)(0.3) = 865,000 D3 320,000 320,000 (320,000)(0.7)+(320,000)(0.3) = 320,000 Therefore, according to Expected Value approach with the maximum expected value of $ 865,000, Louis Vuitton should accept the decision of D2 which is Maintain Status Quo in order to remain the company financial situation in the long run. Asia Pacific University of Technology & Innovation Page | 16
  17. Chan Chee Mang TP021569 BM014-3-3-DMKG 7.6 Expected Opportunity Loss Approach Alternatives Competitive Poor Expected Opportunity Loss ($) Foreign Conditions Competitive $ (0.7) Conditions $ (0.3) D1 500,000 0 (500,000)(0.7) + (0)(0.3) = 350,000 D2 0 650,000 (0)(0.7) + (650,000)(0.3) = 195,000 D3 980,000 180,000 (980,000)(0.7) + (180,000)(0.3) = 740,000 Therefore, according to Expected Opportunity Loss approach with the least expected opportunity loss figure of $ 195,000, Louis Vuitton should accept the decision of D2 which is to Maintain Status Quo for the company to strengthen their position for now in order for avoid any possible for future financial risks or crisis which may happen to them. 7.7 Expected Value of Perfect Information (EVPI) EVwPI = (1,300,000)(0.7) + (500,000)(0.3) = 1,060,000 EVPI = EVwPI – EvwoPI EVPI = $1,060,000 – 865,000 = $195,000 The expected value which Louis Vuitton can get for correct and accurate information for the company is $ 195,000. Asia Pacific University of Technology & Innovation Page | 17
  18. Chan Chee Mang TP021569 BM014-3-3-DMKG 8.0 Plan 2 Stock Price Change ($) Probability Cumulative Interval of Random Probability Number -2 0.05 0.05 0-0.05 -1 0.10 0.15 0.06-0.15 0 0.25 0.40 0.16-0.40 +1 0.20 0.60 0.41-0.60 +2 0.20 0.80 0.61-0.80 +3 0.10 0.90 0.81-0.90 +4 0.10 1.00 0.91-1.00 Random Numbers 0.1091 0.9407 0.1941 0.8083 Price Per Share -1 +4 0 +3 Average stimulated price per share = [ (-1) + 4 + 0 + 3 ] ÷ 3 = 2 Random Numbers 0.2540 0.7144 0.0563 0.0125 Price Per Share 0 +2 -1 -2 Average stimulated price per share = [ 0 + 2 + (-1) + (-2) ] ÷ 3 = - 0.33 Asia Pacific University of Technology & Innovation Page | 18
  19. Chan Chee Mang TP021569 BM014-3-3-DMKG 9.0 References Accessories Magazine, LVMH Buys another Top Leather goods Supplier [online]. Available at: http://www.accessoriesmagazine.com/45096/lvmh-buys-another-top-leathergoods- supplier [Accessed 23 September 2012] Articlesbase (2009) Louis Vuitton – Introduction [online]. Available at: http://www.articlesbase.com/sales-articles/louis-vuitton-introduction-1380955.html [Accessed 23 September 2012] Asian Fashion Law (2011) Hermes and Louis Vuitton Fight Counterfeiters and Win [online]. Available at: http://www.asianfashionlaw.com/2012/05/hermes-and-louis-vuitton-fight- counterfeiters-and-win/ [Accessed 23 September 2012] Boorstin, J. (2005) Louis Vuitton tests a new way to fight the faux [online]. Available at: http://money.cnn.com/magazines/fortune/fortune_archive/2005/05/16/8260140/index.htm [Accessed 23 September 2012] Boston (2010) Louis Vuitton sues to stop knockoffs [online]. Available at: http://www.boston.com/business/articles/2010/12/07/louis_vuitton_sues_to_stop_knockoffs/ [Accessed 23 September 2012] CBP.gov (2010) CBP and ICE Partner to Stop the Flow of Counterfeit Goods Through Savannah [online]. Available at: http://www.cbp.gov/xp/cgov/newsroom/news_releases/archives/2010_news_releases/june_20 10/06082010_3.xml [Accessed 23 September 2012] Crampton, T. (2004) U.S. Coordinates Efforts to Stop Counterfeit Goods [online]. Available at: http://www.nytimes.com/2004/10/05/business/05theft.html?_r=1 [Accessed 23 September 2012] Detailed trademark information from the official (2012) European Union trademark database (CTM), [Online]. Available at: http://trademark.markify.com/trademarks/ctm/lv's+dairek+usa./003939501 [Accessed 24 September 2012] Asia Pacific University of Technology & Innovation Page | 19
  20. Chan Chee Mang TP021569 BM014-3-3-DMKG Dougherty, C. (2011) New Faces of Childhood: Census Shows Hispanic and Asian Children Surging as Whites, Blacks Shrink [online]. Available at: http://online.wsj.com/article/SB10001424052748703806304576245030067903412.html#arti cleTabs%3Darticle [Accessed 23 September 2012] Fahmy, S. (2010) Despite recession, Hispanic and Asian buying power expected to surge in U.S., according to annual UGA Selig Center Multicultural Economy study [online]. Available at: http://www.terry.uga.edu/news/releases/2010/minority-buying-power- report.html [Accessed 23 September 2012] Fashion Law Notes (2012) LOUIS VUITTON WINS IMPORTANT RULING IN THE BATTLE AGAINST COUNTERFEITING, [Online]. Available at: http://www.fashionlawnotes.com/2012/04/louis-vuitton-wins-important-ruling-in.html [Accessed 24 September 2012] Hays, J. (2012) Luxury Goods and Brands in China [online]. Available at: http://factsanddetails.com/china.php?itemid=1889&catid=9&subcatid=62 [Accessed 23 September 2012] Jeudi (2011) Brief introduction for Louis Vuitton [online]. Available at: http://movadowatch.over-blog.com/article-brief-introduction-for-louis-vuitton- 80813658.html [Accessed 23 September 2012] Karam, S. (2012) BMW, Louis Vuitton, Swatch: Can the boom continue? [online]. Available at: http://populyst.net/2012/06/18/bmw-louis-vuitton-swatch-can-the-boom-continue/ [Accessed 23 September 2012] Lea, L. (2011) Designer Louis Vuitton suing local flea market over fake handbags [online]. Available at: http://www.woai.com/news/local/story/Designer-Louis-Vuitton-suing-local- flea-market/GwfcVJon90-1fCRuK_HIcA.cspx [Accessed 23 September 2012] Lim, R. (2011) Chinese consumers showing strong appetite for luxury goods [online]. Available at: http://www.channelnewsasia.com/stories/marketnews/view/1109942/1/.html [Accessed 23 September 2012] Lundi (2011) Fashion as your son Dingchun Cheng and Ariel louis vuitton ambassador [online]. Available at: http://louis-vuitton-handbags.over-blog.com/article-fashion-as-your- Asia Pacific University of Technology & Innovation Page | 20
  21. Chan Chee Mang TP021569 BM014-3-3-DMKG son-dingchun-cheng-and-ariel-louis-vuitton-ambassador-86266423.html [Accessed 23 September 2012] LVMH (2006) Communication on progress: Global Compact [online]. Available at: http://www.unglobalcompact.org/system/attachments/2897/original/COP.pdf?1262614359 [Accessed 23 September 2012] LVMH (2012) Group mission and values [online]. Available at: http://www.lvmh.com/the- group/lvmh-group/group-mission-and-values [Accessed 23 September 2012] LVMH, Human Resources Vision [online]. Available at: http://www.lvmh.com/talents/human-resources-vision [Accessed 23 September 2012] Marco (2011) Louis Vuitton bags and intellectual property [online]. Available at: http://stop.zona-m.net/2011/03/louis-vuitton-bags-and-intellectual-property/ [Accessed 23 September 2012] Moore, D. (2012) The Louis Vuitton Story: With Fine Craftsmanship and Steep Prices, Louis Vuitton‟s Leather Goods Are De Rigueur for the Status Concious [online]. Available at: http://www.cigaraficionado.com/webfeatures/show/id/The-Louis-Vitton-Story_7599/p/4 [Accessed 23 September 2012] Namazi, N. (2010) Is luxury counterfeting affecting Louis Vuitton? [online]. Available at: http://www.retail-digital.com/sectors/luxury-counterfeiting-affecting-louis-vuitton [Accessed 23 September 2012] Noren, L. (2011) Demography of American childhood: The declining number of white kids [online]. Available at: http://thesocietypages.org/graphicsociology/tag/hispanic/ [Accessed 23 September 2012] Nunes, P. F., Mulani, N. & Pozzi, A. (2008) Fighting fakes [online]. Available at: http://www.accenture.com/us-en/outlook/Pages/outlook-journal-2008-fighting- counterfeiting.aspx [Accessed 23 September 2012] Petterson, M. (2012) Effort to combat counterfeit products brings law enforcement, corporate experts to Dallas [online]. Available at: http://crimeblog.dallasnews.com/2012/06/effort-to- combat-counterfeiting-brings-law-enforcement-corporate-experts-to-dallas.html/ [Accessed 23 September 2012] Asia Pacific University of Technology & Innovation Page | 21
  22. Chan Chee Mang TP021569 BM014-3-3-DMKG Pew Research Centre (2012) The Rise of Asian Americans [online]. Available at: http://www.pewsocialtrends.org/2012/06/19/the-rise-of-asian-americans/ [Accessed 23 September 2012] Pub Articles (2012) The Brief Introduction of Luxury Brand – Louis Vuitton [online]. Available at: http://articles.pubarticles.com/the-brief-introduction-of-luxury-brand-louis- vuitton-1311665458,264238.html [Accessed 23 September 2012] Reed, C. J. (2011) Louis Vuitton reaps the luxury whirlwind in Asia [online]. Available at: http://chrisreed.brandrepublic.com/2011/12/15/louis-vuitton-reaps-the-luxury-whirlwind-in- asia/ [Accessed 23 September 2012] Schulz, R. S. (2002) Can Luxury Goods Comglomerates Sustain Above-Normal Returns? The Gucci Group Case [online]. Available at: http://sepulvedanet.free.fr/gucci.pdf [Accessed 23 September 2012] Schwart, D. (2010) The Luxury Goods Industry Is Changing The Way It Conceives And Markets It‟s Businesses, Socially And Environmentally Speaking [online]. Available at: http://www.sosemarketing.com/2010/06/07/the-luxury-goods-industry-is-changing-the-way- they-conceive-and-market-their-businesses-socially-and-environmentally-speaking/ [Accessed 23 September 2012] Scott, J. (2011) “Battle of the handbags” Continues – Louis Vuitton Sues Home Shopping Network [online]. Available at: http://www.scottandscottllp.com/main/louis_vuitton_sues_home_shopping_network.aspx [Accessed 23 September 2012] Slind, V. (2012) Vuitton, Zappa, Westinghouse Solar: Intellectual Property [online]. Available at: http://www.bloomberg.com/news/2012-06-01/vuitton-zappa-westinghouse- solar-intellectual-property-1-.html [Accessed 23 September 2012] Smith, E. G. (2012) Louis Vuitton wins ITC trademark battle v. Chinese counterfeits [online]. Available at: http://newsandinsight.thomsonreuters.com/Legal/News/ViewNews.aspx?id=45350&terms= @ReutersTopicCodes+CONTAINS+'ANV' [Accessed 23 September 2012] Asia Pacific University of Technology & Innovation Page | 22
  23. Chan Chee Mang TP021569 BM014-3-3-DMKG The Economist (2011) The Middle Blingdom: Sales of costly trifles are even better than you think [online]. Available at: http://www.economist.com/node/18184466 [Accessed 23 September 2012] The Economist (2012) Knock-offs catch on [online]. Available at: http://www.economist.com/node/15610089 [Accessed 23 September 2012] The Globalist (2011) LVMH‟s Bernard Arnault on “Reverse Globalization” [online]. Available at: http://www.theglobalist.com/storyid.aspx?StoryId=9094 [Accessed 23 September 2012] Trend Hunter (2010) 13 Louis Vuitton Endorsements [online]. Available at: http://www.trendhunter.com/slideshow/louis-vuitton-endorsements [Accessed 23 September 2012] Waldmeir, P (2012) Luxury brand makes links with China‟s past [online]. Available at: http://www.ft.com/intl/cms/s/0/d82d1a58-6f49-11e1-9c57-00144feab49a.html [Accessed 23 September 2012] Waller, D. S. & Hingorani, A. G., Luxury Brands: What Are They Doing About Social Responsibility? [online]. Available at: http://www.ccg.uts.edu.au/pdfs/WallerHingorani.pdf [Accessed 23 September 2012] Wiggin, A. & Mathias, I. (2012) Consumer Sentiment Plummets, OPEC Loses Member, Fed Prints Billions, Grease is Gold, and More! [online]. Available at: http://5minforecast.agorafinancial.com/consumer-sentiment-plummets-opec-loses-member- fed-prints-billions-grease-is-gold-and-more/ [Accessed 23 September 2012] Asia Pacific University of Technology & Innovation Page | 23
  24. Chan Chee Mang TP021569 BM014-3-3-DMKG 10.0 Appendices 10.1 Appendix 1 Louis Vuitton has won a landmark ruling in the US in the battle against counterfeiting. On April 17, 2012, the US International Trade Commission (ITC) upheld a ruling which will help stop goods being imported into the US bearing Louis Vuitton trademarks, and will penalise companies (like Paypal) which facilitate the trade of those goods. "As the first luxury goods company to seek redress at the ITC, we are pleased with the significant remedy that has been recommended. [...] The chief administrative law judge recognises the importance of protecting intellectual property and took the welcome step of ensuring that its orders include all merchandise that infringes on our Toile Monogram Marks, and not just products of the respondents in this case. [...] Preservation of creativity is of the utmost importance to Louis Vuitton and we will continue to protect our brand and customers, and to preserve the rights of designers, artists and brands." (Valerie Sonnier, global intellectual property director of LV to WWD) Other brands like Tory Burch, Polo Ralph Lauren and True Religion have reached for the ITC with similar cases, but none of them has won a comparable ruling. BACKGROUND - The April 17 ruling was issued in the context of Louis Vuitton complaint filed at the ITC on December 03, 2010 (Certain Handbags, Luggage, Accessories and Packaging Thereof (Inv. No. 337-TA-754)) requesting investigation pursuant to Section 337 against a group of respondents from Guangzhou China, Texas and California, for the unlawful sale for imporation, import and sale into the U.S. of handbags, luggage, accessories and packaging that infringe Louis Vuitton's US monogram trademark registrations (nos. 1,643,625; 1,653,663; 1,875,198; 2,773,107; 2,177,828; 2,181,753; and 1,519,828). Asia Pacific University of Technology & Innovation Page | 24
  25. Chan Chee Mang TP021569 BM014-3-3-DMKG Louis Vuitton US Trademark Registrations The respondents were identified as House of Bags, Ronett Trading, Inc., EZ Shine Group, Inc., Master of Handbags, Choice Handbags, Handbag Warehouse, T&T, and The Inspired Bagger. (Sources from: Detailed trademark information from the official, 2012, European Union trademark database (CTM), available at: http://trademark.markify.com/trademarks/ctm/lv's+dairek+usa./003939501) 10.2 Appendix 2 Table showing the raw material restrictions on clothing and fashion goods legislative in different countries. (Sources from: Waller and Hingorani, 2012) Asia Pacific University of Technology & Innovation Page | 25
  26. Chan Chee Mang TP021569 BM014-3-3-DMKG 10.3 Appendix 3 Asia Pacific University of Technology & Innovation Page | 26
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