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India Morning Note
    a
Thurs
    sday, August 30, 2012
               t

  mestic Markets Snapshot
Dom                     t                                   V
                                                            Views on ma
                                                                      arkets today
                                                                                 y
 Nam of Index
   me                  Aug 28       Aug 29     Change (%)   • Indian markets fell yesterday for a fourth straight
                                                                      m                                     h
 Sens
    sex              17,631.71    17,490.81
                                  1              -0.80%       session to mark its longest losing streak s   since mid-
                                                              July to hit their lowest level in over three weeeks after
 CNX Nifty            5,334.60     5,287.80      -0.88%
                                                              the RBI ggovernor, D Subbarao m  maintained his hawkish
 BSE Mid-cap          5,994.43     5,962.21      -0.54%
                                                              tone in a speech delivered in the US on Tues
                                                                                                e           sday. Euro
 BSE IT               5,797.71     5,746.28      -0.89%       zone de  ebt worries also weighed on the markete
 BSE Banks           11,544.33    11,500.83
                                  1              -0.38%       sentimen Broader sentiment remained we
                                                                       nt.                                  eak ahead
                                                              of the exxpiry of Augu derivativ contracts and April-
                                                                                    ust         ve
FII Ac
     ctivity                                      (`Cr)
                                                              June economic growt data on Fr
                                                                                    th           riday.
 Date
    e                     Buy          Sell         Net     • FMCG sttocks rose a pick-up in monsoon rains this
                                                                                 as          n
 28-Aug                 2,007         1,838         169       month will lead to a recovery in yields in summer-
                                                                     w
 27-Aug                 1,802         1,169         632       sown crrops including rice an  nd oilseeds. Aviation
 Total Aug
     l                  37743        30783         6960       shares declined acro
                                                                     d           oss the boar as crude oil prices
                                                                                              rd
 2012 YTD
    2                  411713       351453        60260       remain high as avia
                                                                      h          ation turbine fuel (ATF) typically
                                                                                              e           )
                                                              makes up almost hal of an airlin
                                                                                 lf          ne's operating cost.
MF A
   Activity                                        (`Cr)
                                                            • ONGC fe 2% after Morgan Stanley downgraded the
                                                                      ell
 Date
    e                     Buy          Sell         Net       stock to "equalweig
                                                                      o            ght", citing potential ddownward
 28-Aug                   494          718          -224      revisions to domestic crude o volumes for fiscal
                                                                       s                      oil
 27-Aug                   213          584          -371      2014 an uncertain
                                                                       nd          nty on inteernational production.
                                                              Jaiprakas Associate fell 9.2% its single biggest
                                                                       sh          es          %,          e
 Total Aug
     l                   7936         9578         -1641
                                                              daily fall since Sept 2011 as conncerns about net debt
                                                                                                           t
 2012 YTD
    2                   79905        89361         -9456
                                                              levels inccreased a da after the cement maker raised
                                                                                   ay
Global Markets                                                $150mn in foreign currency c     convertible bonds, in
                                                              part, to redeem prior debt. Infosys fell 1.4% after
 Index
     x                     Latest Values
                                t              Change (%)     Deutsche Bank warn
                                                                       e          ned the softw
                                                                                              ware services exporter
                                                                                                           s
 DJIA                            13
                                  3,107.48        0.03%       has not seen any ch  hanges to it near-term business
                                                                                               ts         m
 NASD
    DAQ                           3,081.19
                                  3               0.13%       outlook, citing a connversation with compan CFO V.
                                                                                               w           ny
 Nikke *
     ei                           9,002.73
                                  9              -0.74%       Balakrishhnan.
 Hang Seng *
    g                            19
                                  9,592.49       -0.99%     • Market b
                                                                     breadth was negative at ~0.80x as investors
                                                                                              t
* as of 8.25AM IST
      f                                                       sold large cap sto  ocks. On pr rovisional b
                                                                                                         basis, FIIs
                                                              bought eequity of `1.43bn while domestic innstitutions
Curre
    ency Snapsh
              hot
                                                              sold equity of `2.39b in cash se
                                                                                  bn         egment.
 Future contract                                   RBI
                          Latest    Previous                • Asian markets declined after wweak retail s
                                                                                                        sales data
 expir on
     re                                      Reference
                                             R
                          Quote        Close                  from Japan and d  declining coommodity prices put
 29/08/12                                         Rate
 India Rupee per $
     an                    55.67       55.68       55.67      pressure on major m
                                                                     e          markets a day ahead of a much-
                                                                                                        f
                                                              awaited speech from Fed chief Ben Bernanke
                                                                                m           B           e.
 India Rupee per €
     an                    69.94       69.88       88.05
 India Rupee per £
     an                    88.08       87.97       69.92    • We expe  ect a weak opening for the Indian markets
                                                                                                          n
                                                              today following the c cues from th Asian ma
                                                                                               he         arkets and
 India Rupee per ¥
     an                    70.90       70.78       70.90
                                                              rising poolitical uncertainty on account of c
                                                                                               a          coal block
* NSE Exchange                                                allocation issues
                                                            Economic and Corporate Developm
                                                                     a                    ments
                                                            • India's G
                                                                      GDP growth during the April-June q   quarter is
                                                              expected at 5.2% and the econ
                                                                      d                        nomy will coontinue to
                                                              perform below poten ntial for the entire year, research
                                                                                                           ,
                                                              firm Mooody's said.

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    mberg KNTE <GO>, Thom    mson One Ana alytics, Reute Knowledge, Capital IQ, TheMarkets.com and sec
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TOP GAINERS
    G                                                Buzzing Stocks
(BSE A-Group)                                        • Redingto to hive of its supply chain busine into a
                                                              on         ff                      ess
                    Previous   Current    Change       separate entity.
                                                              e
 Company Name
                    Close(`)   Price(`)      (%)     • ONGC Videsh in talk to buy sha gas asset in US &
                                                                         ks         ale       ts
 Wock
    khardt          1115.20    1190.35      6.74
                                                       Canada.
 WELC
    CORP              86.45      91.55      5.90
                                                     • Alembic Pharma’s major par of manu
                                                                                     rt      ufacturing
 Unite Spirits
     ed              928.05     978.75      5.46
                                                       operatio at Halol, V
                                                              on          Vadodara res
                                                                                     stored.
 Pipav
     vav Defence      63.60      65.60      3.14
 Coromandel Intl     279.55     288.00      3.02     • Ricoh India to seek s
                                                                           shareholders nod for delisting.
                                                                                      s
                                                     • Aarti Ind
                                                               dustries boar meets to c
                                                                           rd         consider dem
                                                                                                 merger of
(BSE Mid-Cap)
   E
                                                       the man nufacturing b
                                                                           business.
                    Previous   Current    Change
 Company Name                                        • Gati planning to rope in a stra
                                                                                     ategic partner for its
                    Close(`)   Price(`)      (%)
 Wock
    khardt          1115.20    1190.35       6.74      shipping division.
                                                              g
 WELC
    CORP              86.45      91.55       5.90    • Jaypee Infra loses `1
                                                                           1100Cr road infra project in UP as
                                                                                                   t
 Stand
     dard Charter     96.10     101.45       5.57      new gov has shelve land for de
                                                              vt           ed         evelopment model.
 JUBIL
     LANT            165.50     173.05       4.56    • Bain, KKR vie for 30% stake in Lanco’s power
                                                                                 e
 PHOE
    ENIX MILL        157.05     164.00       4.43      projects.

TOP LOSERS
    L
(BSE A-Group)
                    Previous   Current    Change
 Company Name
                    Close(`)   Price(`)      (%)
 Jaipra
      akash Asso      70.45      63.95      -9.23
 Mana
    appuram Fin       36.70      33.80      -7.90
 SAIL                 82.75      78.00      -5.74
 Relia
     ance Comm        51.00      48.25      -5.39
 Sesa Goa            182.30    172.60       -5.32

(BSE Mid-Cap)
   E
                    Previous   Current    Change
 Company Name
                    Close(`)   Price(`)      (%)
 Resp
    ponsive Inds      93.90      86.00      -8.41
 Educ
    comp Sol         147.80     136.10      -7.92
 Mana
    appuram Fin       36.70      33.80      -7.90
 Jet Air India       362.30     339.50      -6.29
 IB Re Est
     eal              46.40      44.05      -5.06




Keyno Capitals Research
    ote                                     (research
                                                    h@keynotecapitals.net)             (+9122-3026
                                                                                                 66000)
 



                                                                                                                                  




                                                                                                                                  




 India and Global Economic C
                           Calendar

   Cou
     untries /             Thursd
                                day                     Friday
                                                             y                   Monday                    Thursday

   Reg
     gions                  30/Au
                                ug                     31/Au
                                                           ug                     3/Sep
                                                                                      p                     30/Aug
                                                                                                                 g
                                               Forex Reserv
                                               F           ves
   India
       a                                       Data; Federa Fiscal
                                               D           al
                                               Deficit
                                               D
                                               GDP Quaterly (YoY) ;
                                               G            y
                                               Infrastructure
                                               Output (YoY)
                                               O           )




                                               Factory Orde
                                               F          ers
                                               (MoM); Chica
                                               (          ago
   US                Initial Jobles Claims
                                  ss
                                               Purchasing
                                               P
                                               Manager's In
                                               M          ndex
                    Personal
                    Consumption                Fed's Bernan
                                               F          nke
                    Expenditure - Price
                              es               Speech
                                               S
                    Index (MoM))
                                               Reuters/ Michigan
                                               R
                    EIA Natural Gas
                                               Consumer Se
                                               C           entiment
                    Storage change
                                               Index




                    Japan's
                    J                          Eurozone Consumer
                                               E                          UK's Halifax H
                                                                          U            House
   Glob
      bal
                    Unemployment Rate          Price Index (Y
                                               P            YoY)          Prices (3m/YooY)
                                               Japan Vehiclee
                    Eurozone's
                                               Production (Y
                                               P            YoY);         Germany's Markit
                                                                          G
                    Economic Seentiment
                                               Construction Orders
                                               C                          Manufacturing PMI
                                                                          M
                    Indicator
                                               (YoY)
                                               (
                    Germany's                  Japan Housin Starts
                                                           ng
                    Unemployment               (YoY); Annua
                                               (           alized
                    Change                     Housing Star
                                               H           rts




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Keynote capitals india morning note august 30-'12

  • 1.       India Morning Note a Thurs sday, August 30, 2012 t mestic Markets Snapshot Dom t V Views on ma arkets today y Nam of Index me Aug 28 Aug 29 Change (%) • Indian markets fell yesterday for a fourth straight m h Sens sex 17,631.71 17,490.81 1 -0.80% session to mark its longest losing streak s since mid- July to hit their lowest level in over three weeeks after CNX Nifty 5,334.60 5,287.80 -0.88% the RBI ggovernor, D Subbarao m maintained his hawkish BSE Mid-cap 5,994.43 5,962.21 -0.54% tone in a speech delivered in the US on Tues e sday. Euro BSE IT 5,797.71 5,746.28 -0.89% zone de ebt worries also weighed on the markete BSE Banks 11,544.33 11,500.83 1 -0.38% sentimen Broader sentiment remained we nt. eak ahead of the exxpiry of Augu derivativ contracts and April- ust ve FII Ac ctivity (`Cr) June economic growt data on Fr th riday. Date e Buy Sell Net • FMCG sttocks rose a pick-up in monsoon rains this as n 28-Aug 2,007 1,838 169 month will lead to a recovery in yields in summer- w 27-Aug 1,802 1,169 632 sown crrops including rice an nd oilseeds. Aviation Total Aug l 37743 30783 6960 shares declined acro d oss the boar as crude oil prices rd 2012 YTD 2 411713 351453 60260 remain high as avia h ation turbine fuel (ATF) typically e ) makes up almost hal of an airlin lf ne's operating cost. MF A Activity (`Cr) • ONGC fe 2% after Morgan Stanley downgraded the ell Date e Buy Sell Net stock to "equalweig o ght", citing potential ddownward 28-Aug 494 718 -224 revisions to domestic crude o volumes for fiscal s oil 27-Aug 213 584 -371 2014 an uncertain nd nty on inteernational production. Jaiprakas Associate fell 9.2% its single biggest sh es %, e Total Aug l 7936 9578 -1641 daily fall since Sept 2011 as conncerns about net debt t 2012 YTD 2 79905 89361 -9456 levels inccreased a da after the cement maker raised ay Global Markets $150mn in foreign currency c convertible bonds, in part, to redeem prior debt. Infosys fell 1.4% after Index x Latest Values t Change (%) Deutsche Bank warn e ned the softw ware services exporter s DJIA 13 3,107.48 0.03% has not seen any ch hanges to it near-term business ts m NASD DAQ 3,081.19 3 0.13% outlook, citing a connversation with compan CFO V. w ny Nikke * ei 9,002.73 9 -0.74% Balakrishhnan. Hang Seng * g 19 9,592.49 -0.99% • Market b breadth was negative at ~0.80x as investors t * as of 8.25AM IST f sold large cap sto ocks. On pr rovisional b basis, FIIs bought eequity of `1.43bn while domestic innstitutions Curre ency Snapsh hot sold equity of `2.39b in cash se bn egment. Future contract RBI Latest Previous • Asian markets declined after wweak retail s sales data expir on re Reference R Quote Close from Japan and d declining coommodity prices put 29/08/12 Rate India Rupee per $ an 55.67 55.68 55.67 pressure on major m e markets a day ahead of a much- f awaited speech from Fed chief Ben Bernanke m B e. India Rupee per € an 69.94 69.88 88.05 India Rupee per £ an 88.08 87.97 69.92 • We expe ect a weak opening for the Indian markets n today following the c cues from th Asian ma he arkets and India Rupee per ¥ an 70.90 70.78 70.90 rising poolitical uncertainty on account of c a coal block * NSE Exchange allocation issues Economic and Corporate Developm a ments • India's G GDP growth during the April-June q quarter is expected at 5.2% and the econ d nomy will coontinue to perform below poten ntial for the entire year, research , firm Mooody's said. Keyno Capitals Research ote (research h@keynotecapitals.net) (+9122-3026 66000) Keyno Capitals R ote Research is also available on Bloom mberg KNTE <GO>, Thom mson One Ana alytics, Reute Knowledge, Capital IQ, TheMarkets.com and sec ers , curities.com Keynote Capi K itals Institutio onal Research - winner of “India’s Best IPO Analyst Award 2009” by MCX-Zee Business h t ” e To unsubscrib from this m T be mailing list, p please reply to unsubscribe@keynotecaapitals.net
  • 2.     TOP GAINERS G Buzzing Stocks (BSE A-Group) • Redingto to hive of its supply chain busine into a on ff ess Previous Current Change separate entity. e Company Name Close(`) Price(`) (%) • ONGC Videsh in talk to buy sha gas asset in US & ks ale ts Wock khardt 1115.20 1190.35 6.74 Canada. WELC CORP 86.45 91.55 5.90 • Alembic Pharma’s major par of manu rt ufacturing Unite Spirits ed 928.05 978.75 5.46 operatio at Halol, V on Vadodara res stored. Pipav vav Defence 63.60 65.60 3.14 Coromandel Intl 279.55 288.00 3.02 • Ricoh India to seek s shareholders nod for delisting. s • Aarti Ind dustries boar meets to c rd consider dem merger of (BSE Mid-Cap) E the man nufacturing b business. Previous Current Change Company Name • Gati planning to rope in a stra ategic partner for its Close(`) Price(`) (%) Wock khardt 1115.20 1190.35 6.74 shipping division. g WELC CORP 86.45 91.55 5.90 • Jaypee Infra loses `1 1100Cr road infra project in UP as t Stand dard Charter 96.10 101.45 5.57 new gov has shelve land for de vt ed evelopment model. JUBIL LANT 165.50 173.05 4.56 • Bain, KKR vie for 30% stake in Lanco’s power e PHOE ENIX MILL 157.05 164.00 4.43 projects. TOP LOSERS L (BSE A-Group) Previous Current Change Company Name Close(`) Price(`) (%) Jaipra akash Asso 70.45 63.95 -9.23 Mana appuram Fin 36.70 33.80 -7.90 SAIL 82.75 78.00 -5.74 Relia ance Comm 51.00 48.25 -5.39 Sesa Goa 182.30 172.60 -5.32 (BSE Mid-Cap) E Previous Current Change Company Name Close(`) Price(`) (%) Resp ponsive Inds 93.90 86.00 -8.41 Educ comp Sol 147.80 136.10 -7.92 Mana appuram Fin 36.70 33.80 -7.90 Jet Air India 362.30 339.50 -6.29 IB Re Est eal 46.40 44.05 -5.06 Keyno Capitals Research ote (research h@keynotecapitals.net) (+9122-3026 66000)
  • 3.       India and Global Economic C Calendar Cou untries / Thursd day Friday y Monday Thursday Reg gions 30/Au ug 31/Au ug 3/Sep p 30/Aug g Forex Reserv F ves India a Data; Federa Fiscal D al Deficit D GDP Quaterly (YoY) ; G y Infrastructure Output (YoY) O ) Factory Orde F ers (MoM); Chica ( ago US Initial Jobles Claims ss Purchasing P Manager's In M ndex Personal Consumption Fed's Bernan F nke Expenditure - Price es Speech S Index (MoM)) Reuters/ Michigan R EIA Natural Gas Consumer Se C entiment Storage change Index Japan's J Eurozone Consumer E UK's Halifax H U House Glob bal Unemployment Rate Price Index (Y P YoY) Prices (3m/YooY) Japan Vehiclee Eurozone's Production (Y P YoY); Germany's Markit G Economic Seentiment Construction Orders C Manufacturing PMI M Indicator (YoY) ( Germany's Japan Housin Starts ng Unemployment (YoY); Annua ( alized Change Housing Star H rts KEYNOTE CAPITALS LTD. E The Ruby, 9th Floor, Senapati Ba , S apat Marg, Dadar (W), M D Mumbai – 40 028 00 Tel. : +912 22-30266000 0 • www.ke eynotecapita als.com Disclaim mer: This repo is purely for informatio purpose an is based on public infor ort f on nd o rmation. News content is a attributable to o various media, unles specified ot s ss therwise. All m market related statistical da pertains to the immedia d ata o ately preceding trading dayy, unless stated otherw wise. Neither the information nor any opin nion expresse in this repo constitutes an offer, or a invitation to ed ort an o make an offer, to bu or sell the s a uy securities menntioned herein We or any o our directors, officers or employees sh n. of hall not in any y way be responsible for any loss a e arising from th use of this report. Inves he s stors are advi ised to apply their own jud dgment before e acting o the conten of this repo The report has not been edited due t time constraints. on nts ort. t n to