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Daily Technical Outlook

                                                                                                                     4th July 2012
         Indices *          Close          % Chg.
 BSE SENSEX                17425.71          0.15
                                                               Markets over bought but positive
 S&P CNX NIFTY              5287.95          0.18
                                                       Mirroring the positive global market cues the domestic
 NIFTY JULY FUT.            5305.75          0.19
                                                       markets witnessed a firm opening. However, the Nifty
 India VIX                   18.56           -2.36     continued to struggle above the 5300 level as follow up
        S&P CNX NIFTY Technical Levels                 buying support remained absent. Profit taking and selling
                                                       pressure was witnessed which dragged the markets lower.
                 Level 1    Level 2         Level 3
                                                       However, the markets managed a bounce back in the
Support           5250       5114            5080
                                                       afternoon trade and moved above the 5300 level. The
Resistance        5333       5379            5500      markets ended the day with marginal gains to close near the
        Moving Averages S&P CNX NIFTY                  gains for the day. The top gainers for the day were DLF,
50 Day SMA                  5048.83
                                                       Bharti Airtel, Hindalco, PNB, Gail, Sesa Goa, HDFC, BPCL,
                                                       ONGC and Coal India.
100 Day SMA                 5189.17
200 Day SMA                 5080.07        ◄Critical   Technically, the market breadth remained positive amidst
                                                       higher volumes, which is a positive sign for the markets.
   Market Breadth *          BSE             NSE
                                                       The global market cues are positive. The domestic
Advances                     1728             913
                                                       markets are likely to witness a firm opening. The
Declines                     1139             582      prevailing technical positives continue to hold good but
Same                           98               62     follow up buying support remains elusive. The
Total                        2965            1557      Stochastic, MACD, RSI and KST all are placed above
A/D Ratio                   1.52 : 1        1.57 : 1   their respective averages. The MACD and KST are also
                                                       placed in the positive territory, which augurs well for the
             Volume (Lacs Shares)      *               markets. The Nifty remains placed above the 50-day
               03/07/12     02/07/12        % Chg.     SMA, 100-day SMA and 200-day SMA. The +DI continues
BSE              2845        2845            0.00      to move higher along with the ADX line and –DI line is
NSE              7509        7003            7.23      moving sideways indicating buyers are gaining strength.
Total           10354        9848            5.14      These positive conditions would lead to further buying
                                                       support. However, a few technical negatives hold good
             Turnover ( ` Crores)      *               and would weigh on the market sentiment. The
               03/07/12     02/07/12        % Chg.     Stochastic has moved in the over bought zone on the
BSE             3948.92     3948.92          0.00      daily charts, while the Nifty’s 50-day SMA remains placed
NSE            10363.91     9738.67          6.42
                                                       below its 100-day SMA and 200-day SMA. These negative
                                                       conditions would result in regular bouts of profit taking.
NSE F&O        84622.66    78102.60          8.35
                                                       The market sentiment remains positive but tentative. It is
Total          98935.49    91790.19          7.78
                                                       now important that the markets witness follow up buying
         F&O Contracts Traded (NSE)         *          support at higher levels, which so far remains elusive.
               03/07/12     02/07/12        % Chg.
                                                       Intermediate bouts of volatility would be witnessed as
                                                       Nifty struggles to sustain above the 5300 level. In the
Index Fut.      353444      305611           15.65
                                                       meanwhile the markets would take cues from the
Stock Fut.      458963      446619           2.76
                                                       forthcoming earnings season, Rupee, global markets and
Index Opt.     2218173      2054058          7.99      the crude prices. The support levels for Nifty are placed at
Stock Opt.      133233      137076           -2.80     5250, 5114, 5080, 4950 and 4841. The Nifty faces resistance
Total          3163813      2943364          5.45      at the 5333, 5379 and 5500 levels.
NOTE - *- Source – BSE & NSE

Sanjay Bhatia (AVP – Technical Research), Email sanjay@keynotecapitals.net                  Yahoo Id: keytechnicals@yahoo.in



                                                             Keynote Capitals Ltd.
                                th
                     The Ruby, 9 Floor, Senapati Bapat Marg, Dadar (W), Mumbai, India – 400028. Tel: 3026 6000 / 2269 4322
                                                            www.keynotecapitals.com
Jaldi 5
                                   (Short Term Technical Ideas for 5 Trading Days)


                                                                               Stop
                                                  Initiation        Stop       Loss                      Target
       Stock          Close          Action         Price          Loss *       (%)          Target       (%)            Remarks
Bajaj Hind              32.50       Buy Above            33.00       30.75         6.82          38          15.15
BPCL                   759.95       Buy Above           763.00      747.50         2.03         797           4.46
DLF                    213.20    Buy Above         215.00     208.00               3.26         230           6.98
* Stop Losses are to be considered strictly on closing basis.


                                                            Intra-day Resistance                        Intra-day Support
       Indices          Close         Pivot Point          R1       R2         R3                S1            S2         S3
BSE SENSEX                 17426                17435      17518      17610          17785        17343         17259       17084
S&P CNX NIFTY               5288                 5290       5315        5341          5392            5264        5239       5188
NIFTY JULY FUT.             5306                 5304       5336        5366          5428            5274        5241       5179




                                                           Keynote Capitals Ltd.
                              th
                  The Ruby, 9 Floor, Senapati Bapat Marg, Dadar (W), Mumbai, India – 400028. Tel: 3026 6000 / 2269 4322
                                                         www.keynotecapitals.com
Stocks to watch out today

Aban, Asian Paints, Aurobindo Pharma, Axis Bank, Bajaj Hind, Balrampur Chini, Bharti Airtel, Coal India, DLF, Dr. Reddys,
HDFC, Hindalco, HPCL, Idea, IOC, IRB, Jet Airways, JSW Steel, Kotak Bank, McDowell, MRPL, Rel. Capital, Renuka Sugar,
SCI, Sesa Goa, Sintex, Sun TV, Tata Comm; Tata Global, Titan, TTK Prestige, Yes Bank
Ashok Leyland, Hero Motocorp, HUL, ITC, Max India, TCS




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      This material is for the personal information of the authorized recipient, and we are not soliciting any action based
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      Capitals Ltd. It does not constitute a personal recommendation or take into account the particular investment
      objectives, financial situations, or needs of individual clients.
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                                                           Keynote Capitals Ltd.
                              th
                   The Ruby, 9 Floor, Senapati Bapat Marg, Dadar (W), Mumbai, India – 400028. Tel: 3026 6000 / 2269 4322
                                                         www.keynotecapitals.com

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Keynote technicals daily report for 040712

  • 1. Daily Technical Outlook 4th July 2012 Indices * Close % Chg. BSE SENSEX 17425.71 0.15 Markets over bought but positive S&P CNX NIFTY 5287.95 0.18 Mirroring the positive global market cues the domestic NIFTY JULY FUT. 5305.75 0.19 markets witnessed a firm opening. However, the Nifty India VIX 18.56 -2.36 continued to struggle above the 5300 level as follow up S&P CNX NIFTY Technical Levels buying support remained absent. Profit taking and selling pressure was witnessed which dragged the markets lower. Level 1 Level 2 Level 3 However, the markets managed a bounce back in the Support 5250 5114 5080 afternoon trade and moved above the 5300 level. The Resistance 5333 5379 5500 markets ended the day with marginal gains to close near the Moving Averages S&P CNX NIFTY gains for the day. The top gainers for the day were DLF, 50 Day SMA 5048.83 Bharti Airtel, Hindalco, PNB, Gail, Sesa Goa, HDFC, BPCL, ONGC and Coal India. 100 Day SMA 5189.17 200 Day SMA 5080.07 ◄Critical Technically, the market breadth remained positive amidst higher volumes, which is a positive sign for the markets. Market Breadth * BSE NSE The global market cues are positive. The domestic Advances 1728 913 markets are likely to witness a firm opening. The Declines 1139 582 prevailing technical positives continue to hold good but Same 98 62 follow up buying support remains elusive. The Total 2965 1557 Stochastic, MACD, RSI and KST all are placed above A/D Ratio 1.52 : 1 1.57 : 1 their respective averages. The MACD and KST are also placed in the positive territory, which augurs well for the Volume (Lacs Shares) * markets. The Nifty remains placed above the 50-day 03/07/12 02/07/12 % Chg. SMA, 100-day SMA and 200-day SMA. The +DI continues BSE 2845 2845 0.00 to move higher along with the ADX line and –DI line is NSE 7509 7003 7.23 moving sideways indicating buyers are gaining strength. Total 10354 9848 5.14 These positive conditions would lead to further buying support. However, a few technical negatives hold good Turnover ( ` Crores) * and would weigh on the market sentiment. The 03/07/12 02/07/12 % Chg. Stochastic has moved in the over bought zone on the BSE 3948.92 3948.92 0.00 daily charts, while the Nifty’s 50-day SMA remains placed NSE 10363.91 9738.67 6.42 below its 100-day SMA and 200-day SMA. These negative conditions would result in regular bouts of profit taking. NSE F&O 84622.66 78102.60 8.35 The market sentiment remains positive but tentative. It is Total 98935.49 91790.19 7.78 now important that the markets witness follow up buying F&O Contracts Traded (NSE) * support at higher levels, which so far remains elusive. 03/07/12 02/07/12 % Chg. Intermediate bouts of volatility would be witnessed as Nifty struggles to sustain above the 5300 level. In the Index Fut. 353444 305611 15.65 meanwhile the markets would take cues from the Stock Fut. 458963 446619 2.76 forthcoming earnings season, Rupee, global markets and Index Opt. 2218173 2054058 7.99 the crude prices. The support levels for Nifty are placed at Stock Opt. 133233 137076 -2.80 5250, 5114, 5080, 4950 and 4841. The Nifty faces resistance Total 3163813 2943364 5.45 at the 5333, 5379 and 5500 levels. NOTE - *- Source – BSE & NSE Sanjay Bhatia (AVP – Technical Research), Email sanjay@keynotecapitals.net Yahoo Id: keytechnicals@yahoo.in Keynote Capitals Ltd. th The Ruby, 9 Floor, Senapati Bapat Marg, Dadar (W), Mumbai, India – 400028. Tel: 3026 6000 / 2269 4322 www.keynotecapitals.com
  • 2. Jaldi 5 (Short Term Technical Ideas for 5 Trading Days) Stop Initiation Stop Loss Target Stock Close Action Price Loss * (%) Target (%) Remarks Bajaj Hind 32.50 Buy Above 33.00 30.75 6.82 38 15.15 BPCL 759.95 Buy Above 763.00 747.50 2.03 797 4.46 DLF 213.20 Buy Above 215.00 208.00 3.26 230 6.98 * Stop Losses are to be considered strictly on closing basis. Intra-day Resistance Intra-day Support Indices Close Pivot Point R1 R2 R3 S1 S2 S3 BSE SENSEX 17426 17435 17518 17610 17785 17343 17259 17084 S&P CNX NIFTY 5288 5290 5315 5341 5392 5264 5239 5188 NIFTY JULY FUT. 5306 5304 5336 5366 5428 5274 5241 5179 Keynote Capitals Ltd. th The Ruby, 9 Floor, Senapati Bapat Marg, Dadar (W), Mumbai, India – 400028. Tel: 3026 6000 / 2269 4322 www.keynotecapitals.com
  • 3. Stocks to watch out today Aban, Asian Paints, Aurobindo Pharma, Axis Bank, Bajaj Hind, Balrampur Chini, Bharti Airtel, Coal India, DLF, Dr. Reddys, HDFC, Hindalco, HPCL, Idea, IOC, IRB, Jet Airways, JSW Steel, Kotak Bank, McDowell, MRPL, Rel. Capital, Renuka Sugar, SCI, Sesa Goa, Sintex, Sun TV, Tata Comm; Tata Global, Titan, TTK Prestige, Yes Bank Ashok Leyland, Hero Motocorp, HUL, ITC, Max India, TCS Disclaimer This document is not for public distribution and has been furnished to you solely for your information and must not be reproduced or redistributed to any other person. Persons into whose possession this document may come are required to observe these restrictions. This material is for the personal information of the authorized recipient, and we are not soliciting any action based upon it. This report is not to be construed as an offer to sell or the solicitation of an offer to buy any security in any jurisdiction where such an offer or solicitation would be illegal. It is for the general information of clients of Keynote Capitals Ltd. It does not constitute a personal recommendation or take into account the particular investment objectives, financial situations, or needs of individual clients. We have reviewed the report, and in so far as it includes current or historical information, it is believed to be reliable though its accuracy or completeness cannot be guaranteed. Neither Keynote Capitals Ltd., nor any person connected with it, accepts any liability arising from the use of this document. The recipients of this material should rely on their own investigations and take their own professional advice. Price and value of the investments referred to in this material may go up or down. Past performance is not a guide for future performance. Certain transactions -including those involving futures, options and other derivatives as well as non-investment grade securities - involve substantial risk and are not suitable for all investors. Reports based on technical analysis centers on studying charts of a stock’s price movement and trading volume, as opposed to focusing on a company’s fundamentals and as such, may not match with a report on a company’s fundamentals. Opinions expressed are our current opinions as of the date appearing on this material only. While we endeavor to update on a reasonable basis the information discussed in this material, there may be regulatory, compliance, or other reasons that prevent us from doing so. Prospective investors and others are cautioned that any forward-looking statements are not predictions and may be subject to change without notice. Our proprietary trading and investment businesses may make investment decisions that are inconsistent with the recommendations expressed herein. We and our affiliates, officers, directors, and employees world wide may: (a) from time to time, have long or short positions in, and buy or sell the securities thereof, of company (ies) mentioned herein or (b) be engaged in any other transaction involving such securities and earn brokerage or other compensation or act as a market maker in the financial instruments of the company (ies) discussed herein or act as advisor or lender / borrower to such company (ies) or have other potential conflict of interest with respect to any recommendation and related information and opinions. The analyst for this report certifies that all of the views expressed in this report accurately reflect his or her personal views about the subject company or companies and its or their securities, and no part of his or her compensation was, is or will be, directly or indirectly related to specific recommendations or views expressed in this report. No part of this material may be duplicated in any form and/or redistributed without Keynote Capitals Ltd’s., prior written consent. Keynote Capitals Ltd. th The Ruby, 9 Floor, Senapati Bapat Marg, Dadar (W), Mumbai, India – 400028. Tel: 3026 6000 / 2269 4322 www.keynotecapitals.com