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Daily Com
                                                D       mmodity Report

                                                                                                             10th A
                                                                                                                  August 2012

                                                             MC GOLD (5 O
                                                              CX        OCTOBER 12 –
                                                                                 2)
                   Gold
                   G            Si
                                 ilver         Cr
                                                rude
                  (5 O
                     Oct-12)   (5 Sept-12)   (20 A
                                                 Aug-12)     Gold opened low at 29886 and moved lower to tou an intra-
                                                                            wer          6                         uch
 Ope
   en                29,886        53,450         5,168
                                                             day low of 2987 However, it managed to bounce ba from the
                                                               y            70.                                    ack
                                                             lows for the day and moved higher to to
                                                                            y                        ouch an intra- -day high of
 High
    h                29,980        53,608         5,193      299
                                                               980. It ended the day with m
                                                                                          modest gains to close at 2
                                                                                                     s             29967.
 Low
   w                 29,870        53,322         5,146
                                                             The RSI and th Stochastic are placed above their respective
                                                                e            he          c          d
 Clos
    se               29,967        53,512         5,174        erages, which would lead to buying support. The A
                                                             ave            h                                  ADX line and
                                                             the +DI are mov ving and are place above the 31 leve indicating
                                                                                        e           e           el,
 Prev Close
    v.               29,896        53,409         5,169      buyyers are gainning strength MCX GO
                                                                                         h.        OLD faces re esistance at
 %C
  Change              0.24%         0.19%         0.10%      30179, 30340, 330428 and 31000, while th supports a placed at
                                                                                                    he          are
                                                             296668, 28859, 28765 and 279 levels.
                                                                                         962
Sourc – MCX
    ce
                                                             Possitional Cal - BUY MC Gold (5 O 12) around 29950
                                                                           ll       CX         Oct
                   Volume (In 000
                   V            0's)                         wit Stop Loss of 29800 a
                                                               th                    and Target of 30200.

                 09/0
                    08/2012    08/0
                                  08/2012        % Chg.      MC SILVER (5 SEPT 12) –
                                                              CX        5
 Gold (gms)
    d               21,800.0
                    2             30,100.0
                                  3             -2
                                                 27.57%      Silv opened higher at 53450 and moved higher to tou an intra-
                                                                ver                                 d            uch
                                                             day high of 5360 However, it failed to sustain higher and moved
                                                                y              08.          ,                    r
 Silve (kgs)
     er                969.3       1,315.4      -2
                                                 26.31%
                                                             lower to touch a intra-day low of 53322 It ended t
                                                                               an                    2.          the day with
 Crud (bbl)
    de              20,995.7
                    2             28,282.8
                                  2             -2
                                                 25.77%      mar rginal gains to close at 535
                                                                               o            512.
Sourc – MCX
    ce                                                       The Stochastic and the RS are placed above their respective
                                                                e                       SI           d
                                                             aveerages, which would lead to buying support. Ho
                                                                            h                                     owever, the
                  Tu
                   urnover (In Lacs)                         Stochastic has m
                                                                            moved in the o
                                                                                         over bought z
                                                                                                     zone, which w
                                                                                                                 would lead to
                                                             inte
                                                                ermediate bou of profit ta
                                                                            uts          aking. The ADX line, -DI l
                                                                                                                  line and +DI
                 09/0
                    08/2012    08/0
                                  08/2012        % Chg.      line are moving sideways, indicating ra
                                                                e           g                       ange bound trend. MCX
                                                             Silv faces resistance at 536
                                                                ver                      675, 54570, 5
                                                                                                     55551, 56157 and 57737
                                                                                                                  7
Gold
   d              65
                   52,550.2     89
                                 98,497.1       -2
                                                 27.37%      while the suppor are placed at 51559, 51
                                                                            rts         d            1029, and 502 levels.
                                                                                                                  252
Silve
    er            51
                   18,503.7     70
                                 01,935.6       -2
                                                 26.13%
                                                             Pos
                                                               sitional Call - BUY M
                                                                                   MCX Silver (5 SEPT 12) around
Crud
   de            1,08
                    85,824.3   1,46
                                  63,796.9      -2
                                                 25.82%      533 with Sto Loss of 5
                                                               370        op        53080 and T
                                                                                              Target of 54
                                                                                                         4000.
Sourc – MCX
    ce                                                       MC CRUDE (20 August 12) –
                                                              CX                   )

                                                             Cru opened lo
                                                                ude          ower at 5168 and moved further lower to touch an
               Global Market (Nym - $)
                                mex
                                                                 a-day low of 5146. Howev
                                                             intra                       ver, it managged to bounce back from
                 10/0
                    08/2012    09/0
                                  08/2012        % Chg.      the lower levels to move hig
                                                                            s            gher. It touch
                                                                                                      hed an intra- -day high of
                                                             519 It ended th day with m
                                                                93.          he         marginal gains to close at 5
                                                                                                      s            5174.
Gold (oz)
   d                1,613.40
                    1             1,617.10       -0.23%
                                                             The Stochastic h slipped below its avera and is also placed in
                                                                e            has                        age
Silve (oz)
    er                 27.95         28.10       -0.52%
                                                             the over bought zone, which would lead to intermedia bouts of
                                                                             t           h                         ate
WTI Crude                                                    prof taking an selling pr
                                                                 fit        nd            ressure. How wever, the R
                                                                                                                  RSI remains
                       93.21         93.36       -0.16%
(bbl)
                                                             plac
                                                                ced above its average, w
                                                                             s           which would leead to buying support at
                                                                                                                   g
Bren Crude
   nt
                     112.88        113.22        -0.30%      lower levels. The +DI line and -DI line are moving lowe while the
                                                                             e                         e           er,
(bbl)
                                                             ADX line is mov
                                                                 X           ving sideway indicating a range bou
                                                                                         ys,                       und trend. It
Dolla Index
    ar                 82.28         82.39        0.14%
                                                             face resistance at 5180, and 5217 while the supports are placed
                                                                es          e              d          e            s
Sourc – www.cme
    ce        egroup.com                                     at 5
                                                                5093, 5126, 4946, 4777, 47 and 4681
                                                                                          737          1.



                                                          Keynot Capitals L
                                                               te         Ltd.
             The Rub 9th Floor, Senapati Bapa Marg, Dadar (W), Mumbai – 400 028. T 3026 6000. Fax: 3026 60
                   by,                      at                                   Tel:                    088.
                                                www.keyynotecapitals.com
Com
  mmodity New
            ws:

•    Gold seen ad
     G             dvancing as slowing gro
                               s             owth fuels s
                                                        stimulus opttimism: Gold today advan nced on slowwing Chinese
     in
      nflation and e
                   expectations that a report may show ri
                                                        ising US joble claims, b
                                                                     ess                     mism central banks might
                                                                                boosting optim
     take steps to bolster the gl
                                lobal econom The Feder Reserve h said it wo
                                           my.          ral         had         ould add stimu
                                                                                             ulus if necess
                                                                                                          sary to boost
     growth and cu an unemplo
     g             ut           oyment rate th has been 8% or higher for more tha three years (ET)
                                             hat                     r          an           s.
•    Brent up abo $112 on stimulus hop
     B             ove           s           pes, oil supp hiccups: Brent crude rose for a fifth session on Thursday to
                                                           ply
     above $112 a barrel on ho
     a                          opes that Chin will roll out more stimulu measures to boost its s
                                             na            t            us                      slowing econo
                                                                                                            omy and fuel
     demand at the world's seco largest o consumer. A fall in U.S. crude inventories last wee and supply disruptions
     d              e            ond        oil                                                 ek          y
     caused by a s
     c             storm in the Gulf of Mexico as well as lower North S oil output and tensions in the Middle East, also
                                G            o,                        Sea        t
     kept oil prices high. (ET)
     k             s
•    OPEC hikes 2012, 2013 world oil dem
     O                           w             mand foreca  ast: OPEC slightly upped its world oil d demand grow forecasts
                                                                                                                  wth
     for
     fo 2012 and 2013 on Th     hursday but w warned of a possible drop again next year due to the uncertain economic
                                                                          p                         o
     situation. Oil d
     s              demand this year was esp
                                 y            pecially up in t United St
                                                             the          tates, Japan a India -- w
                                                                                       and          where massive power grid
     failures and se
     f              evere floods have led to in
                                 h            ncreased cons  sumption -- w            ntinued to fall in Europe. (E
                                                                         whereas it con                           ET)
•    Copper futur
     C             res rise on global cues, firm deman Buoyed b a firming tr
                                g                        nd:           by          rend in globa markets an pick up in
                                                                                               al            nd
     domestic dem
     d            mand, copper futures prices rose by 0.447% to Rs 419.15 per kg. Sentiment bo olstered as coopper gained
     in overseas m
      n            markets after data showed China's infla
                                             d            ation cooled f the fourth month in July, raising exp
                                                                       for                                   pectations of
     further policy easing from the largest consumer of the metal, trade said. (ET)
     f                          t                         e            ers



Econ
   nomic Cale
            endar:

                             Fr
                              riday                    Mo
                                                        onday                    Tue
                                                                                   esday                 Wedn
                                                                                                            nesday
                             Au 10
                              ug                       Au 13
                                                        ug                        Au 14
                                                                                   ug                     Au 15
                                                                                                            ug
India                Forex Res
                             serves Data                                  WPI Inflation for July
                                                                          2012
                     Bank Loan Growth
                             n



US                   Import Pri Index
                              ice                                         Producer Price Index      Consumer Price
                                                                                                              r
                     (YoY & MooM)                                         (MoM) and (YoY)
                                                                                    d               Index
                     Monthly Budget
                             B                                            Retail Sale (MoM)
                                                                                    es              Industrial Production
                     Statement                                            and (YoY)                 (MOM)
                                                                          Business IInventories

Glob
   bal               Japan Induustrial         UK's RICS Housing          UK's Cons
                                                                                  sumer Price       UK bank m
                                                                                                            minutes and
                     Production (YoY &         Price Bala
                                                        ance              Index (Mo
                                                                                  oM) and           unemployyment rate
                     MoM); Cap  pacity                                    (YoY)
                     Utilization
                               n
                     China Trade Balance;      Germany's                  Eurozone' Gross
                                                                                   's
                     Imports & Exports         Wholesale Price
                                                       e                  Domestic Product
                     (YoY)                     Index (Mo
                                                       oM) and            s.a. (QoQ) and (YoY)
                                                                                   )
                                               (YoY)
                     UK Produc Price
                              cer                                         Germany's ZEW
                     Index (Inp &
                              put                                         Survey - E
                                                                                   Economic
                     Output) (Y
                              YoY & MoM)                                  Sentimentt




                                                   Keynot Capitals L
                                                        te         Ltd.
           The Rub 9th Floor, Senapati Bapa Marg, Dadar (W), Mumbai – 400 028. T 3026 6000. Fax: 3026 60
                 by,                      at                                   Tel:                    088.
                                              www.keyynotecapitals.com
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                                                              Keynot Capitals L
                                                                   te         Ltd.
            The Rub 9th Floor, Senapati Bapa Marg, Dadar (W), Mumbai – 400 028. T 3026 6000. Fax: 3026 60
                  by,                      at                                   Tel:                    088.
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Keynote commodity daily report for 100812

  • 1. Daily Com D mmodity Report 10th A August 2012 MC GOLD (5 O CX OCTOBER 12 – 2) Gold G Si ilver Cr rude (5 O Oct-12) (5 Sept-12) (20 A Aug-12) Gold opened low at 29886 and moved lower to tou an intra- wer 6 uch Ope en 29,886 53,450 5,168 day low of 2987 However, it managed to bounce ba from the y 70. ack lows for the day and moved higher to to y ouch an intra- -day high of High h 29,980 53,608 5,193 299 980. It ended the day with m modest gains to close at 2 s 29967. Low w 29,870 53,322 5,146 The RSI and th Stochastic are placed above their respective e he c d Clos se 29,967 53,512 5,174 erages, which would lead to buying support. The A ave h ADX line and the +DI are mov ving and are place above the 31 leve indicating e e el, Prev Close v. 29,896 53,409 5,169 buyyers are gainning strength MCX GO h. OLD faces re esistance at %C Change 0.24% 0.19% 0.10% 30179, 30340, 330428 and 31000, while th supports a placed at he are 296668, 28859, 28765 and 279 levels. 962 Sourc – MCX ce Possitional Cal - BUY MC Gold (5 O 12) around 29950 ll CX Oct Volume (In 000 V 0's) wit Stop Loss of 29800 a th and Target of 30200. 09/0 08/2012 08/0 08/2012 % Chg. MC SILVER (5 SEPT 12) – CX 5 Gold (gms) d 21,800.0 2 30,100.0 3 -2 27.57% Silv opened higher at 53450 and moved higher to tou an intra- ver d uch day high of 5360 However, it failed to sustain higher and moved y 08. , r Silve (kgs) er 969.3 1,315.4 -2 26.31% lower to touch a intra-day low of 53322 It ended t an 2. the day with Crud (bbl) de 20,995.7 2 28,282.8 2 -2 25.77% mar rginal gains to close at 535 o 512. Sourc – MCX ce The Stochastic and the RS are placed above their respective e SI d aveerages, which would lead to buying support. Ho h owever, the Tu urnover (In Lacs) Stochastic has m moved in the o over bought z zone, which w would lead to inte ermediate bou of profit ta uts aking. The ADX line, -DI l line and +DI 09/0 08/2012 08/0 08/2012 % Chg. line are moving sideways, indicating ra e g ange bound trend. MCX Silv faces resistance at 536 ver 675, 54570, 5 55551, 56157 and 57737 7 Gold d 65 52,550.2 89 98,497.1 -2 27.37% while the suppor are placed at 51559, 51 rts d 1029, and 502 levels. 252 Silve er 51 18,503.7 70 01,935.6 -2 26.13% Pos sitional Call - BUY M MCX Silver (5 SEPT 12) around Crud de 1,08 85,824.3 1,46 63,796.9 -2 25.82% 533 with Sto Loss of 5 370 op 53080 and T Target of 54 4000. Sourc – MCX ce MC CRUDE (20 August 12) – CX ) Cru opened lo ude ower at 5168 and moved further lower to touch an Global Market (Nym - $) mex a-day low of 5146. Howev intra ver, it managged to bounce back from 10/0 08/2012 09/0 08/2012 % Chg. the lower levels to move hig s gher. It touch hed an intra- -day high of 519 It ended th day with m 93. he marginal gains to close at 5 s 5174. Gold (oz) d 1,613.40 1 1,617.10 -0.23% The Stochastic h slipped below its avera and is also placed in e has age Silve (oz) er 27.95 28.10 -0.52% the over bought zone, which would lead to intermedia bouts of t h ate WTI Crude prof taking an selling pr fit nd ressure. How wever, the R RSI remains 93.21 93.36 -0.16% (bbl) plac ced above its average, w s which would leead to buying support at g Bren Crude nt 112.88 113.22 -0.30% lower levels. The +DI line and -DI line are moving lowe while the e e er, (bbl) ADX line is mov X ving sideway indicating a range bou ys, und trend. It Dolla Index ar 82.28 82.39 0.14% face resistance at 5180, and 5217 while the supports are placed es e d e s Sourc – www.cme ce egroup.com at 5 5093, 5126, 4946, 4777, 47 and 4681 737 1. Keynot Capitals L te Ltd. The Rub 9th Floor, Senapati Bapa Marg, Dadar (W), Mumbai – 400 028. T 3026 6000. Fax: 3026 60 by, at Tel: 088. www.keyynotecapitals.com
  • 2. Com mmodity New ws: • Gold seen ad G dvancing as slowing gro s owth fuels s stimulus opttimism: Gold today advan nced on slowwing Chinese in nflation and e expectations that a report may show ri ising US joble claims, b ess mism central banks might boosting optim take steps to bolster the gl lobal econom The Feder Reserve h said it wo my. ral had ould add stimu ulus if necess sary to boost growth and cu an unemplo g ut oyment rate th has been 8% or higher for more tha three years (ET) hat r an s. • Brent up abo $112 on stimulus hop B ove s pes, oil supp hiccups: Brent crude rose for a fifth session on Thursday to ply above $112 a barrel on ho a opes that Chin will roll out more stimulu measures to boost its s na t us slowing econo omy and fuel demand at the world's seco largest o consumer. A fall in U.S. crude inventories last wee and supply disruptions d e ond oil ek y caused by a s c storm in the Gulf of Mexico as well as lower North S oil output and tensions in the Middle East, also G o, Sea t kept oil prices high. (ET) k s • OPEC hikes 2012, 2013 world oil dem O w mand foreca ast: OPEC slightly upped its world oil d demand grow forecasts wth for fo 2012 and 2013 on Th hursday but w warned of a possible drop again next year due to the uncertain economic p o situation. Oil d s demand this year was esp y pecially up in t United St the tates, Japan a India -- w and where massive power grid failures and se f evere floods have led to in h ncreased cons sumption -- w ntinued to fall in Europe. (E whereas it con ET) • Copper futur C res rise on global cues, firm deman Buoyed b a firming tr g nd: by rend in globa markets an pick up in al nd domestic dem d mand, copper futures prices rose by 0.447% to Rs 419.15 per kg. Sentiment bo olstered as coopper gained in overseas m n markets after data showed China's infla d ation cooled f the fourth month in July, raising exp for pectations of further policy easing from the largest consumer of the metal, trade said. (ET) f t e ers Econ nomic Cale endar: Fr riday Mo onday Tue esday Wedn nesday Au 10 ug Au 13 ug Au 14 ug Au 15 ug India Forex Res serves Data WPI Inflation for July 2012 Bank Loan Growth n US Import Pri Index ice Producer Price Index Consumer Price r (YoY & MooM) (MoM) and (YoY) d Index Monthly Budget B Retail Sale (MoM) es Industrial Production Statement and (YoY) (MOM) Business IInventories Glob bal Japan Induustrial UK's RICS Housing UK's Cons sumer Price UK bank m minutes and Production (YoY & Price Bala ance Index (Mo oM) and unemployyment rate MoM); Cap pacity (YoY) Utilization n China Trade Balance; Germany's Eurozone' Gross 's Imports & Exports Wholesale Price e Domestic Product (YoY) Index (Mo oM) and s.a. (QoQ) and (YoY) ) (YoY) UK Produc Price cer Germany's ZEW Index (Inp & put Survey - E Economic Output) (Y YoY & MoM) Sentimentt Keynot Capitals L te Ltd. The Rub 9th Floor, Senapati Bapa Marg, Dadar (W), Mumbai – 400 028. T 3026 6000. Fax: 3026 60 by, at Tel: 088. www.keyynotecapitals.com
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