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Daily Commodity Report

                                                                                                                              16th March 2012

                                                                  MCX GOLD (5 APRIL 12) - Gold opened lower at 27400. It moved
                       Gold         Silver         Crude
                      (5 Apr-12)   (5 May-12)    (19 Mar-12)
                                                                  lower to touch an intra day low of 27312. However, it managed to
                                                                  move higher. It touched an intra-day high of 27730 level. It ended
 Open                    27,400        57,000         5,330       the day with moderate gains to close at 27704.
 High                    27,730        58,084         5,349
                                                                  The Stochastic and the RSI are placed below their respective
 Low                     27,312        56,835         5,232       averages, which would lead to profit taking and selling pressure.
 Close                   27,704        57,979         5,294       The ADX line and +DI line are moving sideways. However, the –DI
                                                                  line is placed at 38.85 indicating sellers are gaining strength. MCX
 Prev. Close             27,443        57,236         5,341
                                                                  GOLD faces resistance at 28084, 28960, 29212 and 29433, while
 % Change                 0.95%        1.30%         -0.88%       the supports are placed at 27557, 26517, 26347 and 25500 levels.
Source – MCX
                                                                  MCX SILVER (5 MAY 12) - Silver opened lower at 57000. It moved
                                                                  lower to touch an intra day low of 56835. However, it managed to
                       Volume (In 000's)
                                                                  move higher. It touched an intra-day high of 58084 level. It ended
                       15/3/2012    14/3/2012        % Chg.       the day with moderate gains to close at 57979.
 Gold (gms)             39,045.0     60,569.0       -35.54%       The RSI and the Stochastic are placed below their respective
 Silver (kgs)            1,910.8       2,379.1      -19.69%       averages. This would lead to selling pressure. The –DI, +DI line and
                                                                  ADX line are moving sideways, indicating a range bound trend.
 Crude (bbl)            21,167.0     13,691.1        54.60%
                                                                  MCX Silver faces resistance at 61708, 65159 and 66261 while the
Source – MCX                                                      supports are placed at 56157, 51029 and 50252 levels.

                      Turnover (In Lacs)                          MCX CRUDE (19 MARCH 12) - Crude opened lower at 5330 level.
                                                                  It moved higher to touch an intra-day high of 5349. However, it
                       15/3/2012    14/3/2012        % Chg.       failed to sustain higher. It moved lower to touch an intra day low of
Gold                 1,074,390.4   1,669,271.2      -35.64%
                                                                  5232. It ended the day with moderate losses to close at 5294.

Silver               1,096,033.5   1,374,397.4      -20.25%       The RSI and the Stochastic are placed below their respective
Crude                1,121,390.9    730,097.0        53.59%       averages, which would lead to selling pressure. The +DI line, –DI
                                                                  line and ADX line are moving sideways indicating a range bound
Source – MCX
                                                                  trend. It faces resistance at 5436, 5462 and 5498 while the supports
                                                                  are placed at 5227, 5150, 5095 and 4905 levels.
                   Global Market (Nymex - $)

                       16/3/2012    15/3/2012        % Chg.

Gold (oz)               1,663.40     1,659.10         0.26%

Silver (oz)                32.66        32.73        -0.22%

Crude (bbl)              105.54        105.11         0.41%

Dollar Index               80.19        80.15         0.05%

Source – www.cmegroup.com

                                                                                 Intra-day Resistance                   Intra-day Support
         Commodities                Close          Pivot Point             R1             R2           R3            S1            S2         S3

 CRUDE MAR 12                        5294                  5292         5351             5409       5526          5234          5175         5058

 GOLD APR 12                        27704                27582         27852            28000      28418         27434         27164        26746

 SILVER MAY 12                      57979                57633         58430            58882      60131         57181         56384        55135


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            4 Floor, Balmer Lawrie Bldg., 5, J. N. Heredia Marg, Ballard Estate, Fort, Mumbai, India – 400001. Tel: 3026 6000 / 2269 4322
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US Economic Calendar:

        Friday                      Monday                        Tuesday                    Wednesday                      Thursday
        Mar. 16                     Mar. 19                       Mar. 20                     Mar. 21                        Mar. 22
 Consumer Price Index        Housing Market Index         Housing Starts                Existing Home Sales          Jobless Claims

 Industrial Production      4-Week Bill                   Ben Bernanke Speech          EIA Petroleum Status          FHFA House Price
                            Announcement                                               Report                        Index
 Consumer Sentiment          6-Month Bill Auction         ICSC-Goldman Store           Bank Reserve                  Money Supply
                                                          Sales                        Settlement




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Keynote commodity daily report 160312

  • 1. Daily Commodity Report 16th March 2012 MCX GOLD (5 APRIL 12) - Gold opened lower at 27400. It moved Gold Silver Crude (5 Apr-12) (5 May-12) (19 Mar-12) lower to touch an intra day low of 27312. However, it managed to move higher. It touched an intra-day high of 27730 level. It ended Open 27,400 57,000 5,330 the day with moderate gains to close at 27704. High 27,730 58,084 5,349 The Stochastic and the RSI are placed below their respective Low 27,312 56,835 5,232 averages, which would lead to profit taking and selling pressure. Close 27,704 57,979 5,294 The ADX line and +DI line are moving sideways. However, the –DI line is placed at 38.85 indicating sellers are gaining strength. MCX Prev. Close 27,443 57,236 5,341 GOLD faces resistance at 28084, 28960, 29212 and 29433, while % Change 0.95% 1.30% -0.88% the supports are placed at 27557, 26517, 26347 and 25500 levels. Source – MCX MCX SILVER (5 MAY 12) - Silver opened lower at 57000. It moved lower to touch an intra day low of 56835. However, it managed to Volume (In 000's) move higher. It touched an intra-day high of 58084 level. It ended 15/3/2012 14/3/2012 % Chg. the day with moderate gains to close at 57979. Gold (gms) 39,045.0 60,569.0 -35.54% The RSI and the Stochastic are placed below their respective Silver (kgs) 1,910.8 2,379.1 -19.69% averages. This would lead to selling pressure. The –DI, +DI line and ADX line are moving sideways, indicating a range bound trend. Crude (bbl) 21,167.0 13,691.1 54.60% MCX Silver faces resistance at 61708, 65159 and 66261 while the Source – MCX supports are placed at 56157, 51029 and 50252 levels. Turnover (In Lacs) MCX CRUDE (19 MARCH 12) - Crude opened lower at 5330 level. It moved higher to touch an intra-day high of 5349. However, it 15/3/2012 14/3/2012 % Chg. failed to sustain higher. It moved lower to touch an intra day low of Gold 1,074,390.4 1,669,271.2 -35.64% 5232. It ended the day with moderate losses to close at 5294. Silver 1,096,033.5 1,374,397.4 -20.25% The RSI and the Stochastic are placed below their respective Crude 1,121,390.9 730,097.0 53.59% averages, which would lead to selling pressure. The +DI line, –DI line and ADX line are moving sideways indicating a range bound Source – MCX trend. It faces resistance at 5436, 5462 and 5498 while the supports are placed at 5227, 5150, 5095 and 4905 levels. Global Market (Nymex - $) 16/3/2012 15/3/2012 % Chg. Gold (oz) 1,663.40 1,659.10 0.26% Silver (oz) 32.66 32.73 -0.22% Crude (bbl) 105.54 105.11 0.41% Dollar Index 80.19 80.15 0.05% Source – www.cmegroup.com Intra-day Resistance Intra-day Support Commodities Close Pivot Point R1 R2 R3 S1 S2 S3 CRUDE MAR 12 5294 5292 5351 5409 5526 5234 5175 5058 GOLD APR 12 27704 27582 27852 28000 28418 27434 27164 26746 SILVER MAY 12 57979 57633 58430 58882 60131 57181 56384 55135 Keynote Capitals Ltd. th 4 Floor, Balmer Lawrie Bldg., 5, J. N. Heredia Marg, Ballard Estate, Fort, Mumbai, India – 400001. Tel: 3026 6000 / 2269 4322 www.keynotecapitals.com
  • 2. US Economic Calendar: Friday Monday Tuesday Wednesday Thursday Mar. 16 Mar. 19 Mar. 20 Mar. 21 Mar. 22 Consumer Price Index Housing Market Index Housing Starts Existing Home Sales Jobless Claims Industrial Production 4-Week Bill Ben Bernanke Speech EIA Petroleum Status FHFA House Price Announcement Report Index Consumer Sentiment 6-Month Bill Auction ICSC-Goldman Store Bank Reserve Money Supply Sales Settlement Keynote Capitals Ltd. th 4 Floor, Balmer Lawrie Bldg., 5, J. N. Heredia Marg, Ballard Estate, Fort, Mumbai, India – 400001. Tel: 3026 6000 / 2269 4322 www.keynotecapitals.com
  • 3. Disclaimer This document is not for public distribution and has been furnished to you solely for your information and must not be reproduced or redistributed to any other person. Persons into whose possession this document may come are required to observe these restrictions. This material is for the personal information of the authorized recipient, and we are not soliciting any action based upon it. This report is not to be construed as an offer to sell or the solicitation of an offer to buy any security in any jurisdiction where such an offer or solicitation would be illegal. It is for the general information of clients of Keynote Capitals Ltd. It does not constitute a personal recommendation or take into account the particular investment objectives, financial situations, or needs of individual clients. We have reviewed the report, and in so far as it includes current or historical information, it is believed to be reliable though its accuracy or completeness cannot be guaranteed. Neither Keynote Capitals Ltd., nor any person connected with it, accepts any liability arising from the use of this document. The recipients of this material should rely on their own investigations and take their own professional advice. Price and value of the investments referred to in this material may go up or down. Past performance is not a guide for future performance. Certain transactions -including those involving futures, options and other derivatives as well as non-investment grade securities - involve substantial risk and are not suitable for all investors. Reports based on technical analysis centers on studying charts of a stock’s price movement and trading volume, as opposed to focusing on a company’s fundamentals and as such, may not match with a report on a company’s fundamentals. Opinions expressed are our current opinions as of the date appearing on this material only. While we endeavor to update on a reasonable basis the information discussed in this material, there may be regulatory, compliance, or other reasons that prevent us from doing so. Prospective investors and others are cautioned that any forward-looking statements are not predictions and may be subject to change without notice. Our proprietary trading and investment businesses may make investment decisions that are inconsistent with the recommendations expressed herein. We and our affiliates, officers, directors, and employees world wide may: (a) from time to time, have long or short positions in, and buy or sell the securities thereof, of company (ies) mentioned herein or (b) be engaged in any other transaction involving such securities and earn brokerage or other compensation or act as a market maker in the financial instruments of the company (ies) discussed herein or act as advisor or lender / borrower to such company (ies) or have other potential conflict of interest with respect to any recommendation and related information and opinions. The analyst for this report certifies that all of the views expressed in this report accurately reflect his or her personal views about the subject company or companies and its or their securities, and no part of his or her compensation was, is or will be, directly or indirectly related to specific recommendations or views expressed in this report. No part of this material may be duplicated in any form and/or redistributed without Keynote Capitals Ltd’s., prior written consent. Keynote Capitals Ltd. th 4 Floor, Balmer Lawrie Bldg., 5, J. N. Heredia Marg, Ballard Estate, Fort, Mumbai, India – 400001. Tel: 3026 6000 / 2269 4322 www.keynotecapitals.com