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India Morning Note
    a
Thurs
    sday, Septem
               mber 06, 2012

Dom
  mestic Markets Snapshot
                        t                                   V
                                                            Views on ma
                                                                      arkets today
                                                                                 y
                                                            • Indian markets edg
                                                                      m            ged lower to reach the lowest
                                                                                                o          eir
 Nam of Index
   me                   Sept 4       Sept 5    Change (%)
                                                              closing level in ov  ver 4-1/2 w  weeks after Finance
                                                                                                           r
 Sens
    sex              17,440.87    17,313.34
                                  1              -0.73%
                                                              Minister P. Chidam   mbaram said India is making
                                                                                                          s
 CNX Nifty            5,274.00     5,225.70      -0.92%       consisten efforts to check the abuse of a double-
                                                                       nt          o           e
 BSE Mid-cap          6,042.41     6,023.53      -0.31%       taxation-
                                                                      -avoidance pact it has with Mau      uritius as
 BSE IT               5,731.64     5,726.24      -0.09%       Mauritius has bec
                                                                      s            come an attractive r
                                                                                                a          route for
 BSE Banks           11,501.58    11,292.73
                                  1              -1.82%       investmeents by thi   ird-country residents into India
                                                              through treaty abuse The fall mirrored Asian peers as
                                                                                   e.                      n
FII Ac
     ctivity                                      (`Cr)       investors grew edgy ahead of a European Central
                                                                      s                        f
 Date
    e                     Buy          Sell         Net       Bank me eeting on Th hursday to ddiscuss the euro-zone
                                                              debt cris
                                                                      sis. Dropped was also le by banking stocks
                                                                                   d            ed
 4-Sep
     p                  1,634         1,332         302
                                                              such as AAxis Bank an ICICI Bank as concern loomed
                                                                                   nd                      ns
 3-Sep
     p                  1,666         1,713          -47
                                                              over gr rowing impaired loans at a tim
                                                                                               s          me when
 Total Sept
     l                   3300         3045          256       corporates are battliing a sluggis economy. Impaired
                                                                                               sh          .
 2012 YTD
    2                  425579       362312        63267       assets d
                                                                     during fiscal 2013 acros the banking sector
                                                                                               ss
                                                              may exceed initial foorecasts as t
                                                                                               the economy slows, at
                                                                                                          y
MF A
   Activity                                        (`Cr)      a time when domestic macro indicators suggest
                                                                                                o         s
                                                              governmment should act soon o executive reforms,
                                                                                               on         e
 Date
    e                     Buy          Sell         Net
                                                              Fitch Rat
                                                                      tings said in note.
 4-Sep
     p                    290          354           -64
                                                            • PSU OMCs gained for the sec     cond straigh day on
                                                                                                           ht
 3-Sep
     p                    278          431          -153      reports tthe petroleu
                                                                                  um ministry plans to ra  aise diesel
 Total Sept
     l                    569          785          -216      rates by `4-5 per lit after the monsoon p
                                                                                   tre                     parliament
 2012 YTD
    2                   82256        91905         -9649      session ends on September 7 as oil firms' revenue
                                                              loss has soared to aalmost half tthe retail price. While
Global Markets                                                oil exploration stocks declined as US crude o futures
                                                                                                            oil
                                                              traded nnear the lowe level in a week after a report
                                                                                    est
 Index
     x                     Latest Values
                                t              Change (%)     showed manufactur    ring shrinkiing in the US, the
 DJIA                            13
                                  3,047.48        0.09%       world's biggest crude consumer.
                                                                      b            e
 NASD
    DAQ                           3,069.27
                                  3              -0.19%     • Market bbreadth was negative at ~0.79x as investors
                                                                                                t
 Nikke *
     ei                           8,684.92
                                  8               0.06%       sold larg cap stock On provis
                                                                      ge          ks.           sional basis, both FIIs
                                                                                                            ,
 Hang Seng *
    g                            19
                                  9,114.03       -0.16%       and dommestic institu
                                                                                  utions sold equities worth `1.88bn
                                                              and `1.66bn, respect tively in cash segment.
                                                                                                h
* as of 8.25AM IST
      f
                                                            • Asian markets are flat today, as investors showed
Curre
    ency Snapsh
              hot                                             caution ahead of the Europ   pean Centra Bank's
                                                                                                      al
                                                              meeting.
 Future contract                                   RBI
                          Latest    Previous                • We expe a cautiou opening fo the Indian markets,
                                                                      ect         us           or         n
 expir on
     re                                      Reference
                                             R
                          Quote        Close                  tracking the cues fr rom the Asia markets. Investors
                                                                                               an
 29/08/12                                         Rate
 India Rupee per $
     an                    56.14       55.81       55.90      may also discount th political u
                                                                       o           he          uncertainty rising due
                                                              to coal block allocation issues.
                                                                      b
 India Rupee per €
     an                    70.37       70.25       88.63
 India Rupee per £
     an                    89.11       88.55       70.03
                                                            Economic and Corporate Developm
                                                                     a                    ments
                                                            • The goveernment is p planning to d
                                                                                               divest 9.33% stake in
                                                                                                           %
 India Rupee per ¥
     an                    71.56       71.16       71.33
                                                              MMTC, b only 5% stake in Ne
                                                                     but                      eyveli Lignite as there
                                                                                                           e
* NSE Exchange                                                are trad union iss
                                                                     de            sues. It is looking at a special
                                                              allotmen of shares for employ
                                                                     nt                       yees. Apart ffrom this,
                                                              the govvernment is looking a BHEL, H
                                                                                   s           at          Hindustan
                                                              Copper, SAIL, Oil India, NALCO an NMDC.
                                                                                               nd

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TOP GAINERS
    G                                               Buzzing Stocks
(BSE A-Group)                                       • Governmment says 5 of 25 cancel    lled blocks re
                                                                                                      e-allotted
                   Previous   Current    Change       to Coal India (CIL), Jindal Steel & Power.
 Company Name
                   Close(`)   Price(`)      (%)     • Exide Industries won 15-year tra
                                                                          n          ademark spa against
                                                                                               at
 Torre Power
     ent            157.45     163.80      4.03
                                                      global battery giant Exide Techn
                                                                                     nologies.
 Strides Arco       819.05     851.20      3.93
                                                    • US-base International Paper ey
                                                              ed                   yes West Coa Paper
                                                                                              ast
 Bhar Airtel
    rti             249.65     257.85      3.28
                                                      , deal se
                                                              een around `
                                                                         `800-1200Cr.
 GMR Infra           18.95      19.50      2.90
 Idea Cellular       75.50      77.35      2.45     • Videocon may sell 110% stake in Mozambiq
                                                                                             que basin
                                                      for USD 3 billion.
(BSE Mid-Cap)
   E
                                                    • ICICI Bank plans to repatriate pa of capita from its
                                                                                      art       al
                   Previous   Current    Change       UK arm.
 Company Name
                   Close(`)   Price(`)      (%)
 KSK Energy          58.70      64.55       9.97    • Reliance Infrastruct
                                                             e            ture announces exit f
                                                                                              from the
 INDIA POWER
     AB              10.55      11.56       9.57      Worli-Ha Ali sea link project.
                                                             aji          k
 Resp
    ponsive Inds     89.15      94.00       5.44    • Divi's La denies st
                                                              abs       take sale buz
                                                                                    zz.
 D B CORP
     C              190.05     199.90       5.18    • Govt’s proposed ac
                                                              p           cquisition of Institutiona lenders
                                                                                                   al
 Edelw
     weiss           29.55      31.05       5.08      of IFCI will need multiple regulat
                                                              w                        tory approvaals.
 Finan
     ncial
                                                    • Rajshree Sugar board meets to
                                                              e                   oday to cons
                                                                                             sider pref
TOP LOSERS
    L
                                                      issue to promoters.
(BSE A-Group)
                                                    • Fulford India open of
                                                                          ffer at `830 per share st
                                                                                                  tarts from
                   Previous   Current    Change       Septemb 14.
                                                              ber
 Company Name
                   Close(`)   Price(`)      (%)
 BHEL
    L               218.90    208.00       -4.98
                                                    • Dalmia Sugar: Prom
                                                                       moters to bu 55 lakh s
                                                                                     uy        shares at
                                                      maximum Rs 19.5/shhare, to trigg open offe
                                                                                     ger       e.r
 Axis Bank          978.25    930.35       -4.90
 REC                191.45    182.25       -4.81    • Maruti S
                                                             Suzuki expec Manesar f
                                                                        cts         facility to sta full by
                                                                                                  art
 Jinda Steel
     al             352.85    336.00       -4.78      month-eend. The coompany will produce ab    bout 700
 Castr India
     rol            284.50    273.75       -3.78      cars per day from M
                                                             r          Manesar shor
                                                                                   rtly (Currentl around
                                                                                                  ly
                                                      580 cars
                                                             s).
(BSE Mid-Cap)
   E
                                                    • SBI cuts fixed depos rates by u to 1%.
                                                                         sit        up
                   Previous   Current    Change
 Company Name
                   Close(`)   Price(`)      (%)
 India Cements
     a               84.05      80.25      -4.52
 Jain Irrigation     64.20      61.85      -3.66
 COX KINGS          131.30     127.05      -3.24
 Sadb
    bhav Engr       131.35     127.15      -3.20
 Punj Lloyd          45.85      44.40      -3.16




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    ote                                    (research
                                                   h@keynotecapitals.net)               (+9122-3026
                                                                                                  66000)
 



                                                                                                                                  




                                                                                                                                  




 India and Global Economic C
                           Calendar

   Cou
     untries /             Thursd
                                day                     Friday
                                                             y                   Monday                     Tuesday
                                                                                                                  y

   Reg
     gions                   6/Se
                                ep                      7/Sep
                                                            p                     10/Sep
                                                                                       p                    11/Sep
                                                                                                                 p
                                               Forex Reserv Data
                                               F          ves
   India
       a




                    Challenger Job Cuts        Average Hou
                                               A          urly
                    (YoY)                      Earnings (YoY
                                               E           Y);                                      NFFIB        Small
   US
                                               Average Wee
                                               A           ekly                                     Bu
                                                                                                     usiness Optimism
                                               Hours
                                               H                                                    (A
                                                                                                     AUG)
                    Initial and                Nonfarms Pa
                                               N          ayrolls;
                    Continuing Jobless         Unemployme Rate
                                               U           ent
                    Claims                                                                          US Trade Bala
                                                                                                     S          ance
                    ISM Non-
                    Manufacturing PMI
                    Eurozone's GGross          Japan Coinciddent          China Export Import
                                                                          C
   Glob
      bal           Domestic Pr roduct         Index; Leadinng            data
                    s.a. (QoQ) and (YoY)       Economic Ind
                                               E            dex                                     UK Trade Ba
                                                                                                     K’s      alance
                    UK's BoE Intterest         UK Industrial
                                               U            l              apan Consum
                                                                          Ja         mer
                    Rate Decisioon             Production (Y
                                               P            YoY &         Confidence
                                                                          C
                                               MoM);
                                               M
                                               Manufacturin
                                               M           ng
                                               Production (Y
                                               P            YoY &                                   Japan’s Man  npower
                                               MoM)
                                               M                                                    Suurvey (4Q)
                    Eurozone's EECB            UK Producer Price
                                               U                          UK Housing P
                                                                          U          Price
                    Interest Rate
                                e              Index - Input (YoY &
                                                           t              Balance
                                                                          B
                    Decision                   MoM); Producer
                                               M
                                               Price Index - Output
                                               P
                                               (YoY & MoM)
                                               (
                                               Germany Ind
                                               G           dustrial
                                               Production (Y
                                               P            YoY &
                                               MoM); Trade Balance
                                               M
                                               s.a
                                               s
                                               Germany Exp
                                               G            ports &
                                               Import (MoM)




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Indian markets edge lower ahead of ECB meet

  • 1.       India Morning Note a Thurs sday, Septem mber 06, 2012 Dom mestic Markets Snapshot t V Views on ma arkets today y • Indian markets edg m ged lower to reach the lowest o eir Nam of Index me Sept 4 Sept 5 Change (%) closing level in ov ver 4-1/2 w weeks after Finance r Sens sex 17,440.87 17,313.34 1 -0.73% Minister P. Chidam mbaram said India is making s CNX Nifty 5,274.00 5,225.70 -0.92% consisten efforts to check the abuse of a double- nt o e BSE Mid-cap 6,042.41 6,023.53 -0.31% taxation- -avoidance pact it has with Mau uritius as BSE IT 5,731.64 5,726.24 -0.09% Mauritius has bec s come an attractive r a route for BSE Banks 11,501.58 11,292.73 1 -1.82% investmeents by thi ird-country residents into India through treaty abuse The fall mirrored Asian peers as e. n FII Ac ctivity (`Cr) investors grew edgy ahead of a European Central s f Date e Buy Sell Net Bank me eeting on Th hursday to ddiscuss the euro-zone debt cris sis. Dropped was also le by banking stocks d ed 4-Sep p 1,634 1,332 302 such as AAxis Bank an ICICI Bank as concern loomed nd ns 3-Sep p 1,666 1,713 -47 over gr rowing impaired loans at a tim s me when Total Sept l 3300 3045 256 corporates are battliing a sluggis economy. Impaired sh . 2012 YTD 2 425579 362312 63267 assets d during fiscal 2013 acros the banking sector ss may exceed initial foorecasts as t the economy slows, at y MF A Activity (`Cr) a time when domestic macro indicators suggest o s governmment should act soon o executive reforms, on e Date e Buy Sell Net Fitch Rat tings said in note. 4-Sep p 290 354 -64 • PSU OMCs gained for the sec cond straigh day on ht 3-Sep p 278 431 -153 reports tthe petroleu um ministry plans to ra aise diesel Total Sept l 569 785 -216 rates by `4-5 per lit after the monsoon p tre parliament 2012 YTD 2 82256 91905 -9649 session ends on September 7 as oil firms' revenue loss has soared to aalmost half tthe retail price. While Global Markets oil exploration stocks declined as US crude o futures oil traded nnear the lowe level in a week after a report est Index x Latest Values t Change (%) showed manufactur ring shrinkiing in the US, the DJIA 13 3,047.48 0.09% world's biggest crude consumer. b e NASD DAQ 3,069.27 3 -0.19% • Market bbreadth was negative at ~0.79x as investors t Nikke * ei 8,684.92 8 0.06% sold larg cap stock On provis ge ks. sional basis, both FIIs , Hang Seng * g 19 9,114.03 -0.16% and dommestic institu utions sold equities worth `1.88bn and `1.66bn, respect tively in cash segment. h * as of 8.25AM IST f • Asian markets are flat today, as investors showed Curre ency Snapsh hot caution ahead of the Europ pean Centra Bank's al meeting. Future contract RBI Latest Previous • We expe a cautiou opening fo the Indian markets, ect us or n expir on re Reference R Quote Close tracking the cues fr rom the Asia markets. Investors an 29/08/12 Rate India Rupee per $ an 56.14 55.81 55.90 may also discount th political u o he uncertainty rising due to coal block allocation issues. b India Rupee per € an 70.37 70.25 88.63 India Rupee per £ an 89.11 88.55 70.03 Economic and Corporate Developm a ments • The goveernment is p planning to d divest 9.33% stake in % India Rupee per ¥ an 71.56 71.16 71.33 MMTC, b only 5% stake in Ne but eyveli Lignite as there e * NSE Exchange are trad union iss de sues. It is looking at a special allotmen of shares for employ nt yees. Apart ffrom this, the govvernment is looking a BHEL, H s at Hindustan Copper, SAIL, Oil India, NALCO an NMDC. nd Keyno Capitals Research ote (research h@keynotecapitals.net) (+9122-3026 66000) Keyno Capitals R ote Research is also available on Bloom mberg KNTE <GO>, Thom mson One Ana alytics, Reute Knowledge, Capital IQ, TheMarkets.com and sec ers , curities.com Keynote Capi K itals Institutio onal Research - winner of “India’s Best IPO Analyst Award 2009” by MCX-Zee Business h t ” e To unsubscrib from this m T be mailing list, p please reply to unsubscribe@keynotecaapitals.net
  • 2.     TOP GAINERS G Buzzing Stocks (BSE A-Group) • Governmment says 5 of 25 cancel lled blocks re e-allotted Previous Current Change to Coal India (CIL), Jindal Steel & Power. Company Name Close(`) Price(`) (%) • Exide Industries won 15-year tra n ademark spa against at Torre Power ent 157.45 163.80 4.03 global battery giant Exide Techn nologies. Strides Arco 819.05 851.20 3.93 • US-base International Paper ey ed yes West Coa Paper ast Bhar Airtel rti 249.65 257.85 3.28 , deal se een around ` `800-1200Cr. GMR Infra 18.95 19.50 2.90 Idea Cellular 75.50 77.35 2.45 • Videocon may sell 110% stake in Mozambiq que basin for USD 3 billion. (BSE Mid-Cap) E • ICICI Bank plans to repatriate pa of capita from its art al Previous Current Change UK arm. Company Name Close(`) Price(`) (%) KSK Energy 58.70 64.55 9.97 • Reliance Infrastruct e ture announces exit f from the INDIA POWER AB 10.55 11.56 9.57 Worli-Ha Ali sea link project. aji k Resp ponsive Inds 89.15 94.00 5.44 • Divi's La denies st abs take sale buz zz. D B CORP C 190.05 199.90 5.18 • Govt’s proposed ac p cquisition of Institutiona lenders al Edelw weiss 29.55 31.05 5.08 of IFCI will need multiple regulat w tory approvaals. Finan ncial • Rajshree Sugar board meets to e oday to cons sider pref TOP LOSERS L issue to promoters. (BSE A-Group) • Fulford India open of ffer at `830 per share st tarts from Previous Current Change Septemb 14. ber Company Name Close(`) Price(`) (%) BHEL L 218.90 208.00 -4.98 • Dalmia Sugar: Prom moters to bu 55 lakh s uy shares at maximum Rs 19.5/shhare, to trigg open offe ger e.r Axis Bank 978.25 930.35 -4.90 REC 191.45 182.25 -4.81 • Maruti S Suzuki expec Manesar f cts facility to sta full by art Jinda Steel al 352.85 336.00 -4.78 month-eend. The coompany will produce ab bout 700 Castr India rol 284.50 273.75 -3.78 cars per day from M r Manesar shor rtly (Currentl around ly 580 cars s). (BSE Mid-Cap) E • SBI cuts fixed depos rates by u to 1%. sit up Previous Current Change Company Name Close(`) Price(`) (%) India Cements a 84.05 80.25 -4.52 Jain Irrigation 64.20 61.85 -3.66 COX KINGS 131.30 127.05 -3.24 Sadb bhav Engr 131.35 127.15 -3.20 Punj Lloyd 45.85 44.40 -3.16 Keyno Capitals Research ote (research h@keynotecapitals.net) (+9122-3026 66000)
  • 3.       India and Global Economic C Calendar Cou untries / Thursd day Friday y Monday Tuesday y Reg gions 6/Se ep 7/Sep p 10/Sep p 11/Sep p Forex Reserv Data F ves India a Challenger Job Cuts Average Hou A urly (YoY) Earnings (YoY E Y); NFFIB Small US Average Wee A ekly Bu usiness Optimism Hours H (A AUG) Initial and Nonfarms Pa N ayrolls; Continuing Jobless Unemployme Rate U ent Claims US Trade Bala S ance ISM Non- Manufacturing PMI Eurozone's GGross Japan Coinciddent China Export Import C Glob bal Domestic Pr roduct Index; Leadinng data s.a. (QoQ) and (YoY) Economic Ind E dex UK Trade Ba K’s alance UK's BoE Intterest UK Industrial U l apan Consum Ja mer Rate Decisioon Production (Y P YoY & Confidence C MoM); M Manufacturin M ng Production (Y P YoY & Japan’s Man npower MoM) M Suurvey (4Q) Eurozone's EECB UK Producer Price U UK Housing P U Price Interest Rate e Index - Input (YoY & t Balance B Decision MoM); Producer M Price Index - Output P (YoY & MoM) ( Germany Ind G dustrial Production (Y P YoY & MoM); Trade Balance M s.a s Germany Exp G ports & Import (MoM) KEYNOTE CAPITALS LTD. E The Ruby, 9th Floor, Senapati Ba , S apat Marg, Dadar (W), M D Mumbai – 40 028 00 Tel. : +912 22-30266000 0 • www.ke eynotecapita als.com Disclaim mer: This repo is purely for informatio purpose an is based on public infor ort f on nd o rmation. News content is a attributable to o various media, unles specified ot s ss therwise. All m market related statistical da pertains to the immedia d ata o ately preceding trading dayy, unless stated otherw wise. Neither the information nor any opin nion expresse in this repo constitutes an offer, or a invitation to ed ort an o make an offer, to bu or sell the s a uy securities menntioned herein We or any o our directors, officers or employees sh n. of hall not in any y way be responsible for any loss a e arising from th use of this report. Inves he s stors are advi ised to apply their own jud dgment before e acting o the conten of this repo The report has not been edited due t time constraints. on nts ort. t n to