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Daily Commodity Report

                                                                                                                      12th December 2011

                                                                    MCX GOLD (FEB 12) - Gold opened lower at 29106. It moved
                       Gold          Silver           Crude
                      (4 Feb-11)    (5 Mar-11)      (19 Dec-11)
                                                                    lower during the day to touch an intra-day low of 29021. However,
                                                                    Gold managed to bounce back to move higher on back of buying
 Open                    29,106         57,037           5,150      support and touched an intra-day high of 29219. It ended the day
 High                    29,121         57,050           5,199      with modest losses to close at 29106.

 Low                     29,090         56,902           5,150
                                                                    The RSI and Stochastic are placed below their respective averages,
 Close                   29,106         56,933           5,186      which would lead to selling pressure at regular intervals. The ADX,
 Prev. Close             29,153         56,952           5,139
                                                                    +DI and -DI line are moving sideways, indicating a range bound
                                                                    trend. MCX GOLD faces resistance at 29212, 29500, 29800 and
 % Change                -0.16%        -0.03%            0.91%      30000, while the supports are placed at 28960, 28152, and 27954
Source – MCX                                                        levels.

                       Volume (In 000's)                            MCX SILVER (MAR 12) - Silver opened higher at 57037. It moved
                                                                    lower during the day to touch an intra-day low of 56902. However,
                      10/12/2011     9/12/2011          % Chg.      Silver managed to bounce back to move higher on back of buying
 Gold (gms)              1,610.0      38,198.0         -95.79%      support and touched an intra-day high of 57050. It ended the day
                                                                    flat to close at 56933.
 Silver (kgs)               38.0       1,929.6         -98.03%

 Crude (bbl)             1,222.3      20,743.9         -94.11%      The RSI is placed above its average, which would lead to buying
Source – MCX                                                        support at regular intervals. However, Stochastic is placed below its
                                                                    average, which would lead to intermediate bouts of profit taking and
                                                                    selling pressure. The ADX, -DI and +DI line are moving sideways,
                      Turnover (In Lacs)
                                                                    indicating a range bound trend. MCX Silver faces resistance at
                      10/12/2011     9/12/2011          % Chg.      61708, 61884 and 64605 levels, while the supports are placed at
                                                                    54754, 52725, 52365 and 51226 levels.
Gold                    46,862.1   1,112,794.7         -95.79%

Silver                  21,611.5   1,093,280.4         -98.02%      MCX CRUDE (DEC 11) - Crude opened higher at 5150 level.
                                                                    Incidentally, this was the lowest price of the day. It managed to
Crude                   63,385.1   1,064,516.4         -94.05%
                                                                    bounce back to move higher on back of buying support and touched
Source – MCX                                                        an intra-day high of 5199. It ended the day with moderate gains to
                                                                    close at 5186.
                   Global Market (Nymex - $)
                                                                    The RSI and the Stochastic are placed below their respective
                      12/12/2011    10/12/2011          % Chg.
                                                                    averages, which would lead to selling pressure. However, the
Gold (oz)               1,708.20      1,712.80          -0.27%      Stochastic is nearing the oversold zone. The ADX and -DI line are
                                                                    moving sideways, but +DI line is placed at 30.32. It faces
Silver (oz)                31.70           32.17        -1.46%
                                                                    resistance at 5200, 5250 and 5274 levels, while the supports are
Crude (bbl)                99.36           99.41        -0.05%      placed at 5174, 5000, 4889, and 4618 levels.
Dollar Index               78.93           78.83         0.13%

Source – www.cmegroup.com

                                                                                  Intra-day Resistance                            Intra-day Support
  Commodities                      Close         Pivot Point            R1                 R2       R3             S1              S2         S3

 CRUDE DEC 11                       5186                5178           5207           5227        5276           5158            5129        5080

   GOLD FEB 11                     29106              29106          29121           29137       29168          29090          29075        29044

 SILVER MAR 11                     56933              56962          57021           57110       57258          56873          56814        56666


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            4 Floor, Balmer Lawrie Bldg., 5, J. N. Heredia Marg, Ballard Estate, Fort, Mumbai, India – 400001. Tel: 3026 6000 / 2269 4322
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US Economic Calendar:

       Friday                       Monday                       Tuesday                     Wednesday                     Thursday
       Dec. 09                      Dec. 12                      Dec. 13                      Dec. 14                       Dec. 15
                                                         FOMC Meeting                 EIA Petroleum Status
International Trade        Treasury Budget                                                                          Jobless Claims Data
                                                         Announcement                 Report
                                                                                      Import and Export
Consumer Sentiment         3-Yr Note Auction             Retail Sales Data                                          Producer Price Index
                                                                                      Prices
                                                                                      Bank Reserve
                                                         Business Inventories                                       Industrial Production
                                                                                      Settlement




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Keynote commodity daily report 121211

  • 1. Daily Commodity Report 12th December 2011 MCX GOLD (FEB 12) - Gold opened lower at 29106. It moved Gold Silver Crude (4 Feb-11) (5 Mar-11) (19 Dec-11) lower during the day to touch an intra-day low of 29021. However, Gold managed to bounce back to move higher on back of buying Open 29,106 57,037 5,150 support and touched an intra-day high of 29219. It ended the day High 29,121 57,050 5,199 with modest losses to close at 29106. Low 29,090 56,902 5,150 The RSI and Stochastic are placed below their respective averages, Close 29,106 56,933 5,186 which would lead to selling pressure at regular intervals. The ADX, Prev. Close 29,153 56,952 5,139 +DI and -DI line are moving sideways, indicating a range bound trend. MCX GOLD faces resistance at 29212, 29500, 29800 and % Change -0.16% -0.03% 0.91% 30000, while the supports are placed at 28960, 28152, and 27954 Source – MCX levels. Volume (In 000's) MCX SILVER (MAR 12) - Silver opened higher at 57037. It moved lower during the day to touch an intra-day low of 56902. However, 10/12/2011 9/12/2011 % Chg. Silver managed to bounce back to move higher on back of buying Gold (gms) 1,610.0 38,198.0 -95.79% support and touched an intra-day high of 57050. It ended the day flat to close at 56933. Silver (kgs) 38.0 1,929.6 -98.03% Crude (bbl) 1,222.3 20,743.9 -94.11% The RSI is placed above its average, which would lead to buying Source – MCX support at regular intervals. However, Stochastic is placed below its average, which would lead to intermediate bouts of profit taking and selling pressure. The ADX, -DI and +DI line are moving sideways, Turnover (In Lacs) indicating a range bound trend. MCX Silver faces resistance at 10/12/2011 9/12/2011 % Chg. 61708, 61884 and 64605 levels, while the supports are placed at 54754, 52725, 52365 and 51226 levels. Gold 46,862.1 1,112,794.7 -95.79% Silver 21,611.5 1,093,280.4 -98.02% MCX CRUDE (DEC 11) - Crude opened higher at 5150 level. Incidentally, this was the lowest price of the day. It managed to Crude 63,385.1 1,064,516.4 -94.05% bounce back to move higher on back of buying support and touched Source – MCX an intra-day high of 5199. It ended the day with moderate gains to close at 5186. Global Market (Nymex - $) The RSI and the Stochastic are placed below their respective 12/12/2011 10/12/2011 % Chg. averages, which would lead to selling pressure. However, the Gold (oz) 1,708.20 1,712.80 -0.27% Stochastic is nearing the oversold zone. The ADX and -DI line are moving sideways, but +DI line is placed at 30.32. It faces Silver (oz) 31.70 32.17 -1.46% resistance at 5200, 5250 and 5274 levels, while the supports are Crude (bbl) 99.36 99.41 -0.05% placed at 5174, 5000, 4889, and 4618 levels. Dollar Index 78.93 78.83 0.13% Source – www.cmegroup.com Intra-day Resistance Intra-day Support Commodities Close Pivot Point R1 R2 R3 S1 S2 S3 CRUDE DEC 11 5186 5178 5207 5227 5276 5158 5129 5080 GOLD FEB 11 29106 29106 29121 29137 29168 29090 29075 29044 SILVER MAR 11 56933 56962 57021 57110 57258 56873 56814 56666 Keynote Capitals Ltd. th 4 Floor, Balmer Lawrie Bldg., 5, J. N. Heredia Marg, Ballard Estate, Fort, Mumbai, India – 400001. Tel: 3026 6000 / 2269 4322 www.keynotecapitals.com
  • 2. US Economic Calendar: Friday Monday Tuesday Wednesday Thursday Dec. 09 Dec. 12 Dec. 13 Dec. 14 Dec. 15 FOMC Meeting EIA Petroleum Status International Trade Treasury Budget Jobless Claims Data Announcement Report Import and Export Consumer Sentiment 3-Yr Note Auction Retail Sales Data Producer Price Index Prices Bank Reserve Business Inventories Industrial Production Settlement Keynote Capitals Ltd. th 4 Floor, Balmer Lawrie Bldg., 5, J. N. Heredia Marg, Ballard Estate, Fort, Mumbai, India – 400001. Tel: 3026 6000 / 2269 4322 www.keynotecapitals.com
  • 3. Disclaimer This document is not for public distribution and has been furnished to you solely for your information and must not be reproduced or redistributed to any other person. Persons into whose possession this document may come are required to observe these restrictions. This material is for the personal information of the authorized recipient, and we are not soliciting any action based upon it. This report is not to be construed as an offer to sell or the solicitation of an offer to buy any security in any jurisdiction where such an offer or solicitation would be illegal. It is for the general information of clients of Keynote Capitals Ltd. It does not constitute a personal recommendation or take into account the particular investment objectives, financial situations, or needs of individual clients. We have reviewed the report, and in so far as it includes current or historical information, it is believed to be reliable though its accuracy or completeness cannot be guaranteed. Neither Keynote Capitals Ltd., nor any person connected with it, accepts any liability arising from the use of this document. The recipients of this material should rely on their own investigations and take their own professional advice. Price and value of the investments referred to in this material may go up or down. Past performance is not a guide for future performance. Certain transactions -including those involving futures, options and other derivatives as well as non-investment grade securities - involve substantial risk and are not suitable for all investors. Reports based on technical analysis centers on studying charts of a stock’s price movement and trading volume, as opposed to focusing on a company’s fundamentals and as such, may not match with a report on a company’s fundamentals. Opinions expressed are our current opinions as of the date appearing on this material only. While we endeavor to update on a reasonable basis the information discussed in this material, there may be regulatory, compliance, or other reasons that prevent us from doing so. Prospective investors and others are cautioned that any forward-looking statements are not predictions and may be subject to change without notice. Our proprietary trading and investment businesses may make investment decisions that are inconsistent with the recommendations expressed herein. We and our affiliates, officers, directors, and employees world wide may: (a) from time to time, have long or short positions in, and buy or sell the securities thereof, of company (ies) mentioned herein or (b) be engaged in any other transaction involving such securities and earn brokerage or other compensation or act as a market maker in the financial instruments of the company (ies) discussed herein or act as advisor or lender / borrower to such company (ies) or have other potential conflict of interest with respect to any recommendation and related information and opinions. The analyst for this report certifies that all of the views expressed in this report accurately reflect his or her personal views about the subject company or companies and its or their securities, and no part of his or her compensation was, is or will be, directly or indirectly related to specific recommendations or views expressed in this report. No part of this material may be duplicated in any form and/or redistributed without Keynote Capitals Ltd’s., prior written consent. Keynote Capitals Ltd. th 4 Floor, Balmer Lawrie Bldg., 5, J. N. Heredia Marg, Ballard Estate, Fort, Mumbai, India – 400001. Tel: 3026 6000 / 2269 4322 www.keynotecapitals.com