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Keynote commodity daily report for 100812

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Keynote commodity daily report for 100812

  1. 1. Daily Com D mmodity Report 10th A August 2012 MC GOLD (5 O CX OCTOBER 12 – 2) Gold G Si ilver Cr rude (5 O Oct-12) (5 Sept-12) (20 A Aug-12) Gold opened low at 29886 and moved lower to tou an intra- wer 6 uch Ope en 29,886 53,450 5,168 day low of 2987 However, it managed to bounce ba from the y 70. ack lows for the day and moved higher to to y ouch an intra- -day high of High h 29,980 53,608 5,193 299 980. It ended the day with m modest gains to close at 2 s 29967. Low w 29,870 53,322 5,146 The RSI and th Stochastic are placed above their respective e he c d Clos se 29,967 53,512 5,174 erages, which would lead to buying support. The A ave h ADX line and the +DI are mov ving and are place above the 31 leve indicating e e el, Prev Close v. 29,896 53,409 5,169 buyyers are gainning strength MCX GO h. OLD faces re esistance at %C Change 0.24% 0.19% 0.10% 30179, 30340, 330428 and 31000, while th supports a placed at he are 296668, 28859, 28765 and 279 levels. 962 Sourc – MCX ce Possitional Cal - BUY MC Gold (5 O 12) around 29950 ll CX Oct Volume (In 000 V 0's) wit Stop Loss of 29800 a th and Target of 30200. 09/0 08/2012 08/0 08/2012 % Chg. MC SILVER (5 SEPT 12) – CX 5 Gold (gms) d 21,800.0 2 30,100.0 3 -2 27.57% Silv opened higher at 53450 and moved higher to tou an intra- ver d uch day high of 5360 However, it failed to sustain higher and moved y 08. , r Silve (kgs) er 969.3 1,315.4 -2 26.31% lower to touch a intra-day low of 53322 It ended t an 2. the day with Crud (bbl) de 20,995.7 2 28,282.8 2 -2 25.77% mar rginal gains to close at 535 o 512. Sourc – MCX ce The Stochastic and the RS are placed above their respective e SI d aveerages, which would lead to buying support. Ho h owever, the Tu urnover (In Lacs) Stochastic has m moved in the o over bought z zone, which w would lead to inte ermediate bou of profit ta uts aking. The ADX line, -DI l line and +DI 09/0 08/2012 08/0 08/2012 % Chg. line are moving sideways, indicating ra e g ange bound trend. MCX Silv faces resistance at 536 ver 675, 54570, 5 55551, 56157 and 57737 7 Gold d 65 52,550.2 89 98,497.1 -2 27.37% while the suppor are placed at 51559, 51 rts d 1029, and 502 levels. 252 Silve er 51 18,503.7 70 01,935.6 -2 26.13% Pos sitional Call - BUY M MCX Silver (5 SEPT 12) around Crud de 1,08 85,824.3 1,46 63,796.9 -2 25.82% 533 with Sto Loss of 5 370 op 53080 and T Target of 54 4000. Sourc – MCX ce MC CRUDE (20 August 12) – CX ) Cru opened lo ude ower at 5168 and moved further lower to touch an Global Market (Nym - $) mex a-day low of 5146. Howev intra ver, it managged to bounce back from 10/0 08/2012 09/0 08/2012 % Chg. the lower levels to move hig s gher. It touch hed an intra- -day high of 519 It ended th day with m 93. he marginal gains to close at 5 s 5174. Gold (oz) d 1,613.40 1 1,617.10 -0.23% The Stochastic h slipped below its avera and is also placed in e has age Silve (oz) er 27.95 28.10 -0.52% the over bought zone, which would lead to intermedia bouts of t h ate WTI Crude prof taking an selling pr fit nd ressure. How wever, the R RSI remains 93.21 93.36 -0.16% (bbl) plac ced above its average, w s which would leead to buying support at g Bren Crude nt 112.88 113.22 -0.30% lower levels. The +DI line and -DI line are moving lowe while the e e er, (bbl) ADX line is mov X ving sideway indicating a range bou ys, und trend. It Dolla Index ar 82.28 82.39 0.14% face resistance at 5180, and 5217 while the supports are placed es e d e s Sourc – www.cme ce egroup.com at 5 5093, 5126, 4946, 4777, 47 and 4681 737 1. Keynot Capitals L te Ltd. The Rub 9th Floor, Senapati Bapa Marg, Dadar (W), Mumbai – 400 028. T 3026 6000. Fax: 3026 60 by, at Tel: 088. www.keyynotecapitals.com
  2. 2. Com mmodity New ws: • Gold seen ad G dvancing as slowing gro s owth fuels s stimulus opttimism: Gold today advan nced on slowwing Chinese in nflation and e expectations that a report may show ri ising US joble claims, b ess mism central banks might boosting optim take steps to bolster the gl lobal econom The Feder Reserve h said it wo my. ral had ould add stimu ulus if necess sary to boost growth and cu an unemplo g ut oyment rate th has been 8% or higher for more tha three years (ET) hat r an s. • Brent up abo $112 on stimulus hop B ove s pes, oil supp hiccups: Brent crude rose for a fifth session on Thursday to ply above $112 a barrel on ho a opes that Chin will roll out more stimulu measures to boost its s na t us slowing econo omy and fuel demand at the world's seco largest o consumer. A fall in U.S. crude inventories last wee and supply disruptions d e ond oil ek y caused by a s c storm in the Gulf of Mexico as well as lower North S oil output and tensions in the Middle East, also G o, Sea t kept oil prices high. (ET) k s • OPEC hikes 2012, 2013 world oil dem O w mand foreca ast: OPEC slightly upped its world oil d demand grow forecasts wth for fo 2012 and 2013 on Th hursday but w warned of a possible drop again next year due to the uncertain economic p o situation. Oil d s demand this year was esp y pecially up in t United St the tates, Japan a India -- w and where massive power grid failures and se f evere floods have led to in h ncreased cons sumption -- w ntinued to fall in Europe. (E whereas it con ET) • Copper futur C res rise on global cues, firm deman Buoyed b a firming tr g nd: by rend in globa markets an pick up in al nd domestic dem d mand, copper futures prices rose by 0.447% to Rs 419.15 per kg. Sentiment bo olstered as coopper gained in overseas m n markets after data showed China's infla d ation cooled f the fourth month in July, raising exp for pectations of further policy easing from the largest consumer of the metal, trade said. (ET) f t e ers Econ nomic Cale endar: Fr riday Mo onday Tue esday Wedn nesday Au 10 ug Au 13 ug Au 14 ug Au 15 ug India Forex Res serves Data WPI Inflation for July 2012 Bank Loan Growth n US Import Pri Index ice Producer Price Index Consumer Price r (YoY & MooM) (MoM) and (YoY) d Index Monthly Budget B Retail Sale (MoM) es Industrial Production Statement and (YoY) (MOM) Business IInventories Glob bal Japan Induustrial UK's RICS Housing UK's Cons sumer Price UK bank m minutes and Production (YoY & Price Bala ance Index (Mo oM) and unemployyment rate MoM); Cap pacity (YoY) Utilization n China Trade Balance; Germany's Eurozone' Gross 's Imports & Exports Wholesale Price e Domestic Product (YoY) Index (Mo oM) and s.a. (QoQ) and (YoY) ) (YoY) UK Produc Price cer Germany's ZEW Index (Inp & put Survey - E Economic Output) (Y YoY & MoM) Sentimentt Keynot Capitals L te Ltd. The Rub 9th Floor, Senapati Bapa Marg, Dadar (W), Mumbai – 400 028. T 3026 6000. Fax: 3026 60 by, at Tel: 088. www.keyynotecapitals.com
  3. 3. Disc claimer This document is n for public distribution and has been furn not d nished to you s solely for your information and must not be reproduced or d redisstributed to any other person. Persons into who possession this document may come are required to obse P ose erve these restrrictions. This material is for t personal info the ormation of the authorized recip pient, and we are not soliciting any action base upon it. This report is not to ed be co onstrued as an offer to sell or the solicitation o an offer to buy any security in any jurisdictio where such a offer or solicit t of y n on an tation would be illega It is for the general informa al. ation of clients of Keynote Ca apitals Ltd. It do not constitute a personal recommendatio or take into oes on acco ount the particular investment objectives, financial situations, o needs of indiv o or vidual clients. We h have reviewed t report, and in so far as it includes current or historical information, it is believed to be r the t reliable though its accuracy or comp pleteness cannot be guarantee Neither Key ed. ynote Capitals LLtd., nor any pe erson connected with it, accept any liability a d ts arising from the use o this documen The recipient of this material should rely o their own inve of nt. ts on estigations and take their own professional ad dvice. Price and value of the investm e ments referred to in this mater may go up or down. Past performance is not a guide fo future perform rial s or mance. Certain transsactions -including those involv ving futures, opt tions and other derivatives as w as non-inve well estment grade securities - invo olve substantial risk a are not suitable for all inv and vestors. Reports based on tech s hnical analysis ccenters on stud dying charts of a stock’s price movement and trading volume, as opposed to fo ocusing on a c company’s fund damentals and as such, may not match w y with a report on a company’s n fundamentals. Opin nions expressed are our curren opinions as o the date appe d nt of earing on this m material only. W While we endeav to update on a reasonable vor n basis the informatio discussed in this material, there may be regulatory, com s on n mpliance, or ot ther reasons th prevent us f hat from doing so. Pros spective investo and others are cautioned that any forward-looking state ors ements are not predictions an may be sub t nd bject to change witho notice. Our proprietary trading and inv out t vestment businnesses may m make investmen decisions th are inconsistent with the nt hat recommendations e expressed herein n. We a our affiliates officers, direc and s, ctors, and emplo oyees world wid may: (a) from time to time, h de m have long or sho positions in, and buy or sell ort the s securities there eof, of company (ies) mentione herein or (b be engaged in any other tra y ed b) ansaction involv ving such securities and earn brokerage or other compensation or act as a ma arket maker in the financial instruments of th company (ies) discussed he he erein or act as advis or lender / b sor borrower to such company (ies) or have other potential conflic of interest with respect to any recommendat h ) ct y tion and related information and opin nions. The analyst for this report certifies that all of the vviews expressed in this report a d accurately reflec his or her per ct rsonal views abbout the subject comp pany or companies and its or their securities, and no part of his or her com mpensation was is or will be, directly or indir s, rectly related to spec recommend cific dations or views expressed in th report. s his No p of this material may be dup part plicated in any fo and/or redis orm stributed withou Keynote Capit ut tals Ltd’s., prior written consent. r Keynot Capitals L te Ltd. The Rub 9th Floor, Senapati Bapa Marg, Dadar (W), Mumbai – 400 028. T 3026 6000. Fax: 3026 60 by, at Tel: 088. www.keyynotecapitals.com

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