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Daily Commodity Report

                                                                                                                   8th June 2012

                    Gold         Silver          Crude          MCX GOLD (4 AUGUST 12) - Gold opened higher at 30070.
                   (4 Aug-12)   (5 Jul-12)     (19 Jun-12)      Incidentally, this was the highest price for the day. It moved lower
                                                                to touch an intra-day low of 39214. It ended the day with high
 Open                 30,070        55,700          4,721
                                                                losses to close at 29317.
 High                 30,070        55,750          4,764

 Low                  29,214        53,840          4,665       The RSI has slipped below its average. Moreover, the Stochastic
                                                                has slipped below its average. These conditions would lead to
 Close                29,317        54,091          4,694
                                                                selling pressure. The ADX line, -DI line and +DI line are moving
 Prev. Close          30,065        55,841          4,720       sideways, indicating a range bound trend. MCX GOLD faces
 % Change             -2.49%        -3.13%         -0.55%       resistance at 29668, 30156, 30295 and 30500 while the supports
Source – MCX
                                                                are placed at 28859, 28765 and 27962 levels.

                    Volume (In 000's)                           MCX SILVER (5 JULY 12) - Silver opened lower at 55700. It
                                                                moved higher to touch an intra-day high of 55750 but failed to
                   07/06/2012   06/06/2012         % Chg.       sustain higher and moved lower to touch an intra-day low of 53840.
 Gold (gms)          75,098.0     46,517.0         61.44%       It ended the day with large losses to close at 54091.
 Silver (kgs)         3,179.8       2,667.6        19.20%
                                                                The RSI and the Stochastic have slipped their respective averages,
 Crude (bbl)         24,513.5     19,801.1         23.80%       which would lead to selling pressure. The ADX line, +DI line and
Source – MCX                                                    the –DI line are moving sideways, indicating a range bound trend.
                                                                MCX Silver faces resistance at 55551, 56157, 57737, 61708 and
                   Turnover (In Lacs)                           65159 while the supports are placed at 53818, 51029, and 50252
                                                                levels.
                   07/06/2012   06/06/2012         % Chg.

Gold              2,226,686.3   1,403,938.2        58.60%       MCX CRUDE (19 June 12) - Crude opened higher at 4721 level. It
                                                                moved lower to touch an intra-day low of 4665. However, it
Silver            1,744,603.2   1,485,567.7        17.44%
                                                                managed to bounce back from lower levels to touch an intra-day
Crude             1,154,864.8    938,183.8         23.10%       high of 4764. It ended the day with modest losses to close at 4694.
Source – MCX
                                                                The RSI and the Stochastic are placed above their respective
                Global Market (Nymex - $)                       averages. Moreover the RSI is placed around the over sold zone,
                                                                which would lead to short covering and buying support at lower
                   08/06/2012   07/06/2012         % Chg.
                                                                levels. The ADX line and –DI line are placed above the 38 level but
Gold (oz)            1,569.00     1,586.60         -1.11%       the –DI line has started coming down indicating shorts are getting
Silver (oz)             28.23        28.53         -1.05%       covered at lower levels. It faces resistance at 4855, 4905 and 5000
                                                                while the supports are placed at 4624, 4421, 4259 and 3723.
Crude (bbl)             83.16        84.82         -1.96%

Dollar Index            82.45        82.05          0.49%

Source – www.cmegroup.com

                                                                    Intra-day Resistance                  Intra-day Support
Commodities                      Close        Pivot Point
                                                                    R1          R2           R3         S1         S2           S3

CRUDE JUN 12                      4694              4708           4750       4807          4906      4651       4609          4510

GOLD AUG 12                      29317             29534          29853      30390         31246     28997      28678         27822

SILVER JUL 12                    54091             54560          55281      56470         58380     53371      52650         50740


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              The Ruby, 9th Floor, Senapati Bapat Marg, Dadar (W), Mumbai – 400 028. Tel: 3026 6000. Fax: 3026 6088.
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US Economic Calendar:

       Friday                  Monday                  Tuesday                Wednesday                 Thursday
       Jun 08                  Jun 11                   Jun 12                 Jun 13                    Jun 14
International Trade     4-Week Bill              Import and Export       Producer Price Index     Consumer Price Index
                        Announcement             Prices
Wholesale Trade         3-Month Bill Auction     Treasury Budget         Retail Sales             Jobless Claims

                        6-Month Bill Auction     ICSC-Goldman Store      EIA Petroleum Status     Bloomberg Consumer
                                                 Sales                   Report                   Comfort Index




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Keynote commodity daily report 080612

  • 1. Daily Commodity Report 8th June 2012 Gold Silver Crude MCX GOLD (4 AUGUST 12) - Gold opened higher at 30070. (4 Aug-12) (5 Jul-12) (19 Jun-12) Incidentally, this was the highest price for the day. It moved lower to touch an intra-day low of 39214. It ended the day with high Open 30,070 55,700 4,721 losses to close at 29317. High 30,070 55,750 4,764 Low 29,214 53,840 4,665 The RSI has slipped below its average. Moreover, the Stochastic has slipped below its average. These conditions would lead to Close 29,317 54,091 4,694 selling pressure. The ADX line, -DI line and +DI line are moving Prev. Close 30,065 55,841 4,720 sideways, indicating a range bound trend. MCX GOLD faces % Change -2.49% -3.13% -0.55% resistance at 29668, 30156, 30295 and 30500 while the supports Source – MCX are placed at 28859, 28765 and 27962 levels. Volume (In 000's) MCX SILVER (5 JULY 12) - Silver opened lower at 55700. It moved higher to touch an intra-day high of 55750 but failed to 07/06/2012 06/06/2012 % Chg. sustain higher and moved lower to touch an intra-day low of 53840. Gold (gms) 75,098.0 46,517.0 61.44% It ended the day with large losses to close at 54091. Silver (kgs) 3,179.8 2,667.6 19.20% The RSI and the Stochastic have slipped their respective averages, Crude (bbl) 24,513.5 19,801.1 23.80% which would lead to selling pressure. The ADX line, +DI line and Source – MCX the –DI line are moving sideways, indicating a range bound trend. MCX Silver faces resistance at 55551, 56157, 57737, 61708 and Turnover (In Lacs) 65159 while the supports are placed at 53818, 51029, and 50252 levels. 07/06/2012 06/06/2012 % Chg. Gold 2,226,686.3 1,403,938.2 58.60% MCX CRUDE (19 June 12) - Crude opened higher at 4721 level. It moved lower to touch an intra-day low of 4665. However, it Silver 1,744,603.2 1,485,567.7 17.44% managed to bounce back from lower levels to touch an intra-day Crude 1,154,864.8 938,183.8 23.10% high of 4764. It ended the day with modest losses to close at 4694. Source – MCX The RSI and the Stochastic are placed above their respective Global Market (Nymex - $) averages. Moreover the RSI is placed around the over sold zone, which would lead to short covering and buying support at lower 08/06/2012 07/06/2012 % Chg. levels. The ADX line and –DI line are placed above the 38 level but Gold (oz) 1,569.00 1,586.60 -1.11% the –DI line has started coming down indicating shorts are getting Silver (oz) 28.23 28.53 -1.05% covered at lower levels. It faces resistance at 4855, 4905 and 5000 while the supports are placed at 4624, 4421, 4259 and 3723. Crude (bbl) 83.16 84.82 -1.96% Dollar Index 82.45 82.05 0.49% Source – www.cmegroup.com Intra-day Resistance Intra-day Support Commodities Close Pivot Point R1 R2 R3 S1 S2 S3 CRUDE JUN 12 4694 4708 4750 4807 4906 4651 4609 4510 GOLD AUG 12 29317 29534 29853 30390 31246 28997 28678 27822 SILVER JUL 12 54091 54560 55281 56470 58380 53371 52650 50740 Keynote Capitals Ltd. The Ruby, 9th Floor, Senapati Bapat Marg, Dadar (W), Mumbai – 400 028. Tel: 3026 6000. Fax: 3026 6088. www.keynotecapitals.com
  • 2. US Economic Calendar: Friday Monday Tuesday Wednesday Thursday Jun 08 Jun 11 Jun 12 Jun 13 Jun 14 International Trade 4-Week Bill Import and Export Producer Price Index Consumer Price Index Announcement Prices Wholesale Trade 3-Month Bill Auction Treasury Budget Retail Sales Jobless Claims 6-Month Bill Auction ICSC-Goldman Store EIA Petroleum Status Bloomberg Consumer Sales Report Comfort Index Keynote Capitals Ltd. The Ruby, 9th Floor, Senapati Bapat Marg, Dadar (W), Mumbai – 400 028. Tel: 3026 6000. Fax: 3026 6088. www.keynotecapitals.com
  • 3. Disclaimer This document is not for public distribution and has been furnished to you solely for your information and must not be reproduced or redistributed to any other person. Persons into whose possession this document may come are required to observe these restrictions. This material is for the personal information of the authorized recipient, and we are not soliciting any action based upon it. This report is not to be construed as an offer to sell or the solicitation of an offer to buy any security in any jurisdiction where such an offer or solicitation would be illegal. It is for the general information of clients of Keynote Capitals Ltd. It does not constitute a personal recommendation or take into account the particular investment objectives, financial situations, or needs of individual clients. We have reviewed the report, and in so far as it includes current or historical information, it is believed to be reliable though its accuracy or completeness cannot be guaranteed. Neither Keynote Capitals Ltd., nor any person connected with it, accepts any liability arising from the use of this document. The recipients of this material should rely on their own investigations and take their own professional advice. Price and value of the investments referred to in this material may go up or down. Past performance is not a guide for future performance. Certain transactions -including those involving futures, options and other derivatives as well as non-investment grade securities - involve substantial risk and are not suitable for all investors. Reports based on technical analysis centers on studying charts of a stock’s price movement and trading volume, as opposed to focusing on a company’s fundamentals and as such, may not match with a report on a company’s fundamentals. Opinions expressed are our current opinions as of the date appearing on this material only. While we endeavor to update on a reasonable basis the information discussed in this material, there may be regulatory, compliance, or other reasons that prevent us from doing so. Prospective investors and others are cautioned that any forward-looking statements are not predictions and may be subject to change without notice. Our proprietary trading and investment businesses may make investment decisions that are inconsistent with the recommendations expressed herein. We and our affiliates, officers, directors, and employees world wide may: (a) from time to time, have long or short positions in, and buy or sell the securities thereof, of company (ies) mentioned herein or (b) be engaged in any other transaction involving such securities and earn brokerage or other compensation or act as a market maker in the financial instruments of the company (ies) discussed herein or act as advisor or lender / borrower to such company (ies) or have other potential conflict of interest with respect to any recommendation and related information and opinions. The analyst for this report certifies that all of the views expressed in this report accurately reflect his or her personal views about the subject company or companies and its or their securities, and no part of his or her compensation was, is or will be, directly or indirectly related to specific recommendations or views expressed in this report. No part of this material may be duplicated in any form and/or redistributed without Keynote Capitals Ltd’s., prior written consent. Keynote Capitals Ltd. The Ruby, 9th Floor, Senapati Bapat Marg, Dadar (W), Mumbai – 400 028. Tel: 3026 6000. Fax: 3026 6088. www.keynotecapitals.com