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Daily Commodity Report

                                                                                                                           30th January 2012

                                                                 MCX GOLD (FEB 12) - Gold opened higher at 27991. It moved
                       Gold         Silver         Crude
                      (4 Feb-12)   (5 Mar-12)    (20 Feb-12)
                                                                 higher to touch an intra-day high of 28013. However, it failed to
                                                                 sustain higher and moved lower to touch an intra-day low of 27975
 Open                    27,991        57,250         4,941      on back of selling pressure. It ended the day with marginal gains to
 High                    28,013        57,450         4,946      close at 27990.

 Low                     27,975        57,183         4,936      The RSI and the Stochastic are placed above their respective
 Close                   27,990        57,229         4,942      averages, which would result in buying support. However, the
                                                                 Stochastic is placed in the over bought zone, which would lead to
 Prev. Close             27,957        57,165         4,945
                                                                 intermediate bouts of profit taking. The ADX line, -DI line and +DI
 % Change                 0.12%        0.11%         -0.06%      line are moving sideways, indicating a range bound trend. MCX
                                                                 GOLD faces resistance at 28152, 28960 and 29212, while the
Source – MCX
                                                                 supports are placed at 27954, 26347, 25500 and 24992 levels.
                       Volume (In 000's)
                                                                 MCX SILVER (MAR 12) - Silver opened higher at 57250. It moved
                       28/1/2012    27/1/2012        % Chg.      higher to touch an intra-day high of 57450. However, it failed to
                                                                 sustain higher and moved lower to touch an intra-day low of 57183
 Gold (gms)              2,051.0     41,194.0       -95.02%      on back of selling pressure. It ended the day with marginal gains to
 Silver (kgs)               68.9       1,993.4      -96.54%      close at 57229.
 Crude (bbl)               295.7     15,074.8       -98.04%
                                                                 The RSI and the Stochastic are placed above their respective
Source – MCX                                                     averages. However, both are also placed in the over bought zone,
                                                                 which would lead to intermediate bouts of profit taking and selling
                      Turnover (In Lacs)                         pressure. The ADX line, -DI line are moving sideways but +DI line is
                                                                 placed at 37.63 40.15 level, indicating buyers are gaining strength.
                       28/1/2012    27/1/2012        % Chg.      MCX Silver faces resistance at 57400, 57834, 58480 and 61708,
Gold                    57,405.6   1,149,135.7      -95.00%
                                                                 while the supports are placed at 54671, 53170 and 51366 levels.

Silver                  39,458.3   1,136,343.6      -96.53%      MCX CRUDE (FEB 12) - Crude opened lower at 4941 level. It
Crude                   14,610.8    748,768.6       -98.05%
                                                                 moved higher to touch an intra-day high of 4946. However, it failed
                                                                 to sustain higher and moved lower to touch an intra-day low of 4936
Source – MCX                                                     on back of selling pressure. It ended the day flat to close the day at
                                                                 4942.
                   Global Market (Nymex - $)
                                                                 The RSI and the Stochastic are placed below their respective
                       30/1/2012    28/1/2012        % Chg.
                                                                 averages, which would result in intermediate bouts of selling
Gold (oz)               1,733.30     1,732.20         0.06%      pressure. However, the Stochastic is still placed in the over sold
                                                                 zone, which would lead to intermediate bouts of short covering and
Silver (oz)                33.59        33.79        -0.61%
                                                                 buying support at lower levels. The -DI line and +DI line are moving
Crude (bbl)                99.09        99.56        -0.47%      sideways. It faces resistance at 4950, 5003, 5065, 5115, 5174 and
Dollar Index               78.96        78.84         0.16%      5200, while the supports are placed at 4903, 4877 and 4493 levels.
Source – www.cmegroup.com

                                                                                   Intra-day Resistance                 Intra-day Support
          Commodities                Close           Pivot Point             R1            R2           R3           S1            S2         S3

 CRUDE FEB 12                          4942                    4941         4947          4951        4961          4937         4931        4921

 GOLD FEB 12                          27990                 27993         28010          28031       28069        27972         27955       27917

 SILVER MAR 12                        57229                 57287         57392          57554       57821        57125         57020       56753


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            4 Floor, Balmer Lawrie Bldg., 5, J. N. Heredia Marg, Ballard Estate, Fort, Mumbai, India – 400001. Tel: 3026 6000 / 2269 4322
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US Economic Calendar:

       Monday                      Tuesday                     Wednesday                      Thursday                       Friday
       Jan. 30                      Jan. 31                     Feb. 01                        Feb. 02                       Feb. 03
Personal Income and        Consumer Confidence           ISM Manufacturing            Jobless Claims Data           Employment Situation
Outlays                                                  Index                                                      Data
4-Week Bill                Employment Cost               Motor Vehicle Sales          Bloomberg Consumer            Factory Orders
Announcement               Index                                                      Comfort Index
6-Month Bill Auction       ICSC-Goldman Store            ADP Employment               Productivity and Costs        ISM Non-Mfg Index
                           Sales                         Report                       Data




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         4 Floor, Balmer Lawrie Bldg., 5, J. N. Heredia Marg, Ballard Estate, Fort, Mumbai, India – 400001. Tel: 3026 6000 / 2269 4322
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redistributed to any other person. Persons into whose possession this document may come are required to observe these restrictions.
This material is for the personal information of the authorized recipient, and we are not soliciting any action based upon it. This report is not
to be construed as an offer to sell or the solicitation of an offer to buy any security in any jurisdiction where such an offer or solicitation
would be illegal. It is for the general information of clients of Keynote Capitals Ltd. It does not constitute a personal recommendation or
take into account the particular investment objectives, financial situations, or needs of individual clients.
We have reviewed the report, and in so far as it includes current or historical information, it is believed to be reliable though its accuracy or
completeness cannot be guaranteed. Neither Keynote Capitals Ltd., nor any person connected with it, accepts any liability arising from the
use of this document. The recipients of this material should rely on their own investigations and take their own professional advice. Price
and value of the investments referred to in this material may go up or down. Past performance is not a guide for future performance.
Certain transactions -including those involving futures, options and other derivatives as well as non-investment grade securities - involve
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Opinions expressed are our current opinions as of the date appearing on this material only. While we endeavor to update on a reasonable
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Prospective investors and others are cautioned that any forward-looking statements are not predictions and may be subject to change
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                                                              Keynote Capitals Ltd.
            th
          4 Floor, Balmer Lawrie Bldg., 5, J. N. Heredia Marg, Ballard Estate, Fort, Mumbai, India – 400001. Tel: 3026 6000 / 2269 4322
                                                            www.keynotecapitals.com

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Keynote commodity daily report 300112

  • 1. Daily Commodity Report 30th January 2012 MCX GOLD (FEB 12) - Gold opened higher at 27991. It moved Gold Silver Crude (4 Feb-12) (5 Mar-12) (20 Feb-12) higher to touch an intra-day high of 28013. However, it failed to sustain higher and moved lower to touch an intra-day low of 27975 Open 27,991 57,250 4,941 on back of selling pressure. It ended the day with marginal gains to High 28,013 57,450 4,946 close at 27990. Low 27,975 57,183 4,936 The RSI and the Stochastic are placed above their respective Close 27,990 57,229 4,942 averages, which would result in buying support. However, the Stochastic is placed in the over bought zone, which would lead to Prev. Close 27,957 57,165 4,945 intermediate bouts of profit taking. The ADX line, -DI line and +DI % Change 0.12% 0.11% -0.06% line are moving sideways, indicating a range bound trend. MCX GOLD faces resistance at 28152, 28960 and 29212, while the Source – MCX supports are placed at 27954, 26347, 25500 and 24992 levels. Volume (In 000's) MCX SILVER (MAR 12) - Silver opened higher at 57250. It moved 28/1/2012 27/1/2012 % Chg. higher to touch an intra-day high of 57450. However, it failed to sustain higher and moved lower to touch an intra-day low of 57183 Gold (gms) 2,051.0 41,194.0 -95.02% on back of selling pressure. It ended the day with marginal gains to Silver (kgs) 68.9 1,993.4 -96.54% close at 57229. Crude (bbl) 295.7 15,074.8 -98.04% The RSI and the Stochastic are placed above their respective Source – MCX averages. However, both are also placed in the over bought zone, which would lead to intermediate bouts of profit taking and selling Turnover (In Lacs) pressure. The ADX line, -DI line are moving sideways but +DI line is placed at 37.63 40.15 level, indicating buyers are gaining strength. 28/1/2012 27/1/2012 % Chg. MCX Silver faces resistance at 57400, 57834, 58480 and 61708, Gold 57,405.6 1,149,135.7 -95.00% while the supports are placed at 54671, 53170 and 51366 levels. Silver 39,458.3 1,136,343.6 -96.53% MCX CRUDE (FEB 12) - Crude opened lower at 4941 level. It Crude 14,610.8 748,768.6 -98.05% moved higher to touch an intra-day high of 4946. However, it failed to sustain higher and moved lower to touch an intra-day low of 4936 Source – MCX on back of selling pressure. It ended the day flat to close the day at 4942. Global Market (Nymex - $) The RSI and the Stochastic are placed below their respective 30/1/2012 28/1/2012 % Chg. averages, which would result in intermediate bouts of selling Gold (oz) 1,733.30 1,732.20 0.06% pressure. However, the Stochastic is still placed in the over sold zone, which would lead to intermediate bouts of short covering and Silver (oz) 33.59 33.79 -0.61% buying support at lower levels. The -DI line and +DI line are moving Crude (bbl) 99.09 99.56 -0.47% sideways. It faces resistance at 4950, 5003, 5065, 5115, 5174 and Dollar Index 78.96 78.84 0.16% 5200, while the supports are placed at 4903, 4877 and 4493 levels. Source – www.cmegroup.com Intra-day Resistance Intra-day Support Commodities Close Pivot Point R1 R2 R3 S1 S2 S3 CRUDE FEB 12 4942 4941 4947 4951 4961 4937 4931 4921 GOLD FEB 12 27990 27993 28010 28031 28069 27972 27955 27917 SILVER MAR 12 57229 57287 57392 57554 57821 57125 57020 56753 Keynote Capitals Ltd. th 4 Floor, Balmer Lawrie Bldg., 5, J. N. Heredia Marg, Ballard Estate, Fort, Mumbai, India – 400001. Tel: 3026 6000 / 2269 4322 www.keynotecapitals.com
  • 2. US Economic Calendar: Monday Tuesday Wednesday Thursday Friday Jan. 30 Jan. 31 Feb. 01 Feb. 02 Feb. 03 Personal Income and Consumer Confidence ISM Manufacturing Jobless Claims Data Employment Situation Outlays Index Data 4-Week Bill Employment Cost Motor Vehicle Sales Bloomberg Consumer Factory Orders Announcement Index Comfort Index 6-Month Bill Auction ICSC-Goldman Store ADP Employment Productivity and Costs ISM Non-Mfg Index Sales Report Data Keynote Capitals Ltd. th 4 Floor, Balmer Lawrie Bldg., 5, J. N. Heredia Marg, Ballard Estate, Fort, Mumbai, India – 400001. Tel: 3026 6000 / 2269 4322 www.keynotecapitals.com
  • 3. Disclaimer This document is not for public distribution and has been furnished to you solely for your information and must not be reproduced or redistributed to any other person. Persons into whose possession this document may come are required to observe these restrictions. This material is for the personal information of the authorized recipient, and we are not soliciting any action based upon it. This report is not to be construed as an offer to sell or the solicitation of an offer to buy any security in any jurisdiction where such an offer or solicitation would be illegal. It is for the general information of clients of Keynote Capitals Ltd. It does not constitute a personal recommendation or take into account the particular investment objectives, financial situations, or needs of individual clients. We have reviewed the report, and in so far as it includes current or historical information, it is believed to be reliable though its accuracy or completeness cannot be guaranteed. Neither Keynote Capitals Ltd., nor any person connected with it, accepts any liability arising from the use of this document. The recipients of this material should rely on their own investigations and take their own professional advice. Price and value of the investments referred to in this material may go up or down. Past performance is not a guide for future performance. Certain transactions -including those involving futures, options and other derivatives as well as non-investment grade securities - involve substantial risk and are not suitable for all investors. Reports based on technical analysis centers on studying charts of a stock’s price movement and trading volume, as opposed to focusing on a company’s fundamentals and as such, may not match with a report on a company’s fundamentals. Opinions expressed are our current opinions as of the date appearing on this material only. While we endeavor to update on a reasonable basis the information discussed in this material, there may be regulatory, compliance, or other reasons that prevent us from doing so. Prospective investors and others are cautioned that any forward-looking statements are not predictions and may be subject to change without notice. Our proprietary trading and investment businesses may make investment decisions that are inconsistent with the recommendations expressed herein. We and our affiliates, officers, directors, and employees world wide may: (a) from time to time, have long or short positions in, and buy or sell the securities thereof, of company (ies) mentioned herein or (b) be engaged in any other transaction involving such securities and earn brokerage or other compensation or act as a market maker in the financial instruments of the company (ies) discussed herein or act as advisor or lender / borrower to such company (ies) or have other potential conflict of interest with respect to any recommendation and related information and opinions. The analyst for this report certifies that all of the views expressed in this report accurately reflect his or her personal views about the subject company or companies and its or their securities, and no part of his or her compensation was, is or will be, directly or indirectly related to specific recommendations or views expressed in this report. No part of this material may be duplicated in any form and/or redistributed without Keynote Capitals Ltd’s., prior written consent. Keynote Capitals Ltd. th 4 Floor, Balmer Lawrie Bldg., 5, J. N. Heredia Marg, Ballard Estate, Fort, Mumbai, India – 400001. Tel: 3026 6000 / 2269 4322 www.keynotecapitals.com