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Using Behaviour Science For Brand Growth
James Redden, Managing Director @ 2CV Asia
April 2018
2
QUESTION 1
A bat & ball cost a
$1.10 in total.
The bat costs $1.00
more than the ball.
How much does the
ball cost?
__________
Source: Kahneman, D. (2011). Thinking, Fast and Slow
3
QUESTION 2
Which is
lighter,
square A or B?
Adelson, E. (2005). "Checkershadow Illusion“. See https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Checker_shadow_illusion
4
THE ‘ANSWERS’
BOTH ARE INCORRECT!
QUESTION 1
QUESTION 2
10c
SQUARE B
5
A bat & ball cost a
$1.10 in total.
The bat costs $1.00
more than the ball.
5c
$1.05 + $0.05 = $1.10
QUESTION 1
Source: Kahneman, D. (2011). Thinking, Fast and Slow
6
2. THE CORRECT ANSWER
They are both
the same!
Adelson, E. (2005). "Checkershadow Illusion“. See https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Checker_shadow_illusion
7
2. THE CORRECT ANSWER
They are both
the same!
Adelson, E. (2005). "Checkershadow Illusion“. See https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Checker_shadow_illusion
8
2. THE CORRECT ANSWER
They are both
the same!
Adelson, E. (2005). "Checkershadow Illusion“. See https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Checker_shadow_illusion
9
WHAT’S HAPPENING? | We have two thinking systems
Slow
Logical
Controlled
Effortful
Self-aware
System 2
Fast
Emotional
Uncontrolled
Effortless
Unconscious
System 1
Gives us quick &
intuitive answers
‘Thinking’ in the
traditional sense
Source: Kahneman, D. (2011). Thinking, Fast and Slow
10
Fast
Emotional
Uncontrolled
Effortless
Unconscious
Slow
Logical
Controlled
Effortful
Self-aware
System 2System 1
WHAT’S HAPPENING? | We have two thinking systems
5 x 2 = ? 17 x 24 = ?
Source: Kahneman, D. (2011). Thinking, Fast and Slow
11
Fast
Emotional
Uncontrolled
Effortless
Unconscious
System 1
SYSTEM 1 THINKING DOMINATES OUR DECISION-MAKING…
An easier way to think
So we rely on it wherever
possible
Important to account for
this when we try to
change consumer
behaviour
Source: Kahneman, D. (2011). Thinking, Fast and Slow
12
SYSTEM 1 THINKING USES VARIOUS COGNITIVE BIASES
System 1 thinking
does not happen
randomly
It is driven by various
cognitive biases
Biases = short-cuts &
stereotypes we
employ in specific
contexts
We can leverage
these biases to
influence consumer
behaviour
13
BIASES RELEVANT TO CONSUMER BEHAVIOUR
1. Social
proof
2. Loss
aversion
3. Pratfall
effect
4. Price
relativity
5. Scarcity
value
14
1. SOCIAL PROOF
The bias: we are more interested in things if we see others are interested
15
WE SEE THIS IN SINGAPORE –
PEOPLE CAN’T RESIST A QUEUE!
16
SOCIAL PROOF | EVIDENCE
An experiment in a hotel chain to encourage re-use of towels
1. The environmental benefits
Noah J. Goldstein, Robert B. Cialdini and Vladas Griskevicius (2008). A Room with a Viewpoint: Using Social Norms to Motivate Environmental Conservation in Hotels. Journal of Consumer Research
35% of guests
49% of guests
2. Most past guests in their room re-used towels
Two alternative in-room messages were used:
17
LEVERAGING SOCIAL PROOF IN MARKETING
Convince
people your
brand is
highly
popular
Where the
brand isn’t
yet popular,
be creative
e.g. use terms
like ‘fastest
growing’ or ‘the
number 1 brand
in market X’
18
EXAMPLES OF SOCIAL PROOF IN MARKETING
Raw numbers, without context
19
EXAMPLES OF SOCIAL PROOF IN MARKETING
Claims around growth
20
OTHER SOCIAL PROOF TACTICS
Showing where brand
has been featured
Media Logos
on website
E.g. The number of
followers or likes
Social Media
Proof
Genuine customer
testimonials
Reviews
21
2. LOSS AVERSION
E.g. lose $100
E.g. gain $100
https://www.nytimes.com/2013/12/09/your-money/overcoming-an-aversion-to-loss.html
The bias: we feel the pain of losses more than the pleasure of (equivalent) gains
22
LOSS AVERSION | EVIDENCE
Would you take this bet on a coin toss?
Tails would mean you lose $1,000
Heads would mean you win $1,800
Among Singaporean millennials…
32%
68%
Would take
the bet
Would NOT
take the bet
Source: 2CV client research (2018)
23
LEVERAGING LOSS AVERSION IN MARKETING
Frame offers in terms of the loss that will be incurred for not choosing your brand
TimeMoney Health
Talk about losses in terms of ….
Emotion
…whatever is relevant
24
EXAMPLES OF LOSS AVERSION IN MARKETING
Framing an offer
as a loss
(if not taken up),
rather than a gain
(if taken up)
25
EXAMPLES OF LOSS AVERSION IN MARKETING
Focusing on losing
money
26
3. THE PRATFALL EFFECT
Who is more likeable?
Jennifer Lawrence Melania Trump
OR
27
SHE’S LOVED AS SHE’S IMPERFECT – JUST LIKE US
Some believe she is well-liked
as she has flaws – e.g. she
tripped while receiving her
Oscar in 2013
https://psych2go.net/pratfall-effect-imperfect-makes-likeable/
28
3. THE PRATFALL EFFECT
People often
don’t trust
marketing
claims…
The bias: we feel more positive towards things if they have faults
…However admitting to
limitations can enhance
trust…
…And make other brand
claims more believable
29
THE PRATFULL EFFECT | EVIDENCE
Two groups were played the same
recording of a man answering quiz
questions
One group also heard the man
‘accidentally’ knock over a cup of coffee
The group which heard the spill rated the
man significantly more likeable
https://psych2go.net/pratfall-effect-imperfect-makes-likeable/
30
EXAMPLES OF PRATFALL EFFECT IN MARKETING
Avis admitting
they were only
#2 – but
offered the
best service
31
Admitting not
everyone loves the
taste of Marmite –
but it is memorable
(Potential for
Durian?)
EXAMPLES OF PRATFALL EFFECT IN MARKETING
32
EXAMPLES OF PRATFALL EFFECT IN MARKETING
Admitting to limited
service perks, but
lower prices as a
result
33
EXAMPLES OF PRATFALL EFFECT IN MARKETING
Admitting you’re
not the cheapest
(but the best)
34
A 2CV!
Humour to
compare your
brand to more
expensive
alternatives
EXAMPLES OF PRATFALL EFFECT IN MARKETING
35
4. PRICE RELATIVITY
The bias: we can be persuaded to spend more by seeing a higher priced item, which
makes the item we purchase seem better value
https://www.jeremysaid.com/blog/how-to-use-the-decoy-effect/
36
PRICE RELATIVITY | EVIDENCE
Consider this real offer from The Economist magazine:
1. Online subscription $59
2. Print subscription $125
3. Online & print subscription $125
3 price options pushed people towards a higher priced option
In experiments, respondents were asked to choose one:
Option 3
seems like
the best
option
WHEN SHOWING THE 3 OPTIONS:
1. Online
subscription
for $59
2. Print
subscription
for $125
3. Online & print
subscription for
$125
16% chose 0% chose 84% chose
WHEN SHOWING OPTIONS 1 & 2 ONLY:
1. Online
subscription
for $59
2. Print
subscription
for $125
68% chose 32% chose
Ariel, D. (2008). Predictably Irrational: The Hidden Forces That Shape Our Decisions
37
EXAMPLES OF PRICE RELATIVITY
Including a
‘Premium’
offer to make
the middle
offer look
better value
38
EXAMPLES OF PRICE RELATIVITY
Including a
decoy medium
size to push
buyers
towards the
large size
39
5. SCARCITY VALUE
No limit on purchase: 3.3 cans purchased per customer
‘Limit of 4 cans per person’: 3.5 cans purchased per customer
‘Limit of 12 cans per person’: 7 cans purchased per customer
The bias: when we perceive something to be scarce, it has a greater value in our eyes
https://foodpsychology.cornell.edu/sites/default/files/unmanaged_files/Anchoring-JMR-1998.pdf
40
EXAMPLES OF SCARCITY VALUE IN MARKETING
Airline booking
pages –
X # of seats left
41
‘Limited
time only’
EXAMPLES OF SCARCITY VALUE IN MARKETING
42
EXAMPLES OF SCARCITY VALUE IN MARKETING
43
FINAL THOUGHTS
Working with relevant biases will make it more
likely your brand feel like the easy choice
1 2
Use them to
guide marketing
decisions
Identify biases
relevant to
your category
Thank you
James.Redden@2cv.com

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Behaviour science for brand growth (James Redden, 2CV research)

  • 1. Using Behaviour Science For Brand Growth James Redden, Managing Director @ 2CV Asia April 2018
  • 2. 2 QUESTION 1 A bat & ball cost a $1.10 in total. The bat costs $1.00 more than the ball. How much does the ball cost? __________ Source: Kahneman, D. (2011). Thinking, Fast and Slow
  • 3. 3 QUESTION 2 Which is lighter, square A or B? Adelson, E. (2005). "Checkershadow Illusion“. See https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Checker_shadow_illusion
  • 4. 4 THE ‘ANSWERS’ BOTH ARE INCORRECT! QUESTION 1 QUESTION 2 10c SQUARE B
  • 5. 5 A bat & ball cost a $1.10 in total. The bat costs $1.00 more than the ball. 5c $1.05 + $0.05 = $1.10 QUESTION 1 Source: Kahneman, D. (2011). Thinking, Fast and Slow
  • 6. 6 2. THE CORRECT ANSWER They are both the same! Adelson, E. (2005). "Checkershadow Illusion“. See https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Checker_shadow_illusion
  • 7. 7 2. THE CORRECT ANSWER They are both the same! Adelson, E. (2005). "Checkershadow Illusion“. See https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Checker_shadow_illusion
  • 8. 8 2. THE CORRECT ANSWER They are both the same! Adelson, E. (2005). "Checkershadow Illusion“. See https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Checker_shadow_illusion
  • 9. 9 WHAT’S HAPPENING? | We have two thinking systems Slow Logical Controlled Effortful Self-aware System 2 Fast Emotional Uncontrolled Effortless Unconscious System 1 Gives us quick & intuitive answers ‘Thinking’ in the traditional sense Source: Kahneman, D. (2011). Thinking, Fast and Slow
  • 10. 10 Fast Emotional Uncontrolled Effortless Unconscious Slow Logical Controlled Effortful Self-aware System 2System 1 WHAT’S HAPPENING? | We have two thinking systems 5 x 2 = ? 17 x 24 = ? Source: Kahneman, D. (2011). Thinking, Fast and Slow
  • 11. 11 Fast Emotional Uncontrolled Effortless Unconscious System 1 SYSTEM 1 THINKING DOMINATES OUR DECISION-MAKING… An easier way to think So we rely on it wherever possible Important to account for this when we try to change consumer behaviour Source: Kahneman, D. (2011). Thinking, Fast and Slow
  • 12. 12 SYSTEM 1 THINKING USES VARIOUS COGNITIVE BIASES System 1 thinking does not happen randomly It is driven by various cognitive biases Biases = short-cuts & stereotypes we employ in specific contexts We can leverage these biases to influence consumer behaviour
  • 13. 13 BIASES RELEVANT TO CONSUMER BEHAVIOUR 1. Social proof 2. Loss aversion 3. Pratfall effect 4. Price relativity 5. Scarcity value
  • 14. 14 1. SOCIAL PROOF The bias: we are more interested in things if we see others are interested
  • 15. 15 WE SEE THIS IN SINGAPORE – PEOPLE CAN’T RESIST A QUEUE!
  • 16. 16 SOCIAL PROOF | EVIDENCE An experiment in a hotel chain to encourage re-use of towels 1. The environmental benefits Noah J. Goldstein, Robert B. Cialdini and Vladas Griskevicius (2008). A Room with a Viewpoint: Using Social Norms to Motivate Environmental Conservation in Hotels. Journal of Consumer Research 35% of guests 49% of guests 2. Most past guests in their room re-used towels Two alternative in-room messages were used:
  • 17. 17 LEVERAGING SOCIAL PROOF IN MARKETING Convince people your brand is highly popular Where the brand isn’t yet popular, be creative e.g. use terms like ‘fastest growing’ or ‘the number 1 brand in market X’
  • 18. 18 EXAMPLES OF SOCIAL PROOF IN MARKETING Raw numbers, without context
  • 19. 19 EXAMPLES OF SOCIAL PROOF IN MARKETING Claims around growth
  • 20. 20 OTHER SOCIAL PROOF TACTICS Showing where brand has been featured Media Logos on website E.g. The number of followers or likes Social Media Proof Genuine customer testimonials Reviews
  • 21. 21 2. LOSS AVERSION E.g. lose $100 E.g. gain $100 https://www.nytimes.com/2013/12/09/your-money/overcoming-an-aversion-to-loss.html The bias: we feel the pain of losses more than the pleasure of (equivalent) gains
  • 22. 22 LOSS AVERSION | EVIDENCE Would you take this bet on a coin toss? Tails would mean you lose $1,000 Heads would mean you win $1,800 Among Singaporean millennials… 32% 68% Would take the bet Would NOT take the bet Source: 2CV client research (2018)
  • 23. 23 LEVERAGING LOSS AVERSION IN MARKETING Frame offers in terms of the loss that will be incurred for not choosing your brand TimeMoney Health Talk about losses in terms of …. Emotion …whatever is relevant
  • 24. 24 EXAMPLES OF LOSS AVERSION IN MARKETING Framing an offer as a loss (if not taken up), rather than a gain (if taken up)
  • 25. 25 EXAMPLES OF LOSS AVERSION IN MARKETING Focusing on losing money
  • 26. 26 3. THE PRATFALL EFFECT Who is more likeable? Jennifer Lawrence Melania Trump OR
  • 27. 27 SHE’S LOVED AS SHE’S IMPERFECT – JUST LIKE US Some believe she is well-liked as she has flaws – e.g. she tripped while receiving her Oscar in 2013 https://psych2go.net/pratfall-effect-imperfect-makes-likeable/
  • 28. 28 3. THE PRATFALL EFFECT People often don’t trust marketing claims… The bias: we feel more positive towards things if they have faults …However admitting to limitations can enhance trust… …And make other brand claims more believable
  • 29. 29 THE PRATFULL EFFECT | EVIDENCE Two groups were played the same recording of a man answering quiz questions One group also heard the man ‘accidentally’ knock over a cup of coffee The group which heard the spill rated the man significantly more likeable https://psych2go.net/pratfall-effect-imperfect-makes-likeable/
  • 30. 30 EXAMPLES OF PRATFALL EFFECT IN MARKETING Avis admitting they were only #2 – but offered the best service
  • 31. 31 Admitting not everyone loves the taste of Marmite – but it is memorable (Potential for Durian?) EXAMPLES OF PRATFALL EFFECT IN MARKETING
  • 32. 32 EXAMPLES OF PRATFALL EFFECT IN MARKETING Admitting to limited service perks, but lower prices as a result
  • 33. 33 EXAMPLES OF PRATFALL EFFECT IN MARKETING Admitting you’re not the cheapest (but the best)
  • 34. 34 A 2CV! Humour to compare your brand to more expensive alternatives EXAMPLES OF PRATFALL EFFECT IN MARKETING
  • 35. 35 4. PRICE RELATIVITY The bias: we can be persuaded to spend more by seeing a higher priced item, which makes the item we purchase seem better value https://www.jeremysaid.com/blog/how-to-use-the-decoy-effect/
  • 36. 36 PRICE RELATIVITY | EVIDENCE Consider this real offer from The Economist magazine: 1. Online subscription $59 2. Print subscription $125 3. Online & print subscription $125 3 price options pushed people towards a higher priced option In experiments, respondents were asked to choose one: Option 3 seems like the best option WHEN SHOWING THE 3 OPTIONS: 1. Online subscription for $59 2. Print subscription for $125 3. Online & print subscription for $125 16% chose 0% chose 84% chose WHEN SHOWING OPTIONS 1 & 2 ONLY: 1. Online subscription for $59 2. Print subscription for $125 68% chose 32% chose Ariel, D. (2008). Predictably Irrational: The Hidden Forces That Shape Our Decisions
  • 37. 37 EXAMPLES OF PRICE RELATIVITY Including a ‘Premium’ offer to make the middle offer look better value
  • 38. 38 EXAMPLES OF PRICE RELATIVITY Including a decoy medium size to push buyers towards the large size
  • 39. 39 5. SCARCITY VALUE No limit on purchase: 3.3 cans purchased per customer ‘Limit of 4 cans per person’: 3.5 cans purchased per customer ‘Limit of 12 cans per person’: 7 cans purchased per customer The bias: when we perceive something to be scarce, it has a greater value in our eyes https://foodpsychology.cornell.edu/sites/default/files/unmanaged_files/Anchoring-JMR-1998.pdf
  • 40. 40 EXAMPLES OF SCARCITY VALUE IN MARKETING Airline booking pages – X # of seats left
  • 41. 41 ‘Limited time only’ EXAMPLES OF SCARCITY VALUE IN MARKETING
  • 42. 42 EXAMPLES OF SCARCITY VALUE IN MARKETING
  • 43. 43 FINAL THOUGHTS Working with relevant biases will make it more likely your brand feel like the easy choice 1 2 Use them to guide marketing decisions Identify biases relevant to your category