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Daily Commodity Report

                                                                                                                           1st February 2012

                                                                 MCX GOLD (FEB 12) - Gold opened higher at 28100. It moved
                       Gold         Silver         Crude
                      (4 Feb-12)   (5 Mar-12)    (20 Feb-12)
                                                                 higher to touch an intra-day high of 28199. However, it failed to
                                                                 sustain higher and moved lower to touch an intra-day low of 28044
 Open                    28,100        57,055         4,948      on back of selling pressure. It ended the day flat to close at 28078.
 High                    28,199        57,490         5,025
                                                                 The RSI and the Stochastic are placed above their respective
 Low                     28,044        56,112         4,916
                                                                 averages, which would result in buying support. However, the
 Close                   28,078        56,422         4,927      Stochastic remains placed in the over bought zone, which would
 Prev. Close             28,059        56,992         4,945
                                                                 lead to intermediate bouts of profit taking. The ADX line, -DI line and
                                                                 +DI line are moving sideways, indicating a range bound trend. MCX
 % Change                 0.07%        -1.00%        -0.36%      GOLD faces resistance at 28152, 28960 and 29212, while the
Source – MCX                                                     supports are placed at 27954, 26347, 25500 and 24992 levels.

                       Volume (In 000's)                         MCX SILVER (MAR 12) - Silver opened lower at 56422. It moved
                                                                 higher to touch an intra-day high of 57490. However, it failed to
                       31/1/2012    30/1/2012        % Chg.      sustain higher and moved lower to touch an intra-day low of 56112
 Gold (gms)             20,345.0     28,403.0       -28.37%      on back of selling pressure. It ended the day with moderate losses
                                                                 to close at 56422.
 Silver (kgs)            2,237.7       1,797.5       24.49%

 Crude (bbl)            19,040.5     12,770.7        49.10%      The RSI and the Stochastic have slipped below their respective
Source – MCX                                                     averages. Moreover, both are also placed around the over bought
                                                                 zone, which would lead to intermediate bouts of profit taking and
                                                                 selling pressure. The ADX line, -DI line are moving sideways. The
                      Turnover (In Lacs)
                                                                 +DI line is placed at 36.60 level and is moving downwards,
                       31/1/2012    30/1/2012        % Chg.      indicating buyers are booking profits at higher levels. MCX Silver
                                                                 faces resistance at 57400, 57834, 58480 and 61708, while the
Gold                   572,381.7    795,001.6       -28.00%      supports are placed at 54671, 53170 and 51366 levels.
Silver               1,275,017.3   1,020,454.8       24.95%
                                                                 MCX CRUDE (FEB 12) - Crude opened higher at 4948 level. It
Crude                  946,524.5    631,229.8        49.95%
                                                                 moved higher to touch an intra-day high of 5025. However, it failed
Source – MCX                                                     to sustain higher and moved lower to touch an intra-day low of 4916
                                                                 on back of selling pressure. It ended the day with modest losses to
                   Global Market (Nymex - $)                     close the day at 4927.

                        1/2/2012    31/1/2012        % Chg.
                                                                 The RSI and the Stochastic are placed below their respective
Gold (oz)               1,738.30     1,737.80         0.03%      averages. However, both are also in the over sold zone, which
                                                                 would lead to intermediate bouts of short covering. The -DI line and
Silver (oz)                33.21        33.23        -0.08%
                                                                 +DI line are moving sideways. It faces resistance at 4950, 5003,
Crude (bbl)                98.57        98.48         0.09%      5065, 5115, 5174 and 5200, while the supports are placed at 4903,
Dollar Index               79.34        79.28         0.07%      4877 and 4493 levels.
Source – www.cmegroup.com

                                                                                   Intra-day Resistance                 Intra-day Support
          Commodities                Close           Pivot Point             R1            R2           R3           S1            S2         S3

 CRUDE FEB 12                          4927                    4956         4996          5065        5174          4887         4847        4738

 GOLD FEB 12                          28078                 28107         28170          28262       28417        28015         27952       27797

 SILVER MAR 12                        56422                 56675         57237          58053       59431        55859         55297       53919


                                                                 Keynote Capitals Ltd.
              th
            4 Floor, Balmer Lawrie Bldg., 5, J. N. Heredia Marg, Ballard Estate, Fort, Mumbai, India – 400001. Tel: 3026 6000 / 2269 4322
                                                               www.keynotecapitals.com
US Economic Calendar:

     Wednesday                     Thursday                      Friday                        Monday                       Tuesday
      Feb. 01                       Feb. 02                      Feb. 03                       Feb. 06                      Feb. 07
ISM Manufacturing          Jobless Claims Data           Employment Situation         Treasury STRIPS               ICSC-Goldman Store
Index                                                    Data                                                       Sales
Motor Vehicle Sales        Bloomberg Consumer            Factory Orders               4-Week Bill                   Consumer Credit
                           Comfort Index                                              Announcement
ADP Employment             Productivity and Costs        ISM Non-Mfg Index            6-Month Bill Auction          3-Yr Note Auction
Report                     Data




                                                            Keynote Capitals Ltd.
          th
         4 Floor, Balmer Lawrie Bldg., 5, J. N. Heredia Marg, Ballard Estate, Fort, Mumbai, India – 400001. Tel: 3026 6000 / 2269 4322
                                                          www.keynotecapitals.com
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                                                              Keynote Capitals Ltd.
            th
          4 Floor, Balmer Lawrie Bldg., 5, J. N. Heredia Marg, Ballard Estate, Fort, Mumbai, India – 400001. Tel: 3026 6000 / 2269 4322
                                                            www.keynotecapitals.com

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Daily Commodity Report Highlights Key Prices

  • 1. Daily Commodity Report 1st February 2012 MCX GOLD (FEB 12) - Gold opened higher at 28100. It moved Gold Silver Crude (4 Feb-12) (5 Mar-12) (20 Feb-12) higher to touch an intra-day high of 28199. However, it failed to sustain higher and moved lower to touch an intra-day low of 28044 Open 28,100 57,055 4,948 on back of selling pressure. It ended the day flat to close at 28078. High 28,199 57,490 5,025 The RSI and the Stochastic are placed above their respective Low 28,044 56,112 4,916 averages, which would result in buying support. However, the Close 28,078 56,422 4,927 Stochastic remains placed in the over bought zone, which would Prev. Close 28,059 56,992 4,945 lead to intermediate bouts of profit taking. The ADX line, -DI line and +DI line are moving sideways, indicating a range bound trend. MCX % Change 0.07% -1.00% -0.36% GOLD faces resistance at 28152, 28960 and 29212, while the Source – MCX supports are placed at 27954, 26347, 25500 and 24992 levels. Volume (In 000's) MCX SILVER (MAR 12) - Silver opened lower at 56422. It moved higher to touch an intra-day high of 57490. However, it failed to 31/1/2012 30/1/2012 % Chg. sustain higher and moved lower to touch an intra-day low of 56112 Gold (gms) 20,345.0 28,403.0 -28.37% on back of selling pressure. It ended the day with moderate losses to close at 56422. Silver (kgs) 2,237.7 1,797.5 24.49% Crude (bbl) 19,040.5 12,770.7 49.10% The RSI and the Stochastic have slipped below their respective Source – MCX averages. Moreover, both are also placed around the over bought zone, which would lead to intermediate bouts of profit taking and selling pressure. The ADX line, -DI line are moving sideways. The Turnover (In Lacs) +DI line is placed at 36.60 level and is moving downwards, 31/1/2012 30/1/2012 % Chg. indicating buyers are booking profits at higher levels. MCX Silver faces resistance at 57400, 57834, 58480 and 61708, while the Gold 572,381.7 795,001.6 -28.00% supports are placed at 54671, 53170 and 51366 levels. Silver 1,275,017.3 1,020,454.8 24.95% MCX CRUDE (FEB 12) - Crude opened higher at 4948 level. It Crude 946,524.5 631,229.8 49.95% moved higher to touch an intra-day high of 5025. However, it failed Source – MCX to sustain higher and moved lower to touch an intra-day low of 4916 on back of selling pressure. It ended the day with modest losses to Global Market (Nymex - $) close the day at 4927. 1/2/2012 31/1/2012 % Chg. The RSI and the Stochastic are placed below their respective Gold (oz) 1,738.30 1,737.80 0.03% averages. However, both are also in the over sold zone, which would lead to intermediate bouts of short covering. The -DI line and Silver (oz) 33.21 33.23 -0.08% +DI line are moving sideways. It faces resistance at 4950, 5003, Crude (bbl) 98.57 98.48 0.09% 5065, 5115, 5174 and 5200, while the supports are placed at 4903, Dollar Index 79.34 79.28 0.07% 4877 and 4493 levels. Source – www.cmegroup.com Intra-day Resistance Intra-day Support Commodities Close Pivot Point R1 R2 R3 S1 S2 S3 CRUDE FEB 12 4927 4956 4996 5065 5174 4887 4847 4738 GOLD FEB 12 28078 28107 28170 28262 28417 28015 27952 27797 SILVER MAR 12 56422 56675 57237 58053 59431 55859 55297 53919 Keynote Capitals Ltd. th 4 Floor, Balmer Lawrie Bldg., 5, J. N. Heredia Marg, Ballard Estate, Fort, Mumbai, India – 400001. Tel: 3026 6000 / 2269 4322 www.keynotecapitals.com
  • 2. US Economic Calendar: Wednesday Thursday Friday Monday Tuesday Feb. 01 Feb. 02 Feb. 03 Feb. 06 Feb. 07 ISM Manufacturing Jobless Claims Data Employment Situation Treasury STRIPS ICSC-Goldman Store Index Data Sales Motor Vehicle Sales Bloomberg Consumer Factory Orders 4-Week Bill Consumer Credit Comfort Index Announcement ADP Employment Productivity and Costs ISM Non-Mfg Index 6-Month Bill Auction 3-Yr Note Auction Report Data Keynote Capitals Ltd. th 4 Floor, Balmer Lawrie Bldg., 5, J. N. Heredia Marg, Ballard Estate, Fort, Mumbai, India – 400001. Tel: 3026 6000 / 2269 4322 www.keynotecapitals.com
  • 3. Disclaimer This document is not for public distribution and has been furnished to you solely for your information and must not be reproduced or redistributed to any other person. Persons into whose possession this document may come are required to observe these restrictions. This material is for the personal information of the authorized recipient, and we are not soliciting any action based upon it. This report is not to be construed as an offer to sell or the solicitation of an offer to buy any security in any jurisdiction where such an offer or solicitation would be illegal. It is for the general information of clients of Keynote Capitals Ltd. It does not constitute a personal recommendation or take into account the particular investment objectives, financial situations, or needs of individual clients. We have reviewed the report, and in so far as it includes current or historical information, it is believed to be reliable though its accuracy or completeness cannot be guaranteed. Neither Keynote Capitals Ltd., nor any person connected with it, accepts any liability arising from the use of this document. The recipients of this material should rely on their own investigations and take their own professional advice. Price and value of the investments referred to in this material may go up or down. Past performance is not a guide for future performance. Certain transactions -including those involving futures, options and other derivatives as well as non-investment grade securities - involve substantial risk and are not suitable for all investors. Reports based on technical analysis centers on studying charts of a stock’s price movement and trading volume, as opposed to focusing on a company’s fundamentals and as such, may not match with a report on a company’s fundamentals. Opinions expressed are our current opinions as of the date appearing on this material only. While we endeavor to update on a reasonable basis the information discussed in this material, there may be regulatory, compliance, or other reasons that prevent us from doing so. Prospective investors and others are cautioned that any forward-looking statements are not predictions and may be subject to change without notice. Our proprietary trading and investment businesses may make investment decisions that are inconsistent with the recommendations expressed herein. We and our affiliates, officers, directors, and employees world wide may: (a) from time to time, have long or short positions in, and buy or sell the securities thereof, of company (ies) mentioned herein or (b) be engaged in any other transaction involving such securities and earn brokerage or other compensation or act as a market maker in the financial instruments of the company (ies) discussed herein or act as advisor or lender / borrower to such company (ies) or have other potential conflict of interest with respect to any recommendation and related information and opinions. The analyst for this report certifies that all of the views expressed in this report accurately reflect his or her personal views about the subject company or companies and its or their securities, and no part of his or her compensation was, is or will be, directly or indirectly related to specific recommendations or views expressed in this report. No part of this material may be duplicated in any form and/or redistributed without Keynote Capitals Ltd’s., prior written consent. Keynote Capitals Ltd. th 4 Floor, Balmer Lawrie Bldg., 5, J. N. Heredia Marg, Ballard Estate, Fort, Mumbai, India – 400001. Tel: 3026 6000 / 2269 4322 www.keynotecapitals.com