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Keynote commodity daily report 281111

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Keynote commodity daily report 281111

  1. 1. Daily Commodity Outlook 28th November 2011 MCX GOLD (DEC 11) - Gold opened marginally higher at 28380. It Gold Silver Crude (5 Dec-11) (5 Dec-11) (19 Dec-11) moved lower to touch an intra-day low of 28360.However, buying support at lower levels saw it moving higher to touch an intra-day Open 28,380 54,175 5,049 high of 28424. It ended the day flat with marginal gains to close at High 28,424 54,390 5,077 28409. Low 28,360 54,100 5,049 The RSI and the Stochastic are placed below their respective Close 28,409 54,329 5,068 averages, which would lead to selling pressure. However, the Stochastic is placed in the over sold territory, which would lead to Prev. Close 28,375 54,316 5,040 intermediate bouts of short covering and selective buying support. % Change 0.12% 0.02% 0.56% The ADX, +DI and -DI line are moving sideways, indicating a range bound trend. MCX GOLD faces resistance at 28960, 29212, 29500 Source – MCX and 30000, while the supports are placed at 28152, 27954, 26768 and 26000 levels. Volume (In 000's) MCX SILVER (DEC 11) - Silver opened lower at 54175. It moved 26/11/2011 25/11/2011 % Chg. lower to touch an intra-day low of 54100 on back of selling pressure. Gold (gms) 1,780.0 47,167.0 -96.23% However, it managed to bounce back from the lows of day to touch an intra-day high of 54390. It ended the day flat with marginal gains Silver (kgs) 73.2 2,167.7 -96.62% to close at 54329. Crude (bbl) 580.2 21,805.1 -97.34% The RSI and the Stochastic are placed below their respective Source – MCX averages, which would lead to selling pressure. However, the Stochastic is placed in the over sold territory, which would lead to Turnover (In Lacs) intermediate bouts of short covering and selective buying support. 26/11/2011 25/11/2011 % Chg. The ADX, -DI and +DI line are moving sideways, indicating a range bound trend. MCX Silver faces resistance at 54754, 61708, 61884 Gold 50,548.7 1,340,663.0 -96.23% and 64605 levels, while the supports are placed at 52725, 52365 and 51226 levels. Silver 39,747.8 1,184,866.4 -96.65% Crude 29,385.2 1,095,858.0 -97.32% MCX CRUDE (DEC 11) - Crude opened higher at 5049 level. Incidentally, this was also the lowest traded price for the day. It Source – MCX moved higher to touch an intra-day high of 5077 on back of buying support. It ended the day with moderate gains to close at 5068. Global Market (Nymex - $) The RSI and the Stochastic are placed below their respective 28/11/2011 26/11/2011 % Chg. averages, which would lead to selling pressure. However, the Gold (oz) 1,708 1,686 1.31% Stochastic is placed in the over sold territory, which would lead to intermediate bouts of short covering and selective buying support. Silver (oz) 31.76 31.014 2.41% The ADX and –DI line are moving sideways, but +DI line is still Crude (bbl) 98.44 96.77 1.73% placed at 31.52 indicating buyers have an upper hand. It faces Dollar Index 79.25 79.61 -0.45% resistance at 5174, 5200 and 5250 levels, while the supports are placed at 4889, 4618, 4493 and 4291 levels. Source – www.cmegroup.com Intra-day Resistance Intra-day Support Commodities Close Pivot Point R1 R2 R3 S1 S2 S3 CRUDE DEC 11 5068 5065 5080 5093 5121 5052 5037 5009 GOLD DEC 11 28409 28398 28435 28462 28526 28371 28334 28270 SILVER DEC 11 54329 54273 54446 54563 54853 54156 53983 53693 Keynote Capitals Ltd. th 4 Floor, Balmer Lawrie Bldg., 5, J. N. Heredia Marg, Ballard Estate, Fort, Mumbai, India – 400001. Tel: 3026 6000 / 2269 4322 www.keynotecapitals.com
  2. 2. US Economic Calendar: Monday Tuesday Wednesday Thursday Friday Nov. 28 Nov. 29 Nov. 30 Dec. 01 Dec. 02 Pending Home Sales New Home Sales Consumer Confidence New Home Sales Employment Situation Index ICSC-Goldman Store EIA Petroleum Status 4-Week Bill Monster Employment 6-Month Bill Auction Sales Report Announcement Index 4-Week Bill FHFA House Price ADP Employment 6-Month Bill Auction Announcement Index Report Keynote Capitals Ltd. th 4 Floor, Balmer Lawrie Bldg., 5, J. N. Heredia Marg, Ballard Estate, Fort, Mumbai, India – 400001. Tel: 3026 6000 / 2269 4322 www.keynotecapitals.com
  3. 3. Disclaimer This document is not for public distribution and has been furnished to you solely for your information and must not be reproduced or redistributed to any other person. Persons into whose possession this document may come are required to observe these restrictions. This material is for the personal information of the authorized recipient, and we are not soliciting any action based upon it. This report is not to be construed as an offer to sell or the solicitation of an offer to buy any security in any jurisdiction where such an offer or solicitation would be illegal. It is for the general information of clients of Keynote Capitals Ltd. It does not constitute a personal recommendation or take into account the particular investment objectives, financial situations, or needs of individual clients. We have reviewed the report, and in so far as it includes current or historical information, it is believed to be reliable though its accuracy or completeness cannot be guaranteed. Neither Keynote Capitals Ltd., nor any person connected with it, accepts any liability arising from the use of this document. The recipients of this material should rely on their own investigations and take their own professional advice. Price and value of the investments referred to in this material may go up or down. Past performance is not a guide for future performance. Certain transactions -including those involving futures, options and other derivatives as well as non-investment grade securities - involve substantial risk and are not suitable for all investors. Reports based on technical analysis centers on studying charts of a stock’s price movement and trading volume, as opposed to focusing on a company’s fundamentals and as such, may not match with a report on a company’s fundamentals. Opinions expressed are our current opinions as of the date appearing on this material only. While we endeavor to update on a reasonable basis the information discussed in this material, there may be regulatory, compliance, or other reasons that prevent us from doing so. Prospective investors and others are cautioned that any forward-looking statements are not predictions and may be subject to change without notice. Our proprietary trading and investment businesses may make investment decisions that are inconsistent with the recommendations expressed herein. We and our affiliates, officers, directors, and employees world wide may: (a) from time to time, have long or short positions in, and buy or sell the securities thereof, of company (ies) mentioned herein or (b) be engaged in any other transaction involving such securities and earn brokerage or other compensation or act as a market maker in the financial instruments of the company (ies) discussed herein or act as advisor or lender / borrower to such company (ies) or have other potential conflict of interest with respect to any recommendation and related information and opinions. The analyst for this report certifies that all of the views expressed in this report accurately reflect his or her personal views about the subject company or companies and its or their securities, and no part of his or her compensation was, is or will be, directly or indirectly related to specific recommendations or views expressed in this report. No part of this material may be duplicated in any form and/or redistributed without Keynote Capitals Ltd’s., prior written consent. Keynote Capitals Ltd. th 4 Floor, Balmer Lawrie Bldg., 5, J. N. Heredia Marg, Ballard Estate, Fort, Mumbai, India – 400001. Tel: 3026 6000 / 2269 4322 www.keynotecapitals.com

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