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Karsten Schmidt
KARSTEN SCHMIDT, PROJECT MANAGER AND RESEARCH ASSISTANT
ISSP – THE INITIATIVE FOR SCIENCE, SOCIETY & POLICY
INUDGEYOU TEAM (WWW.INUDGEYOU.COM)
THE DANISH NUDGING NETWORK
KARSTEN@INUDGEYOU.COM
www.inudgeyou.com
RESEARCH
Accumulated behavior
Information
Campaigns
Negative sanctioning
Elimination of choice
Positive sanctioning
THE INTERVENTION LADDER
Adapted from Public Health: Ethical Issues Nuffield Council on Bioethics, (2007) Cambridge Publishers Ltd., p. 42
BEHAVIOURAL INSIGHTS
DUAL PROCESS
THEORY
1. Sloman S.A. (1996) The empirical case for two systems of reasoning. Psychological Bulletin, 119, 3-22.
2. Kahneman D. (2003) A perspective on judgement and choice. American Psychologist. 58, 697-720.
3. Evans, J. (2003). "In two minds: dual-process accounts of reasoning". TRENDS in Cognitive Sciences 7 (10).
4. Stanovich, K E.; West, R F. (2000). "Individual difference in reasoning: implications for the rationality debate?". Behavioural and
Brain Sciences 23: 645–726.
5. Stupple, E.; Waterhouse (2009). "Negations In Syllogistic Reasoning: Evidence for a Heuristic - analytic Conflict". The Quarterly
Journal of Experimental Psychology 62 (8).
34 x 52 = ___
Dual process theory
(Kahneman Thinking, Fast and Slow, 2011)
Automatic system Reflective System
Uncontrolled Controlled
Effortless Effortful
Associative Reasoned
Fast Slow
Unconscious Self-aware
Skilled Rule following
Caused Actions
Behaviour Choice
Shiv, B. & A. Fedorikhin (1999) Heart and Mind in Conflict: the Interplay of Affect and Cognition in Consumer Decision Making,
Journal of Consumer Research, Vol. 26, No. 3 (December 1999) (pp. 278-292)
Decision-making and behavioral biases
Anchoring – the common human tendency to rely too heavily, or "anchor," on one trait or piece of
information when making decisions.
Attentional Bias – implicit cognitive bias defined as the tendency of emotionally dominant stimuli in
one's environment to preferentially draw and hold attention.
Backfire effect - Evidence disconfirming our beliefs only strengthens them.
Bandwagon effect – the tendency to do (or believe) things because many other people do (or
believe) the same. Related to groupthink and herd behavior.
Bias blind spot – the tendency to see oneself as less biased than other people.[2]
Choice-supportive bias – the tendency to remember one's choices as better than they actually
were.[3]
Confirmation bias – the tendency to search for or interpret information in a way that confirms one's
preconceptions.[4]
Congruence bias – the tendency to test hypotheses exclusively through direct testing, in contrast to
tests of possible alternative hypotheses.
Contrast effect – the enhancement or diminishing of a weight or other measurement when compared
with a recently observed contrasting object.[5]
Denomination effect – the tendency to spend more money when it is denominated in small
amounts (e.g. coins) rather than large amounts (e.g. bills).[6]
Distinction bias – the tendency to view two options as more dissimilar when evaluating them
simultaneously than when evaluating them separately.[7]
Empathy gap - the tendency to underestimate the influence or strength of feelings, in either oneself
or others.
Endowment effect – "the fact that people often demand much more to give up an object than they
would be willing to pay to acquire it".[8]
Experimenter's or Expectation bias – the tendency for experimenters to believe, certify, and
publish data that agree with their expectations for the outcome of an experiment, and to disbelieve,
Behavioural
Economics
Cognitive
Psychology
Cognitive
Design
Social
Psychology
Nudge
Hansen, PG (Forthcoming 2013) The New Policy ABC: Applied Behavioural sCience .
Applied Behavioural Science
A nudge is an umbrella term for any attempt at
influencing choices and behaviour in a predictable way
without
1) limiting the original choice set, or
1) making alternatives appreciable more costly in
terms of time, trouble, social sanctions, and so forth.
nudge
Hansen, PG & Jespersen, AM (2013) Nudge & The Manipulation of Choice – A Framework for the Responsible Use of the
Nudge Approach to Behaviour Change in Public Policy, The European Journal of Risk Regulation, Volume 1, 2013, 3-28
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
Control Treatment
Footprints Fiolstræde
Dustbins
Litter
Unacc.
19,3 %
26,3 %
9,1 %
4,9 %
0
5000
10000
15000
20000
25000
Pieces of
cigarette butts
Pieces of other
litter
PIECES OF LITTER COLLECTED IN TEST AREAS
Smokeless Terminals
Hansen PG; Schmidt K; Skov KL (2013)
Where do smokers come from?
85%
15%
½
Types and distribution of
transgressions
37%
3%12%
48%
10 m
Visual attraction / Salience
56.28%
26.46%
0.00%
10.00%
20.00%
30.00%
40.00%
50.00%
60.00%
Pre- Post-
N= 1695 N = 1489
Main effect: total shares of transgressions, pre- and post intervention
The main effect pursued in the intervention was the reduction of smoking activity in the no-smoking zones
directly outside the door areas of the Airport. As total shares of transgressions pre- and post intervention
show the intervention succeeded in reducing this by more than 50%. In particular, the intervention has
caused a change from transgressors being the majority group to being the minority group.
Thanks to Rani Saad Ideas42
www.inudgeyou.com
karsten@inudgeyou.com
Karsten Schmidt

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I Nudge You

  • 2. KARSTEN SCHMIDT, PROJECT MANAGER AND RESEARCH ASSISTANT ISSP – THE INITIATIVE FOR SCIENCE, SOCIETY & POLICY INUDGEYOU TEAM (WWW.INUDGEYOU.COM) THE DANISH NUDGING NETWORK KARSTEN@INUDGEYOU.COM
  • 5.
  • 7.
  • 8.
  • 9.
  • 10.
  • 11.
  • 12.
  • 13.
  • 14.
  • 15. Information Campaigns Negative sanctioning Elimination of choice Positive sanctioning THE INTERVENTION LADDER Adapted from Public Health: Ethical Issues Nuffield Council on Bioethics, (2007) Cambridge Publishers Ltd., p. 42
  • 16.
  • 17.
  • 18. BEHAVIOURAL INSIGHTS DUAL PROCESS THEORY 1. Sloman S.A. (1996) The empirical case for two systems of reasoning. Psychological Bulletin, 119, 3-22. 2. Kahneman D. (2003) A perspective on judgement and choice. American Psychologist. 58, 697-720. 3. Evans, J. (2003). "In two minds: dual-process accounts of reasoning". TRENDS in Cognitive Sciences 7 (10). 4. Stanovich, K E.; West, R F. (2000). "Individual difference in reasoning: implications for the rationality debate?". Behavioural and Brain Sciences 23: 645–726. 5. Stupple, E.; Waterhouse (2009). "Negations In Syllogistic Reasoning: Evidence for a Heuristic - analytic Conflict". The Quarterly Journal of Experimental Psychology 62 (8).
  • 19.
  • 20. 34 x 52 = ___
  • 21. Dual process theory (Kahneman Thinking, Fast and Slow, 2011) Automatic system Reflective System Uncontrolled Controlled Effortless Effortful Associative Reasoned Fast Slow Unconscious Self-aware Skilled Rule following Caused Actions Behaviour Choice
  • 22.
  • 23. Shiv, B. & A. Fedorikhin (1999) Heart and Mind in Conflict: the Interplay of Affect and Cognition in Consumer Decision Making, Journal of Consumer Research, Vol. 26, No. 3 (December 1999) (pp. 278-292)
  • 24. Decision-making and behavioral biases Anchoring – the common human tendency to rely too heavily, or "anchor," on one trait or piece of information when making decisions. Attentional Bias – implicit cognitive bias defined as the tendency of emotionally dominant stimuli in one's environment to preferentially draw and hold attention. Backfire effect - Evidence disconfirming our beliefs only strengthens them. Bandwagon effect – the tendency to do (or believe) things because many other people do (or believe) the same. Related to groupthink and herd behavior. Bias blind spot – the tendency to see oneself as less biased than other people.[2] Choice-supportive bias – the tendency to remember one's choices as better than they actually were.[3] Confirmation bias – the tendency to search for or interpret information in a way that confirms one's preconceptions.[4] Congruence bias – the tendency to test hypotheses exclusively through direct testing, in contrast to tests of possible alternative hypotheses. Contrast effect – the enhancement or diminishing of a weight or other measurement when compared with a recently observed contrasting object.[5] Denomination effect – the tendency to spend more money when it is denominated in small amounts (e.g. coins) rather than large amounts (e.g. bills).[6] Distinction bias – the tendency to view two options as more dissimilar when evaluating them simultaneously than when evaluating them separately.[7] Empathy gap - the tendency to underestimate the influence or strength of feelings, in either oneself or others. Endowment effect – "the fact that people often demand much more to give up an object than they would be willing to pay to acquire it".[8] Experimenter's or Expectation bias – the tendency for experimenters to believe, certify, and publish data that agree with their expectations for the outcome of an experiment, and to disbelieve,
  • 25. Behavioural Economics Cognitive Psychology Cognitive Design Social Psychology Nudge Hansen, PG (Forthcoming 2013) The New Policy ABC: Applied Behavioural sCience . Applied Behavioural Science
  • 26. A nudge is an umbrella term for any attempt at influencing choices and behaviour in a predictable way without 1) limiting the original choice set, or 1) making alternatives appreciable more costly in terms of time, trouble, social sanctions, and so forth. nudge Hansen, PG & Jespersen, AM (2013) Nudge & The Manipulation of Choice – A Framework for the Responsible Use of the Nudge Approach to Behaviour Change in Public Policy, The European Journal of Risk Regulation, Volume 1, 2013, 3-28
  • 27.
  • 28.
  • 30.
  • 31. 0 5000 10000 15000 20000 25000 Pieces of cigarette butts Pieces of other litter PIECES OF LITTER COLLECTED IN TEST AREAS
  • 32.
  • 33. Smokeless Terminals Hansen PG; Schmidt K; Skov KL (2013)
  • 34.
  • 35. Where do smokers come from? 85% 15% ½
  • 36. Types and distribution of transgressions 37% 3%12% 48%
  • 37.
  • 38. 10 m
  • 39.
  • 41. 56.28% 26.46% 0.00% 10.00% 20.00% 30.00% 40.00% 50.00% 60.00% Pre- Post- N= 1695 N = 1489 Main effect: total shares of transgressions, pre- and post intervention The main effect pursued in the intervention was the reduction of smoking activity in the no-smoking zones directly outside the door areas of the Airport. As total shares of transgressions pre- and post intervention show the intervention succeeded in reducing this by more than 50%. In particular, the intervention has caused a change from transgressors being the majority group to being the minority group.
  • 42.
  • 43.
  • 44.
  • 45.
  • 46. Thanks to Rani Saad Ideas42
  • 47.