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Daily Commodity Report

                                                                                                                                10th April 2012

                                                                   MCX GOLD (5 JUNE 12) - Gold opened higher at 28210.
                       Gold          Silver          Crude
                      (5 Jun-12)   (5 May-12)      (19 Apr-12)
                                                                   Incidentally, this was the lowest price for the day. It managed to
                                                                   move higher to touch an intra-day high of 28390 level. It ended
 Open                    28,210        56,228           5,287      the day with modest gains to close at 28329.
 High                    28,390        56,460           5,287
                                                                   The RSI and the Stochastic are placed above their respective
 Low                     28,210        55,601           5,193
                                                                   averages, which would lead to buying support. However, the
 Close                   28,329        55,902           5,238      Stochastic is placed in the over bought zone. This would lead to
                                                                   profit taking at higher levels. The ADX line and the -DI line lie are
 Prev. Close             28,197        56,205           5,290
                                                                   moving sideways, while the +DI line has moved above the 30
 % Change                 0.47%        -0.54%          -0.98%      level indicating buyers are gaining strength. MCX GOLD faces
Source – MCX                                                       resistance at 28960, 29212 and 29433, while the supports are
                                                                   placed at 28084, 27557, 26517, 26347 and 25500 levels.
                       Volume (In 000's)
                                                                   MCX SILVER (5 MAY 12) - Silver opened higher at 56228. It
                        9/4/2012      7/4/2012         % Chg.      moved higher to touch an intra-day high of 56460. However, it
                                                                   failed to sustain higher and witnessed profit taking and selling
 Gold (gms)             23,596.0       2,758.0       755.55%
                                                                   pressure. It moved lower to touch an intra-day low of 55601 level.
 Silver (kgs)            1,484.7            67.8    2088.81%       It ended the day with moderate losses to close at 55902.
 Crude (bbl)            11,109.2           219.1    4970.38%
                                                                   The RSI remains placed below its average, which would lead to
Source – MCX                                                       selling pressure. However, the Stochastic has moved above its
                                                                   average, which would prompt buying support at lower levels. The
                      Turnover (In Lacs)                           ADX line and +DI line are moving sideways, while the –DI line has
                                                                   moved above the 30 level indicating sellers are gaining strength.
                        9/4/2012      7/4/2012         % Chg.
                                                                   MCX Silver faces resistance at 56157, 61708, 65159 and 66261
Gold                   668,539.8      77,711.3       760.29%       while the supports are placed at 55551, 51029 and 50252 levels.
Silver                 832,449.6      38,111.3      2084.26%
                                                                   MCX CRUDE (19 APRIL 12) - Crude opened lower at 5287 level.
Crude                  580,641.1      11,583.4      4912.69%       Incidentally, this was the highest price for the day. It moved lower
Source – MCX
                                                                   to touch an intra day low of 5193. It ended the day with moderate
                                                                   losses to close at 5238.
                   Global Market (Nymex - $)
                                                                   The RSI is placed below its average, which would lead to selling
                       10/4/2012      9/4/2012         % Chg.      pressure, especially at higher levels. However, the Stochastic is
                                                                   placed above its average, which would lead to buying support at
Gold (oz)               1,653.50      1,642.50          0.67%
                                                                   lower levels. The ADX line and +DI line are moving sideways,
Silver (oz)                31.89           31.52        1.15%      while the –DI line has moved above the 30 level indicating sellers
                                                                   are gaining strength. It faces resistance at 5305, 5498, 5550 and
Crude (bbl)              102.67        102.46           0.20%
                                                                   5635 while the supports are placed at 5232, 5182 and 5150
Dollar Index               79.66           79.73       -0.09%      levels.
Source – www.cmegroup.com

                                                                                 Intra-day Resistance                Intra-day Support
         Commodities               Close           Pivot Point            R1              R2        R3            S1            S2            S3

CRUDE APR 12                        5238                 5239          5286          5333        5427          5192          5145            5051

GOLD JUN 12                        28329                28310         28409         28490       28670         28229         28130           27950

SILVER MAY 12                      55902                55988         56374         56847       57706         55515         55129           54270


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US Economic Calendar:

      Tuesday                   Wednesday                      Thursday                       Friday                       Monday
       Apr. 10                   Apr. 11                        Apr. 12                       Apr. 13                      Apr. 16
ICSC-Goldman Store        Import and Export             International Trade          Consumer Price Index          Retail Sales Data
Sales                     Prices
Wholesale Trade Data      EIA Petroleum Status          Jobless Claims               Consumer Sentiment            Housing Market Index
                          Report
NFIB Small Business       Treasury Budget               Producer Price Index         Ben Bernanke Speech           Business Inventories
Optimism Index




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Keynote commodity daily report 100412

  • 1. Daily Commodity Report 10th April 2012 MCX GOLD (5 JUNE 12) - Gold opened higher at 28210. Gold Silver Crude (5 Jun-12) (5 May-12) (19 Apr-12) Incidentally, this was the lowest price for the day. It managed to move higher to touch an intra-day high of 28390 level. It ended Open 28,210 56,228 5,287 the day with modest gains to close at 28329. High 28,390 56,460 5,287 The RSI and the Stochastic are placed above their respective Low 28,210 55,601 5,193 averages, which would lead to buying support. However, the Close 28,329 55,902 5,238 Stochastic is placed in the over bought zone. This would lead to profit taking at higher levels. The ADX line and the -DI line lie are Prev. Close 28,197 56,205 5,290 moving sideways, while the +DI line has moved above the 30 % Change 0.47% -0.54% -0.98% level indicating buyers are gaining strength. MCX GOLD faces Source – MCX resistance at 28960, 29212 and 29433, while the supports are placed at 28084, 27557, 26517, 26347 and 25500 levels. Volume (In 000's) MCX SILVER (5 MAY 12) - Silver opened higher at 56228. It 9/4/2012 7/4/2012 % Chg. moved higher to touch an intra-day high of 56460. However, it failed to sustain higher and witnessed profit taking and selling Gold (gms) 23,596.0 2,758.0 755.55% pressure. It moved lower to touch an intra-day low of 55601 level. Silver (kgs) 1,484.7 67.8 2088.81% It ended the day with moderate losses to close at 55902. Crude (bbl) 11,109.2 219.1 4970.38% The RSI remains placed below its average, which would lead to Source – MCX selling pressure. However, the Stochastic has moved above its average, which would prompt buying support at lower levels. The Turnover (In Lacs) ADX line and +DI line are moving sideways, while the –DI line has moved above the 30 level indicating sellers are gaining strength. 9/4/2012 7/4/2012 % Chg. MCX Silver faces resistance at 56157, 61708, 65159 and 66261 Gold 668,539.8 77,711.3 760.29% while the supports are placed at 55551, 51029 and 50252 levels. Silver 832,449.6 38,111.3 2084.26% MCX CRUDE (19 APRIL 12) - Crude opened lower at 5287 level. Crude 580,641.1 11,583.4 4912.69% Incidentally, this was the highest price for the day. It moved lower Source – MCX to touch an intra day low of 5193. It ended the day with moderate losses to close at 5238. Global Market (Nymex - $) The RSI is placed below its average, which would lead to selling 10/4/2012 9/4/2012 % Chg. pressure, especially at higher levels. However, the Stochastic is placed above its average, which would lead to buying support at Gold (oz) 1,653.50 1,642.50 0.67% lower levels. The ADX line and +DI line are moving sideways, Silver (oz) 31.89 31.52 1.15% while the –DI line has moved above the 30 level indicating sellers are gaining strength. It faces resistance at 5305, 5498, 5550 and Crude (bbl) 102.67 102.46 0.20% 5635 while the supports are placed at 5232, 5182 and 5150 Dollar Index 79.66 79.73 -0.09% levels. Source – www.cmegroup.com Intra-day Resistance Intra-day Support Commodities Close Pivot Point R1 R2 R3 S1 S2 S3 CRUDE APR 12 5238 5239 5286 5333 5427 5192 5145 5051 GOLD JUN 12 28329 28310 28409 28490 28670 28229 28130 27950 SILVER MAY 12 55902 55988 56374 56847 57706 55515 55129 54270 Keynote Capitals Ltd. th 4 Floor, Balmer Lawrie Bldg., 5, J. N. Heredia Marg, Ballard Estate, Fort, Mumbai, India – 400001. Tel: 3026 6000 / 2269 4322 www.keynotecapitals.com
  • 2. US Economic Calendar: Tuesday Wednesday Thursday Friday Monday Apr. 10 Apr. 11 Apr. 12 Apr. 13 Apr. 16 ICSC-Goldman Store Import and Export International Trade Consumer Price Index Retail Sales Data Sales Prices Wholesale Trade Data EIA Petroleum Status Jobless Claims Consumer Sentiment Housing Market Index Report NFIB Small Business Treasury Budget Producer Price Index Ben Bernanke Speech Business Inventories Optimism Index Keynote Capitals Ltd. th 4 Floor, Balmer Lawrie Bldg., 5, J. N. Heredia Marg, Ballard Estate, Fort, Mumbai, India – 400001. Tel: 3026 6000 / 2269 4322 www.keynotecapitals.com
  • 3. Disclaimer This document is not for public distribution and has been furnished to you solely for your information and must not be reproduced or redistributed to any other person. Persons into whose possession this document may come are required to observe these restrictions. This material is for the personal information of the authorized recipient, and we are not soliciting any action based upon it. This report is not to be construed as an offer to sell or the solicitation of an offer to buy any security in any jurisdiction where such an offer or solicitation would be illegal. It is for the general information of clients of Keynote Capitals Ltd. It does not constitute a personal recommendation or take into account the particular investment objectives, financial situations, or needs of individual clients. We have reviewed the report, and in so far as it includes current or historical information, it is believed to be reliable though its accuracy or completeness cannot be guaranteed. Neither Keynote Capitals Ltd., nor any person connected with it, accepts any liability arising from the use of this document. The recipients of this material should rely on their own investigations and take their own professional advice. Price and value of the investments referred to in this material may go up or down. Past performance is not a guide for future performance. Certain transactions -including those involving futures, options and other derivatives as well as non-investment grade securities - involve substantial risk and are not suitable for all investors. Reports based on technical analysis centers on studying charts of a stock’s price movement and trading volume, as opposed to focusing on a company’s fundamentals and as such, may not match with a report on a company’s fundamentals. Opinions expressed are our current opinions as of the date appearing on this material only. While we endeavor to update on a reasonable basis the information discussed in this material, there may be regulatory, compliance, or other reasons that prevent us from doing so. Prospective investors and others are cautioned that any forward-looking statements are not predictions and may be subject to change without notice. Our proprietary trading and investment businesses may make investment decisions that are inconsistent with the recommendations expressed herein. We and our affiliates, officers, directors, and employees world wide may: (a) from time to time, have long or short positions in, and buy or sell the securities thereof, of company (ies) mentioned herein or (b) be engaged in any other transaction involving such securities and earn brokerage or other compensation or act as a market maker in the financial instruments of the company (ies) discussed herein or act as advisor or lender / borrower to such company (ies) or have other potential conflict of interest with respect to any recommendation and related information and opinions. The analyst for this report certifies that all of the views expressed in this report accurately reflect his or her personal views about the subject company or companies and its or their securities, and no part of his or her compensation was, is or will be, directly or indirectly related to specific recommendations or views expressed in this report. No part of this material may be duplicated in any form and/or redistributed without Keynote Capitals Ltd’s., prior written consent. Keynote Capitals Ltd. th 4 Floor, Balmer Lawrie Bldg., 5, J. N. Heredia Marg, Ballard Estate, Fort, Mumbai, India – 400001. Tel: 3026 6000 / 2269 4322 www.keynotecapitals.com