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Keynote commodity daily report 120412

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Keynote commodity daily report 120412

  1. 1. Daily Commodity Report 12th April 2012 MCX GOLD (5 JUNE 12) - Gold opened lower at 28601. It moved Gold Silver Crude (5 Jun-12) (5 May-12) (19 Apr-12) lower to touch an intra day low of 28541 but managed to bounce back from lower levels. It moved higher to touch an intra-day high Open 28,601 56,110 5,237 of 28692 level. It ended the day with marginal losses to close at High 28,692 56,425 5,318 28602. Low 28,541 55,851 5,218 The RSI is placed above its average, which would lead to buying Close 28,602 56,017 5,312 support. However, the Stochastic has slipped below its average Prev. Close 28,633 56,267 5,231 and is also placed in the over bought zone. This would lead to profit taking and selling pressure. The ADX line and the -DI line % Change -0.11% -0.44% 1.55% are moving sideways, while the +DI line is placed at 34.45 level Source – MCX indicating buyers are gaining strength. MCX GOLD faces resistance at 28960, 29212 and 29433, while the supports are Volume (In 000's) placed at 28084, 27557, 26517 and 26347 levels. 11/4/2012 10/4/2012 % Chg. MCX SILVER (5 MAY 12) - Silver opened lower at 56110. It Gold (gms) 25,322.0 37,096.0 -31.74% moved higher to touch an intra day high of 56425 but failed to sustain higher on back of selling pressure. It moved lower to touch Silver (kgs) 1,690.8 1,913.6 -11.64% an intra-day low of 55851 level. It ended the day with modest Crude (bbl) 15,856.7 18,001.9 -11.92% losses to close at 56017. Source – MCX The Stochastic is placed above its average, which would lead to Turnover (In Lacs) buying support. However, the RSI has slipped below its average and would lead to selling pressure. The ADX line, +DI line and –DI 11/4/2012 10/4/2012 % Chg. line are moving sideways, indicating a range bound trend. MCX Gold 724,415.9 1,055,537.1 -31.37% Silver faces resistance at 56157, 57480, 61708 and 65159 while the supports are placed at 55551, 51029 and 50252 levels. Silver 948,771.6 1,073,004.3 -11.58% Crude 834,050.7 945,931.7 -11.83% MCX CRUDE (19 APRIL 12) - Crude opened higher at 5237 level. It moved lower to touch an intra-day high of 5218. However, it Source – MCX managed to bounce back from lower levels. It moved higher to touch an intra day high of 5318. It ended the day with moderate Global Market (Nymex - $) gains to close at 5312. 12/4/2012 11/4/2012 % Chg. The RSI and the Stochastic have moved above their respective Gold (oz) 1,658.70 1,659.00 -0.02% averages, which would lead to buying support. The ADX line, –DI Silver (oz) 31.58 31.52 0.17% line and +DI line are moving sideways, indicating a range bound trend. It faces resistance at 5335, 5498 and 5550 while the Crude (bbl) 102.61 102.70 -0.09% supports are placed at 5305, 5232, 5182 and 5150 levels. Dollar Index 79.82 79.86 -0.06% Source – www.cmegroup.com Intra-day Resistance Intra-day Support Commodities Close Pivot Point R1 R2 R3 S1 S2 S3 CRUDE APR 12 5312 5283 5347 5383 5483 5247 5183 5083 GOLD JUN 12 28602 28612 28682 28763 28914 28531 28461 28310 SILVER MAY 12 56017 56098 56344 56672 57246 55770 55524 54950 Keynote Capitals Ltd. th 4 Floor, Balmer Lawrie Bldg., 5, J. N. Heredia Marg, Ballard Estate, Fort, Mumbai, India – 400001. Tel: 3026 6000 / 2269 4322 www.keynotecapitals.com
  2. 2. US Economic Calendar: Thursday Friday Monday Tuesday Wednesday Apr. 12 Apr. 13 Apr. 16 Apr. 17 Apr. 18 International Trade Consumer Price Index Retail Sales Data Industrial Production EIA Petroleum Status Report Jobless Claims Consumer Sentiment Housing Market Index Housing Starts MBA Purchase Applications Producer Price Index Ben Bernanke Business Inventories ICSC-Goldman Store Bank Reserve Speech Sales Settlement Keynote Capitals Ltd. th 4 Floor, Balmer Lawrie Bldg., 5, J. N. Heredia Marg, Ballard Estate, Fort, Mumbai, India – 400001. Tel: 3026 6000 / 2269 4322 www.keynotecapitals.com
  3. 3. Disclaimer This document is not for public distribution and has been furnished to you solely for your information and must not be reproduced or redistributed to any other person. Persons into whose possession this document may come are required to observe these restrictions. This material is for the personal information of the authorized recipient, and we are not soliciting any action based upon it. This report is not to be construed as an offer to sell or the solicitation of an offer to buy any security in any jurisdiction where such an offer or solicitation would be illegal. It is for the general information of clients of Keynote Capitals Ltd. It does not constitute a personal recommendation or take into account the particular investment objectives, financial situations, or needs of individual clients. We have reviewed the report, and in so far as it includes current or historical information, it is believed to be reliable though its accuracy or completeness cannot be guaranteed. Neither Keynote Capitals Ltd., nor any person connected with it, accepts any liability arising from the use of this document. The recipients of this material should rely on their own investigations and take their own professional advice. Price and value of the investments referred to in this material may go up or down. Past performance is not a guide for future performance. Certain transactions -including those involving futures, options and other derivatives as well as non-investment grade securities - involve substantial risk and are not suitable for all investors. Reports based on technical analysis centers on studying charts of a stock’s price movement and trading volume, as opposed to focusing on a company’s fundamentals and as such, may not match with a report on a company’s fundamentals. Opinions expressed are our current opinions as of the date appearing on this material only. While we endeavor to update on a reasonable basis the information discussed in this material, there may be regulatory, compliance, or other reasons that prevent us from doing so. Prospective investors and others are cautioned that any forward-looking statements are not predictions and may be subject to change without notice. Our proprietary trading and investment businesses may make investment decisions that are inconsistent with the recommendations expressed herein. We and our affiliates, officers, directors, and employees world wide may: (a) from time to time, have long or short positions in, and buy or sell the securities thereof, of company (ies) mentioned herein or (b) be engaged in any other transaction involving such securities and earn brokerage or other compensation or act as a market maker in the financial instruments of the company (ies) discussed herein or act as advisor or lender / borrower to such company (ies) or have other potential conflict of interest with respect to any recommendation and related information and opinions. The analyst for this report certifies that all of the views expressed in this report accurately reflect his or her personal views about the subject company or companies and its or their securities, and no part of his or her compensation was, is or will be, directly or indirectly related to specific recommendations or views expressed in this report. No part of this material may be duplicated in any form and/or redistributed without Keynote Capitals Ltd’s., prior written consent. Keynote Capitals Ltd. th 4 Floor, Balmer Lawrie Bldg., 5, J. N. Heredia Marg, Ballard Estate, Fort, Mumbai, India – 400001. Tel: 3026 6000 / 2269 4322 www.keynotecapitals.com

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