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Daily Commodity Report

                                                                                                                              14th March 2012

                                                                   MCX GOLD (5 APRIL 12) - Gold opened lower at 27958.
                       Gold         Silver         Crude
                      (5 Apr-12)   (5 May-12)    (19 Mar-12)       Incidentally, this was also the highest price recorded for the day. It
                                                                   moved lower to touch an intra day low of 27760. It ended the day
 Open                    27,958        58,479         5,333
                                                                   with modest losses to close at 27832.
 High                    27,958        58,666         5,358

 Low                     27,760        57,815         5,297
                                                                   The Stochastic has slipped below its average and is also placed in
 Close                   27,832        58,259         5,341        the over bought zone. Moreover, the RSI is placed below its
 Prev. Close             27,972        58,392         5,332        average. Both these conditions would lead to profit taking and
                                                                   selling pressure. The ADX line and +DI line are moving sideways.
 % Change                -0.50%        -0.23%         0.17%
                                                                   However, the –DI line is placed at 35.39 indicating sellers are
Source – MCX                                                       gaining strength. MCX GOLD faces resistance at 28960, 29212 and
                                                                   29433, while the supports are placed at 27557, 26347 and 25500
                       Volume (In 000's)                           levels.
                       13/3/2012    12/3/2012        % Chg.

 Gold (gms)             36,844.0     33,815.0         8.96%        MCX SILVER (5 MAY 12) - Silver opened higher at 58479. It moved
 Silver (kgs)            2,040.5       2,014.5        1.29%
                                                                   higher to touch an intra-day high of 58666. However, it failed to
                                                                   sustain higher. It moved lower to touch an intra day low of 57815. It
 Crude (bbl)            12,034.2     12,715.8        -5.36%
                                                                   ended the day with modest losses to close at 58259.
Source – MCX

                      Turnover (In Lacs)                           The RSI and the Stochastic are placed below their respective
                                                                   averages. This would lead to selling pressure. The –DI, +DI line and
                       13/3/2012    12/3/2012        % Chg.        ADX line are moving sideways, indicating a range bound trend.
Gold                 1,026,416.9    946,537.6         8.44%        MCX Silver faces resistance at 61708, 65159 and 66261 while the
                                                                   supports are placed at 56157, 51029 and 50252 levels.
Silver               1,188,610.4   1,181,965.2        0.56%

Crude                  641,657.9    676,685.8        -5.18%
                                                                   MCX CRUDE (19 MARCH 12) - Crude opened higher at 5333 level.
Source – MCX                                                       It moved higher to touch an intra-day high of 5358. However, it
                                                                   failed to sustain higher. It moved lower to touch an intra day low of
                   Global Market (Nymex - $)                       5297. It ended the day with marginal gains to close at 5341.
                       14/3/2012    13/3/2012        % Chg.

Gold (oz)               1,676.10     1,694.20        -1.07%        The RSI and the Stochastic are placed below their respective
Silver (oz)                33.37        33.56        -0.55%
                                                                   averages, which would lead to selling pressure. The +DI line, –DI
                                                                   line and ADX line are moving sideways indicating a range bound
Crude (bbl)              106.65        106.71        -0.06%
                                                                   trend. It faces resistance at 5436, 5462 and 5498 while the supports
Dollar Index               80.21        80.19         0.02%        are placed at 5150, 5095, 4905 and 4727 levels.
Source – www.cmegroup.com

                                                                                Intra-day Resistance                  Intra-day Support
         Commodities               Close           Pivot Point             R1             R2          R3           S1            S2           S3

CRUDE MAR 12                         5341                   5332         5367            5393       5454         5306          5271          5210

GOLD APR 12                         27832                  27850        27940           28048      28246        27742         27652         27454

SILVER MAY 12                       58259                  58247        58678           59098      59949        57827         57396         56545


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US Economic Calendar:

     Wednesday                     Thursday                      Friday                        Monday                       Tuesday
      Mar. 14                       Mar. 15                      Mar. 16                       Mar. 19                      Mar. 20
MBA Purchase               Jobless Claims                Consumer Price Index         Housing Market Index          Housing Starts
Applications
Import & Export Prices     Producer Price Index          Industrial Production        4-Week Bill                   Ben Bernanke Speech
                                                                                      Announcement
                           Producer Price Index          Consumer Sentiment           6-Month Bill Auction          ICSC-Goldman Store
                                                                                                                    Sales




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Keynote commodity daily report 140312

  • 1. Daily Commodity Report 14th March 2012 MCX GOLD (5 APRIL 12) - Gold opened lower at 27958. Gold Silver Crude (5 Apr-12) (5 May-12) (19 Mar-12) Incidentally, this was also the highest price recorded for the day. It moved lower to touch an intra day low of 27760. It ended the day Open 27,958 58,479 5,333 with modest losses to close at 27832. High 27,958 58,666 5,358 Low 27,760 57,815 5,297 The Stochastic has slipped below its average and is also placed in Close 27,832 58,259 5,341 the over bought zone. Moreover, the RSI is placed below its Prev. Close 27,972 58,392 5,332 average. Both these conditions would lead to profit taking and selling pressure. The ADX line and +DI line are moving sideways. % Change -0.50% -0.23% 0.17% However, the –DI line is placed at 35.39 indicating sellers are Source – MCX gaining strength. MCX GOLD faces resistance at 28960, 29212 and 29433, while the supports are placed at 27557, 26347 and 25500 Volume (In 000's) levels. 13/3/2012 12/3/2012 % Chg. Gold (gms) 36,844.0 33,815.0 8.96% MCX SILVER (5 MAY 12) - Silver opened higher at 58479. It moved Silver (kgs) 2,040.5 2,014.5 1.29% higher to touch an intra-day high of 58666. However, it failed to sustain higher. It moved lower to touch an intra day low of 57815. It Crude (bbl) 12,034.2 12,715.8 -5.36% ended the day with modest losses to close at 58259. Source – MCX Turnover (In Lacs) The RSI and the Stochastic are placed below their respective averages. This would lead to selling pressure. The –DI, +DI line and 13/3/2012 12/3/2012 % Chg. ADX line are moving sideways, indicating a range bound trend. Gold 1,026,416.9 946,537.6 8.44% MCX Silver faces resistance at 61708, 65159 and 66261 while the supports are placed at 56157, 51029 and 50252 levels. Silver 1,188,610.4 1,181,965.2 0.56% Crude 641,657.9 676,685.8 -5.18% MCX CRUDE (19 MARCH 12) - Crude opened higher at 5333 level. Source – MCX It moved higher to touch an intra-day high of 5358. However, it failed to sustain higher. It moved lower to touch an intra day low of Global Market (Nymex - $) 5297. It ended the day with marginal gains to close at 5341. 14/3/2012 13/3/2012 % Chg. Gold (oz) 1,676.10 1,694.20 -1.07% The RSI and the Stochastic are placed below their respective Silver (oz) 33.37 33.56 -0.55% averages, which would lead to selling pressure. The +DI line, –DI line and ADX line are moving sideways indicating a range bound Crude (bbl) 106.65 106.71 -0.06% trend. It faces resistance at 5436, 5462 and 5498 while the supports Dollar Index 80.21 80.19 0.02% are placed at 5150, 5095, 4905 and 4727 levels. Source – www.cmegroup.com Intra-day Resistance Intra-day Support Commodities Close Pivot Point R1 R2 R3 S1 S2 S3 CRUDE MAR 12 5341 5332 5367 5393 5454 5306 5271 5210 GOLD APR 12 27832 27850 27940 28048 28246 27742 27652 27454 SILVER MAY 12 58259 58247 58678 59098 59949 57827 57396 56545 Keynote Capitals Ltd. th 4 Floor, Balmer Lawrie Bldg., 5, J. N. Heredia Marg, Ballard Estate, Fort, Mumbai, India – 400001. Tel: 3026 6000 / 2269 4322 www.keynotecapitals.com
  • 2. US Economic Calendar: Wednesday Thursday Friday Monday Tuesday Mar. 14 Mar. 15 Mar. 16 Mar. 19 Mar. 20 MBA Purchase Jobless Claims Consumer Price Index Housing Market Index Housing Starts Applications Import & Export Prices Producer Price Index Industrial Production 4-Week Bill Ben Bernanke Speech Announcement Producer Price Index Consumer Sentiment 6-Month Bill Auction ICSC-Goldman Store Sales Keynote Capitals Ltd. th 4 Floor, Balmer Lawrie Bldg., 5, J. N. Heredia Marg, Ballard Estate, Fort, Mumbai, India – 400001. Tel: 3026 6000 / 2269 4322 www.keynotecapitals.com
  • 3. Disclaimer This document is not for public distribution and has been furnished to you solely for your information and must not be reproduced or redistributed to any other person. Persons into whose possession this document may come are required to observe these restrictions. This material is for the personal information of the authorized recipient, and we are not soliciting any action based upon it. This report is not to be construed as an offer to sell or the solicitation of an offer to buy any security in any jurisdiction where such an offer or solicitation would be illegal. It is for the general information of clients of Keynote Capitals Ltd. It does not constitute a personal recommendation or take into account the particular investment objectives, financial situations, or needs of individual clients. We have reviewed the report, and in so far as it includes current or historical information, it is believed to be reliable though its accuracy or completeness cannot be guaranteed. Neither Keynote Capitals Ltd., nor any person connected with it, accepts any liability arising from the use of this document. The recipients of this material should rely on their own investigations and take their own professional advice. Price and value of the investments referred to in this material may go up or down. Past performance is not a guide for future performance. Certain transactions -including those involving futures, options and other derivatives as well as non-investment grade securities - involve substantial risk and are not suitable for all investors. Reports based on technical analysis centers on studying charts of a stock’s price movement and trading volume, as opposed to focusing on a company’s fundamentals and as such, may not match with a report on a company’s fundamentals. Opinions expressed are our current opinions as of the date appearing on this material only. While we endeavor to update on a reasonable basis the information discussed in this material, there may be regulatory, compliance, or other reasons that prevent us from doing so. Prospective investors and others are cautioned that any forward-looking statements are not predictions and may be subject to change without notice. Our proprietary trading and investment businesses may make investment decisions that are inconsistent with the recommendations expressed herein. We and our affiliates, officers, directors, and employees world wide may: (a) from time to time, have long or short positions in, and buy or sell the securities thereof, of company (ies) mentioned herein or (b) be engaged in any other transaction involving such securities and earn brokerage or other compensation or act as a market maker in the financial instruments of the company (ies) discussed herein or act as advisor or lender / borrower to such company (ies) or have other potential conflict of interest with respect to any recommendation and related information and opinions. The analyst for this report certifies that all of the views expressed in this report accurately reflect his or her personal views about the subject company or companies and its or their securities, and no part of his or her compensation was, is or will be, directly or indirectly related to specific recommendations or views expressed in this report. No part of this material may be duplicated in any form and/or redistributed without Keynote Capitals Ltd’s., prior written consent. Keynote Capitals Ltd. th 4 Floor, Balmer Lawrie Bldg., 5, J. N. Heredia Marg, Ballard Estate, Fort, Mumbai, India – 400001. Tel: 3026 6000 / 2269 4322 www.keynotecapitals.com