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India Morning Note
    a
Mond
   day, October 15, 2012
              r

Dom
  mestic Markets Snapshot
                        t                                    V
                                                             Views on ma
                                                                       arkets today
                                                                                  y

 Nam of Index
   me                   11-Oct       12-Oct       Change     • The BSE Sensex on Friday dropped by n
                                                                     E         n                   nearly 130
 Sens
    sex              18,804.75   18,675.18
                                 1                -0.69%           points to close at 18,675.18 on lower than expected
                                                                           o                     n          n
 CNX Nifty            5,708.05     5,676.05       -0.56%           Infosys earnings and a cut in its full-y
                                                                                                          year sales
 BSE Mid-cap          6,671.27     6,676.85        0.08%           guidance amid slow
                                                                          e,        wing industria production growth in
                                                                                                 al         n
 BSE IT               5,881.12     5,728.77       -2.59%           August.
 BSE Banks           13,139.79   13,086.92
                                 1                -0.40%
                                                             • Industria growth, as measure
                                                                       al                 ed by the Index of
FII Ac
     ctivity                                       (`Cr)           Industria Production (IIP), slowe to 2.7% in August,
                                                                           al         n            ed
                                                                   from 3.4 in the co
                                                                          4%        orresponding period last year. The
                                                                                               g           t
 Date
    e                     Buy           Sell         Net
 10-O
    Oct                 2,067          1,650         417
                                                                   manufac
                                                                         cturing secto which co
                                                                                     or,      onstitutes ov
                                                                                                          ver 75% of
 9-Oct                  2,334          1,681         653           the inde grew at slow rate of 2.9 % in August as
                                                                          ex,                 o
 Total Oct
     l                 23,223       15,190          8033                               same month last year.
                                                                   against 3.9% in the s
                                                                           3
 2012 YTD
    2                  517161       424521         92640     • Among t          oral indices, ten sectors closed in
                                                                     the 13 secto                       s
MF A
   Activity                                         (`Cr)          negative while rem
                                                                          e,        maining three sectors closed in
                                                                   positive. Top Gainer BSE CD up by 0.60% BSE HC
                                                                                      rs:                %,
 Date
    e                     Buy           Sell         Net           surged b 0.49% and BSE FMC up by 0
                                                                          by                CG      0.21%. Top
 10-O
    Oct                   266           571         -306
                                                                   Losers: B
                                                                           BSE IT down by 2.59%, BSE Teck d
                                                                                     n                    declined by
 9-Oct                    228           302          -74
                                                                   2.26% an BSE Realt down by 0.88%
                                                                          nd        ty        0
 Total Oct
     l                  3,112          4,707       -1595
 2012 YTD
    2                   94555       109460        -14905         • Market breadth was negative at ~0.9x as investors
                                                                          b         s          a         s
                                                                   sold larg cap stock On provis
                                                                           ge        ks.       sional basis, FII bought
Global Markets
                                                                                    and domest institutions bought
                                                                   equity o `2.01bn a
                                                                          of                 tic
 Index
     x                 Latest Valu
                                 ues            Change (%)
                                                C                  equity of `1.88bn in cash segment.
                                                                           f
 DJIA                     13,328
                               8.85                0.02%
                                                                 • Asia stocks are cho
                                                                                     oppy in the morning to
                                                                                                          oday, after
 Nasd
    daq                    3,044
                               4.11               -0.17%
                                                                   European economie kept investors cautious while
                                                                          n        es
 Nikke
     ei                    8,535.68                0.02%
                                                                   China reported a dro in the consumer inflat
                                                                                      op                     tion.
 Hang Seng
    g                     21,097.73               -0.18%
* as of 8.25AM IST
      f                                                          • We expe
                                                                         ect a flat o
                                                                                    opening for the Indian markets,
                                                                                              r          n
Curre
    ency Snapsh
              hot                                                  following the cues fr
                                                                           g           rom the Asian markets and caution
                                                                   ahead of the inflatio numbers later in the day and
                                                                                       on      s
 Future contract                                   RBI
                          Latest    Previous                       earnings of Reliance Industries p
                                                                          s                        post market h
                                                                                                               hours.
 expir on
     re                                      Reference
                                             R
                          Quote        Close
 29/10/12                                         Rate
                                                                 Economic a
                                                                          and Corporate Developm
                                                                                               ments
 India Rupee per $
     an                    53.14        52.89      52.70
 India Rupee per €
     an                    68.49        68.10      68.16     •     The gove
                                                                          ernment rule out a rollb
                                                                                     ed          back or modification of
 India Rupee per £
     an                    84.92        84.91      84.51           its decis
                                                                           sion to cap supply of su
                                                                                                  ubsidised co
                                                                                                             ooking gas
 India Rupee per ¥
     an                    67.67        67.38      67.21           (LPG) at 6 cylinders per household in a yea as it will
                                                                                                             ar
* NSE Exchange                                                     cast a "s
                                                                           shadow" on t
                                                                                      the whole ref
                                                                                                  form process
                                                                                                             s.




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TOP GAINERS
    G
                                                    Buzzing Stocks
(BSE A-Group)
                   Previous   Current    Change      • Governm ment clears 40 oil and gas ex
                                                                         s                   xploration
 Company Name
                   Close(`)   Price(`)      (%)
                                                       blocks: (Companies include RIL , ONGC a
                                                                         s                   and Cairn
 J&K Bank
     B             1083.45      1134      4.67%
 Century Tex         374.5      390.4     4.25%
                                                       India )
 ACC               1440.85    1498.45     4.00%
                                                     • Bharti may merge India and A
                                                              m                   Africa opera
                                                                                             ations by
 Dabu India
    ur               130.4     135.25     3.72%
 JPPOW
     WER               36.4      37.7     3.57%        mid 20113

(BSE Mid-Cap)
   E
                                                     • Loans to Deccan C
                                                              o         Chronicle (D
                                                                                   DCHL) unde finance
                                                                                            er
                   Previous   Current    Change        ministry scanner
                                                              y
 Company Name
                   Close(`)   Price(`)      (%)
 Bombay Dyeing       534.6     570.55     6.72%
                                                     • MTNL and BSNL as governme to pay R 11000
                                                                          sk         ent         Rs
 India Cements
     a               95.15      101.1     6.25%
                                                       crore for 1 time payyment of ad
                                                                                     dditional spe
                                                                                                 ectrum
 JUBIL
     LANT            204.2      215.1     5.34%
 DBR
   REALTY              89.6     94.05     4.97%
                                                     • Everest Kanto        re
                                                                             edeems Rs 265 crore foreign
                                                                                               e
 Unite Bank
     ed              64.75       67.8     4.71%
                                                       currency convertibl bonds (FC
                                                                         le        CCBs)
TOP LOSERS
    L
                                                     • RIL cuts investmen in KG D6 block oil fields by
                                                              s         nt       6
(BSE A-Group)
                                                       USD 3 b
                                                             billion
                   Previous   Current    Change
 Company Name
                   Close(`)   Price(`)      (%)
                                                     • TV18 Br          ghts issue closes today
                                                             roadcast rig
 TTK Prestige
     P             3663.75     3313.9    -9.55%
 Infos
     sys           2531.45    2395.65    -5.36%
                                                     • Orissa Mineral C Corporation opposes revoking
 Unite
     ech              27.2       26.3    -3.31%
                                                       Sterlite  mining    license    Deccan     Chargers
 Astra
     azeneca Pha    1635.3    1590.35    -2.75%
                                                       terminated, BCCI floats tender for new tea
                                                                                    r           am
 Panta
     aloon Retl      196.1     190.75    -2.73%

(BSE Mid-Cap)
   E                                                 • Religare Finvest cu stake in Tulip Tele
                                                              e          uts        n        ecom     by
 Company Name
                   Previous   Current    Change        2.9% to 11.6% (selling pledge shares)
                   Close(`)   Price(`)      (%)
 TTK Prestige
     P             3663.75     3313.9    -9.55%
 Sun P
     Pharma Adv      112.8     106.65    -5.45%
 Tulip Telecom
     p               37.65       35.8    -4.91%
 Resp
    ponsive Inds     92.35         88    -4.71%
 Gruh Finance
    h                196.8      187.9    -4.52%




Keyno Capitals Research
    ote                                    (research
                                                   h@keynotecapitals.net)             (+9122-3026
                                                                                                66000)
 



                                                                                                                                  




                                                                                                                                  




 India and Global Economic C
                           Calendar

   Cou
     untries /                     Monday                            Tuesd
                                                                         day                         Wednesday
                                                                                                     W


   Reg
     gions                         15/Oct                             16/Oct                            17/Oct


   India               WPI Inflati
                                 ion (Sep)                                                  M3 Money Supply (Oc 14)
                                                                                                              ct




                       NY Empire State
                               e                           nsumer Price Index (YoY)
                                                         Con          e           )         MBA Mort tgage Applic
                                                                                                                cations
   US
                       Manufactu
                               uring Index (
                                           (Oct)         (Sep)                              (Oct 12)

                                                         Indu
                                                            ustrial Produ
                                                                        uction (MoM)        EIA Crude Oil Stocks
                                                                                                    e
                       Retail Sale (MoM) (Se
                                 es        ep)
                                                         (Sep)                              change (O 12)
                                                                                                    Oct




                       China Consumer Price Index        UK Core Consum Price
                                                                       mer                  European Constructio
                                                                                                    n          on
   Global
                       (MoM) (Se
                               ep)                       Inde (YoY) (Sep)
                                                            ex                              Output s.a (MoM) (Au
                                                                                                               ug)


                                                         Euro Trade Bala
                                                                       ance s.a.
                                                         (Aug) and CPI




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Keynote capitals india morning note 15 october-12

  • 1.       India Morning Note a Mond day, October 15, 2012 r Dom mestic Markets Snapshot t V Views on ma arkets today y Nam of Index me 11-Oct 12-Oct Change • The BSE Sensex on Friday dropped by n E n nearly 130 Sens sex 18,804.75 18,675.18 1 -0.69% points to close at 18,675.18 on lower than expected o n n CNX Nifty 5,708.05 5,676.05 -0.56% Infosys earnings and a cut in its full-y year sales BSE Mid-cap 6,671.27 6,676.85 0.08% guidance amid slow e, wing industria production growth in al n BSE IT 5,881.12 5,728.77 -2.59% August. BSE Banks 13,139.79 13,086.92 1 -0.40% • Industria growth, as measure al ed by the Index of FII Ac ctivity (`Cr) Industria Production (IIP), slowe to 2.7% in August, al n ed from 3.4 in the co 4% orresponding period last year. The g t Date e Buy Sell Net 10-O Oct 2,067 1,650 417 manufac cturing secto which co or, onstitutes ov ver 75% of 9-Oct 2,334 1,681 653 the inde grew at slow rate of 2.9 % in August as ex, o Total Oct l 23,223 15,190 8033 same month last year. against 3.9% in the s 3 2012 YTD 2 517161 424521 92640 • Among t oral indices, ten sectors closed in the 13 secto s MF A Activity (`Cr) negative while rem e, maining three sectors closed in positive. Top Gainer BSE CD up by 0.60% BSE HC rs: %, Date e Buy Sell Net surged b 0.49% and BSE FMC up by 0 by CG 0.21%. Top 10-O Oct 266 571 -306 Losers: B BSE IT down by 2.59%, BSE Teck d n declined by 9-Oct 228 302 -74 2.26% an BSE Realt down by 0.88% nd ty 0 Total Oct l 3,112 4,707 -1595 2012 YTD 2 94555 109460 -14905 • Market breadth was negative at ~0.9x as investors b s a s sold larg cap stock On provis ge ks. sional basis, FII bought Global Markets and domest institutions bought equity o `2.01bn a of tic Index x Latest Valu ues Change (%) C equity of `1.88bn in cash segment. f DJIA 13,328 8.85 0.02% • Asia stocks are cho oppy in the morning to oday, after Nasd daq 3,044 4.11 -0.17% European economie kept investors cautious while n es Nikke ei 8,535.68 0.02% China reported a dro in the consumer inflat op tion. Hang Seng g 21,097.73 -0.18% * as of 8.25AM IST f • We expe ect a flat o opening for the Indian markets, r n Curre ency Snapsh hot following the cues fr g rom the Asian markets and caution ahead of the inflatio numbers later in the day and on s Future contract RBI Latest Previous earnings of Reliance Industries p s post market h hours. expir on re Reference R Quote Close 29/10/12 Rate Economic a and Corporate Developm ments India Rupee per $ an 53.14 52.89 52.70 India Rupee per € an 68.49 68.10 68.16 • The gove ernment rule out a rollb ed back or modification of India Rupee per £ an 84.92 84.91 84.51 its decis sion to cap supply of su ubsidised co ooking gas India Rupee per ¥ an 67.67 67.38 67.21 (LPG) at 6 cylinders per household in a yea as it will ar * NSE Exchange cast a "s shadow" on t the whole ref form process s. Keyno Capitals Research ote (research h@keynotecapitals.net) (+9122-3026 66000) Keyno Capitals R ote Research is also available on Bloom mberg KNTE <GO>, Thom mson One Ana alytics, Reute Knowledge, Capital IQ, TheMarkets.com and sec ers , curities.com Keynote Capi K itals Institutio onal Research - winner of “India’s Best IPO Analyst Award 2009” by MCX-Zee Business h t ” e To unsubscrib from this m T be mailing list, p please reply to unsubscribe@keynotecaapitals.net
  • 2.     TOP GAINERS G Buzzing Stocks (BSE A-Group) Previous Current Change • Governm ment clears 40 oil and gas ex s xploration Company Name Close(`) Price(`) (%) blocks: (Companies include RIL , ONGC a s and Cairn J&K Bank B 1083.45 1134 4.67% Century Tex 374.5 390.4 4.25% India ) ACC 1440.85 1498.45 4.00% • Bharti may merge India and A m Africa opera ations by Dabu India ur 130.4 135.25 3.72% JPPOW WER 36.4 37.7 3.57% mid 20113 (BSE Mid-Cap) E • Loans to Deccan C o Chronicle (D DCHL) unde finance er Previous Current Change ministry scanner y Company Name Close(`) Price(`) (%) Bombay Dyeing 534.6 570.55 6.72% • MTNL and BSNL as governme to pay R 11000 sk ent Rs India Cements a 95.15 101.1 6.25% crore for 1 time payyment of ad dditional spe ectrum JUBIL LANT 204.2 215.1 5.34% DBR REALTY 89.6 94.05 4.97% • Everest Kanto re edeems Rs 265 crore foreign e Unite Bank ed 64.75 67.8 4.71% currency convertibl bonds (FC le CCBs) TOP LOSERS L • RIL cuts investmen in KG D6 block oil fields by s nt 6 (BSE A-Group) USD 3 b billion Previous Current Change Company Name Close(`) Price(`) (%) • TV18 Br ghts issue closes today roadcast rig TTK Prestige P 3663.75 3313.9 -9.55% Infos sys 2531.45 2395.65 -5.36% • Orissa Mineral C Corporation opposes revoking Unite ech 27.2 26.3 -3.31% Sterlite mining license Deccan Chargers Astra azeneca Pha 1635.3 1590.35 -2.75% terminated, BCCI floats tender for new tea r am Panta aloon Retl 196.1 190.75 -2.73% (BSE Mid-Cap) E • Religare Finvest cu stake in Tulip Tele e uts n ecom by Company Name Previous Current Change 2.9% to 11.6% (selling pledge shares) Close(`) Price(`) (%) TTK Prestige P 3663.75 3313.9 -9.55% Sun P Pharma Adv 112.8 106.65 -5.45% Tulip Telecom p 37.65 35.8 -4.91% Resp ponsive Inds 92.35 88 -4.71% Gruh Finance h 196.8 187.9 -4.52% Keyno Capitals Research ote (research h@keynotecapitals.net) (+9122-3026 66000)
  • 3.       India and Global Economic C Calendar Cou untries / Monday Tuesd day Wednesday W Reg gions 15/Oct 16/Oct 17/Oct India WPI Inflati ion (Sep) M3 Money Supply (Oc 14) ct NY Empire State e nsumer Price Index (YoY) Con e ) MBA Mort tgage Applic cations US Manufactu uring Index ( (Oct) (Sep) (Oct 12) Indu ustrial Produ uction (MoM) EIA Crude Oil Stocks e Retail Sale (MoM) (Se es ep) (Sep) change (O 12) Oct China Consumer Price Index UK Core Consum Price mer European Constructio n on Global (MoM) (Se ep) Inde (YoY) (Sep) ex Output s.a (MoM) (Au ug) Euro Trade Bala ance s.a. (Aug) and CPI KEYNOTE CAPITALS LTD. E The Ruby, 9th Floor, Senapati Ba , S apat Marg, Dadar (W), M D Mumbai – 40 028 00 Tel. : +912 22-30266000 0 • www.ke eynotecapita als.com Disclaim mer: This repo is purely for informatio purpose an is based on public infor ort f on nd o rmation. News content is a attributable to o various media, unles specified ot s ss therwise. All m market related statistical da pertains to the immedia d ata o ately preceding trading dayy, unless stated otherw wise. Neither the information nor any opin nion expresse in this repo constitutes an offer, or a invitation to ed ort an o make an offer, to bu or sell the s a uy securities menntioned herein We or any o our directors, officers or employees sh n. of hall not in any y way be responsible for any loss a e arising from th use of this report. Inves he s stors are advi ised to apply their own jud dgment before e acting o the conten of this repo The report has not been edited due t time constraints. on nts ort. t n to