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Environment Challenges:
Climate Change
Water, Energy
James M. Byrne
Professor of Geography
Prentice Institute Affiliate
University of Lethbridge
Earth: The Operators Manual
Who owns
the climate
problem?
Los Angeles
Is it us?
The most profound danger to world peace
in the coming years will stem … from the
legitimate demands of the world's
dispossessed ... the majority live a marginal
existence in equatorial climates. Global
warming … originating with the wealthy
few, will affect their fragile ecologies most.
Their situation will be desperate and
manifestly unjust.
100 Nobel Laureates Warn Our Planet
OSLO, Norway December 7, 2001
Who was borne in 1960?
Borne in 1960?
Your Net GHG Emissions
Recent
GHG t/yr
GHG Sum
t/1960-2012
India 1.4 ~25
China 6 ~100
North America 25 ~800
Alberta 70 ~1500*
Developed world lead in GHG emission reductions
*Not the average Albertan
*Not average Kainai Resident
Climate Impacts?
USA Tornadoes 2011-12-13
Tropical Cyclone Haiyan
Australia Bureau of Meteorology
UK Storms and Flooding
Drought?
• Africa, South America
• Russia, Australia
• Canada – Ontario, Prairies, BC
• USA
– Southwest, Southeast
– Texas, Oklahoma, Great Plains
Hurricane Sandy
Buffalo, NY
Weather in steroids!
How can we solve climate change?
Nanton, Alberta, January 4, 2012
Massive southern Alberta grass fires
force 3,500 to leave homes
Munich Re
Climate Change and Us - water?
• Drought western North America, 2000-2004
Upper St. Mary
Watershed, Glacier
Park, Montana
• 2000 km2
• Water supply -
300,000 ha irrigation
in Canada & USA
St. Mary Spring Runoff to 2100?
Simulated Spring Streamflow Trend
0
100
200
300
400
500
600
1961 1971 1981 1991 2001 2011 2021 2031 2041 2051 2061 2071 2081 2091
ModelledQS(millionm
3
)
Scenario 1
Scenario 2
Historical (solid is base period)
Larson 2011A, 2011B
Modest GHG emission cuts
below business as usual
<3
3-4.99
5-6.99
7+
1961-1990 Fire Seasonal Severity Rating:
St. Mary Watershed
Impacts on Aquatic Life?
Enhanced Recovery of Oil and
Gas with Hydraulic Fracturing:
Environmental Concerns
James M. Byrne, Ph.D.
Professor and Chair, Geography
University of Lethbridge
Industry
• Hydraulic fracturing
is a proven
technological
advancement which
allows natural gas
producers to safely
recover natural gas
from deep shale
formations
• Ground and surface
water contamination
• earthquake
generation
• Air pollution
emissions
• Leaking methane, a
potent greenhouse
gas.
Science
Methane leakage up to 9% of production!
Long term
Pollution
Concerns?
• Rivers?
• Groundwater?
• Local air
emissions?
• Methane
leakage?
Fossil fuel balance sheet ($billions)
• Stern report $1,000
• Fossil fuel subsidies $ 600
• Annual damages $1,200
• Oil purchases $2,000
• Coal Purchases $ 500
• Natural Gas $ 500
• Health care costs $1,000
• TOTAL SAVINGS $4,800
$1900 IMF
$6100
Fracking?
$?,???.??
Converting Society to Electricity?
IMPACT ASSESSMENT OF PLUG-IN HYBRID
VEHICLES ON ELECTRIC UTILITIES AND
REGIONAL U.S.POWER GRIDS
Michael Kintner-Meyer
Kevin Schneider
Robert Pratt
Pacific Northwest National Laboratory
JOURNAL OF EUEC, Volume 1, 2007
Grid-Auto Integration
Grid --
Grid --
Grid ++
Eliminates GHG emissions for 86%
of light cars and trucks
Health benefits of
pollution
reduction!
Mark Jacobson, Stanford University
• 3.8 million large wind
turbines
• 90,000 solar plants
• geothermal, tidal power
• rooftop photovoltaic
installations (Germany)
• Cost effective compared
to fossil fuels
Wind Speeds
Archer, C. L., and M. Z. Jacobson (2005),
Evaluation of global wind power,
J. Geophys. Res. 110 , D12110, doi:
0.1029/2004JD005462
Solar Energy
Lethbridge = Houston, Tx
PHOTOVOLTAIC RESOURCE MAPS FOR CANADA
Sophie Pelland, Daniel W. McKenney, Yves Poissant,
Robert Morris, Kevin Lawrence, Kathy Campbell and Pia
Papadopol, CANMET Energy Technology Centre-
Varennes, Natural Resources Canada, 1615 Lionel-Boulet
Blvd., Varennes, Québec, Canada, J3X 1S6
Agriculture, waste and energy
http://calculator.carbonfootprint.com/calculator.aspx?tab=8
8.3 tonnes CO2e
Summary
• Fossil fuels - declining use
• Climate and weather on steroids getting worse
• Solutions: cut GHG emissions
– Electric and hybrid automobiles
– Power grid conversion to renewables
• Alberta - renewable investments
– Wind, solar, biomass & biogas, heat exchange
– Geothermal – individual and community
• Kainai Reserve has big solar, wind potential
Thanks for listening
Discussion?
References
• http://www.eia.gov/cfapps/ipdbproject/iedindex3.cfm?tid=1&pid=1&aid=2&cid=ww,&syid=2
000&eyid=2011&unit=TST#

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Environment Challenges: Climate Change Water, Energy

Notes de l'éditeur

  1. St. Mary Historical seasonal severity rating
  2. This session is primarily focused on the impacts of climate change on salmonid habitat. However, there are a number of other environmental disturbances that pose a threat to changing the thermal habitat of fresh water streams. Forest harvest etc all have some impact on watershed processes and therefore, pose a threat of altering stream temperatures. In order to understand how environmental change may alter the thermal habitat of fresh water streams, we need modelling studies.