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Daily Commodity Report

                                                                                                                           17th February 2012

                                                                  MCX GOLD (APRIL 12) - Gold opened lower at 28138. It moved
                       Gold         Silver          Crude
                      (5 Apr-12)   (5 Mar-12)     (20 Feb-12)
                                                                  lower to touch an intra-day low of 28030. However, it managed to
                                                                  move higher and touched an intra-day high of 28209. It ended the
 Open                    28,138        56,240          5,016      day with marginal losses to close at 28127.
 High                    28,209        56,396          5,076
                                                                  The RSI is placed below its average, which would lead to selling
 Low                     28,030        55,551          5,011      pressure. However, the Stochastic has moved above its average
 Close                   28,127        56,216          5,061      and would lead to buying support at lower levels. The ADX line, -DI
                                                                  line and +DI line are moving sideways, indicating a range bound
 Prev. Close             28,170        56,303          5,016
                                                                  trend. MCX GOLD faces resistance at 28960, 29212 and 29433,
 % Change                -0.15%        -0.15%          0.90%      while the supports are placed at 27557, 26347 and 25500 levels.
Source – MCX
                                                                  MCX SILVER (MAR 12) - Silver opened lower at 56240. It moved
                                                                  lower to touch an intra-day low of 55551. However, it managed a
                       Volume (In 000's)
                                                                  bounce back from lower levels. It touched an intra-day high of
                       16/2/2012    15/2/2012         % Chg.      56396. It ended the day with marginal losses to close at 56216.
 Gold (gms)             35,098.0     35,628.0         -1.49%      The RSI is placed below its average, which would lead to selling
 Silver (kgs)            2,220.9       1,646.5        34.89%      pressure. However, the Stochastic has moved above its average
                                                                  and would lead to buying support at lower levels. The ADX line, +DI
 Crude (bbl)            11,505.1     15,357.9        -25.09%
                                                                  line and -DI line are moving sideways, indicating range bound trend.
Source – MCX                                                      MCX Silver faces resistance at 57400, 57834, 58480 and 61708,
                                                                  while the supports are placed at 54671, 53170 and 51366 levels.
                      Turnover (In Lacs)
                                                                  MCX CRUDE (FEB 12) - Crude opened unchanged at 5016 level. It
                       16/2/2012    15/2/2012         % Chg.      moved lower to touch an intra-day low of 5011. However, it
Gold                   987,154.6   1,003,828.3        -1.66%
                                                                  managed to move higher and it touched an intra-day high of 5076. It
                                                                  ended the day with moderate gains to close at 5061.
Silver               1,244,053.3    932,723.0         33.38%

Crude                  579,986.5    770,785.0        -24.75%      The RSI and Stochastic are placed above their respective averages,
                                                                  which would lead to regular bouts of buying support. However, the
Source – MCX
                                                                  Stochastic is placed in the over bought zone, which would lead to
                                                                  regular bouts of profit taking. The ADX line, +DI line and –DI line are
                   Global Market (Nymex - $)
                                                                  moving sideways, indicating range bound trend. It faces resistance
                       17/2/2012    16/2/2012         % Chg.      at, 5065 and 5115, while the supports are placed at 5003, 4950,
                                                                  4903, 4877, 4670 and 4493 levels.
Gold (oz)               1,732.30     1,726.80          0.32%

Silver (oz)                33.57        33.37          0.58%

Crude (bbl)              102.40        102.31          0.09%

Dollar Index               79.43        79.38          0.06%

Source – www.cmegroup.com

                                                                                     Intra-day Resistance                Intra-day Support
                   Commodities          Close           Pivot Point             R1          R2           R3           S1            S2         S3

               CRUDE FEB. 12               5061                  5049         5088        5114         5179         5023          4984        4919

               GOLD APRIL 12             28127                  28122        28214       28301        28480        28035        27943        27764

         SILVER MARCH 12                 56216                  56054        56558       56899        57744        55713        55209        54364


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US Economic Calendar:

       Friday                      Tuesday                     Wednesday                      Thursday                       Friday
       Feb. 17                     Feb. 21                      Feb. 22                        Feb. 23                       Feb. 24
Consumer Price Index       4-Week Bill                   Existing Home Sales          Jobless Claims                Consumer Sentiment
                           Announcement
Leading Indicators         3-Month Bill Auction          Bank Reserve                 EIA Petroleum Status          New Home Sales
                                                         Settlement                   Report
                           2-Year Note Auction           ICSC-Goldman Store           FHFA House Price
                                                         Sales                        Index




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Keynote commodity daily report 170212

  • 1. Daily Commodity Report 17th February 2012 MCX GOLD (APRIL 12) - Gold opened lower at 28138. It moved Gold Silver Crude (5 Apr-12) (5 Mar-12) (20 Feb-12) lower to touch an intra-day low of 28030. However, it managed to move higher and touched an intra-day high of 28209. It ended the Open 28,138 56,240 5,016 day with marginal losses to close at 28127. High 28,209 56,396 5,076 The RSI is placed below its average, which would lead to selling Low 28,030 55,551 5,011 pressure. However, the Stochastic has moved above its average Close 28,127 56,216 5,061 and would lead to buying support at lower levels. The ADX line, -DI line and +DI line are moving sideways, indicating a range bound Prev. Close 28,170 56,303 5,016 trend. MCX GOLD faces resistance at 28960, 29212 and 29433, % Change -0.15% -0.15% 0.90% while the supports are placed at 27557, 26347 and 25500 levels. Source – MCX MCX SILVER (MAR 12) - Silver opened lower at 56240. It moved lower to touch an intra-day low of 55551. However, it managed a Volume (In 000's) bounce back from lower levels. It touched an intra-day high of 16/2/2012 15/2/2012 % Chg. 56396. It ended the day with marginal losses to close at 56216. Gold (gms) 35,098.0 35,628.0 -1.49% The RSI is placed below its average, which would lead to selling Silver (kgs) 2,220.9 1,646.5 34.89% pressure. However, the Stochastic has moved above its average and would lead to buying support at lower levels. The ADX line, +DI Crude (bbl) 11,505.1 15,357.9 -25.09% line and -DI line are moving sideways, indicating range bound trend. Source – MCX MCX Silver faces resistance at 57400, 57834, 58480 and 61708, while the supports are placed at 54671, 53170 and 51366 levels. Turnover (In Lacs) MCX CRUDE (FEB 12) - Crude opened unchanged at 5016 level. It 16/2/2012 15/2/2012 % Chg. moved lower to touch an intra-day low of 5011. However, it Gold 987,154.6 1,003,828.3 -1.66% managed to move higher and it touched an intra-day high of 5076. It ended the day with moderate gains to close at 5061. Silver 1,244,053.3 932,723.0 33.38% Crude 579,986.5 770,785.0 -24.75% The RSI and Stochastic are placed above their respective averages, which would lead to regular bouts of buying support. However, the Source – MCX Stochastic is placed in the over bought zone, which would lead to regular bouts of profit taking. The ADX line, +DI line and –DI line are Global Market (Nymex - $) moving sideways, indicating range bound trend. It faces resistance 17/2/2012 16/2/2012 % Chg. at, 5065 and 5115, while the supports are placed at 5003, 4950, 4903, 4877, 4670 and 4493 levels. Gold (oz) 1,732.30 1,726.80 0.32% Silver (oz) 33.57 33.37 0.58% Crude (bbl) 102.40 102.31 0.09% Dollar Index 79.43 79.38 0.06% Source – www.cmegroup.com Intra-day Resistance Intra-day Support Commodities Close Pivot Point R1 R2 R3 S1 S2 S3 CRUDE FEB. 12 5061 5049 5088 5114 5179 5023 4984 4919 GOLD APRIL 12 28127 28122 28214 28301 28480 28035 27943 27764 SILVER MARCH 12 56216 56054 56558 56899 57744 55713 55209 54364 Keynote Capitals Ltd. th 4 Floor, Balmer Lawrie Bldg., 5, J. N. Heredia Marg, Ballard Estate, Fort, Mumbai, India – 400001. Tel: 3026 6000 / 2269 4322 www.keynotecapitals.com
  • 2. US Economic Calendar: Friday Tuesday Wednesday Thursday Friday Feb. 17 Feb. 21 Feb. 22 Feb. 23 Feb. 24 Consumer Price Index 4-Week Bill Existing Home Sales Jobless Claims Consumer Sentiment Announcement Leading Indicators 3-Month Bill Auction Bank Reserve EIA Petroleum Status New Home Sales Settlement Report 2-Year Note Auction ICSC-Goldman Store FHFA House Price Sales Index Keynote Capitals Ltd. th 4 Floor, Balmer Lawrie Bldg., 5, J. N. Heredia Marg, Ballard Estate, Fort, Mumbai, India – 400001. Tel: 3026 6000 / 2269 4322 www.keynotecapitals.com
  • 3. Disclaimer This document is not for public distribution and has been furnished to you solely for your information and must not be reproduced or redistributed to any other person. Persons into whose possession this document may come are required to observe these restrictions. This material is for the personal information of the authorized recipient, and we are not soliciting any action based upon it. This report is not to be construed as an offer to sell or the solicitation of an offer to buy any security in any jurisdiction where such an offer or solicitation would be illegal. It is for the general information of clients of Keynote Capitals Ltd. It does not constitute a personal recommendation or take into account the particular investment objectives, financial situations, or needs of individual clients. We have reviewed the report, and in so far as it includes current or historical information, it is believed to be reliable though its accuracy or completeness cannot be guaranteed. Neither Keynote Capitals Ltd., nor any person connected with it, accepts any liability arising from the use of this document. The recipients of this material should rely on their own investigations and take their own professional advice. Price and value of the investments referred to in this material may go up or down. Past performance is not a guide for future performance. Certain transactions -including those involving futures, options and other derivatives as well as non-investment grade securities - involve substantial risk and are not suitable for all investors. Reports based on technical analysis centers on studying charts of a stock’s price movement and trading volume, as opposed to focusing on a company’s fundamentals and as such, may not match with a report on a company’s fundamentals. Opinions expressed are our current opinions as of the date appearing on this material only. While we endeavor to update on a reasonable basis the information discussed in this material, there may be regulatory, compliance, or other reasons that prevent us from doing so. Prospective investors and others are cautioned that any forward-looking statements are not predictions and may be subject to change without notice. Our proprietary trading and investment businesses may make investment decisions that are inconsistent with the recommendations expressed herein. We and our affiliates, officers, directors, and employees world wide may: (a) from time to time, have long or short positions in, and buy or sell the securities thereof, of company (ies) mentioned herein or (b) be engaged in any other transaction involving such securities and earn brokerage or other compensation or act as a market maker in the financial instruments of the company (ies) discussed herein or act as advisor or lender / borrower to such company (ies) or have other potential conflict of interest with respect to any recommendation and related information and opinions. The analyst for this report certifies that all of the views expressed in this report accurately reflect his or her personal views about the subject company or companies and its or their securities, and no part of his or her compensation was, is or will be, directly or indirectly related to specific recommendations or views expressed in this report. No part of this material may be duplicated in any form and/or redistributed without Keynote Capitals Ltd’s., prior written consent. Keynote Capitals Ltd. th 4 Floor, Balmer Lawrie Bldg., 5, J. N. Heredia Marg, Ballard Estate, Fort, Mumbai, India – 400001. Tel: 3026 6000 / 2269 4322 www.keynotecapitals.com