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Daily Commodity Report

                                                                                                                             28th March 2012

                                                                   MCX GOLD (5 APRIL 12) - Gold opened lower at 28402. It
                       Gold          Silver          Crude
                      (5 Apr-12)   (5 May-12)      (19 Apr-12)
                                                                   moved higher to touch an intra day high of 28425. However, it
                                                                   failed to sustain higher and corrected. It touched an intra-day low
 Open                    28,402        57,750           5,478      of 28242 level. It ended the day with modest losses to close at
 High                    28,425        57,949           5,495      28280.

 Low                     28,242        57,330           5,450      The RSI is placed above their respective averages, which would
                                                                   lead to buying support at lower levels. However, the Stochastic
 Close                   28,280        57,405           5,473
                                                                   has breached its average and is still placed in the over bought
 Prev. Close             28,367        57,731           5,480      zone, which would lead to profit taking and selling pressure. The
                                                                   ADX line, -DI line are moving sideways. However, the +DI line is
 % Change                -0.31%        -0.56%          -0.13%
                                                                   placed above at 32.44 level indicating buyers are gaining strength.
Source – MCX                                                       MCX GOLD faces resistance at 28960, 29212 and 29433, while
                                                                   the supports are placed at 28084, 27557, 26517, 26347 and
                       Volume (In 000's)                           25500 levels.
                       27/3/2012    26/3/2012          % Chg.      MCX SILVER (5 MAY 12) - Silver opened higher at 57750. It
                                                                   moved higher to touch an intra day high of 57949. However, it
 Gold (gms)             27,403.0      30,115.0         -9.01%
                                                                   failed to sustain higher and corrected. It touched an intra-day low
 Silver (kgs)            1,608.8       1,606.6          0.14%      of 57330 level. It ended the day with moderate losses to close at
 Crude (bbl)            12,056.0      10,689.2         12.79%
                                                                   57405.

Source – MCX                                                       The RSI and the Stochastic are placed above their respective
                                                                   averages, which would lead to buying support. However, the
                      Turnover (In Lacs)                           Stochastic is still placed in the over bought zone, which would
                                                                   lead to intermediate bouts of profit taking, especially at higher
                       27/3/2012    26/3/2012          % Chg.      levels. The –DI, +DI line and ADX line are moving sideways,
                                                                   indicating a range bound trend. MCX Silver faces resistance at
Gold                   776,074.1    851,200.9          -8.83%
                                                                   61708, 65159 and 66261 while the supports are placed at 56157,
Silver                 927,341.0    924,328.7           0.33%      51029 and 50252 levels.
Crude                  659,524.0    586,950.2         12.36%       MCX CRUDE (19 APRIL 12) - Crude opened lower at 5478 level.
Source – MCX
                                                                   It moved higher to touch an intra-day high of 5495 level. However,
                                                                   it failed to sustain higher on back of selling pressure. It moved
                                                                   lower to touch an intra day low of 5450. It ended the day with
                   Global Market (Nymex - $)
                                                                   marginal losses to close at 5473.
                       28/3/2012    27/3/2012          % Chg.
                                                                   The Stochastic is placed below its average, which would lead to
Gold (oz)               1,680.20      1,684.90         -0.28%      profit taking at and selling pressure. However, the RSI is placed
                                                                   above its average, which would lead to buying support at lower
Silver (oz)                32.53           32.60       -0.24%
                                                                   levels. The –DI line and ADX line are moving sideways, however,
Crude (bbl)              106.77        107.33          -0.52%      +DI line is placed at 31.04 level and is falling indicating buyers are
                                                                   booking profits. It faces resistance at 5498, 5550 and 5635 while
Dollar Index               79.06           79.05        0.01%
                                                                   the supports are placed at 5305, 5232 and 5182 levels.
Source – www.cmegroup.com

                                                                                 Intra-day Resistance                Intra-day Support
         Commodities               Close           Pivot Point            R1              R2        R3            S1            S2            S3

CRUDE APR 12                        5473                 5473          5495          5518        5563          5450          5428            5383

GOLD APR 12                        28280                28316         28389         28499       28682         28206         28133           27950

SILVER MAY 12                      57405                57561         57793         58180       58799         57174         56942           56323


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US Economic Calendar:

     Wednesday                     Thursday                      Friday                        Monday                       Tuesday
      Mar. 28                       Mar. 29                      Mar. 30                       Apr. 02                       Apr. 03
Durable Goods Orders       GDP                           Consumer Sentiment           ISM Mfg Index                 FOMC Minutes
                                                                                                                    Announcement
EIA Petroleum Status       Jobless Claims                Personal Income and          Construction Spending         Factory Orders
Report                                                   Outlays
5-Yr Note Auction          EIA Natural Gas Report        Chicago PMI                  4-Week Bill                   Motor Vehicle Sales
                                                                                      Announcement




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Keynote commodity daily report 280312

  • 1. Daily Commodity Report 28th March 2012 MCX GOLD (5 APRIL 12) - Gold opened lower at 28402. It Gold Silver Crude (5 Apr-12) (5 May-12) (19 Apr-12) moved higher to touch an intra day high of 28425. However, it failed to sustain higher and corrected. It touched an intra-day low Open 28,402 57,750 5,478 of 28242 level. It ended the day with modest losses to close at High 28,425 57,949 5,495 28280. Low 28,242 57,330 5,450 The RSI is placed above their respective averages, which would lead to buying support at lower levels. However, the Stochastic Close 28,280 57,405 5,473 has breached its average and is still placed in the over bought Prev. Close 28,367 57,731 5,480 zone, which would lead to profit taking and selling pressure. The ADX line, -DI line are moving sideways. However, the +DI line is % Change -0.31% -0.56% -0.13% placed above at 32.44 level indicating buyers are gaining strength. Source – MCX MCX GOLD faces resistance at 28960, 29212 and 29433, while the supports are placed at 28084, 27557, 26517, 26347 and Volume (In 000's) 25500 levels. 27/3/2012 26/3/2012 % Chg. MCX SILVER (5 MAY 12) - Silver opened higher at 57750. It moved higher to touch an intra day high of 57949. However, it Gold (gms) 27,403.0 30,115.0 -9.01% failed to sustain higher and corrected. It touched an intra-day low Silver (kgs) 1,608.8 1,606.6 0.14% of 57330 level. It ended the day with moderate losses to close at Crude (bbl) 12,056.0 10,689.2 12.79% 57405. Source – MCX The RSI and the Stochastic are placed above their respective averages, which would lead to buying support. However, the Turnover (In Lacs) Stochastic is still placed in the over bought zone, which would lead to intermediate bouts of profit taking, especially at higher 27/3/2012 26/3/2012 % Chg. levels. The –DI, +DI line and ADX line are moving sideways, indicating a range bound trend. MCX Silver faces resistance at Gold 776,074.1 851,200.9 -8.83% 61708, 65159 and 66261 while the supports are placed at 56157, Silver 927,341.0 924,328.7 0.33% 51029 and 50252 levels. Crude 659,524.0 586,950.2 12.36% MCX CRUDE (19 APRIL 12) - Crude opened lower at 5478 level. Source – MCX It moved higher to touch an intra-day high of 5495 level. However, it failed to sustain higher on back of selling pressure. It moved lower to touch an intra day low of 5450. It ended the day with Global Market (Nymex - $) marginal losses to close at 5473. 28/3/2012 27/3/2012 % Chg. The Stochastic is placed below its average, which would lead to Gold (oz) 1,680.20 1,684.90 -0.28% profit taking at and selling pressure. However, the RSI is placed above its average, which would lead to buying support at lower Silver (oz) 32.53 32.60 -0.24% levels. The –DI line and ADX line are moving sideways, however, Crude (bbl) 106.77 107.33 -0.52% +DI line is placed at 31.04 level and is falling indicating buyers are booking profits. It faces resistance at 5498, 5550 and 5635 while Dollar Index 79.06 79.05 0.01% the supports are placed at 5305, 5232 and 5182 levels. Source – www.cmegroup.com Intra-day Resistance Intra-day Support Commodities Close Pivot Point R1 R2 R3 S1 S2 S3 CRUDE APR 12 5473 5473 5495 5518 5563 5450 5428 5383 GOLD APR 12 28280 28316 28389 28499 28682 28206 28133 27950 SILVER MAY 12 57405 57561 57793 58180 58799 57174 56942 56323 Keynote Capitals Ltd. th 4 Floor, Balmer Lawrie Bldg., 5, J. N. Heredia Marg, Ballard Estate, Fort, Mumbai, India – 400001. Tel: 3026 6000 / 2269 4322 www.keynotecapitals.com
  • 2. US Economic Calendar: Wednesday Thursday Friday Monday Tuesday Mar. 28 Mar. 29 Mar. 30 Apr. 02 Apr. 03 Durable Goods Orders GDP Consumer Sentiment ISM Mfg Index FOMC Minutes Announcement EIA Petroleum Status Jobless Claims Personal Income and Construction Spending Factory Orders Report Outlays 5-Yr Note Auction EIA Natural Gas Report Chicago PMI 4-Week Bill Motor Vehicle Sales Announcement Keynote Capitals Ltd. th 4 Floor, Balmer Lawrie Bldg., 5, J. N. Heredia Marg, Ballard Estate, Fort, Mumbai, India – 400001. Tel: 3026 6000 / 2269 4322 www.keynotecapitals.com
  • 3. Disclaimer This document is not for public distribution and has been furnished to you solely for your information and must not be reproduced or redistributed to any other person. Persons into whose possession this document may come are required to observe these restrictions. This material is for the personal information of the authorized recipient, and we are not soliciting any action based upon it. This report is not to be construed as an offer to sell or the solicitation of an offer to buy any security in any jurisdiction where such an offer or solicitation would be illegal. It is for the general information of clients of Keynote Capitals Ltd. It does not constitute a personal recommendation or take into account the particular investment objectives, financial situations, or needs of individual clients. We have reviewed the report, and in so far as it includes current or historical information, it is believed to be reliable though its accuracy or completeness cannot be guaranteed. Neither Keynote Capitals Ltd., nor any person connected with it, accepts any liability arising from the use of this document. The recipients of this material should rely on their own investigations and take their own professional advice. Price and value of the investments referred to in this material may go up or down. Past performance is not a guide for future performance. Certain transactions -including those involving futures, options and other derivatives as well as non-investment grade securities - involve substantial risk and are not suitable for all investors. Reports based on technical analysis centers on studying charts of a stock’s price movement and trading volume, as opposed to focusing on a company’s fundamentals and as such, may not match with a report on a company’s fundamentals. Opinions expressed are our current opinions as of the date appearing on this material only. While we endeavor to update on a reasonable basis the information discussed in this material, there may be regulatory, compliance, or other reasons that prevent us from doing so. Prospective investors and others are cautioned that any forward-looking statements are not predictions and may be subject to change without notice. Our proprietary trading and investment businesses may make investment decisions that are inconsistent with the recommendations expressed herein. We and our affiliates, officers, directors, and employees world wide may: (a) from time to time, have long or short positions in, and buy or sell the securities thereof, of company (ies) mentioned herein or (b) be engaged in any other transaction involving such securities and earn brokerage or other compensation or act as a market maker in the financial instruments of the company (ies) discussed herein or act as advisor or lender / borrower to such company (ies) or have other potential conflict of interest with respect to any recommendation and related information and opinions. The analyst for this report certifies that all of the views expressed in this report accurately reflect his or her personal views about the subject company or companies and its or their securities, and no part of his or her compensation was, is or will be, directly or indirectly related to specific recommendations or views expressed in this report. No part of this material may be duplicated in any form and/or redistributed without Keynote Capitals Ltd’s., prior written consent. Keynote Capitals Ltd. th 4 Floor, Balmer Lawrie Bldg., 5, J. N. Heredia Marg, Ballard Estate, Fort, Mumbai, India – 400001. Tel: 3026 6000 / 2269 4322 www.keynotecapitals.com