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Daily Technical Outlook
                                                                                                             1st October 2012
         Indices *              Close         % Chg.                       Nifty touches 52 week high
 BSE SENSEX                    18762.74         0.99
 S&P CNX NIFTY                 5703.30          0.95          Mirroring the positive global market cues the domestic
 NIFTY OCT. FUT.               5729.55          0.80          markets witnessed a firm opening. Sustained buying support
 India VIX                      16.16           -4.43         was witnessed as markets moved higher leading to
                                                              intermediate bouts of short covering. However, the markets
        S&P CNX NIFTY Technical Levels                        failed to cross the 5741 level as profit taking and selling
                 Level 1       Level 2         Level 3        pressure was witnessed. The markets ended the day with
Support           5703          5630            5607          modest gains to close near the lows for the day. The top
Resistance        5741          5884            5912          gainers for the day were Hindalco, Powergrid, Tata Motors,
                                                              Bank of Baroda, Sun Pharma, NTPC, Cipla, Tata Power, JP
 Simple Moving Averages S&P CNX NIFTY                         Associates and ITC.
50 Day SMA                     5360.09
100 Day SMA                    5217.32                        Technically, the market breadth remained positive,
200 Day SMA                    5186.08        ◄Critical       amidst lower volumes. The global market cues are
                                                              negative with fresh uncertainty on Spain’s bailout
   Market Breadth *             BSE             NSE           arising. The domestic markets are likely to witness a flat
Advances                            1644                925   opening. The prevailing positive technical conditions
Declines                            1248                595   helped the markets move higher to touch fresh 52 week
Same                                 151                 74   high. The RSI has once again moved above its average.
Total                               3043             1594     Moreover, the MACD and KST all are still placed above
A/D Ratio                        1.31 : 1          1.55 : 1
                                                              their respective averages and are also placed in the
                                                              positive territory. The Nifty remains placed above its 50-
             Volume (Lacs Shares)         *                   day SMA, 100-day SMA and 200-day SMA. More so the
               28/09/12        27/09/12        % Chg.         Nifty’s 50-day SMA remains placed above Nifty’s 100-day
BSE                    2585         3033            -14.77
                                                              SMA and 200-day SMA, the later being called the ‘Golden
                                                              Cross breakout’. The ADX line and the +DI line are
NSE                    8128       11766             -30.92
                                                              moving higher and both are placed above the 36 level,
Total                 10713       14799             -27.61
                                                              indicating buyers have an upper hand. These positive
             Turnover ( ` Crores)         *                   conditions would lead to buying support at regular
               28/09/12        27/09/12        % Chg.
                                                              intervals. However, the prevailing technical negatives
                                                              continue to hold good and would trigger profit taking and
BSE                  2685.87     2772.93             -3.14
                                                              selling pressure at higher levels. The Stochastic is
NSE              14148.97       18960.07            -25.37
                                                              placed below its average. Moreover, the RSI is still
NSE F&O          89827.35 273402.52                 -67.14    placed around the over bought zone. These technical
Total           106662.19 295135.52                 -63.86    negatives would lead to intermediate bouts of profit
                                                              taking and selling pressure. The market sentiment
         F&O Contracts Traded (NSE)            *
                                                              remains positive. In the meanwhile the markets would
               28/09/12        27/09/12        % Chg.
                                                              take cues from global markets, Rupee and the crude
Index Fut.           353497      780070             -54.68    prices. The support levels for Nifty are placed at 5703, 5630,
Stock Fut.           543841     1223305             -55.54    5607, 5526, and 5448. The Nifty faces resistance at 5741,
Index Opt.        2002075       7222514             -72.28    5884 and 5912 levels.
Stock Opt.           196499      368929             -46.74
Total             3095912       9594818             -56.21

NOTE - * - Source – BSE & NSE

Sanjay Bhatia (AVP – Technical Research), Email sanjay@keynotecapitals.net                   Yahoo Id: keytechnicals@yahoo.in



                                                                    Keynote Capitals Ltd.
              The Ruby, 9th Floor, Senapati Bapat Marg, Dadar (W), Mumbai, India – 400028. Tel: 3026 6000 / 2269 4322
                                                                   www.keynotecapitals.com
Jaldi 5 (Short Term Technical Ideas for 5 Trading Days)
                                                                                Stop
                                                  Initiation          Stop      Loss                    Target
         Stock            Close       Action      Price              Loss *      (%)      Target         (%)              Remarks
 ABB                      800.65    Buy Above           805.00        785.00     2.48          850          5.59
                                                                                                                     TGT of 1475
                                                                                                                     Achieved
                                                                                                                     given Buy @
                                                                                                                     1430 on
 ACC                     1470.05    Buy Above          1472.00       1448.00     1.63         1525          3.60     27/09/12
 Bank of Baroda           797.80    Buy Above           802.50        785.50     2.12          840          4.67
 Exide                    153.30    Buy Above           154.00        151.25     1.79          160          3.90
  Financial tech.        975.40 Buy Above           977.00    955.00             2.25         1025          4.91
* Stop Losses are to be considered strictly on closing basis.

                                                              Intra-day Resistance                     Intra-day Support
       Indices            Close        Pivot Point           R1       R2         R3              S1           S2         S3
BSE SENSEX                  18763              18777         18856      18948      19120           18684         18606        18434
S&P CNX NIFTY                5703               5707          5731       5759          5811          5679          5656        5604
NIFTY OCT. FUT.              5730               5736          5760       5791          5846          5705          5680        5625




                                           Stocks To Watch Out Today
ABB, ACC, Bajaj Auto, BoB, BoI, Bata, Bhushan Steel. Exide, FT, Grasim, HUL, Hotel Leela, IDBI, Indian Hotels, ITC, Jubilant
Foods, Kotak Bk; Karnataka Bk; M&M, Maruti, Max India, Oil India, SCI; Sobha, SREI Infra, Sun Pharma, Sun TV, Tata
Coffee, Tata Global, Tata Motor DVR, Tech Mahindra, Titan, Ultratech Cemco, Uniphos, ZEEL
Infosys, Ranbaxy, Rel. infra, SAIl, TTK Prestige, Videocon


                                                         Keynote Capitals Ltd.
            The Ruby, 9th Floor, Senapati Bapat Marg, Dadar (W), Mumbai, India – 400028. Tel: 3026 6000 / 2269 4322
                                                        www.keynotecapitals.com
NOTE:

TECHNICAL ANALYSIS ABBREVATIONS
SMA – Simple Moving Average
EMA – Exponential Moving Average
WMA – Weighted Moving Average




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                                                       Keynote Capitals Ltd.
          The Ruby, 9th Floor, Senapati Bapat Marg, Dadar (W), Mumbai, India – 400028. Tel: 3026 6000 / 2269 4322
                                                      www.keynotecapitals.com

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Keynote technicals daily report for 011012

  • 1. Daily Technical Outlook 1st October 2012 Indices * Close % Chg. Nifty touches 52 week high BSE SENSEX 18762.74 0.99 S&P CNX NIFTY 5703.30 0.95 Mirroring the positive global market cues the domestic NIFTY OCT. FUT. 5729.55 0.80 markets witnessed a firm opening. Sustained buying support India VIX 16.16 -4.43 was witnessed as markets moved higher leading to intermediate bouts of short covering. However, the markets S&P CNX NIFTY Technical Levels failed to cross the 5741 level as profit taking and selling Level 1 Level 2 Level 3 pressure was witnessed. The markets ended the day with Support 5703 5630 5607 modest gains to close near the lows for the day. The top Resistance 5741 5884 5912 gainers for the day were Hindalco, Powergrid, Tata Motors, Bank of Baroda, Sun Pharma, NTPC, Cipla, Tata Power, JP Simple Moving Averages S&P CNX NIFTY Associates and ITC. 50 Day SMA 5360.09 100 Day SMA 5217.32 Technically, the market breadth remained positive, 200 Day SMA 5186.08 ◄Critical amidst lower volumes. The global market cues are negative with fresh uncertainty on Spain’s bailout Market Breadth * BSE NSE arising. The domestic markets are likely to witness a flat Advances 1644 925 opening. The prevailing positive technical conditions Declines 1248 595 helped the markets move higher to touch fresh 52 week Same 151 74 high. The RSI has once again moved above its average. Total 3043 1594 Moreover, the MACD and KST all are still placed above A/D Ratio 1.31 : 1 1.55 : 1 their respective averages and are also placed in the positive territory. The Nifty remains placed above its 50- Volume (Lacs Shares) * day SMA, 100-day SMA and 200-day SMA. More so the 28/09/12 27/09/12 % Chg. Nifty’s 50-day SMA remains placed above Nifty’s 100-day BSE 2585 3033 -14.77 SMA and 200-day SMA, the later being called the ‘Golden Cross breakout’. The ADX line and the +DI line are NSE 8128 11766 -30.92 moving higher and both are placed above the 36 level, Total 10713 14799 -27.61 indicating buyers have an upper hand. These positive Turnover ( ` Crores) * conditions would lead to buying support at regular 28/09/12 27/09/12 % Chg. intervals. However, the prevailing technical negatives continue to hold good and would trigger profit taking and BSE 2685.87 2772.93 -3.14 selling pressure at higher levels. The Stochastic is NSE 14148.97 18960.07 -25.37 placed below its average. Moreover, the RSI is still NSE F&O 89827.35 273402.52 -67.14 placed around the over bought zone. These technical Total 106662.19 295135.52 -63.86 negatives would lead to intermediate bouts of profit taking and selling pressure. The market sentiment F&O Contracts Traded (NSE) * remains positive. In the meanwhile the markets would 28/09/12 27/09/12 % Chg. take cues from global markets, Rupee and the crude Index Fut. 353497 780070 -54.68 prices. The support levels for Nifty are placed at 5703, 5630, Stock Fut. 543841 1223305 -55.54 5607, 5526, and 5448. The Nifty faces resistance at 5741, Index Opt. 2002075 7222514 -72.28 5884 and 5912 levels. Stock Opt. 196499 368929 -46.74 Total 3095912 9594818 -56.21 NOTE - * - Source – BSE & NSE Sanjay Bhatia (AVP – Technical Research), Email sanjay@keynotecapitals.net Yahoo Id: keytechnicals@yahoo.in Keynote Capitals Ltd. The Ruby, 9th Floor, Senapati Bapat Marg, Dadar (W), Mumbai, India – 400028. Tel: 3026 6000 / 2269 4322 www.keynotecapitals.com
  • 2. Jaldi 5 (Short Term Technical Ideas for 5 Trading Days) Stop Initiation Stop Loss Target Stock Close Action Price Loss * (%) Target (%) Remarks ABB 800.65 Buy Above 805.00 785.00 2.48 850 5.59 TGT of 1475 Achieved given Buy @ 1430 on ACC 1470.05 Buy Above 1472.00 1448.00 1.63 1525 3.60 27/09/12 Bank of Baroda 797.80 Buy Above 802.50 785.50 2.12 840 4.67 Exide 153.30 Buy Above 154.00 151.25 1.79 160 3.90 Financial tech. 975.40 Buy Above 977.00 955.00 2.25 1025 4.91 * Stop Losses are to be considered strictly on closing basis. Intra-day Resistance Intra-day Support Indices Close Pivot Point R1 R2 R3 S1 S2 S3 BSE SENSEX 18763 18777 18856 18948 19120 18684 18606 18434 S&P CNX NIFTY 5703 5707 5731 5759 5811 5679 5656 5604 NIFTY OCT. FUT. 5730 5736 5760 5791 5846 5705 5680 5625 Stocks To Watch Out Today ABB, ACC, Bajaj Auto, BoB, BoI, Bata, Bhushan Steel. Exide, FT, Grasim, HUL, Hotel Leela, IDBI, Indian Hotels, ITC, Jubilant Foods, Kotak Bk; Karnataka Bk; M&M, Maruti, Max India, Oil India, SCI; Sobha, SREI Infra, Sun Pharma, Sun TV, Tata Coffee, Tata Global, Tata Motor DVR, Tech Mahindra, Titan, Ultratech Cemco, Uniphos, ZEEL Infosys, Ranbaxy, Rel. infra, SAIl, TTK Prestige, Videocon Keynote Capitals Ltd. The Ruby, 9th Floor, Senapati Bapat Marg, Dadar (W), Mumbai, India – 400028. Tel: 3026 6000 / 2269 4322 www.keynotecapitals.com
  • 3. NOTE: TECHNICAL ANALYSIS ABBREVATIONS SMA – Simple Moving Average EMA – Exponential Moving Average WMA – Weighted Moving Average Disclaimer This document is not for public distribution and has been furnished to you solely for your information and must not be reproduced or redistributed to any other person. Persons into whose possession this document may come are required to observe these restrictions. This material is for the personal information of the authorized recipient, and we are not soliciting any action based upon it. This report is not to be construed as an offer to sell or the solicitation of an offer to buy any security in any jurisdiction where such an offer or solicitation would be illegal. It is for the general information of clients of Keynote Capitals Ltd. It does not constitute a personal recommendation or take into account the particular investment objectives, financial situations, or needs of individual clients. We have reviewed the report, and in so far as it includes current or historical information, it is believed to be reliable though its accuracy or completeness cannot be guaranteed. Neither Keynote Capitals Ltd., nor any person connected with it, accepts any liability arising from the use of this document. The recipients of this material should rely on their own investigations and take their own professional advice. Price and value of the investments referred to in this material may go up or down. Past performance is not a guide for future performance. Certain transactions -including those involving futures, options and other derivatives as well as non-investment grade securities - involve substantial risk and are not suitable for all investors. Reports based on technical analysis centers on studying charts of a stock’s price movement and trading volume, as opposed to focusing on a company’s fundamentals and as such, may not match with a report on a company’s fundamentals. Opinions expressed are our current opinions as of the date appearing on this material only. While we endeavor to update on a reasonable basis the information discussed in this material, there may be regulatory, compliance, or other reasons that prevent us from doing so. Prospective investors and others are cautioned that any forward-looking statements are not predictions and may be subject to change without notice. Our proprietary trading and investment businesses may make investment decisions that are inconsistent with the recommendations expressed herein. We and our affiliates, officers, directors, and employees world wide may: (a) from time to time, have long or short positions in, and buy or sell the securities thereof, of company (ies) mentioned herein or (b) be engaged in any other transaction involving such securities and earn brokerage or other compensation or act as a market maker in the financial instruments of the company (ies) discussed herein or act as advisor or lender / borrower to such company (ies) or have other potential conflict of interest with respect to any recommendation and related information and opinions. The analyst for this report certifies that all of the views expressed in this report accurately reflect his or her personal views about the subject company or companies and its or their securities, and no part of his or her compensation was, is or will be, directly or indirectly related to specific recommendations or views expressed in this report. No part of this material may be duplicated in any form and/or redistributed without Keynote Capitals Ltd’s., prior written consent. Keynote Capitals Ltd. The Ruby, 9th Floor, Senapati Bapat Marg, Dadar (W), Mumbai, India – 400028. Tel: 3026 6000 / 2269 4322 www.keynotecapitals.com