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Daily Commodity Report

                                                                                                                        9th December 2011

                                                                    MCX GOLD (FEB 12) - Gold opened higher at 29285. It moved
                       Gold          Silver           Crude
                      (4 Feb-11)    (5 Mar-11)      (19 Dec-11)
                                                                    lower during the day to touch an intra-day low of 28948. However,
                                                                    Gold managed to bounce back to move higher on back of buying
 Open                    29,285         57,273           5,224      support and touched an intra-day high of 29433. It ended the day
 High                    29,433         57,834           5,239      with modest gains to close at 29096.

 Low                     28,948         55,951           5,127
                                                                    The RSI and Stochastic are placed above their respective averages,
 Close                   29,096         56,237           5,155      which would lead to buying support at regular intervals. However,
                                                                    Stochastic is placed near the over bought zone, which would lead to
 Prev. Close             29,247         57,190           5,227
                                                                    intermediate bouts of profit taking. The ADX, +DI and -DI line are
 % Change                -0.52%        -1.67%           -1.38%      moving sideways, indicating a range bound trend However, +DI line
Source – MCX                                                        is on verge of a breakout. MCX GOLD faces resistance at 29212,
                                                                    29500, 29800 and 30000, while the supports are placed at 28960,
                                                                    28152, and 27954 levels.
                       Volume (In 000's)

                       8/12/2011     7/12/2011          % Chg.      MCX SILVER (MAR 12) - Silver opened higher at 57273. It moved
                                                                    lower during the day to touch an intra-day low of 55951. However,
 Gold (gms)             56,526.0      39,833.0          41.91%
                                                                    Silver managed to bounce back to move higher on back of buying
 Silver (kgs)            2,537.3       1,751.9          44.83%      support and touched an intra-day high of 57834. It ended the day
 Crude (bbl)            22,004.1      22,082.5          -0.36%
                                                                    with moderate gains to close at 56237.

Source – MCX                                                        The RSI is placed above its average, which would lead to buying
                                                                    support at regular intervals. However, Stochastic has slipped below
                      Turnover (In Lacs)                            its average and is placed near the over bought zone, which would
                                                                    lead to intermediate bouts of profit taking and selling pressure. The
                       8/12/2011     7/12/2011          % Chg.
                                                                    ADX, -DI and +DI line are moving sideways, indicating a range
Gold                 1,651,422.8   1,161,022.8          42.24%      bound trend. MCX Silver faces resistance at 61708, 61884 and
                                                                    64605 levels, while the supports are placed at 54754, 52725, 52365
Silver               1,442,901.6   1,002,830.6          43.88%
                                                                    and 51226 levels.
Crude                1,142,122.6   1,152,378.9          -0.89%

Source – MCX
                                                                    MCX CRUDE (DEC 11) - Crude opened lower at 5224 level. It
                                                                    moved higher to touch an intra-day high of 5239. But profit taking
                                                                    and selling pressure saw it move lower to touch an intra-day low of
                   Global Market (Nymex - $)
                                                                    5127. It ended the day with moderate losses to close at 5155.
                       9/12/2011     8/12/2011          % Chg.
                                                                    The RSI and the Stochastic are placed below their respective
Gold (oz)               1,711.90      1,709.80           0.12%
                                                                    averages, which would lead to selling pressure. The ADX and -DI
Silver (oz)                31.79           31.48         1.00%      line are moving sideways, but +DI line has come down to 30.40,
Crude (bbl)                98.08           98.34        -0.26%
                                                                    indicating buyers are losing the upper hand. It faces resistance at
                                                                    5174, 5200, 5250 and 5274 levels, while the supports are placed at
Dollar Index               78.93           78.83         0.13%      5000, 4889, and 4618 levels.
Source – www.cmegroup.com

                                                                                  Intra-day Resistance                            Intra-day Support
  Commodities                      Close         Pivot Point            R1                 R2       R3             S1              S2         S3

 CRUDE DEC 11                       5155                5174           5220           5286        5398           5108            5062        4950

   GOLD FEB 11                     29096              29159          29370           29644       30129          28885          28674        28189

 SILVER MAR 11                     56237              56674          57397           58557       60440          55514          54791        52908


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US Economic Calendar:

       Friday                       Monday                       Tuesday                     Wednesday                     Thursday
       Dec. 09                      Dec. 12                      Dec. 13                      Dec. 14                       Dec. 15
                                                         FOMC Meeting                 EIA Petroleum Status
International Trade        Treasury Budget                                                                          Jobless Claims Data
                                                         Announcement                 Report
                                                                                      Import and Export
Consumer Sentiment         3-Yr Note Auction             Retail Sales Data                                          Producer Price Index
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                                                         Business Inventories                                       Industrial Production
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Keynote commodity daily report 091211

  • 1. Daily Commodity Report 9th December 2011 MCX GOLD (FEB 12) - Gold opened higher at 29285. It moved Gold Silver Crude (4 Feb-11) (5 Mar-11) (19 Dec-11) lower during the day to touch an intra-day low of 28948. However, Gold managed to bounce back to move higher on back of buying Open 29,285 57,273 5,224 support and touched an intra-day high of 29433. It ended the day High 29,433 57,834 5,239 with modest gains to close at 29096. Low 28,948 55,951 5,127 The RSI and Stochastic are placed above their respective averages, Close 29,096 56,237 5,155 which would lead to buying support at regular intervals. However, Stochastic is placed near the over bought zone, which would lead to Prev. Close 29,247 57,190 5,227 intermediate bouts of profit taking. The ADX, +DI and -DI line are % Change -0.52% -1.67% -1.38% moving sideways, indicating a range bound trend However, +DI line Source – MCX is on verge of a breakout. MCX GOLD faces resistance at 29212, 29500, 29800 and 30000, while the supports are placed at 28960, 28152, and 27954 levels. Volume (In 000's) 8/12/2011 7/12/2011 % Chg. MCX SILVER (MAR 12) - Silver opened higher at 57273. It moved lower during the day to touch an intra-day low of 55951. However, Gold (gms) 56,526.0 39,833.0 41.91% Silver managed to bounce back to move higher on back of buying Silver (kgs) 2,537.3 1,751.9 44.83% support and touched an intra-day high of 57834. It ended the day Crude (bbl) 22,004.1 22,082.5 -0.36% with moderate gains to close at 56237. Source – MCX The RSI is placed above its average, which would lead to buying support at regular intervals. However, Stochastic has slipped below Turnover (In Lacs) its average and is placed near the over bought zone, which would lead to intermediate bouts of profit taking and selling pressure. The 8/12/2011 7/12/2011 % Chg. ADX, -DI and +DI line are moving sideways, indicating a range Gold 1,651,422.8 1,161,022.8 42.24% bound trend. MCX Silver faces resistance at 61708, 61884 and 64605 levels, while the supports are placed at 54754, 52725, 52365 Silver 1,442,901.6 1,002,830.6 43.88% and 51226 levels. Crude 1,142,122.6 1,152,378.9 -0.89% Source – MCX MCX CRUDE (DEC 11) - Crude opened lower at 5224 level. It moved higher to touch an intra-day high of 5239. But profit taking and selling pressure saw it move lower to touch an intra-day low of Global Market (Nymex - $) 5127. It ended the day with moderate losses to close at 5155. 9/12/2011 8/12/2011 % Chg. The RSI and the Stochastic are placed below their respective Gold (oz) 1,711.90 1,709.80 0.12% averages, which would lead to selling pressure. The ADX and -DI Silver (oz) 31.79 31.48 1.00% line are moving sideways, but +DI line has come down to 30.40, Crude (bbl) 98.08 98.34 -0.26% indicating buyers are losing the upper hand. It faces resistance at 5174, 5200, 5250 and 5274 levels, while the supports are placed at Dollar Index 78.93 78.83 0.13% 5000, 4889, and 4618 levels. Source – www.cmegroup.com Intra-day Resistance Intra-day Support Commodities Close Pivot Point R1 R2 R3 S1 S2 S3 CRUDE DEC 11 5155 5174 5220 5286 5398 5108 5062 4950 GOLD FEB 11 29096 29159 29370 29644 30129 28885 28674 28189 SILVER MAR 11 56237 56674 57397 58557 60440 55514 54791 52908 Keynote Capitals Ltd. th 4 Floor, Balmer Lawrie Bldg., 5, J. N. Heredia Marg, Ballard Estate, Fort, Mumbai, India – 400001. Tel: 3026 6000 / 2269 4322 www.keynotecapitals.com
  • 2. US Economic Calendar: Friday Monday Tuesday Wednesday Thursday Dec. 09 Dec. 12 Dec. 13 Dec. 14 Dec. 15 FOMC Meeting EIA Petroleum Status International Trade Treasury Budget Jobless Claims Data Announcement Report Import and Export Consumer Sentiment 3-Yr Note Auction Retail Sales Data Producer Price Index Prices Bank Reserve Business Inventories Industrial Production Settlement Keynote Capitals Ltd. th 4 Floor, Balmer Lawrie Bldg., 5, J. N. Heredia Marg, Ballard Estate, Fort, Mumbai, India – 400001. Tel: 3026 6000 / 2269 4322 www.keynotecapitals.com
  • 3. Disclaimer This document is not for public distribution and has been furnished to you solely for your information and must not be reproduced or redistributed to any other person. Persons into whose possession this document may come are required to observe these restrictions. This material is for the personal information of the authorized recipient, and we are not soliciting any action based upon it. This report is not to be construed as an offer to sell or the solicitation of an offer to buy any security in any jurisdiction where such an offer or solicitation would be illegal. It is for the general information of clients of Keynote Capitals Ltd. It does not constitute a personal recommendation or take into account the particular investment objectives, financial situations, or needs of individual clients. We have reviewed the report, and in so far as it includes current or historical information, it is believed to be reliable though its accuracy or completeness cannot be guaranteed. Neither Keynote Capitals Ltd., nor any person connected with it, accepts any liability arising from the use of this document. The recipients of this material should rely on their own investigations and take their own professional advice. Price and value of the investments referred to in this material may go up or down. Past performance is not a guide for future performance. Certain transactions -including those involving futures, options and other derivatives as well as non-investment grade securities - involve substantial risk and are not suitable for all investors. Reports based on technical analysis centers on studying charts of a stock’s price movement and trading volume, as opposed to focusing on a company’s fundamentals and as such, may not match with a report on a company’s fundamentals. Opinions expressed are our current opinions as of the date appearing on this material only. While we endeavor to update on a reasonable basis the information discussed in this material, there may be regulatory, compliance, or other reasons that prevent us from doing so. Prospective investors and others are cautioned that any forward-looking statements are not predictions and may be subject to change without notice. Our proprietary trading and investment businesses may make investment decisions that are inconsistent with the recommendations expressed herein. We and our affiliates, officers, directors, and employees world wide may: (a) from time to time, have long or short positions in, and buy or sell the securities thereof, of company (ies) mentioned herein or (b) be engaged in any other transaction involving such securities and earn brokerage or other compensation or act as a market maker in the financial instruments of the company (ies) discussed herein or act as advisor or lender / borrower to such company (ies) or have other potential conflict of interest with respect to any recommendation and related information and opinions. The analyst for this report certifies that all of the views expressed in this report accurately reflect his or her personal views about the subject company or companies and its or their securities, and no part of his or her compensation was, is or will be, directly or indirectly related to specific recommendations or views expressed in this report. No part of this material may be duplicated in any form and/or redistributed without Keynote Capitals Ltd’s., prior written consent. Keynote Capitals Ltd. th 4 Floor, Balmer Lawrie Bldg., 5, J. N. Heredia Marg, Ballard Estate, Fort, Mumbai, India – 400001. Tel: 3026 6000 / 2269 4322 www.keynotecapitals.com