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India Morning Note
    a       g
Frida June 29, 2012
    ay,

Dom
  mestic Mark
            kets Snapsh
                      hot                                  Views on markets t
                                                                            today
 Nam of Index
   me                   Jun 27       Jun 28   Change (%)
                                                       )   • India markets ended ma
                                                                 an           s            arginally poositive yest
                                                                                                                  terday
 Sensex             16,967.76     16,990.76      0.14%       ahea of the E summit later in th day, alth
                                                                 ad           EU                       he         hough
                                                             hopees for po    olicy reforms after Prime Mi        inister
 CNX Nifty
   X                  5,141.90     5,149.15      0.14%
                                                             Manmohan Sing tempora
                                                                               gh         arily assume control o the
                                                                                                       ed         of
 BSE Mid-cap          6,051.50     6,055.46      0.07%
                                                                 nce
                                                             finan        ministry      supported     sentiment.     The
 BSE IT               5,675.26     5,687.54      0.22%       goveernment said Prime Mi     inister Dr. Manmohan Singh
                                                                                                       M
 BSE Banks          11,544.27     11,507.50     -0.32%       is ch
                                                                 halking out plan for the country's economic re
                                                                                          e            e          evival.
FII A
    Activity                                     (`Cr)       Volaatility was hiigh as trade rolled ov positions from
                                                                                          ers          ver        s
                                                             the near-month June 2012 series to July 2012 series
                                                                              h            2
 Date
    e                     Buy          Sell        Net
                                                             ahea of F&O Ju
                                                                 ad           une contract.
 27-Jun                 1,918         1,651        267
                                                           • Sharres of tyre manufacturers fell aft     ter a membber of
 26-Jun                 1,474         1,388         86
                                                             CCI told news c
                                                                  t          channel that a probe on tyre comp
                                                                                           t            n         panies
 Tota Jun
    al                 34,392        33,564        829       was under way and an ord was like in the ne 10
                                                                                           der         ely        ext
 2012 YTD             317,426      274,659       42767       days Apollo Ty
                                                                 s.            yres fell 2.14%, while CEAT declined
                                                                                                        e
MF A
   Activity                                       (`Cr)      2.522%. Power generation s   stocks exten nded this mo
                                                                                                                  onth's
                                                             gains as lower internation    nal coal prices could boost
 Date
    e                     Buy          Sell        Net
                                                             profitability. Fall in internaational coal prices this year
                                                                                                                  s
 27-Jun                   383          319          64       could boost pr   rofitability o those power generation
                                                                                            of
 26-Jun                   325          647         -322      firms which buy imported c
                                                                  s          y              coal in the spot market. JSW
                                                                                                        s
 Tota Jun
    al                  7,755         7,636        119       Enerrgy, GVK Po  ower & Infr NTPC an Torrent Power
                                                                                           ra,         nd
 2012 YTD              61,619        67,967       -6348      gained by between 0.39% to 1.48%.
Volu
   ume & Adva
            ances / Dec
                      clines                               • Axis Bank fell 2.2%, while Y
                                                                                        Yes Bank fe 1% after HSBC
                                                                                                  ell
                                                             exite its inves
                                                                 ed         stments in both Indian lenders, raising
                                                                                                  n
                                      NSE          BSE
                                                             abou a combined $430mn
                                                                 ut                    n.
 Trad
    ding Volume (Cr)                70.70         19.66
                                                           • Mark
                                                                ket breadth was strong at ~1.1
                                                                            h                    11x as inve estors
 Turn
    nover (`Cr)                    11,322         4,307
                                                             boug large ca stocks. O provisional basis, FIIs sold
                                                                ght         ap        On
 Advances                             758         1,461
                                                             equity of `11.12bn while d
                                                                                      domestic institutions bought
 Declines                             704         1,312      equity of `7.72b in cash segment.
                                                                            bn
 Unchanged                             82          127
                                                           • Asian shares deeclined Frida as the markets rem
                                                                                        ay,      m         mained
 Tota
    al                              1,544         2,900      cauttious on Eur
                                                                            ropean Unio crisis sum
                                                                                       on        mmit.
Glob Markets
   bal                                                     • We expect a flat opening for the Ind dian marke
                                                                                                           ets, as
 Inde
    ex                     Late Values
                              est             Change (%)
                                                       )     the Asian mar   rkets are clueless on the Euro
                                                                                                  n         opean
 DJIA
    A                            12,602.26      -0.20%       deveelopments. A recent recovery in th euro may help
                                                                                                  he        y
                                                             rupe to strengthen against the dollar which would
                                                                ee
 NAS
   SDAQ                           2,849.49      -0.90%
                                                             also help Indian equities.
                                                                            n
 Nikk *
    kei                           8,862.90      -0.13%
 Hang Seng *                     19,397.09       1.95%
                                                           Econom and Cor
                                                                mic     rporate Dev
                                                                                  velopments
                                                                                           s

* as o 8.25AM IST
     of                                                    • The Direct Tax xes Code (   (DTC) Bill, which see
                                                                                                             eks to
                                                             over
                                                                rhaul the 5 50-year-old income ta laws, w
                                                                                                    ax       will be
Curr
   rencies / Co
              ommodities Snapshot
                       s
                                                             brou
                                                                ught in Parliament in th monsoon session, Finance
                                                                                        he
                                    Latest     Previous      Secr
                                                                retary R S G
                                                                           Gujral said.
                                    Quote         Close
 Indian Rupee per $                  56.81        57.01    • Petro price wa cut by `
                                                                 ol         as     `2.46 per litre, the se
                                                                                             l           econd
                                                             redu
                                                                uction this m
                                                                            month.
 Indian Rupee per €                  70.67        71.08
 NYM
   MEX Crude Oil($/bbl)              79.09        77.69    • Hit by a deman slump in the residen
                                                                  b           nd                  ntial sector, India
                                                                                                              ,
                                                             is lik
                                                                  kely to witne around 25% decline in land de
                                                                               ess                 e          eals to
 Gold ($/oz)
    d                             1,565.90     1,549.70
                                                             arou und `15,00  00Cr, realty consultant Cushma
                                                                                         y                     an &
 Silve ($/oz)
     er                              26.62        26.25
                                                             Wak  kefield said.


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   note Capitals Research
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TOP GAINERS                                           Buzzin Stocks
                                                           ng
(BSE A-Group)
   E                                                  • God drej Properrties said that it ha launche
                                                                                              as        ed a
                     Previous   Currennt   Change       premmium resid dential proje
                                                                                   ect -- Godrrej Horizon-- in
 Com
   mpany Name
            e
                     Close(`
                           `)   Price(`
                                      `)      (%)       Pune. The project, spread over 8.64 acres, consists
                                                                                  d
 Baja Finserv
    aj                643.95
                           5     678.80      5.41       of five towers and offers a total of 384 apartm
                                                                                              3         ments
 MMT
   TC                 710.70
                           0     737.55      3.78       with a mix of 2, 2.5 and 3 BHK ranging from 1,13 sq
                                                            h                                           37
 Century Tex          290.25
                           5     299.70      3.26       ft to 2,031 sq ft the compa
                                                            o           t,         any said in a statement.
 India Hotels
     an                58.85
                           5      60.70      3.14     • Reliance Comm
                                                                    munications is planning to hire 6,000
                                                                                          g
 Unit
    ted Brew          530.75
                           5     546.80      3.02       sale and mark
                                                           es       keting perso across In
                                                                               ons        ndia.
(BSE Mid-Cap)
   E                                                  • With the ban o limeston mining at its Chand
                                                            h              on        ne          a           deria
                                                        unit in Rajastha since Aug
                                                            t             an          gust last ye still affec
                                                                                                 ear         cting
                     Previous   Currennt   Change
 Com
   mpany Name
            e                                           Birla Corporati
                                                            a              ion’s cemeent business, the flag  gship
                     Close(`
                           `)   Price(`
                                      `)      (%)
 HMT
   T                   37.40      42.35     13.24       firm of the M P Birla gro
                                                           m                          oup, is now exploring the
                                                                                                 w
 REI Agro                8.38      9.14       9.07      poss sibility of foreign ventu
                                                                                     ures.
 Aban Offshore        355.15     377.45       6.28    • Raymond Limit ted is plann
                                                                                 ning to roll out the product
                                                                                              o
 Baja Finserv
    aj                643.95     678.80       5.41      in over 2,000 outlets in G
                                                           o                      Gujarat. Tapping over 180
 Mon
   nnet Ispat Ene
                e     364.10     380.00       4.37      towns by Marc 2013 in Gujarat, Ra
                                                                      ch                      aymond will be
                                                                      er-3 to tier- towns fo the economy
                                                           using on tie
                                                        focu                      -5         or
TOP LOSERS                                              bran
                                                           nd.
(BSE A-Group)
   E                                                  • Ashok Leyland is planning to raise `4
                                                                                 g           400Cr to `50
                                                                                                        00Cr
                                                        of debt to sup
                                                            d        pport its inv
                                                                                 vestment pl lan, which is in
                     Previous   Currennt   Change
 Com
   mpany Name
            e                                           tune of `1200C Major chu
                                                            e        Cr.          unk of the investments will
                                                                                                        s
                     Close(`
                           `)   Price(`
                                      `)      (%)
 JPPO
    OWER               36.30
                           0      34.70
                                      0      -4.41      go into Pantna
                                                                     agarfacility, towards R&D and in the
                                                                                            R
 Ruchi Soya            91.25
                           5      88.15
                                      5      -3.40      joint ventures, said K Sridharan, chief financial
                                                            t
 Man
   nap Gen Fin         33.15
                           5      32.10
                                      0      -3.17
                                                        offic
                                                            cer.
 Axis Bank
    s                1000.80
                           0    971.00
                                     0       -2.98    • JSW Steel h    had redee  emed fore    eign curre ency
 Sesa Goa
    a                 191.05
                           5    185.60
                                     0       -2.85      conv
                                                           vertible bon (FCCBs) worth $274
                                                                       nds                     4mn (`1,573
                                                                                                         3Cr).
                                                        With full payment, no equ
                                                           h                      uity dilution took place but
                                                                                                         e
(BSE Mid-Cap)
   E                                                    analysts said th interest c
                                                                       he         costs would go up.
                     Previous   Currennt   Change     US markets
 Com
   mpany Name
            e
                     Close(`
                           `)   Price(`
                                      `)      (%)
 Shre Global Trd
    ee         d       92.35      87.75      -4.98    US sto
                                                           ocks on Thu           sed with mild losses a
                                                                       ursday clos                    after
 Edelweiss Capita
                al     32.30      30.70      -4.95    recoup
                                                           ping most of the day  y's slide in the final 30
                                                                                            n
 Sobha Dev            351.20     336.50      -4.19    minute of trade.
                                                           es
 JSW Ispat             10.63      10.26      -3.48    After falling as m
                                                            f           many as 17 points, the Dow Jo
                                                                                    77                 ones
 Ruchi Soya            91.25      88.15      -3.40    Industr
                                                            rial Average ended off 24.75 poin
                                                                        e           f       nts, or 0.2% at
                                                                                                       %,
                                                      12,6022.26. The S& 500 inde declined 2.81 points, or
                                                                        &P          ex
                                                      0.2%, to 1,329.04 The Nasd
                                                                        4.                  site shed 25.83
                                                                                   daq Compos
                                                      points, or 0.9%, to 2,849.49.
                                                                        o




Keyn
   note Capitals Research
                        h                    (resea
                                                  arch@keyno
                                                           otecapitals.net)               (+912
                                                                                              22-3026600
                                                                                                       00)
 



                                                                                                                                     




                                                                                                                                     




 India and Globa Economic Calendar
     a         al       c

    Countries /               Fri
                                iday                    Mo
                                                         onday                     Tu
                                                                                    uesday                  We
                                                                                                             ednesday

   Reg
     gions                    29
                               9-Jun                      2-Jul
                                                          2                          3-Jul                      4-Jul

   Ind
     dia             Forex Reserves Data

                     Bank Loan Growth
                             n




   US                Core Persoonal             Markit                     Factory Orders              PMI Index services
                     Consumpt tion              Manufact
                                                       turing PMI          (MoM)
                     Expenditu - Price
                              ure
                     Index (YoY & MoM)
                              Y

                     Personal                   Construct
                                                        tion
                     Consumpt tion              Spending (MoM)
                                                       g
                     Expenditu - Price
                              ure
                     Index (YoY & MoM)
                              Y

                     Personal
                     Income(MoM);
                     Chicago Purchasing
                     Managers' Index &
                     Reuters/M
                             Michigan
                     Consumer Sentiment
                              r
                     Index

   Glo
     obal            Euro Zone EU
                             e                  Germanyy's                        nsumer
                                                                           UK's Con                    German PMI Index
                                                                                                              ny      x
                     Economic Summit &          Purchasin Manager
                                                        ng        r        Credit                      services
                                                                                                              s
                     European Council           Index Manufacturing
                                                                  g
                     Meeting

                     Japan Connstruction        UK's Purc
                                                        chasing            UK's M4 Money
                     Orders (Yo &
                              oY)               Manager Index              Supply (MoM) and
                     Housing S
                             Starts (YoY)       Manufactturing             (YoY)




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                   eport is purely for informa ation purpose and is bassed on public information News cont
                                                                                    c             n.          tent is attribu
                                                                                                                            utable to
various media, unle specified otherwise. A market related statistic data perta
                    ess                       All                      cal          ains to the im
                                                                                                 mmediately preceding trad  ding day,
unless stated other
      s             rwise. Neithe the informa
                                 er           ation nor any opinion expressed in this report constitutes an off
                                                          y                         s                         fer, or an invitation to
make an offer, to bbuy or sell the securities m
                                              mentioned he erein. We or any of our directors, offic
                                                                                                  cers or emplo
                                                                                                              oyees shall not in any
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Keynote capitals india morning note jun 29-'12

  • 1.       India Morning Note a g Frida June 29, 2012 ay, Dom mestic Mark kets Snapsh hot Views on markets t today Nam of Index me Jun 27 Jun 28 Change (%) ) • India markets ended ma an s arginally poositive yest terday Sensex 16,967.76 16,990.76 0.14% ahea of the E summit later in th day, alth ad EU he hough hopees for po olicy reforms after Prime Mi inister CNX Nifty X 5,141.90 5,149.15 0.14% Manmohan Sing tempora gh arily assume control o the ed of BSE Mid-cap 6,051.50 6,055.46 0.07% nce finan ministry supported sentiment. The BSE IT 5,675.26 5,687.54 0.22% goveernment said Prime Mi inister Dr. Manmohan Singh M BSE Banks 11,544.27 11,507.50 -0.32% is ch halking out plan for the country's economic re e e evival. FII A Activity (`Cr) Volaatility was hiigh as trade rolled ov positions from ers ver s the near-month June 2012 series to July 2012 series h 2 Date e Buy Sell Net ahea of F&O Ju ad une contract. 27-Jun 1,918 1,651 267 • Sharres of tyre manufacturers fell aft ter a membber of 26-Jun 1,474 1,388 86 CCI told news c t channel that a probe on tyre comp t n panies Tota Jun al 34,392 33,564 829 was under way and an ord was like in the ne 10 der ely ext 2012 YTD 317,426 274,659 42767 days Apollo Ty s. yres fell 2.14%, while CEAT declined e MF A Activity (`Cr) 2.522%. Power generation s stocks exten nded this mo onth's gains as lower internation nal coal prices could boost Date e Buy Sell Net profitability. Fall in internaational coal prices this year s 27-Jun 383 319 64 could boost pr rofitability o those power generation of 26-Jun 325 647 -322 firms which buy imported c s y coal in the spot market. JSW s Tota Jun al 7,755 7,636 119 Enerrgy, GVK Po ower & Infr NTPC an Torrent Power ra, nd 2012 YTD 61,619 67,967 -6348 gained by between 0.39% to 1.48%. Volu ume & Adva ances / Dec clines • Axis Bank fell 2.2%, while Y Yes Bank fe 1% after HSBC ell exite its inves ed stments in both Indian lenders, raising n NSE BSE abou a combined $430mn ut n. Trad ding Volume (Cr) 70.70 19.66 • Mark ket breadth was strong at ~1.1 h 11x as inve estors Turn nover (`Cr) 11,322 4,307 boug large ca stocks. O provisional basis, FIIs sold ght ap On Advances 758 1,461 equity of `11.12bn while d domestic institutions bought Declines 704 1,312 equity of `7.72b in cash segment. bn Unchanged 82 127 • Asian shares deeclined Frida as the markets rem ay, m mained Tota al 1,544 2,900 cauttious on Eur ropean Unio crisis sum on mmit. Glob Markets bal • We expect a flat opening for the Ind dian marke ets, as Inde ex Late Values est Change (%) ) the Asian mar rkets are clueless on the Euro n opean DJIA A 12,602.26 -0.20% deveelopments. A recent recovery in th euro may help he y rupe to strengthen against the dollar which would ee NAS SDAQ 2,849.49 -0.90% also help Indian equities. n Nikk * kei 8,862.90 -0.13% Hang Seng * 19,397.09 1.95% Econom and Cor mic rporate Dev velopments s * as o 8.25AM IST of • The Direct Tax xes Code ( (DTC) Bill, which see eks to over rhaul the 5 50-year-old income ta laws, w ax will be Curr rencies / Co ommodities Snapshot s brou ught in Parliament in th monsoon session, Finance he Latest Previous Secr retary R S G Gujral said. Quote Close Indian Rupee per $ 56.81 57.01 • Petro price wa cut by ` ol as `2.46 per litre, the se l econd redu uction this m month. Indian Rupee per € 70.67 71.08 NYM MEX Crude Oil($/bbl) 79.09 77.69 • Hit by a deman slump in the residen b nd ntial sector, India , is lik kely to witne around 25% decline in land de ess e eals to Gold ($/oz) d 1,565.90 1,549.70 arou und `15,00 00Cr, realty consultant Cushma y an & Silve ($/oz) er 26.62 26.25 Wak kefield said. Keyn note Capitals Research h (reseaarch@keyno otecapitals.net) (+91222-3026600 00) Keyynote Capita Research is also available on als h Bloo omberg KNTE <GO>, Tho E omson One A Analytics, Re euters Knowwledge, Capit IQ, TheMa tal arkets.com and securitie a es.com Keynote Capitals Institu utional Resea arch - winner of “India’s Best IPO Analyst Award 2009” by MCX-Zee Business To unsubsc cribe from th mailing lis please reply to unsub his st, bscribe@keyynotecapitals s.net
  • 2.       TOP GAINERS Buzzin Stocks ng (BSE A-Group) E • God drej Properrties said that it ha launche as ed a Previous Currennt Change premmium resid dential proje ect -- Godrrej Horizon-- in Com mpany Name e Close(` `) Price(` `) (%) Pune. The project, spread over 8.64 acres, consists d Baja Finserv aj 643.95 5 678.80 5.41 of five towers and offers a total of 384 apartm 3 ments MMT TC 710.70 0 737.55 3.78 with a mix of 2, 2.5 and 3 BHK ranging from 1,13 sq h 37 Century Tex 290.25 5 299.70 3.26 ft to 2,031 sq ft the compa o t, any said in a statement. India Hotels an 58.85 5 60.70 3.14 • Reliance Comm munications is planning to hire 6,000 g Unit ted Brew 530.75 5 546.80 3.02 sale and mark es keting perso across In ons ndia. (BSE Mid-Cap) E • With the ban o limeston mining at its Chand h on ne a deria unit in Rajastha since Aug t an gust last ye still affec ear cting Previous Currennt Change Com mpany Name e Birla Corporati a ion’s cemeent business, the flag gship Close(` `) Price(` `) (%) HMT T 37.40 42.35 13.24 firm of the M P Birla gro m oup, is now exploring the w REI Agro 8.38 9.14 9.07 poss sibility of foreign ventu ures. Aban Offshore 355.15 377.45 6.28 • Raymond Limit ted is plann ning to roll out the product o Baja Finserv aj 643.95 678.80 5.41 in over 2,000 outlets in G o Gujarat. Tapping over 180 Mon nnet Ispat Ene e 364.10 380.00 4.37 towns by Marc 2013 in Gujarat, Ra ch aymond will be er-3 to tier- towns fo the economy using on tie focu -5 or TOP LOSERS bran nd. (BSE A-Group) E • Ashok Leyland is planning to raise `4 g 400Cr to `50 00Cr of debt to sup d pport its inv vestment pl lan, which is in Previous Currennt Change Com mpany Name e tune of `1200C Major chu e Cr. unk of the investments will s Close(` `) Price(` `) (%) JPPO OWER 36.30 0 34.70 0 -4.41 go into Pantna agarfacility, towards R&D and in the R Ruchi Soya 91.25 5 88.15 5 -3.40 joint ventures, said K Sridharan, chief financial t Man nap Gen Fin 33.15 5 32.10 0 -3.17 offic cer. Axis Bank s 1000.80 0 971.00 0 -2.98 • JSW Steel h had redee emed fore eign curre ency Sesa Goa a 191.05 5 185.60 0 -2.85 conv vertible bon (FCCBs) worth $274 nds 4mn (`1,573 3Cr). With full payment, no equ h uity dilution took place but e (BSE Mid-Cap) E analysts said th interest c he costs would go up. Previous Currennt Change US markets Com mpany Name e Close(` `) Price(` `) (%) Shre Global Trd ee d 92.35 87.75 -4.98 US sto ocks on Thu sed with mild losses a ursday clos after Edelweiss Capita al 32.30 30.70 -4.95 recoup ping most of the day y's slide in the final 30 n Sobha Dev 351.20 336.50 -4.19 minute of trade. es JSW Ispat 10.63 10.26 -3.48 After falling as m f many as 17 points, the Dow Jo 77 ones Ruchi Soya 91.25 88.15 -3.40 Industr rial Average ended off 24.75 poin e f nts, or 0.2% at %, 12,6022.26. The S& 500 inde declined 2.81 points, or &P ex 0.2%, to 1,329.04 The Nasd 4. site shed 25.83 daq Compos points, or 0.9%, to 2,849.49. o Keyn note Capitals Research h (resea arch@keyno otecapitals.net) (+912 22-3026600 00)
  • 3.       India and Globa Economic Calendar a al c Countries / Fri iday Mo onday Tu uesday We ednesday Reg gions 29 9-Jun 2-Jul 2 3-Jul 4-Jul Ind dia Forex Reserves Data Bank Loan Growth n US Core Persoonal Markit Factory Orders PMI Index services Consumpt tion Manufact turing PMI (MoM) Expenditu - Price ure Index (YoY & MoM) Y Personal Construct tion Consumpt tion Spending (MoM) g Expenditu - Price ure Index (YoY & MoM) Y Personal Income(MoM); Chicago Purchasing Managers' Index & Reuters/M Michigan Consumer Sentiment r Index Glo obal Euro Zone EU e Germanyy's nsumer UK's Con German PMI Index ny x Economic Summit & Purchasin Manager ng r Credit services s European Council Index Manufacturing g Meeting Japan Connstruction UK's Purc chasing UK's M4 Money Orders (Yo & oY) Manager Index Supply (MoM) and Housing S Starts (YoY) Manufactturing (YoY) KEYN NOTE CAPITTALS LTD. The Rub 9th Floo Senapati Bapat Marg, Dadar (W), Mumba – 400 028 by, or, ai 8 Tel. : +9 9122-30266 6000 • www w.keynotec capitals.com m Disclaiimer: This re eport is purely for informa ation purpose and is bassed on public information News cont c n. tent is attribu utable to various media, unle specified otherwise. A market related statistic data perta ess All cal ains to the im mmediately preceding trad ding day, unless stated other s rwise. Neithe the informa er ation nor any opinion expressed in this report constitutes an off y s fer, or an invitation to make an offer, to bbuy or sell the securities m mentioned he erein. We or any of our directors, offic cers or emplo oyees shall not in any way be responsible for any loss arising from the use of this report. Investors are advised to apply their own judgmen before e e s m e o nt acting on the conteents of this re eport. The rep port has not been edited due to time c d constraints.