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Draft kings data
1. Contents
• All Data is for Cash Games Only
• MLB 2013 Average Winning Scores
– By League Type (Top Heavy GPPs, Head-to-Head, and Double Ups)
– Min and Max Player Score By League Type
• High Score / Low Ownership Contrarian play dynamic in GPPs (not double)?
– Cap Allocation by Position on Winning Lineups
– Pitching vs Hitting Cap Allocation
• Winning
• Overall / Mean
• Stacking
– NFL – QB and WR Stack
• Difference in NFL Scoring
– Thursday Night Leagues vs Sunday Night Leagues (GPP)
• % Lineups with Players that Don’t Play
– Dimensions: Sport, Day of Week
• Late Player Swaps
– Net + or Net – result
2. MLB 2013 Average Scoring
132
110
97 97 99
116
165
110
140
180
160
140
120
100
80
60
40
20
0
MLB 2013 Big
GPPs
MLB 2013 Head-to-
Head
MLB 2013
50/50s
Updated
Avg Score
Avg "In the Money" Score
Avg Winning Score
3. NFL 2013 Average Scoring
209
161
144 144
145
127 131 128
172
250
200
150
100
50
0
2013 NFL Big
GPPs
2013 NFL Head-to-
Head
2013 NFL
50/50s
Updated
Avg Score
Avg "In the Money" Score
Avg Winning Score
4. Winning Lineups Min & Max Player Score
1.3
4.0
30.4
34.0
40.0
35.0
30.0
25.0
20.0
15.0
10.0
5.0
0.0
MLB 2013 NFL 2013
Updated
Avg Score Worst Player
Avg Score Best Player
5. MLB Winning Lineups Min & Max
Player Score by Game Type
34.9
29.1
32.8
3.2
0.9 2.0
40.0
35.0
30.0
25.0
20.0
15.0
10.0
5.0
0.0
MLB 2013 Big
GPPs
MLB 2013 Head-to-
Head
MLB 2013
50/50's
UPDATED
Best Player Avg Score
Worst Player Avg Score
6. NFL Winning Lineups Min & Max
Player Score by Game Type
38.3
33.2
38.0
6.7
3.8 4.8
45.0
40.0
35.0
30.0
25.0
20.0
15.0
10.0
5.0
0.0
NFL 2013 Top
Heavy GPPs
NFL 2013 Head-to-
Head
NFL 2013 Double
Ups
UPDATED
Best Player Avg Score
Worst Player Avg Score
8. MLB Cap Allocation on Winning
Teams - GPPs
SP (2 roster
spots), 35.1%
C,
7.1%
1B, 8.8%
OF (3 roster
spots), 25.0%
2B,
7.6%
SS, 7.5%
3B, 8.8%
MLB 2013
DONE
SP (2 roster spots)
C
1B
2B
3B
SS
OF (3 roster spots)
9. MLB Cap Allocation on Winning
Teams – Head to Head
SP (2 roster
spots), 35.0%
C,
7.2%
1B, 8.6%
OF (3 roster
spots), 25.3%
2B,
8.0%
SS, 7.5%
3B, 8.3%
MLB 2013
UPDATED
SP (2 roster spots)
C
1B
2B
3B
SS
OF (3 roster spots)
10. MLB Cap Allocation on In the $
Teams – 50/50’s
SP (2 roster
spots), 34.5%
C, 7.2%
1B, 8.7%
OF (3 roster
spots), 25.6%
2B,
8.1%
SS, 7.5%
3B, 8.5%
MLB 2013
UPDATED
SP (2 roster spots)
C
1B
2B
3B
SS
OF (3 roster spots)
11. MLB Cap Allocation on
Avg Team
SP (2 roster
spots), 34.6%
C, 7.3%
1B, 8.7%
OF (3 roster
spots), 25.5%
2B,
8.0%
SS, 7.5%
3B, 8.4%
MLB 2013
UPDATED
SP (2 roster spots)
C
1B
2B
3B
SS
OF (3 roster spots)
12. NFL Cap Allocation on Winning
Teams - GPPs
QB, 15.9%
RB (2 roster
spots), 25.3%
K, 7.7%
DEF,
6.7%
FLEX (RB or WR
or TE), 10.2%
TE, 10.5%
WR (2 roster
spots), 23.7%
NFL 2013
Updated
QB
RB (2 roster spots)
WR (2 roster spots)
TE
FLEX (RB or WR or TE)
K
DEF
13. NFL Cap Allocation on Winning
Teams – Head To Head
QB, 16.4%
RB (2 roster
spots), 24.9%
K,
7.0%
DEF,
6.5%
FLEX (RB or WR
or TE), 10.0%
TE, 10.7%
WR (2 roster
spots), 24.5%
NFL 2013
UPDATED
QB
RB (2 roster spots)
WR (2 roster spots)
TE
FLEX (RB or WR or TE)
K
DEF
14. NFL Cap Allocation on Winning
Teams – 50/50’s
QB, 15.8%
RB (2 roster
spots), 24.8%
K, 7.4%
DEF,
6.5%
FLEX (RB or WR
or TE), 9.7%
TE, 11.2%
WR (2 roster
spots), 24.5%
NFL 2013
UPDATED
QB
RB (2 roster spots)
WR (2 roster spots)
TE
FLEX (RB or WR or TE)
K
DEF
15. NFL Cap Allocation on
Avg Teams
QB, 15.9%
RB (2 roster
spots), 24.7%
K, 7.4%
DEF,
6.5%
FLEX (RB or WR
or TE), 9.7%
TE, 11.2%
WR (2 roster
spots), 24.5%
NFL 2013
Updated
QB
RB (2 roster spots)
WR (2 roster spots)
TE
FLEX (RB or WR or TE)
K
DEF
16. Pitching vs Hitting Cap Allocation
65.4% 65.7%
34.6% 34.3%
100%
90%
80%
70%
60%
50%
40%
30%
20%
10%
0%
Winning Team Average
UPDATED
Hitting
Pitching
18. MLB Hitter-Only Stack Correlation
(Max # of Players from same team in Lineup)
100%
• Insert Paul’s Chart
90%
80%
70%
60%
50%
40%
30%
20%
10%
0%
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8
150+
140 to 150
130 to 140
120 to 130
110 to 120
100 to 110
90 to 100
80 to 90
70 to 80
60 to 70
50 to 60
<50
20. % of Lineups utilizing Late Game Swap
% of Lineups Using Late Game Swap
5.2%
6.18%
6.4%
6.2%
6.0%
5.8%
5.6%
5.4%
5.2%
5.0%
4.8%
4.6%
NFL 2013 MLB 2013
Done
% of Lineups Using Late
Game Swap
Notes de l'éditeur
CHANGED A LOT FOR NFL Look into
Adjust Chart
Y Access is QB Scoring
X is Avg WR Score
Note for Bales:
To hit a Max Score/Jackpot you best bet on hitters looks a stack of 6+ players from one team;
This also come with a high variance because you are most likely to score the least as well. Look at data in the chart table for more insights.