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Daily Commodity Report

                                                                                                                 14th February 2013

                     Gold           Silver             Crude       MCX GOLD (5 APRIL 13) –
 13-Feb-13
 Expiry            05-Apr-13       05-Mar-13           19-Feb-13   Gold opened higher at 30602 and moved further higher to touch an
 Open                 30,602             57,699            5,255   intra-day high of 30637. However, it failed to sustain higher and
                                                                   moved lower to touch an intra-day low of 30510. It ended the day
 High                 30,637             57,850            5,273
                                                                   with marginal losses to close at 30554.
 Low                  30,510             57,405            5,230
                                                                   The RSI and the Stochastic are placed below their respective
 Close                30,554             57,442            5,249   averages, which would lead to selling pressure. However, the
 Prev. Close          30,573             57,555            5,248   Stochastic has moved in the over sold zone, which would lead to
                                                                   intermediate bouts of short covering. The –DI line is placed above
 % Change             -0.06%             -0.20%           0.02%
                                                                   the +DI line and is placed above the 25 level but has come off its
Source – MCX                                                       recent highs, indicating sellers are covering shorts regularly. MCX
                                                                   Gold faces resistance at 30916 and 31535 while the support levels
                    Volume (In 000's)                              are placed at 30475, 30150, 30000, 29500 and 29142.
                   13-Feb-13       12-Feb-13             % Chg.    MCX SILVER (5 MARCH 13) –
 Gold (gms)          26,457.0           33,982.0        -22.14%
                                                                   Silver opened higher at 57699 but moved lower to touch an intra-
 Silver (kgs)         1,257.7            1,663.7        -24.40%    day low of 57405. However, it managed to bounce back and
 Crude (bbl)         16,417.4           16,863.2         -2.64%    moved higher to touch an intra-day high of 57850. It ended the day
                                                                   with marginal losses to close at 57442.
Source – MCX
                                                                   The RSI and the Stochastic are placed below their respective
                   Turnover (In Lacs)                              averages, which would lead to selling pressure. However, the
                                                                   Stochastic has moved in the over sold zone, which would lead to
                   13-Feb-13       12-Feb-13             % Chg.
                                                                   intermediate bouts of short covering. The –DI line is placed above
Gold                808,789.1     1,039,007.0           -22.16%    the +DI line and is placed above the 25 level but has come off its
                                                                   recent highs, indicating sellers are covering shorts regularly. MCX
Silver              724,495.6       955,507.0           -24.18%
                                                                   Silver faces resistance at 59483, 61484, 62164 and 63224 while
Crude               862,704.6       884,331.5            -2.45%    the supports are placed at 57049, 56372 and 55952 levels.
Source – MCX
                                                                   MCX CRUDE (19 FEBRUARY 13) –
                Global Market (Nymex - $)
                                                                   Crude opened higher at 5255 and moved further lower to touch an
                        14/02/2013        13/02/2013     % Chg.    intra-day low of 5230. However, it managed to bounce back and
                                                                   moved higher to touch an intra-day high of 5273. It ended the day
Gold (oz)                   1,644.70        1,645.10     -0.02%    on a flat note to close the day at 5249.
Silver (oz)                     30.82          30.87     -0.16%
                                                                   The RSI and the Stochastic are placed above their respective
WTI Crude (bbl)                 97.15          97.01      0.14%    averages, which would lead to buying support. However, the
Brent Crude (bbl)            118.72           118.62      0.08%    Stochastic is placed in the over bought zone, which would lead to
                                                                   intermediate bouts of profit taking. The +DI line is placed above the
Dollar Index                    80.08          80.07      0.01%
                                                                   -DI line and is placed above the 26 level, level but has come off its
Source – www.cmegroup.com                                          recent highs, indicating buyers are booking profits regularly. It
                                                                   faces resistance at 5250, 5300, 5401 and 5476, while the supports
                                                                   are placed at 5157, 5122, 5085 and 4961

                                                                   Sanjay Bhatia (AVP – Technical Research)
                                                                   Email sanjay@keynotecapitals.net Yahoo Id: keytechnicals@yahoo.in

                                                                  NOTE – Stop Losses should be considered strictly on Closing
                                                                  Basis
                                                               Keynote Capitals Ltd.
            The Ruby, 9th Floor, Senapati Bapat Marg, Dadar (W), Mumbai – 400 028. Tel: 3026 6000. Fax: 3026 6088.
                                                  www.keynotecapitals.com
Commodity News:
Brent crude steady at $119 on higher global demand
Brent crude steadied on Wednesday, holding just below a nine-month high near $119 per barrel on forecasts for a
faster-than-expected growth in global oil demand this year. However, easing tensions in Iran subdued prices.
Turmeric rises on spot demand, pepper on low stocks
Turmeric futures rose on Wednesday, supported by some improvement in local demand and on expectations of lower
output though supplies from the new season crop and mounting stocks limited the upside. The most-active turmeric
contract for April delivery on the NCDEX was 1.15% higher at Rs 6,322per 100 kg.
Gold declines on lower demand, silver recovers
Gold prices fell to nearly two week low at the bullion market on further selling by stockists and investors amid dull retail
demand. In contrast, silver recovered moderately on renewed speculative off-take as well as mild industrial demand


Source: ET


Economic Calendar:

    Countries /                 Thursday                            Friday                            Monday

      Regions                     14/13                             15/13                              18/13

       India                   WPI Inflation (Jan)       FX Reserves, USD (Feb 3)




                                                        Industrial Production (MoM)
        US
                                                                    (Jan)
                                                         Net Long-Term TIC Flows
                                                                  (Dec)




                       European Monetory Union
                                                                                           Japan BoJ Monetary Policy
      Global            Gross Domestic Product           UK Retail Sales (YoY) (Jan)
                                                                                               Meeting Minutes
                        s.a. (YoY) (Q4)Preliminar
                       Japan BoJ Monetary Policy
                                                        Japan Industrial Production        UK Rightmove House Price
                          Statement and press
                                                                (YoY) (Dec)                    Index (YoY) (Feb)
                               conference
                         Japan BoJ Interest Rate
                            Decision (Feb 14)




                                                   Keynote Capitals Ltd.
           The Ruby, 9th Floor, Senapati Bapat Marg, Dadar (W), Mumbai – 400 028. Tel: 3026 6000. Fax: 3026 6088.
                                                 www.keynotecapitals.com
Disclaimer
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This material is for the personal information of the authorized recipient, and we are not soliciting any action based upon it. This report is not
to be construed as an offer to sell or the solicitation of an offer to buy any security in any jurisdiction where such an offer or solicitation
would be illegal. It is for the general information of clients of Keynote Capitals Ltd. It does not constitute a personal recommendation or
take into account the particular investment objectives, financial situations, or needs of individual clients.
We have reviewed the report, and in so far as it includes current or historical information, it is believed to be reliable though its accuracy or
completeness cannot be guaranteed. Neither Keynote Capitals Ltd., nor any person connected with it, accepts any liability arising from the
use of this document. The recipients of this material should rely on their own investigations and take their own professional advice. Price
and value of the investments referred to in this material may go up or down. Past performance is not a guide for future performance.
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                                                           Keynote Capitals Ltd.
           The Ruby, 9th Floor, Senapati Bapat Marg, Dadar (W), Mumbai – 400 028. Tel: 3026 6000. Fax: 3026 6088.
                                                 www.keynotecapitals.com

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Keynote commodity daily report for 140213

  • 1. Daily Commodity Report 14th February 2013 Gold Silver Crude MCX GOLD (5 APRIL 13) – 13-Feb-13 Expiry 05-Apr-13 05-Mar-13 19-Feb-13 Gold opened higher at 30602 and moved further higher to touch an Open 30,602 57,699 5,255 intra-day high of 30637. However, it failed to sustain higher and moved lower to touch an intra-day low of 30510. It ended the day High 30,637 57,850 5,273 with marginal losses to close at 30554. Low 30,510 57,405 5,230 The RSI and the Stochastic are placed below their respective Close 30,554 57,442 5,249 averages, which would lead to selling pressure. However, the Prev. Close 30,573 57,555 5,248 Stochastic has moved in the over sold zone, which would lead to intermediate bouts of short covering. The –DI line is placed above % Change -0.06% -0.20% 0.02% the +DI line and is placed above the 25 level but has come off its Source – MCX recent highs, indicating sellers are covering shorts regularly. MCX Gold faces resistance at 30916 and 31535 while the support levels Volume (In 000's) are placed at 30475, 30150, 30000, 29500 and 29142. 13-Feb-13 12-Feb-13 % Chg. MCX SILVER (5 MARCH 13) – Gold (gms) 26,457.0 33,982.0 -22.14% Silver opened higher at 57699 but moved lower to touch an intra- Silver (kgs) 1,257.7 1,663.7 -24.40% day low of 57405. However, it managed to bounce back and Crude (bbl) 16,417.4 16,863.2 -2.64% moved higher to touch an intra-day high of 57850. It ended the day with marginal losses to close at 57442. Source – MCX The RSI and the Stochastic are placed below their respective Turnover (In Lacs) averages, which would lead to selling pressure. However, the Stochastic has moved in the over sold zone, which would lead to 13-Feb-13 12-Feb-13 % Chg. intermediate bouts of short covering. The –DI line is placed above Gold 808,789.1 1,039,007.0 -22.16% the +DI line and is placed above the 25 level but has come off its recent highs, indicating sellers are covering shorts regularly. MCX Silver 724,495.6 955,507.0 -24.18% Silver faces resistance at 59483, 61484, 62164 and 63224 while Crude 862,704.6 884,331.5 -2.45% the supports are placed at 57049, 56372 and 55952 levels. Source – MCX MCX CRUDE (19 FEBRUARY 13) – Global Market (Nymex - $) Crude opened higher at 5255 and moved further lower to touch an 14/02/2013 13/02/2013 % Chg. intra-day low of 5230. However, it managed to bounce back and moved higher to touch an intra-day high of 5273. It ended the day Gold (oz) 1,644.70 1,645.10 -0.02% on a flat note to close the day at 5249. Silver (oz) 30.82 30.87 -0.16% The RSI and the Stochastic are placed above their respective WTI Crude (bbl) 97.15 97.01 0.14% averages, which would lead to buying support. However, the Brent Crude (bbl) 118.72 118.62 0.08% Stochastic is placed in the over bought zone, which would lead to intermediate bouts of profit taking. The +DI line is placed above the Dollar Index 80.08 80.07 0.01% -DI line and is placed above the 26 level, level but has come off its Source – www.cmegroup.com recent highs, indicating buyers are booking profits regularly. It faces resistance at 5250, 5300, 5401 and 5476, while the supports are placed at 5157, 5122, 5085 and 4961 Sanjay Bhatia (AVP – Technical Research) Email sanjay@keynotecapitals.net Yahoo Id: keytechnicals@yahoo.in NOTE – Stop Losses should be considered strictly on Closing Basis Keynote Capitals Ltd. The Ruby, 9th Floor, Senapati Bapat Marg, Dadar (W), Mumbai – 400 028. Tel: 3026 6000. Fax: 3026 6088. www.keynotecapitals.com
  • 2. Commodity News: Brent crude steady at $119 on higher global demand Brent crude steadied on Wednesday, holding just below a nine-month high near $119 per barrel on forecasts for a faster-than-expected growth in global oil demand this year. However, easing tensions in Iran subdued prices. Turmeric rises on spot demand, pepper on low stocks Turmeric futures rose on Wednesday, supported by some improvement in local demand and on expectations of lower output though supplies from the new season crop and mounting stocks limited the upside. The most-active turmeric contract for April delivery on the NCDEX was 1.15% higher at Rs 6,322per 100 kg. Gold declines on lower demand, silver recovers Gold prices fell to nearly two week low at the bullion market on further selling by stockists and investors amid dull retail demand. In contrast, silver recovered moderately on renewed speculative off-take as well as mild industrial demand Source: ET Economic Calendar: Countries / Thursday Friday Monday Regions 14/13 15/13 18/13 India WPI Inflation (Jan) FX Reserves, USD (Feb 3) Industrial Production (MoM) US (Jan) Net Long-Term TIC Flows (Dec) European Monetory Union Japan BoJ Monetary Policy Global Gross Domestic Product UK Retail Sales (YoY) (Jan) Meeting Minutes s.a. (YoY) (Q4)Preliminar Japan BoJ Monetary Policy Japan Industrial Production UK Rightmove House Price Statement and press (YoY) (Dec) Index (YoY) (Feb) conference Japan BoJ Interest Rate Decision (Feb 14) Keynote Capitals Ltd. The Ruby, 9th Floor, Senapati Bapat Marg, Dadar (W), Mumbai – 400 028. Tel: 3026 6000. Fax: 3026 6088. www.keynotecapitals.com
  • 3. Disclaimer This document is not for public distribution and has been furnished to you solely for your information and must not be reproduced or redistributed to any other person. Persons into whose possession this document may come are required to observe these restrictions. This material is for the personal information of the authorized recipient, and we are not soliciting any action based upon it. This report is not to be construed as an offer to sell or the solicitation of an offer to buy any security in any jurisdiction where such an offer or solicitation would be illegal. It is for the general information of clients of Keynote Capitals Ltd. It does not constitute a personal recommendation or take into account the particular investment objectives, financial situations, or needs of individual clients. We have reviewed the report, and in so far as it includes current or historical information, it is believed to be reliable though its accuracy or completeness cannot be guaranteed. Neither Keynote Capitals Ltd., nor any person connected with it, accepts any liability arising from the use of this document. The recipients of this material should rely on their own investigations and take their own professional advice. Price and value of the investments referred to in this material may go up or down. Past performance is not a guide for future performance. Certain transactions -including those involving futures, options and other derivatives as well as non-investment grade securities - involve substantial risk and are not suitable for all investors. Reports based on technical analysis centers on studying charts of a stock’s price movement and trading volume, as opposed to focusing on a company’s fundamentals and as such, may not match with a report on a company’s fundamentals. Opinions expressed are our current opinions as of the date appearing on this material only. While we endeavor to update on a reasonable basis the information discussed in this material, there may be regulatory, compliance, or other reasons that prevent us from doing so. Prospective investors and others are cautioned that any forward-looking statements are not predictions and may be subject to change without notice. Our proprietary trading and investment businesses may make investment decisions that are inconsistent with the recommendations expressed herein. We and our affiliates, officers, directors, and employees world wide may: (a) from time to time, have long or short positions in, and buy or sell the securities thereof, of company (ies) mentioned herein or (b) be engaged in any other transaction involving such securities and earn brokerage or other compensation or act as a market maker in the financial instruments of the company (ies) discussed herein or act as advisor or lender / borrower to such company (ies) or have other potential conflict of interest with respect to any recommendation and related information and opinions. The analyst for this report certifies that all of the views expressed in this report accurately reflect his or her personal views about the subject company or companies and its or their securities, and no part of his or her compensation was, is or will be, directly or indirectly related to specific recommendations or views expressed in this report. No part of this material may be duplicated in any form and/or redistributed without Keynote Capitals Ltd’s., prior written consent. Keynote Capitals Ltd. The Ruby, 9th Floor, Senapati Bapat Marg, Dadar (W), Mumbai – 400 028. Tel: 3026 6000. Fax: 3026 6088. www.keynotecapitals.com