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Keynote Capitals Ltd.
4
th
Floor, Balmer Lawrie Bldg., 5, J. N. Heredia Marg, Ballard Estate, Fort, Mumbai, India – 400001. Tel: 3026 6000 / 2269 4322
www.keynotecapitals.com
3rd
November 2011
Gold
(5 Dec-11)
Silver
(5 Dec-11)
Crude
(17 Nov-11)
Open 27,550 55,475 4,498
High 27,777 56,549 4,606
Low 27,490 55,363 4,498
Close 27,590 56,108 4,541
Prev. Close 27,525 55,313 4,493
% Change 0.24% 1.44% 1.07%
Source – MCX
Volume (In 000's)
2/11/2011 1/11/2011 % Chg.
Gold (grms) 47,754.0 60,475.0 -21.04%
Silver (kgs) 2,179.1 3,240.4 -32.75%
Crude (bbl) 23,117.4 24,880.0 -7.08%
Source – MCX
Turnover (In Lacs)
2/11/2011 1/11/2011 % Chg.
Gold 1,319,797.0 1,652,650.7 -20.14%
Silver 1,221,408.1 1,794,411.5 -31.93%
Crude 1,054,194.7 1,115,164.8 -5.47%
Source – MCX
Global Market (Nymex - $)
3/11/2011 2/11/2011 % Chg.
Gold (oz) 1,726.60 1,728.70 -0.12%
Silver (oz) 33.86 33.929 -0.20%
Crude (bbl) 91.40 92.51 -1.20%
Dollar Index 77.34 77.07 0.35%
Source – www.cmegroup.com
MCX GOLD (DEC 11) - Gold opened higher at 27550. It moved
higher to touch intra-day high of 27777. However, profit taking and
selling pressure was witnessed in late hour of trade to touch an
intra-day low of 27490. It ended the day on with marginal gains to
close at 27590.
The RSI is placed above its average, which would lead to buying
support at regular intervals. However, the Stochastic is still placed
below its average, which would result in profit taking and selling
pressure. The ADX, -DI line and +DI line are moving sideways
indicating a range bound trend. MCX GOLD faces resistance at
27964, 28235, 28525, 28744 levels, while the supports are placed
at 25360, 24992 and 23176 levels.
MCX SILVER (DEC 11) - Silver opened higher at 55475. It moved
lower to touch intra-day low of 55363. However, it managed to
bounce back from the lows on back of buying support. It moved
higher to touch intra-day high of 538766549. It ended the day with
modest gains to close at 56108.
The RSI has managed to bounce above its average, which would
lead to buying support at regular intervals. However, the Stochastic
is placed below its average, which would result in profit taking and
selling pressure. The ADX and +DI line are moving sideways, while
-DI line has moved above the 30 level indicating sellers have an
upper hand. MCX Silver faces resistance at 61708, 61884 and
64605 levels, while the supports are placed at 54754, 52725 and
52365 levels.
MCX CRUDE (NOV 11) - Crude opened higher at 4498 level.
Incidentally, this was also the lowest point of the day. It moved
higher to touch intra-day high of 4606. However, it failed to sustain
higher and moved lower to touch intra-day low of 4421on back of
sustained buying support. It ended the day with modest gains to
close at 4541.
The RSI and Stochastic are placed below their respective
averages, which would lead to selling pressure. The ADX and –DI
line are moving sideways, but +DI line is still placed at 33.59
indicating buyers have an upper hand. It faces resistance at 4548,
4631, 4666 and 4879 levels, while the supports are placed at 4291,
4238 and 4182 levels.
Commodities Close Pivot Point
Intra-day Resistance Intra-day Support
R1 R2 R3 S1 S2 S3
CRUDE OCT 11 4541 4548 4599 4656 4764 4491 4440 4332
GOLD DEC 11 27590 27619 27748 27906 28193 27461 27332 27045
SILVER DEC 11 56108 56007 56650 57193 58379 55464 54821 53635
Daily Commodity Outlook
Keynote Capitals Ltd.
4
th
Floor, Balmer Lawrie Bldg., 5, J. N. Heredia Marg, Ballard Estate, Fort, Mumbai, India – 400001. Tel: 3026 6000 / 2269 4322
www.keynotecapitals.com
US Economic Calendar:
Thursday
Nov. 03
Friday
Nov. 04
Monday
Nov. 07
Tuesday
Nov. 08
Wednesday
Nov. 09
Jobless Claims Employment Situation Consumer Credit
NFIB Small Business
Optimism Index
EIA Petroleum Status
Report
Productivity and Costs
Monster Employment
Index
6-Month Bill Auction
ICSC-Goldman Store
Sales
MBA Purchase
Applications
Factory Orders
4-Week Bill
Announcement
3-Yr Note Auction Wholesale Trade
ISM Non-Mfg Index
Keynote Capitals Ltd.
4
th
Floor, Balmer Lawrie Bldg., 5, J. N. Heredia Marg, Ballard Estate, Fort, Mumbai, India – 400001. Tel: 3026 6000 / 2269 4322
www.keynotecapitals.com
Disclaimer
This document is not for public distribution and has been furnished to you solely for your information and must not be reproduced or
redistributed to any other person. Persons into whose possession this document may come are required to observe these restrictions.
This material is for the personal information of the authorized recipient, and we are not soliciting any action based upon it. This report is
not to be construed as an offer to sell or the solicitation of an offer to buy any security in any jurisdiction where such an offer or
solicitation would be illegal. It is for the general information of clients of Keynote Capitals Ltd. It does not constitute a personal
recommendation or take into account the particular investment objectives, financial situations, or needs of individual clients.
We have reviewed the report, and in so far as it includes current or historical information, it is believed to be reliable though its accuracy
or completeness cannot be guaranteed. Neither Keynote Capitals Ltd., nor any person connected with it, accepts any liability arising from
the use of this document. The recipients of this material should rely on their own investigations and take their own professional advice.
Price and value of the investments referred to in this material may go up or down. Past performance is not a guide for future
performance. Certain transactions -including those involving futures, options and other derivatives as well as non-investment grade
securities - involve substantial risk and are not suitable for all investors. Reports based on technical analysis centers on studying charts
of a stock’s price movement and trading volume, as opposed to focusing on a company’s fundamentals and as such, may not match with
a report on a company’s fundamentals.
Opinions expressed are our current opinions as of the date appearing on this material only. While we endeavor to update on a
reasonable basis the information discussed in this material, there may be regulatory, compliance, or other reasons that prevent us from
doing so. Prospective investors and others are cautioned that any forward-looking statements are not predictions and may be subject to
change without notice. Our proprietary trading and investment businesses may make investment decisions that are inconsistent with the
recommendations expressed herein.
We and our affiliates, officers, directors, and employees world wide may: (a) from time to time, have long or short positions in, and buy or
sell the securities thereof, of company (ies) mentioned herein or (b) be engaged in any other transaction involving such securities and
earn brokerage or other compensation or act as a market maker in the financial instruments of the company (ies) discussed herein or act
as advisor or lender / borrower to such company (ies) or have other potential conflict of interest with respect to any recommendation and
related information and opinions.
The analyst for this report certifies that all of the views expressed in this report accurately reflect his or her personal views about the
subject company or companies and its or their securities, and no part of his or her compensation was, is or will be, directly or indirectly
related to specific recommendations or views expressed in this report.
No part of this material may be duplicated in any form and/or redistributed without Keynote Capitals Ltd’s., prior written consent.

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Keynote commodity daily report 031111

  • 1. Keynote Capitals Ltd. 4 th Floor, Balmer Lawrie Bldg., 5, J. N. Heredia Marg, Ballard Estate, Fort, Mumbai, India – 400001. Tel: 3026 6000 / 2269 4322 www.keynotecapitals.com 3rd November 2011 Gold (5 Dec-11) Silver (5 Dec-11) Crude (17 Nov-11) Open 27,550 55,475 4,498 High 27,777 56,549 4,606 Low 27,490 55,363 4,498 Close 27,590 56,108 4,541 Prev. Close 27,525 55,313 4,493 % Change 0.24% 1.44% 1.07% Source – MCX Volume (In 000's) 2/11/2011 1/11/2011 % Chg. Gold (grms) 47,754.0 60,475.0 -21.04% Silver (kgs) 2,179.1 3,240.4 -32.75% Crude (bbl) 23,117.4 24,880.0 -7.08% Source – MCX Turnover (In Lacs) 2/11/2011 1/11/2011 % Chg. Gold 1,319,797.0 1,652,650.7 -20.14% Silver 1,221,408.1 1,794,411.5 -31.93% Crude 1,054,194.7 1,115,164.8 -5.47% Source – MCX Global Market (Nymex - $) 3/11/2011 2/11/2011 % Chg. Gold (oz) 1,726.60 1,728.70 -0.12% Silver (oz) 33.86 33.929 -0.20% Crude (bbl) 91.40 92.51 -1.20% Dollar Index 77.34 77.07 0.35% Source – www.cmegroup.com MCX GOLD (DEC 11) - Gold opened higher at 27550. It moved higher to touch intra-day high of 27777. However, profit taking and selling pressure was witnessed in late hour of trade to touch an intra-day low of 27490. It ended the day on with marginal gains to close at 27590. The RSI is placed above its average, which would lead to buying support at regular intervals. However, the Stochastic is still placed below its average, which would result in profit taking and selling pressure. The ADX, -DI line and +DI line are moving sideways indicating a range bound trend. MCX GOLD faces resistance at 27964, 28235, 28525, 28744 levels, while the supports are placed at 25360, 24992 and 23176 levels. MCX SILVER (DEC 11) - Silver opened higher at 55475. It moved lower to touch intra-day low of 55363. However, it managed to bounce back from the lows on back of buying support. It moved higher to touch intra-day high of 538766549. It ended the day with modest gains to close at 56108. The RSI has managed to bounce above its average, which would lead to buying support at regular intervals. However, the Stochastic is placed below its average, which would result in profit taking and selling pressure. The ADX and +DI line are moving sideways, while -DI line has moved above the 30 level indicating sellers have an upper hand. MCX Silver faces resistance at 61708, 61884 and 64605 levels, while the supports are placed at 54754, 52725 and 52365 levels. MCX CRUDE (NOV 11) - Crude opened higher at 4498 level. Incidentally, this was also the lowest point of the day. It moved higher to touch intra-day high of 4606. However, it failed to sustain higher and moved lower to touch intra-day low of 4421on back of sustained buying support. It ended the day with modest gains to close at 4541. The RSI and Stochastic are placed below their respective averages, which would lead to selling pressure. The ADX and –DI line are moving sideways, but +DI line is still placed at 33.59 indicating buyers have an upper hand. It faces resistance at 4548, 4631, 4666 and 4879 levels, while the supports are placed at 4291, 4238 and 4182 levels. Commodities Close Pivot Point Intra-day Resistance Intra-day Support R1 R2 R3 S1 S2 S3 CRUDE OCT 11 4541 4548 4599 4656 4764 4491 4440 4332 GOLD DEC 11 27590 27619 27748 27906 28193 27461 27332 27045 SILVER DEC 11 56108 56007 56650 57193 58379 55464 54821 53635 Daily Commodity Outlook
  • 2. Keynote Capitals Ltd. 4 th Floor, Balmer Lawrie Bldg., 5, J. N. Heredia Marg, Ballard Estate, Fort, Mumbai, India – 400001. Tel: 3026 6000 / 2269 4322 www.keynotecapitals.com US Economic Calendar: Thursday Nov. 03 Friday Nov. 04 Monday Nov. 07 Tuesday Nov. 08 Wednesday Nov. 09 Jobless Claims Employment Situation Consumer Credit NFIB Small Business Optimism Index EIA Petroleum Status Report Productivity and Costs Monster Employment Index 6-Month Bill Auction ICSC-Goldman Store Sales MBA Purchase Applications Factory Orders 4-Week Bill Announcement 3-Yr Note Auction Wholesale Trade ISM Non-Mfg Index
  • 3. Keynote Capitals Ltd. 4 th Floor, Balmer Lawrie Bldg., 5, J. N. Heredia Marg, Ballard Estate, Fort, Mumbai, India – 400001. Tel: 3026 6000 / 2269 4322 www.keynotecapitals.com Disclaimer This document is not for public distribution and has been furnished to you solely for your information and must not be reproduced or redistributed to any other person. Persons into whose possession this document may come are required to observe these restrictions. This material is for the personal information of the authorized recipient, and we are not soliciting any action based upon it. This report is not to be construed as an offer to sell or the solicitation of an offer to buy any security in any jurisdiction where such an offer or solicitation would be illegal. It is for the general information of clients of Keynote Capitals Ltd. It does not constitute a personal recommendation or take into account the particular investment objectives, financial situations, or needs of individual clients. We have reviewed the report, and in so far as it includes current or historical information, it is believed to be reliable though its accuracy or completeness cannot be guaranteed. Neither Keynote Capitals Ltd., nor any person connected with it, accepts any liability arising from the use of this document. The recipients of this material should rely on their own investigations and take their own professional advice. Price and value of the investments referred to in this material may go up or down. Past performance is not a guide for future performance. Certain transactions -including those involving futures, options and other derivatives as well as non-investment grade securities - involve substantial risk and are not suitable for all investors. Reports based on technical analysis centers on studying charts of a stock’s price movement and trading volume, as opposed to focusing on a company’s fundamentals and as such, may not match with a report on a company’s fundamentals. Opinions expressed are our current opinions as of the date appearing on this material only. While we endeavor to update on a reasonable basis the information discussed in this material, there may be regulatory, compliance, or other reasons that prevent us from doing so. Prospective investors and others are cautioned that any forward-looking statements are not predictions and may be subject to change without notice. Our proprietary trading and investment businesses may make investment decisions that are inconsistent with the recommendations expressed herein. We and our affiliates, officers, directors, and employees world wide may: (a) from time to time, have long or short positions in, and buy or sell the securities thereof, of company (ies) mentioned herein or (b) be engaged in any other transaction involving such securities and earn brokerage or other compensation or act as a market maker in the financial instruments of the company (ies) discussed herein or act as advisor or lender / borrower to such company (ies) or have other potential conflict of interest with respect to any recommendation and related information and opinions. The analyst for this report certifies that all of the views expressed in this report accurately reflect his or her personal views about the subject company or companies and its or their securities, and no part of his or her compensation was, is or will be, directly or indirectly related to specific recommendations or views expressed in this report. No part of this material may be duplicated in any form and/or redistributed without Keynote Capitals Ltd’s., prior written consent.