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Contents 
• All Data is for Cash Games Only 
• MLB 2013 Average Winning Scores 
– By League Type (Top Heavy GPPs, Head-to-Head, and Double Ups) 
– Min and Max Player Score By League Type 
• High Score / Low Ownership Contrarian play dynamic in GPPs (not double)? 
– Cap Allocation by Position on Winning Lineups 
– Pitching vs Hitting Cap Allocation 
• Winning 
• Overall / Mean 
• Stacking 
– NFL – QB and WR Stack 
• Difference in NFL Scoring 
– Thursday Night Leagues vs Sunday Night Leagues (GPP) 
• % Lineups with Players that Don’t Play 
– Dimensions: Sport, Day of Week 
• Late Player Swaps 
– Net + or Net – result
MLB 2013 Average Scoring 
132 
110 
97 97 99 
116 
165 
110 
140 
180 
160 
140 
120 
100 
80 
60 
40 
20 
0 
MLB 2013 Big 
GPPs 
MLB 2013 Head-to- 
Head 
MLB 2013 
50/50s 
Updated 
Avg Score 
Avg "In the Money" Score 
Avg Winning Score
NFL 2013 Average Scoring 
209 
161 
144 144 
145 
127 131 128 
172 
250 
200 
150 
100 
50 
0 
2013 NFL Big 
GPPs 
2013 NFL Head-to- 
Head 
2013 NFL 
50/50s 
Updated 
Avg Score 
Avg "In the Money" Score 
Avg Winning Score
Winning Lineups Min & Max Player Score 
1.3 
4.0 
30.4 
34.0 
40.0 
35.0 
30.0 
25.0 
20.0 
15.0 
10.0 
5.0 
0.0 
MLB 2013 NFL 2013 
Updated 
Avg Score Worst Player 
Avg Score Best Player
MLB Winning Lineups Min & Max 
Player Score by Game Type 
34.9 
29.1 
32.8 
3.2 
0.9 2.0 
40.0 
35.0 
30.0 
25.0 
20.0 
15.0 
10.0 
5.0 
0.0 
MLB 2013 Big 
GPPs 
MLB 2013 Head-to- 
Head 
MLB 2013 
50/50's 
UPDATED 
Best Player Avg Score 
Worst Player Avg Score
NFL Winning Lineups Min & Max 
Player Score by Game Type 
38.3 
33.2 
38.0 
6.7 
3.8 4.8 
45.0 
40.0 
35.0 
30.0 
25.0 
20.0 
15.0 
10.0 
5.0 
0.0 
NFL 2013 Top 
Heavy GPPs 
NFL 2013 Head-to- 
Head 
NFL 2013 Double 
Ups 
UPDATED 
Best Player Avg Score 
Worst Player Avg Score
GPP Winning Lineup – Best Player % 
Owned Frequency 
32.3% 
12.9% 
12.9%12.9% 
9.7% 
3.2% 
0.0% 
3.2% 
0.0% 
6.5% 6.5% 
23.3% 
18.1% 
6.9% 
12.1% 
8.6% 
6.9% 
5.2% 
0.9% 
5.2% 
0.9% 
12.1% 
35.0% 
30.0% 
25.0% 
20.0% 
15.0% 
10.0% 
5.0% 
0.0% 
UPDATED 
NFL 2013 
MLB 2013
MLB Cap Allocation on Winning 
Teams - GPPs 
SP (2 roster 
spots), 35.1% 
C, 
7.1% 
1B, 8.8% 
OF (3 roster 
spots), 25.0% 
2B, 
7.6% 
SS, 7.5% 
3B, 8.8% 
MLB 2013 
DONE 
SP (2 roster spots) 
C 
1B 
2B 
3B 
SS 
OF (3 roster spots)
MLB Cap Allocation on Winning 
Teams – Head to Head 
SP (2 roster 
spots), 35.0% 
C, 
7.2% 
1B, 8.6% 
OF (3 roster 
spots), 25.3% 
2B, 
8.0% 
SS, 7.5% 
3B, 8.3% 
MLB 2013 
UPDATED 
SP (2 roster spots) 
C 
1B 
2B 
3B 
SS 
OF (3 roster spots)
MLB Cap Allocation on In the $ 
Teams – 50/50’s 
SP (2 roster 
spots), 34.5% 
C, 7.2% 
1B, 8.7% 
OF (3 roster 
spots), 25.6% 
2B, 
8.1% 
SS, 7.5% 
3B, 8.5% 
MLB 2013 
UPDATED 
SP (2 roster spots) 
C 
1B 
2B 
3B 
SS 
OF (3 roster spots)
MLB Cap Allocation on 
Avg Team 
SP (2 roster 
spots), 34.6% 
C, 7.3% 
1B, 8.7% 
OF (3 roster 
spots), 25.5% 
2B, 
8.0% 
SS, 7.5% 
3B, 8.4% 
MLB 2013 
UPDATED 
SP (2 roster spots) 
C 
1B 
2B 
3B 
SS 
OF (3 roster spots)
NFL Cap Allocation on Winning 
Teams - GPPs 
QB, 15.9% 
RB (2 roster 
spots), 25.3% 
K, 7.7% 
DEF, 
6.7% 
FLEX (RB or WR 
or TE), 10.2% 
TE, 10.5% 
WR (2 roster 
spots), 23.7% 
NFL 2013 
Updated 
QB 
RB (2 roster spots) 
WR (2 roster spots) 
TE 
FLEX (RB or WR or TE) 
K 
DEF
NFL Cap Allocation on Winning 
Teams – Head To Head 
QB, 16.4% 
RB (2 roster 
spots), 24.9% 
K, 
7.0% 
DEF, 
6.5% 
FLEX (RB or WR 
or TE), 10.0% 
TE, 10.7% 
WR (2 roster 
spots), 24.5% 
NFL 2013 
UPDATED 
QB 
RB (2 roster spots) 
WR (2 roster spots) 
TE 
FLEX (RB or WR or TE) 
K 
DEF
NFL Cap Allocation on Winning 
Teams – 50/50’s 
QB, 15.8% 
RB (2 roster 
spots), 24.8% 
K, 7.4% 
DEF, 
6.5% 
FLEX (RB or WR 
or TE), 9.7% 
TE, 11.2% 
WR (2 roster 
spots), 24.5% 
NFL 2013 
UPDATED 
QB 
RB (2 roster spots) 
WR (2 roster spots) 
TE 
FLEX (RB or WR or TE) 
K 
DEF
NFL Cap Allocation on 
Avg Teams 
QB, 15.9% 
RB (2 roster 
spots), 24.7% 
K, 7.4% 
DEF, 
6.5% 
FLEX (RB or WR 
or TE), 9.7% 
TE, 11.2% 
WR (2 roster 
spots), 24.5% 
NFL 2013 
Updated 
QB 
RB (2 roster spots) 
WR (2 roster spots) 
TE 
FLEX (RB or WR or TE) 
K 
DEF
Pitching vs Hitting Cap Allocation 
65.4% 65.7% 
34.6% 34.3% 
100% 
90% 
80% 
70% 
60% 
50% 
40% 
30% 
20% 
10% 
0% 
Winning Team Average 
UPDATED 
Hitting 
Pitching
NFL QB to Team WR FPPs Correlation 
y = 0.3549x + 5.8173 
60 
50 
40 
30 
20 
10 
0 
0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 
QB 
Points 
WR Points 
done
MLB Hitter-Only Stack Correlation 
(Max # of Players from same team in Lineup) 
100% 
• Insert Paul’s Chart 
90% 
80% 
70% 
60% 
50% 
40% 
30% 
20% 
10% 
0% 
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 
150+ 
140 to 150 
130 to 140 
120 to 130 
110 to 120 
100 to 110 
90 to 100 
80 to 90 
70 to 80 
60 to 70 
50 to 60 
<50
NFL Thursday to Sunday Avg Scoring 
151 150 
128 129 
155 
150 
145 
140 
135 
130 
125 
120 
115 
NFL 2013 Thurs NFL 2013 Sunday 1pm 
Done 
Avg Score Worst Player 
Avg Winning Score
% of Lineups utilizing Late Game Swap 
% of Lineups Using Late Game Swap 
5.2% 
6.18% 
6.4% 
6.2% 
6.0% 
5.8% 
5.6% 
5.4% 
5.2% 
5.0% 
4.8% 
4.6% 
NFL 2013 MLB 2013 
Done 
% of Lineups Using Late 
Game Swap

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Draft kings data

  • 1. Contents • All Data is for Cash Games Only • MLB 2013 Average Winning Scores – By League Type (Top Heavy GPPs, Head-to-Head, and Double Ups) – Min and Max Player Score By League Type • High Score / Low Ownership Contrarian play dynamic in GPPs (not double)? – Cap Allocation by Position on Winning Lineups – Pitching vs Hitting Cap Allocation • Winning • Overall / Mean • Stacking – NFL – QB and WR Stack • Difference in NFL Scoring – Thursday Night Leagues vs Sunday Night Leagues (GPP) • % Lineups with Players that Don’t Play – Dimensions: Sport, Day of Week • Late Player Swaps – Net + or Net – result
  • 2. MLB 2013 Average Scoring 132 110 97 97 99 116 165 110 140 180 160 140 120 100 80 60 40 20 0 MLB 2013 Big GPPs MLB 2013 Head-to- Head MLB 2013 50/50s Updated Avg Score Avg "In the Money" Score Avg Winning Score
  • 3. NFL 2013 Average Scoring 209 161 144 144 145 127 131 128 172 250 200 150 100 50 0 2013 NFL Big GPPs 2013 NFL Head-to- Head 2013 NFL 50/50s Updated Avg Score Avg "In the Money" Score Avg Winning Score
  • 4. Winning Lineups Min & Max Player Score 1.3 4.0 30.4 34.0 40.0 35.0 30.0 25.0 20.0 15.0 10.0 5.0 0.0 MLB 2013 NFL 2013 Updated Avg Score Worst Player Avg Score Best Player
  • 5. MLB Winning Lineups Min & Max Player Score by Game Type 34.9 29.1 32.8 3.2 0.9 2.0 40.0 35.0 30.0 25.0 20.0 15.0 10.0 5.0 0.0 MLB 2013 Big GPPs MLB 2013 Head-to- Head MLB 2013 50/50's UPDATED Best Player Avg Score Worst Player Avg Score
  • 6. NFL Winning Lineups Min & Max Player Score by Game Type 38.3 33.2 38.0 6.7 3.8 4.8 45.0 40.0 35.0 30.0 25.0 20.0 15.0 10.0 5.0 0.0 NFL 2013 Top Heavy GPPs NFL 2013 Head-to- Head NFL 2013 Double Ups UPDATED Best Player Avg Score Worst Player Avg Score
  • 7. GPP Winning Lineup – Best Player % Owned Frequency 32.3% 12.9% 12.9%12.9% 9.7% 3.2% 0.0% 3.2% 0.0% 6.5% 6.5% 23.3% 18.1% 6.9% 12.1% 8.6% 6.9% 5.2% 0.9% 5.2% 0.9% 12.1% 35.0% 30.0% 25.0% 20.0% 15.0% 10.0% 5.0% 0.0% UPDATED NFL 2013 MLB 2013
  • 8. MLB Cap Allocation on Winning Teams - GPPs SP (2 roster spots), 35.1% C, 7.1% 1B, 8.8% OF (3 roster spots), 25.0% 2B, 7.6% SS, 7.5% 3B, 8.8% MLB 2013 DONE SP (2 roster spots) C 1B 2B 3B SS OF (3 roster spots)
  • 9. MLB Cap Allocation on Winning Teams – Head to Head SP (2 roster spots), 35.0% C, 7.2% 1B, 8.6% OF (3 roster spots), 25.3% 2B, 8.0% SS, 7.5% 3B, 8.3% MLB 2013 UPDATED SP (2 roster spots) C 1B 2B 3B SS OF (3 roster spots)
  • 10. MLB Cap Allocation on In the $ Teams – 50/50’s SP (2 roster spots), 34.5% C, 7.2% 1B, 8.7% OF (3 roster spots), 25.6% 2B, 8.1% SS, 7.5% 3B, 8.5% MLB 2013 UPDATED SP (2 roster spots) C 1B 2B 3B SS OF (3 roster spots)
  • 11. MLB Cap Allocation on Avg Team SP (2 roster spots), 34.6% C, 7.3% 1B, 8.7% OF (3 roster spots), 25.5% 2B, 8.0% SS, 7.5% 3B, 8.4% MLB 2013 UPDATED SP (2 roster spots) C 1B 2B 3B SS OF (3 roster spots)
  • 12. NFL Cap Allocation on Winning Teams - GPPs QB, 15.9% RB (2 roster spots), 25.3% K, 7.7% DEF, 6.7% FLEX (RB or WR or TE), 10.2% TE, 10.5% WR (2 roster spots), 23.7% NFL 2013 Updated QB RB (2 roster spots) WR (2 roster spots) TE FLEX (RB or WR or TE) K DEF
  • 13. NFL Cap Allocation on Winning Teams – Head To Head QB, 16.4% RB (2 roster spots), 24.9% K, 7.0% DEF, 6.5% FLEX (RB or WR or TE), 10.0% TE, 10.7% WR (2 roster spots), 24.5% NFL 2013 UPDATED QB RB (2 roster spots) WR (2 roster spots) TE FLEX (RB or WR or TE) K DEF
  • 14. NFL Cap Allocation on Winning Teams – 50/50’s QB, 15.8% RB (2 roster spots), 24.8% K, 7.4% DEF, 6.5% FLEX (RB or WR or TE), 9.7% TE, 11.2% WR (2 roster spots), 24.5% NFL 2013 UPDATED QB RB (2 roster spots) WR (2 roster spots) TE FLEX (RB or WR or TE) K DEF
  • 15. NFL Cap Allocation on Avg Teams QB, 15.9% RB (2 roster spots), 24.7% K, 7.4% DEF, 6.5% FLEX (RB or WR or TE), 9.7% TE, 11.2% WR (2 roster spots), 24.5% NFL 2013 Updated QB RB (2 roster spots) WR (2 roster spots) TE FLEX (RB or WR or TE) K DEF
  • 16. Pitching vs Hitting Cap Allocation 65.4% 65.7% 34.6% 34.3% 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 0% Winning Team Average UPDATED Hitting Pitching
  • 17. NFL QB to Team WR FPPs Correlation y = 0.3549x + 5.8173 60 50 40 30 20 10 0 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 QB Points WR Points done
  • 18. MLB Hitter-Only Stack Correlation (Max # of Players from same team in Lineup) 100% • Insert Paul’s Chart 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 0% 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 150+ 140 to 150 130 to 140 120 to 130 110 to 120 100 to 110 90 to 100 80 to 90 70 to 80 60 to 70 50 to 60 <50
  • 19. NFL Thursday to Sunday Avg Scoring 151 150 128 129 155 150 145 140 135 130 125 120 115 NFL 2013 Thurs NFL 2013 Sunday 1pm Done Avg Score Worst Player Avg Winning Score
  • 20. % of Lineups utilizing Late Game Swap % of Lineups Using Late Game Swap 5.2% 6.18% 6.4% 6.2% 6.0% 5.8% 5.6% 5.4% 5.2% 5.0% 4.8% 4.6% NFL 2013 MLB 2013 Done % of Lineups Using Late Game Swap

Notes de l'éditeur

  1. CHANGED A LOT FOR NFL  Look into
  2. Adjust Chart Y Access is QB Scoring X is Avg WR Score
  3. Note for Bales: To hit a Max Score/Jackpot you best bet on hitters looks a stack of 6+ players from one team; This also come with a high variance because you are most likely to score the least as well. Look at data in the chart table for more insights.