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Daily Commodity Report

                                                                                                                          3rd January 2012

                                                                MCX GOLD (FEB 12) - Gold opened lower at 27300. It touched an
                       Gold         Silver        Crude
                      (4 Feb-12)   (5 Mar-12)   (19 Jan-12)
                                                                intra-day low of 27271. But it managed to move higher on back of
                                                                buying support to touch an intra-day high of 27414. It ended the day
 Open                    27,300        51,000         5,293     with modest gains to close at 27382.
 High                    27,414        51,381         5,329

 Low                     27,271        51,000         5,282     The RSI and the Stochastic are placed above their respective
                                                                averages, which would lead to buying support. However, the
 Close                   27,382        51,330         5,325     Stochastic is placed near the over bought zone, which would lead to
 Prev. Close             27,329        51,029         5,296     intermediate bouts of profit taking. The ADX and +DI are moving
                                                                sideways, while -DI line is moving lower but is still placed at 39.15,
 % Change                 0.19%        0.59%          0.55%
                                                                indicating sellers are covering their short positions. MCX GOLD
Source – MCX                                                    faces resistance at 27954, 28152, 28960 and 29212, while the
                                                                supports are placed at 26347, 25500 and 24992 levels.
                       Volume (In 000's)

                        2/1/2012   31/12/2011       % Chg.
                                                                MCX SILVER (MAR 12) - Silver opened lower at 51000.
                                                                Incidentally, this was the lowest price for the day. It moved higher to
 Gold (gms)              6,445.0      2,314.0      178.52%      touch an intra-day high of 51381. It ended the day with moderate
 Silver (kgs)              261.8        103.0      154.25%      gains to close at 51330.

 Crude (bbl)             2,044.7        361.1      466.24%
                                                                The RSI has moved above its average, which would lead to buying
Source – MCX                                                    support. Moreover, the Stochastic is already placed above its
                                                                average and, would lead to intermediate bouts of buying support.
                      Turnover (In Lacs)                        The ADX and +DI are moving sideways, while -DI line is placed at
                                                                39.69, indicating sellers have an upper hand. MCX Silver faces
                        2/1/2012   31/12/2011       % Chg.
                                                                resistance at 53200, 54184, 56480 levels, while the supports are
Gold                   176,229.7     63,249.2      178.63%      placed at 50410, 49809, 48477 and 45824 levels.
Silver                 134,161.1     52,599.6      155.06%
                                                                MCX CRUDE (JAN 12) - Crude opened lower at 5293 level. It
Crude                  108,471.9     19,136.2      466.84%      moved lower to touch an intra-day low of 5282. However, it
Source – MCX                                                    managed to bounce back to touch an intra-day high of 5329.It
                                                                ended the day with moderate gains to close at 5325.
                   Global Market (Nymex - $)
                                                                The RSI and the Stochastic have moved above their respective
                        3/1/2012     2/1/2012       % Chg.
                                                                averages, which would result in buying support. The ADX and -DI
Gold (oz)               1,578.10     1,565.80         0.79%     line are moving sideways, while the +DI line is placed at 35.15
                                                                indicating buyers have an upper hand. It faces resistance at 5342,
Silver (oz)                28.16        27.88         1.02%
                                                                5380, 5425 and 5475 levels, while the supports are placed at 5200,
Crude (bbl)              100.21         98.83         1.40%     5174 and 5115 levels.
Dollar Index               80.42        80.42         0.01%

Source – www.cmegroup.com

                                                                            Intra-day Resistance                        Intra-day Support
          Commodities              Close         Pivot Point             R1             R2          R3            S1            S2           S3

         CRUDE JAN 12               5325              5312              5342           5359        5406          5295          5265         5218

              GOLD FEB 12          27382             27356             27440           27499       27642        27297         27213         27070

         SILVER MAR 12             51330             51237             51474           51618       51999        51093         50856         50475


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US Economic Calendar:

      Tuesday                    Wednesday                     Thursday                       Friday                       Tuesday
       Jan. 03                    Jan. 04                       Jan. 05                       Jan. 06                       Jan. 10
FOMC Meeting              Motor Vehicle Sales           Jobless Claims               Employment Situation          NFIB Small Business
Minutes                                                                                                            Optimism Index
Construction Spending     Factory Orders                ADP Employment               Monster Employment            Wholesale Trade
                                                        Report                       Index
ISM Mfg Index             MBA Purchase                  ISM Non-Mfg Index            Treasury STRIPS
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Keynote commodity daily report 030112

  • 1. Daily Commodity Report 3rd January 2012 MCX GOLD (FEB 12) - Gold opened lower at 27300. It touched an Gold Silver Crude (4 Feb-12) (5 Mar-12) (19 Jan-12) intra-day low of 27271. But it managed to move higher on back of buying support to touch an intra-day high of 27414. It ended the day Open 27,300 51,000 5,293 with modest gains to close at 27382. High 27,414 51,381 5,329 Low 27,271 51,000 5,282 The RSI and the Stochastic are placed above their respective averages, which would lead to buying support. However, the Close 27,382 51,330 5,325 Stochastic is placed near the over bought zone, which would lead to Prev. Close 27,329 51,029 5,296 intermediate bouts of profit taking. The ADX and +DI are moving sideways, while -DI line is moving lower but is still placed at 39.15, % Change 0.19% 0.59% 0.55% indicating sellers are covering their short positions. MCX GOLD Source – MCX faces resistance at 27954, 28152, 28960 and 29212, while the supports are placed at 26347, 25500 and 24992 levels. Volume (In 000's) 2/1/2012 31/12/2011 % Chg. MCX SILVER (MAR 12) - Silver opened lower at 51000. Incidentally, this was the lowest price for the day. It moved higher to Gold (gms) 6,445.0 2,314.0 178.52% touch an intra-day high of 51381. It ended the day with moderate Silver (kgs) 261.8 103.0 154.25% gains to close at 51330. Crude (bbl) 2,044.7 361.1 466.24% The RSI has moved above its average, which would lead to buying Source – MCX support. Moreover, the Stochastic is already placed above its average and, would lead to intermediate bouts of buying support. Turnover (In Lacs) The ADX and +DI are moving sideways, while -DI line is placed at 39.69, indicating sellers have an upper hand. MCX Silver faces 2/1/2012 31/12/2011 % Chg. resistance at 53200, 54184, 56480 levels, while the supports are Gold 176,229.7 63,249.2 178.63% placed at 50410, 49809, 48477 and 45824 levels. Silver 134,161.1 52,599.6 155.06% MCX CRUDE (JAN 12) - Crude opened lower at 5293 level. It Crude 108,471.9 19,136.2 466.84% moved lower to touch an intra-day low of 5282. However, it Source – MCX managed to bounce back to touch an intra-day high of 5329.It ended the day with moderate gains to close at 5325. Global Market (Nymex - $) The RSI and the Stochastic have moved above their respective 3/1/2012 2/1/2012 % Chg. averages, which would result in buying support. The ADX and -DI Gold (oz) 1,578.10 1,565.80 0.79% line are moving sideways, while the +DI line is placed at 35.15 indicating buyers have an upper hand. It faces resistance at 5342, Silver (oz) 28.16 27.88 1.02% 5380, 5425 and 5475 levels, while the supports are placed at 5200, Crude (bbl) 100.21 98.83 1.40% 5174 and 5115 levels. Dollar Index 80.42 80.42 0.01% Source – www.cmegroup.com Intra-day Resistance Intra-day Support Commodities Close Pivot Point R1 R2 R3 S1 S2 S3 CRUDE JAN 12 5325 5312 5342 5359 5406 5295 5265 5218 GOLD FEB 12 27382 27356 27440 27499 27642 27297 27213 27070 SILVER MAR 12 51330 51237 51474 51618 51999 51093 50856 50475 Keynote Capitals Ltd. th 4 Floor, Balmer Lawrie Bldg., 5, J. N. Heredia Marg, Ballard Estate, Fort, Mumbai, India – 400001. Tel: 3026 6000 / 2269 4322 www.keynotecapitals.com
  • 2. US Economic Calendar: Tuesday Wednesday Thursday Friday Tuesday Jan. 03 Jan. 04 Jan. 05 Jan. 06 Jan. 10 FOMC Meeting Motor Vehicle Sales Jobless Claims Employment Situation NFIB Small Business Minutes Optimism Index Construction Spending Factory Orders ADP Employment Monster Employment Wholesale Trade Report Index ISM Mfg Index MBA Purchase ISM Non-Mfg Index Treasury STRIPS Applications Keynote Capitals Ltd. th 4 Floor, Balmer Lawrie Bldg., 5, J. N. Heredia Marg, Ballard Estate, Fort, Mumbai, India – 400001. Tel: 3026 6000 / 2269 4322 www.keynotecapitals.com
  • 3. Disclaimer This document is not for public distribution and has been furnished to you solely for your information and must not be reproduced or redistributed to any other person. Persons into whose possession this document may come are required to observe these restrictions. This material is for the personal information of the authorized recipient, and we are not soliciting any action based upon it. This report is not to be construed as an offer to sell or the solicitation of an offer to buy any security in any jurisdiction where such an offer or solicitation would be illegal. It is for the general information of clients of Keynote Capitals Ltd. It does not constitute a personal recommendation or take into account the particular investment objectives, financial situations, or needs of individual clients. We have reviewed the report, and in so far as it includes current or historical information, it is believed to be reliable though its accuracy or completeness cannot be guaranteed. Neither Keynote Capitals Ltd., nor any person connected with it, accepts any liability arising from the use of this document. The recipients of this material should rely on their own investigations and take their own professional advice. Price and value of the investments referred to in this material may go up or down. Past performance is not a guide for future performance. Certain transactions -including those involving futures, options and other derivatives as well as non-investment grade securities - involve substantial risk and are not suitable for all investors. Reports based on technical analysis centers on studying charts of a stock’s price movement and trading volume, as opposed to focusing on a company’s fundamentals and as such, may not match with a report on a company’s fundamentals. Opinions expressed are our current opinions as of the date appearing on this material only. While we endeavor to update on a reasonable basis the information discussed in this material, there may be regulatory, compliance, or other reasons that prevent us from doing so. Prospective investors and others are cautioned that any forward-looking statements are not predictions and may be subject to change without notice. Our proprietary trading and investment businesses may make investment decisions that are inconsistent with the recommendations expressed herein. We and our affiliates, officers, directors, and employees world wide may: (a) from time to time, have long or short positions in, and buy or sell the securities thereof, of company (ies) mentioned herein or (b) be engaged in any other transaction involving such securities and earn brokerage or other compensation or act as a market maker in the financial instruments of the company (ies) discussed herein or act as advisor or lender / borrower to such company (ies) or have other potential conflict of interest with respect to any recommendation and related information and opinions. The analyst for this report certifies that all of the views expressed in this report accurately reflect his or her personal views about the subject company or companies and its or their securities, and no part of his or her compensation was, is or will be, directly or indirectly related to specific recommendations or views expressed in this report. No part of this material may be duplicated in any form and/or redistributed without Keynote Capitals Ltd’s., prior written consent. Keynote Capitals Ltd. th 4 Floor, Balmer Lawrie Bldg., 5, J. N. Heredia Marg, Ballard Estate, Fort, Mumbai, India – 400001. Tel: 3026 6000 / 2269 4322 www.keynotecapitals.com