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India Morning Note
    a       g
Frida June 15, 2012
    ay,

Dom
  mestic Mark
            kets Snapsh
                      hot                                  Views on markets t
                                                                            today
 Nam of Index
   me                   Jun 13       Jun 14   Change (%)
                                                       )   • India markets snapped t
                                                                 an                     two-day winnning streak and
 Sensex             16,880.51     16,677.88     -1.20%       close on nega
                                                                 ed         ative note yyesterday as the latest data
                                                                                                              t
 CNX Nifty
   X                  5,121.45     5,054.75     -1.30%       showwed inflatio accelerat
                                                                            on          ting in May 2012 to 7
                                                                                                   y          7.55%
 BSE Mid-cap          6,000.94     5,924.59     -1.27%
                                                             from a year ear
                                                                m                       ness in glob stocks caused
                                                                             rlier. Weakn          bal
                                                             by euro-zone de worries also weighe on sentim
                                                                e           ebt                    ed         ment.
 BSE IT               5,682.77     5,701.57      0.33%
 BSE Banks          11,667.19     11,338.72     -2.82%     • Inflation based on the w  wholesale price index (WPI)
                                                             acceelerated to 7.55% in May 2012 fro a year e
                                                                                                   om        earlier
FII A
    Activity                                     (`Cr)
                                                             as prices of manufact      tured prodducts and fuel
 Date
    e                     Buy          Sell        Net       incre
                                                                 eased, add  ding to conncerns of a rise in price
 13-Jun                 1,870         1,598        272       pres            ation was at 7.23% in April 2012 The
                                                                 ssures. Infla                              2.
 12-Jun                 1,454         1,430         24       goveernment als raised WP inflation reading for M
                                                                             so         PI        r          March
 Tota Jun
    al                 17,350        16,992        359       2012 to 7.69% f
                                                                  2           from 6.89% reported earlier.
                                                                                       %
 2012 YTD             300,384      258,087       42297     • The government todayrai       ised the minimum su
                                                                                                    m         upport
MF A
   Activity                                       (`Cr)      price of variou kharif (Ju
                                                                 es           us           une-Octobe crops 20
                                                                                                    er)       012 in
                                                             the range of 1  15.3% to 53  3.1%, which is expect
                                                                                                     h        ted to
 Date
    e                     Buy          Sell        Net
                                                                 her fuel pe
                                                             furth            ersistently high food inflation in the
 13-Jun                   635          547          88
                                                             coming months Food inf
                                                                              s.          flation has been in d
                                                                                                              double
 12-Jun                   357          419          -62      digit for aroun a year and has been contrib
                                                                 ts           nd                    b         buting
 Tota Jun
    al                  4,046         3,362        684       significantly to o
                                                                              overall infla
                                                                                          ation.
 2012 YTD              57,910        63,693       -5783
                                                           • Bankking and reealty stocks edged low
                                                                                        s           wer as inve
                                                                                                              estors
Volu
   ume & Adva
            ances / Dec
                      clines                                 redu
                                                                uced bets o possible interest rate cuts b the
                                                                            on         e           r         by
                                      NSE          BSE       cent
                                                                tral bank aafter the laatest data showed inf  flation
 Trad
    ding Volume (Cr)                53.41         15.65
                                                             acce
                                                                elerating in May 2012 Shares of diesel ve
                                                                                       2.                    ehicles
                                                             makkers declined for the second straight day on re
                                                                            d                                 eports
 Turn
    nover (`Cr)                     8,457         1,773
                                                             the government is plan    nning to compensate the
                                                                                                   c          e
 Advances                             429         1,011
                                                             subs
                                                                sidy on diesel by taxing cars runnin on diesel.
                                                                                       g            ng
 Declines                           1,029         1,701
                                                           • Mark breadth was weak at ~0.59x as investors sold
                                                                 ket
 Unchanged                             81          119
                                                             large cap stoc
                                                                 e          cks. On pro
                                                                                      ovisional ba
                                                                                                 asis, FIIs b
                                                                                                            bought
 Tota
    al                              1,539         2,831
                                                             equity of `1.05bn while domestic institutions sold
                                                                                                            s
Glob Markets
   bal                                                       equity of `2.83b in cash segment.
                                                                            bn
 Inde
    ex                     Late Values
                              est             Change (%)
                                                       )   • Asia stocks are positive amid choppy session, with
                                                                             e                                 ,
 DJIA
    A                            12,651.91       1.24%       Hong Kong in the lea
                                                                 g                       ad as inv vestors we eighed
 NAS
   SDAQ                           2,836.33       0.63%       expeectations of policy easi
                                                                             f           ing ahead of this week
                                                                                                   o          kend’s
 Nikk *
    kei                           8,595.88       0.31%       crucial election in Greece.
 Hang Seng *                     19,005.80       1.05%     • We expect a po ositive openning for the Indian ma
                                                                                                   e         arkets,
* as o 8.25AM IST
     of                                                      following the cu
                                                                            ues from th Asian markets. How
                                                                                        he                   wever,
Curr
   rencies / Co
              ommodities Snapshot
                       s                                     after high levels inflation would raise doubts fo the
                                                                  r                                          or
                                                             investors wheth RBI will g for the policy cuts.
                                                                           her          go         p
                                    Latest     Previous
                                    Quote         Close    Econom and Cor
                                                                mic     rporate Dev
                                                                                  velopments
                                                                                           s
 Indian Rupee per $                  55.71        55.56
                                                           • India wholesa
                                                                 a's                 ndex (WPI) rose in May to
                                                                          ale price in
 Indian Rupee per €                  70.34        69.82      7.55 against 7
                                                                5%        7.23% in Appril.
 NYM
   MEX Crude Oil($/bbl)              84.60        83.91
                                                           • Finance Ministter Pranab Mukherje
                                                                                    b           ee said h  he is
 Gold ($/oz)
    d                             1,625.20     1,618.40
                                                                nfident" tha headline inflation would re
                                                             "con          at                              emain
 Silve ($/oz)
     er                              28.48        28.40         ween 6.5-7.5 throughout the fiscal year 2012-13.
                                                             betw          5%


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   note Capitals Research
                        h                      (reseaarch@keyno otecapitals.net)             (+91222-3026600  00)
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TOP GAINERS                                          Buzzin Stocks
                                                          ng
(BSE A-Group)
   E                                                 • Apollo Hospitals Enterprise is plannin to expand its
                                                                                 e          ng
                    Previous   Currennt   Change       pharmacy reta network to over 2,000 outlet in
                                                                     ail                              ts
 Com
   mpany Name
            e
                    Close(`
                          `)   Price(`
                                     `)      (%)       next three to four years from the current aro
                                                          t                                           ound
 MMT
   TC                691.35
                          5     747.35      8.10       1,30 outlets.
                                                          00
 Piramal Health      451.95
                          5     471.95      4.43
                                                     • Spic
                                                          ceJet is plaanning to raise funds from private
 Hind
    dustan Copp      253.65
                          5     263.75      3.98                     mpanies suc as The Blackstone Group
                                                       equity (PE) com            ch
 Sun TV Network      254.75
                          5     261.75      2.75       and Bain Cap   pital, and other pote
                                                                                          ential inves
                                                                                                     stors
 Colg
    gate Palmoliv
                v   1137.90
                          0    1160.25      1.96       inclu
                                                           uding foreig airlines.
                                                                      gn
(BSE Mid-Cap)
   E                                                 • Reliance Indust tries has re
                                                                                  eported natural gas ouutput
                                                       at it eastern o
                                                           ts         offshore KG--D6 fields dropping to 31.5
                    Previous   Currennt   Change
 Com
   mpany Name
            e                                          million cubic mmeters per day this month as high
                    Close(`
                          `)   Price(`
                                     `)      (%)
 HMT
   T                  35.75      38.20       6.85      wate and sand ingress led to shutt
                                                           er                                 ting of 8 w
                                                                                                        wells.
 God
   dfrey Phil       3121.00    3325.00       6.54      Gas output fro om KG-D6 in the week ended Jun 3
                                                                                              k         ne
 Tulip Telecom
     p                92.15      97.35       5.64      droppped to 31.57 mmcmd from 32.66 in M           May,
 Karn
    nataka Bank       82.25      86.55       5.23      accoording to a status rep port filed by the comp
                                                                                              y         pany
                                                       with the Oil Min
                                                          h           nistry.
 Shre Global Trd
    ee         d      83.30      87.45       4.98
                                                     • Wipro has wo a multi-
                                                                   on          -million dollar order f
                                                                                                     from
TOP LOSERS                                             MMG an Austr
                                                          G,       ralian unit o China Min
                                                                               of         nmetals Cor a
                                                                                                     rp,
                                                       com
                                                         mpany execu
                                                                   utive said on Thursday.
                                                                                n         .
(BSE A-Group)
   E
                                                     US markets
                    Previous   Currennt   Change
 Com
   mpany Name
            e
                    Close(`
                          `)   Price(`
                                     `)      (%)     U.S. sto
                                                            ocks jumped overnight after expec
                                                                                   t          ctations tha US
                                                                                                         at
 IB R
    Real Est          57.70
                          0      54.00
                                     0      -6.41    Fed eaase liquidity in the system and stro
                                                                                              onger econoomic
 Unit
    tech              22.80
                          0      21.50
                                     0      -5.70    data.
 PNB
   B                 813.65
                          5    769.00
                                    0       -5.49
 Adani Ports         120.75
                          5    114.40
                                    0       -5.26
 Pant
    taloon Retl      173.10
                          0    164.85
                                    5       -4.77

(BSE Mid-Cap)
   E
                    Previous   Currennt   Change
 Com
   mpany Name
            e
                    Close(`
                          `)   Price(`
                                     `)      (%)
 IB R
    Real Est          57.70      54.00      -6.41
 Unit
    ted Bank          67.90      63.95      -5.82
 Unit
    tech              22.80      21.50      -5.70
 Bank of Maharas
               s      54.20      51.50      -4.98
 Mcle
    eod Russel       287.20     273.25      -4.86




Keyn
   note Capitals Research
                        h                   (resea
                                                 arch@keyno
                                                          otecapitals.net)             (+912
                                                                                           22-3026600
                                                                                                    00)
 



                                                                                                                                     




                                                                                                                                     




 India and Globa Economic Calendar
     a         al       c

    Countries /               Fri
                                iday                    Mo
                                                         onday                     Tu
                                                                                    uesday                  We
                                                                                                             ednesday

   Reg
     gions                    15-Jun                     18
                                                          8-Jun                     19-Jun
                                                                                    1                          20-Jun

   Ind
     dia             Forex Reserves Data        Consume Price
                                                      er
                                                Index

                     Bank Loan Growth
                             n




   US                Industrial Production      NAHB Housing               Housing Starts              Fed pre
                                                                                                             ess
                     (MoM), Ca apacity          Market In
                                                        ndex               (MoM)                       confere
                                                                                                             ence & FOMC
                                                                                                                       C
                     Utilization Total Net
                               n,                                                                      minutess
                     TIC Flows

                     NY Empire State
                             e                                             Building Permits            Interest rate
                                                                                                              t
                     Manufactu
                             uring Index                                   (MoM)                       decision
                                                                                                              n



   Glo
     obal            Euro Zone
                             e                  Bank of Ja
                                                         apan              UK's Con
                                                                                  nsumer Price         German producer
                                                                                                              ny     r
                     Employme Change
                              ent               Monthly EEconomic          Index (M
                                                                                  MoM) and             price index
                     (YoY & Qo
                             oQ) & Trade        Survey                     (YoY)
                     Balance n.s.a

                     UK Goods Trade                                        Japan's Leading             Bank of England
                                                                                                             f
                     Balance & Trade                                       Economic Index              minutes & UK
                                                                                                             s
                     Balance; n
                              non- EU                                                                  unemployment rate

                     Japan BoJ Interest                                    Germany ZEW
                                                                                   y's                 Japan's all industry
                                                                                                                          y
                     Rate Decis
                              sion                                         Survey - Economic           activity index
                                                                           Sentiment




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                   eport is purely for informa ation purpose and is bassed on public information News cont
                                                                                    c             n.          tent is attribu
                                                                                                                            utable to
various media, unle specified otherwise. A market related statistic data perta
                    ess                       All                      cal          ains to the im
                                                                                                 mmediately preceding trad  ding day,
unless stated other
      s             rwise. Neithe the informa
                                 er           ation nor any opinion expressed in this report constitutes an off
                                                          y                         s                         fer, or an invitation to
make an offer, to bbuy or sell the securities m
                                              mentioned he erein. We or any of our directors, offic
                                                                                                  cers or emplo
                                                                                                              oyees shall not in any
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acting on the conteents of this re
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Keynote capitals india morning note jun 15-'12

  • 1.       India Morning Note a g Frida June 15, 2012 ay, Dom mestic Mark kets Snapsh hot Views on markets t today Nam of Index me Jun 13 Jun 14 Change (%) ) • India markets snapped t an two-day winnning streak and Sensex 16,880.51 16,677.88 -1.20% close on nega ed ative note yyesterday as the latest data t CNX Nifty X 5,121.45 5,054.75 -1.30% showwed inflatio accelerat on ting in May 2012 to 7 y 7.55% BSE Mid-cap 6,000.94 5,924.59 -1.27% from a year ear m ness in glob stocks caused rlier. Weakn bal by euro-zone de worries also weighe on sentim e ebt ed ment. BSE IT 5,682.77 5,701.57 0.33% BSE Banks 11,667.19 11,338.72 -2.82% • Inflation based on the w wholesale price index (WPI) acceelerated to 7.55% in May 2012 fro a year e om earlier FII A Activity (`Cr) as prices of manufact tured prodducts and fuel Date e Buy Sell Net incre eased, add ding to conncerns of a rise in price 13-Jun 1,870 1,598 272 pres ation was at 7.23% in April 2012 The ssures. Infla 2. 12-Jun 1,454 1,430 24 goveernment als raised WP inflation reading for M so PI r March Tota Jun al 17,350 16,992 359 2012 to 7.69% f 2 from 6.89% reported earlier. % 2012 YTD 300,384 258,087 42297 • The government todayrai ised the minimum su m upport MF A Activity (`Cr) price of variou kharif (Ju es us une-Octobe crops 20 er) 012 in the range of 1 15.3% to 53 3.1%, which is expect h ted to Date e Buy Sell Net her fuel pe furth ersistently high food inflation in the 13-Jun 635 547 88 coming months Food inf s. flation has been in d double 12-Jun 357 419 -62 digit for aroun a year and has been contrib ts nd b buting Tota Jun al 4,046 3,362 684 significantly to o overall infla ation. 2012 YTD 57,910 63,693 -5783 • Bankking and reealty stocks edged low s wer as inve estors Volu ume & Adva ances / Dec clines redu uced bets o possible interest rate cuts b the on e r by NSE BSE cent tral bank aafter the laatest data showed inf flation Trad ding Volume (Cr) 53.41 15.65 acce elerating in May 2012 Shares of diesel ve 2. ehicles makkers declined for the second straight day on re d eports Turn nover (`Cr) 8,457 1,773 the government is plan nning to compensate the c e Advances 429 1,011 subs sidy on diesel by taxing cars runnin on diesel. g ng Declines 1,029 1,701 • Mark breadth was weak at ~0.59x as investors sold ket Unchanged 81 119 large cap stoc e cks. On pro ovisional ba asis, FIIs b bought Tota al 1,539 2,831 equity of `1.05bn while domestic institutions sold s Glob Markets bal equity of `2.83b in cash segment. bn Inde ex Late Values est Change (%) ) • Asia stocks are positive amid choppy session, with e , DJIA A 12,651.91 1.24% Hong Kong in the lea g ad as inv vestors we eighed NAS SDAQ 2,836.33 0.63% expeectations of policy easi f ing ahead of this week o kend’s Nikk * kei 8,595.88 0.31% crucial election in Greece. Hang Seng * 19,005.80 1.05% • We expect a po ositive openning for the Indian ma e arkets, * as o 8.25AM IST of following the cu ues from th Asian markets. How he wever, Curr rencies / Co ommodities Snapshot s after high levels inflation would raise doubts fo the r or investors wheth RBI will g for the policy cuts. her go p Latest Previous Quote Close Econom and Cor mic rporate Dev velopments s Indian Rupee per $ 55.71 55.56 • India wholesa a's ndex (WPI) rose in May to ale price in Indian Rupee per € 70.34 69.82 7.55 against 7 5% 7.23% in Appril. NYM MEX Crude Oil($/bbl) 84.60 83.91 • Finance Ministter Pranab Mukherje b ee said h he is Gold ($/oz) d 1,625.20 1,618.40 nfident" tha headline inflation would re "con at emain Silve ($/oz) er 28.48 28.40 ween 6.5-7.5 throughout the fiscal year 2012-13. betw 5% Keyn note Capitals Research h (reseaarch@keyno otecapitals.net) (+91222-3026600 00) Keyynote Capita Research is also available on als h Bloo omberg KNTE <GO>, Tho E omson One A Analytics, Re euters Knowwledge, Capit IQ, TheMa tal arkets.com and securitie a es.com Keynote Capitals Institu utional Resea arch - winner of “India’s Best IPO Analyst Award 2009” by MCX-Zee Business To unsubsc cribe from th mailing lis please reply to unsub his st, bscribe@keyynotecapitals s.net
  • 2.       TOP GAINERS Buzzin Stocks ng (BSE A-Group) E • Apollo Hospitals Enterprise is plannin to expand its e ng Previous Currennt Change pharmacy reta network to over 2,000 outlet in ail ts Com mpany Name e Close(` `) Price(` `) (%) next three to four years from the current aro t ound MMT TC 691.35 5 747.35 8.10 1,30 outlets. 00 Piramal Health 451.95 5 471.95 4.43 • Spic ceJet is plaanning to raise funds from private Hind dustan Copp 253.65 5 263.75 3.98 mpanies suc as The Blackstone Group equity (PE) com ch Sun TV Network 254.75 5 261.75 2.75 and Bain Cap pital, and other pote ential inves stors Colg gate Palmoliv v 1137.90 0 1160.25 1.96 inclu uding foreig airlines. gn (BSE Mid-Cap) E • Reliance Indust tries has re eported natural gas ouutput at it eastern o ts offshore KG--D6 fields dropping to 31.5 Previous Currennt Change Com mpany Name e million cubic mmeters per day this month as high Close(` `) Price(` `) (%) HMT T 35.75 38.20 6.85 wate and sand ingress led to shutt er ting of 8 w wells. God dfrey Phil 3121.00 3325.00 6.54 Gas output fro om KG-D6 in the week ended Jun 3 k ne Tulip Telecom p 92.15 97.35 5.64 droppped to 31.57 mmcmd from 32.66 in M May, Karn nataka Bank 82.25 86.55 5.23 accoording to a status rep port filed by the comp y pany with the Oil Min h nistry. Shre Global Trd ee d 83.30 87.45 4.98 • Wipro has wo a multi- on -million dollar order f from TOP LOSERS MMG an Austr G, ralian unit o China Min of nmetals Cor a rp, com mpany execu utive said on Thursday. n . (BSE A-Group) E US markets Previous Currennt Change Com mpany Name e Close(` `) Price(` `) (%) U.S. sto ocks jumped overnight after expec t ctations tha US at IB R Real Est 57.70 0 54.00 0 -6.41 Fed eaase liquidity in the system and stro onger econoomic Unit tech 22.80 0 21.50 0 -5.70 data. PNB B 813.65 5 769.00 0 -5.49 Adani Ports 120.75 5 114.40 0 -5.26 Pant taloon Retl 173.10 0 164.85 5 -4.77 (BSE Mid-Cap) E Previous Currennt Change Com mpany Name e Close(` `) Price(` `) (%) IB R Real Est 57.70 54.00 -6.41 Unit ted Bank 67.90 63.95 -5.82 Unit tech 22.80 21.50 -5.70 Bank of Maharas s 54.20 51.50 -4.98 Mcle eod Russel 287.20 273.25 -4.86 Keyn note Capitals Research h (resea arch@keyno otecapitals.net) (+912 22-3026600 00)
  • 3.       India and Globa Economic Calendar a al c Countries / Fri iday Mo onday Tu uesday We ednesday Reg gions 15-Jun 18 8-Jun 19-Jun 1 20-Jun Ind dia Forex Reserves Data Consume Price er Index Bank Loan Growth n US Industrial Production NAHB Housing Housing Starts Fed pre ess (MoM), Ca apacity Market In ndex (MoM) confere ence & FOMC C Utilization Total Net n, minutess TIC Flows NY Empire State e Building Permits Interest rate t Manufactu uring Index (MoM) decision n Glo obal Euro Zone e Bank of Ja apan UK's Con nsumer Price German producer ny r Employme Change ent Monthly EEconomic Index (M MoM) and price index (YoY & Qo oQ) & Trade Survey (YoY) Balance n.s.a UK Goods Trade Japan's Leading Bank of England f Balance & Trade Economic Index minutes & UK s Balance; n non- EU unemployment rate Japan BoJ Interest Germany ZEW y's Japan's all industry y Rate Decis sion Survey - Economic activity index Sentiment KEYN NOTE CAPITTALS LTD. The Rub 9th Floo Senapati Bapat Marg, Dadar (W), Mumba – 400 028 by, or, ai 8 Tel. : +9 9122-30266 6000 • www w.keynotec capitals.com m Disclaiimer: This re eport is purely for informa ation purpose and is bassed on public information News cont c n. tent is attribu utable to various media, unle specified otherwise. A market related statistic data perta ess All cal ains to the im mmediately preceding trad ding day, unless stated other s rwise. Neithe the informa er ation nor any opinion expressed in this report constitutes an off y s fer, or an invitation to make an offer, to bbuy or sell the securities m mentioned he erein. We or any of our directors, offic cers or emplo oyees shall not in any way be responsible for any loss arising from the use of this report. Investors are advised to apply their own judgmen before e e s m e o nt acting on the conteents of this re eport. The rep port has not been edited due to time c d constraints.