2011 Census: modal share + change in Newcastle
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This document analyzes census data from 2001 and 2011 on travel modes for getting to work in Newcastle, comparing ward, city, regional and national levels. It finds that while walking and cycling increased significantly in many wards from low bases, car ownership and use continues to rise in outer suburbs. Over 40% of households have no car, and less than 50% of commutes are by car. Modal shares vary widely across the city's wards.
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2011 Census: modal share + change in Newcastle
- 1. 2011 Census: modal share + change in Newcastle Neil Murphy
- 2. Overview • Census data on car /van availability + travel- to-work mode share • Comparison of 2011 + 2001 Census data at ward level/ citywide/ North East/ England – Population growth – Walking and cycling – Public transport – Car/van ownership and use – Modal shift 2001-11
- 3. Notes/caveats • Newcastle city only – TTWA-wide analysis would give truer state-of-the-city view • No comparative data for Ouseburn, Parklands, South Jesmond or Westgate Wards as these are new post-2001 • Beware small absolute numbers yielding big %ages • NB methodological changes to treatment of homeworking – affects year-on-year comparisons
- 6. -20.0% -10.0% 0.0% 10.0% 20.0% 30.0% 40.0% 50.0% 60.0% 70.0% England NorthEast NewcastleuponTyne Westgate Ouseburn SouthJesmond NorthJesmond Wingrove SouthHeaton Elswick Byker Fawdon Dene Walker EastGosforth NorthHeaton Blakelaw WestGosforth Fenham BenwellandScotswood Kenton Walkergate Woolsington Newburn Denton Castle Parklands Lemington Westerhope Travel to work on foot, % of all aged 16-74 in work in 2011 and % change on 2001 % of all people in work, 2011 % change
- 7. 0% 1% 2% 3% 4% 5% 6% England NorthEast NewcastleuponTyne NorthJesmond EastGosforth SouthHeaton WestGosforth NorthHeaton SouthJesmond Ouseburn Dene Wingrove Byker Parklands Kenton Fawdon Walkergate Walker Castle Blakelaw Westgate Fenham Elswick Woolsington BenwellandScotswood Lemington Newburn Denton Westerhope Travel to work by bicycle, % of all aged 16-74 in work in 2011
- 8. -40% -20% 0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100% 120% England NorthEast NewcastleuponTyne NorthJesmond EastGosforth SouthHeaton WestGosforth NorthHeaton SouthJesmond Ouseburn Dene Wingrove Byker Parklands Kenton Fawdon Walkergate Walker Castle Blakelaw Westgate Fenham Elswick Woolsington BenwellandScotswood Lemington Newburn Denton Westerhope Travel to work by bicycle, % of all aged 16-74 in work in 2011 and % change on 2001 % of all people in work, 2011 % change
- 9. -20% -10% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% England NorthEast NewcastleuponTyne Walker SouthHeaton Elswick Byker Wingrove BenwellandScotswood Westgate Blakelaw Fawdon NorthJesmond Denton Fenham Walkergate EastGosforth Woolsington Kenton Ouseburn NorthHeaton Lemington Castle Newburn SouthJesmond Dene WestGosforth Westerhope Parklands Travel to work by public transport (bus, train, metro), % of all aged 16-74 in work in 2011 and % change on 2001 % of all people in work, 2011 % change
- 10. 0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30% 35% 40% England NorthEast NewcastleuponTyne Walker SouthHeaton Elswick Byker Wingrove BenwellandScotswood Westgate Blakelaw Fawdon NorthJesmond Denton Fenham Walkergate EastGosforth Woolsington Kenton Ouseburn NorthHeaton Lemington Castle Newburn SouthJesmond Dene WestGosforth Westerhope Parklands Travel to work by public transport, % of all aged 16-74 in work in 2011, modal composition Underground, Metro, Light Rail, Tram Train Bus, Minibus or Coach
- 11. 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100% England NorthEast NewcastleuponTyne Westgate Elswick Walker Byker Ouseburn Wingrove BenwellandScotswood SouthHeaton Fawdon Blakelaw Walkergate Kenton Denton Fenham Woolsington SouthJesmond Newburn NorthJesmond Lemington EastGosforth NorthHeaton Westerhope Castle WestGosforth Dene Parklands Car and van availability, % of households by no., 2011 No Cars or Vans 1 Car or Van 2 Cars or Vans 3 Cars or Vans 4 or More Cars or Vans
- 12. - 0.20 0.40 0.60 0.80 1.00 1.20 1.40 England NorthEast NewcastleuponTyne Westgate Elswick Walker Byker Ouseburn Wingrove BenwellandScotswood SouthHeaton Fawdon Blakelaw Walkergate Kenton Denton Fenham Woolsington SouthJesmond Newburn NorthJesmond Lemington EastGosforth NorthHeaton Westerhope Castle WestGosforth Dene Parklands Average rate of household car/van availability 2001 and 2011 2001 average 2011 average
- 13. -30% -20% -10% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% England NorthEast NewcastleuponTyne Westgate Ouseburn SouthHeaton Wingrove Elswick SouthJesmond NorthJesmond Walker Byker Fawdon EastGosforth BenwellandScotswood Blakelaw NorthHeaton Fenham Walkergate Kenton Woolsington Denton Dene WestGosforth Lemington Newburn Castle Parklands Westerhope Travel to work by car/van as driver, % of all aged 16-74 in work in 2011 and % change on 2001 % of all people in work, 2011 % change
- 14. -35% -30% -25% -20% -15% -10% -5% 0% 5% 10% England NorthEast NewcastleuponTyne NorthJesmond Westgate SouthJesmond EastGosforth Ouseburn SouthHeaton WestGosforth Parklands Wingrove Byker Dene Castle NorthHeaton Fawdon Newburn Westerhope Walker Denton Elswick Woolsington BenwellandScotswood Walkergate Fenham Blakelaw Lemington Kenton Travel to work by car/van as passenger, % of all aged 16-74 in work in 2011 and % change on 2001 % of all people in work, 2011 % change
- 15. -12% -2% 8% 18% 28% 38% 48% 58% 68% 78% England NorthEast NewcastleuponTyne Westgate Ouseburn SouthHeaton SouthJesmond Wingrove NorthJesmond Elswick Byker Walker Fawdon EastGosforth BenwellandScotswood Blakelaw NorthHeaton Fenham Walkergate Kenton Denton Woolsington Dene WestGosforth Lemington Newburn Castle Parklands Westerhope Travel to work by "sustainable" modes, % of all aged 16-74 in work in 2011 and % change on 2001 % of all people in work, 2011 % change
- 16. Observations • Wide variation in modal splits across the city • Large %age growth in walking + cycling but from v. low base • Poorer + more central = greater propensity to walk/ cycle/ use PT • Jesmond/Heaton/Gosforth/Fenham strongest on cycling mode share • Big student effects in Jesmond + Heaton (?) • Car ownership and use continues to rise, esp. in outer suburbs, but over 40% of households have no car/van and fewer than 50% of TTW journeys are by car (compare vs spending?!) • Almost everywhere ‘better’ than the NE and England averages • Some areas really not good enough given accessibility + PT infrastructure (Jesmond, Gosforth) • Need distance and destination data to complete picture – understand “irreducible core” of car-dependence