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Daily Technical Outlook
                                                                                                  5th September 2012
         Indices *          Close         % Chg.                    Markets to struggle higher
 BSE SENSEX                17440.87         0.32
 S&P CNX NIFTY             5274.00          0.39      Mirroring the negative global market cues the domestic
 NIFTY SEPT. FUT.          5299.40          0.31      markets witnessed a subdue opening. Selling pressure was
 India VIX                  16.59           -3.99     witnessed in the morning trade as Nifty traded below the
                                                      5250 resistance level. However, the markets managed to
        S&P CNX NIFTY Technical Levels                bounce back from low levels to move higher and traded
                 Level 1   Level 2         Level 3    above the 5250 resistance level. The markets managed to
Support           5250      5215            5118      hold on to the gains and showed no signs of weakness. The
Resistance        5333      5386            5464      markets ended the day with modest gains to close near the
                                                      highs for the day. The top gainers for the day were GAIL,
 Simple Moving Averages S&P CNX NIFTY                 Jindal Steel, JP Associates, Reliance, Tata Motors,
50 Day SMA                 5262.83                    Powergrid, BPCL, Rel. Infra, SBI and Tata Steel.
100 Day SMA                5160.59
200 Day SMA                5125.69        ◄Critical   Technically, the market breadth remained positive amidst
                                                      higher volumes, which is a positive sign for the markets.
   Market Breadth *         BSE             NSE       The global market cues are negative. The domestic
Advances                    1543             846      markets are likely to witness a subdue opening. The
Declines                    1209             603      markets witnessed a pull back rally on back of the
Same                         156             109      Stochastic being placed around the over sold zone. The
Total                       2908            1558      prevailing technical positives still hold good, which
A/D Ratio                  1.27 : 1        1.40 : 1
                                                      would lead to buying support at lower levels. The
                                                      Stochastic remains placed around the over sold zone.
             Volume (Lacs Shares)     *               Moreover, the Nifty remains placed above its 50-day, 100-
               04/09/12    03/09/12        % Chg.     day SMA and 200-day SMA. More so the Nifty’s 50-day
BSE              2951       1649            78.96
                                                      SMA remains placed above Nifty’s 100-day SMA and 200-
                                                      day SMA, the later being called the ‘Golden Cross
NSE              5203       4700            10.70
                                                      breakout’. These positive conditions would lead to
Total            8154       6349            28.43
                                                      buying support at lower levels. However, the prevailing
             Turnover ( ` Crores)     *               technical negatives continue to hold good and would
               04/09/12    03/09/12        % Chg.
                                                      weigh on the market sentiment. The Stochastic, RSI, KST
                                                      and MACD are still placed below their respective
BSE             1634.59    1644.48          -0.60
                                                      averages, which would lead to further selling pressure.
NSE             7812.42    7821.01          -0.11
                                                      Moreover, the Nifty has formed a negative divergence
NSE F&O        73472.26    76087.21         -3.44     pattern. The KST and MACD have slipped in the negative
Total          82919.27    85552.70         -3.08     territory and warn of impending selling pressure. The
                                                      ADX line, +DI line and –DI line are moving sideways
         F&O Contracts Traded (NSE)        *
                                                      indicating a range bound trend. The market sentiment
               04/09/12    03/09/12        % Chg.
                                                      remains negative. Now, it is important that markets
Index Fut.      275684     292330           -5.69     witness buying support at regular intervals for the
Stock Fut.      385776     370955           4.00      markets to move higher. In the meanwhile the markets
Index Opt.     1936650     2054932          -5.76     would take cues from global markets, Rupee, and the
Stock Opt.      165772     153366           8.09      crude prices. The support levels for Nifty are placed at 5250,
Total          2763882     2871583          -3.69     5215, 5118 and 5047. The Nifty faces resistance at the 5333,
                                                      5386, 5464, 5500, 5565 and 5607 levels.
NOTE - * - Source – BSE & NSE

Sanjay Bhatia (AVP – Technical Research), Email sanjay@keynotecapitals.net           Yahoo Id: keytechnicals@yahoo.in



                                                            Keynote Capitals Ltd.
              The Ruby, 9th Floor, Senapati Bapat Marg, Dadar (W), Mumbai, India – 400028. Tel: 3026 6000 / 2269 4322
                                                           www.keynotecapitals.com
Jaldi 5 (Short Term Technical Ideas for 5 Trading Days)
                                                                                 Stop
                                                  Initiation           Stop      Loss                    Target
         Stock           Close       Action       Price               Loss *      (%)      Target         (%)          Remarks
  Andhra Bank              92.65    Buy Above            93.15         90.50      2.84          99           6.28
  Balrampur Chini          68.95    Buy Above            69.25         67.00      3.25          74           6.86
  Bank of India          262.30     Buy Above           264.00        257.00      2.65         280           6.06
  Dish TV                70.20 Buy Above             70.50             68.50      2.84          75           6.38
* Stop Losses are to be considered strictly on closing basis.

                                                            Intra-day Resistance                         Intra-day Support
      Indices            Close        Pivot Point          R1       R2         R3                   S1          S2         S3
BSE SENSEX                  17441               17401      17493         17545      17689            17349        17256    17112
S&P CNX NIFTY                5274                5262          5291       5307          5352          5245          5217    5172
NIFTY SEPT. FUT.             5299                5288          5317       5334          5380          5270          5241    5195




                                          Stocks To Watch Out Today
Axis Bank, Bombay Dying, Crompton Greaves, Cummins, GMDC, HDFC Bank, IDFC, Pantaloon Retail, Patel Engg, Sun
Pharma, Tata Power
Andhra Bank, Balrampur Chini, Bank of India, Bata, Bharti Airtel, BHEL, Biocon, Dabur, Dish TV, Exide, GMR Infra, Godrej
Inds, Guj. Flouro; HCL Tech; Hero Motocorp, Hexaware, HPCL, HUL, Hind Zinc, IDBI Bank, Indian Bank, JSW Energy,
Jubilant Food, Karnataka Bank, Maruti, McLeod Russel, Petronet, Polaris, Powergrid, PTC, Rel. Comm; REC, Rel. Capital,
Reliance, Rel. Power, SBI, Sintex, United Spirits, Syndicate Bank, Tech Mahindra, Titan, TTK Prestige


                                                         Keynote Capitals Ltd.
            The Ruby, 9th Floor, Senapati Bapat Marg, Dadar (W), Mumbai, India – 400028. Tel: 3026 6000 / 2269 4322
                                                         www.keynotecapitals.com
NOTE:

TECHNICAL ANALYSIS ABBREVATIONS
SMA – Simple Moving Average
EMA – Exponential Moving Average
WMA – Weighted Moving Average




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    This material is for the personal information of the authorized recipient, and we are not soliciting any action based
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                                                       Keynote Capitals Ltd.
          The Ruby, 9th Floor, Senapati Bapat Marg, Dadar (W), Mumbai, India – 400028. Tel: 3026 6000 / 2269 4322
                                                      www.keynotecapitals.com

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Keynote technicals daily report for 050912

  • 1. Daily Technical Outlook 5th September 2012 Indices * Close % Chg. Markets to struggle higher BSE SENSEX 17440.87 0.32 S&P CNX NIFTY 5274.00 0.39 Mirroring the negative global market cues the domestic NIFTY SEPT. FUT. 5299.40 0.31 markets witnessed a subdue opening. Selling pressure was India VIX 16.59 -3.99 witnessed in the morning trade as Nifty traded below the 5250 resistance level. However, the markets managed to S&P CNX NIFTY Technical Levels bounce back from low levels to move higher and traded Level 1 Level 2 Level 3 above the 5250 resistance level. The markets managed to Support 5250 5215 5118 hold on to the gains and showed no signs of weakness. The Resistance 5333 5386 5464 markets ended the day with modest gains to close near the highs for the day. The top gainers for the day were GAIL, Simple Moving Averages S&P CNX NIFTY Jindal Steel, JP Associates, Reliance, Tata Motors, 50 Day SMA 5262.83 Powergrid, BPCL, Rel. Infra, SBI and Tata Steel. 100 Day SMA 5160.59 200 Day SMA 5125.69 ◄Critical Technically, the market breadth remained positive amidst higher volumes, which is a positive sign for the markets. Market Breadth * BSE NSE The global market cues are negative. The domestic Advances 1543 846 markets are likely to witness a subdue opening. The Declines 1209 603 markets witnessed a pull back rally on back of the Same 156 109 Stochastic being placed around the over sold zone. The Total 2908 1558 prevailing technical positives still hold good, which A/D Ratio 1.27 : 1 1.40 : 1 would lead to buying support at lower levels. The Stochastic remains placed around the over sold zone. Volume (Lacs Shares) * Moreover, the Nifty remains placed above its 50-day, 100- 04/09/12 03/09/12 % Chg. day SMA and 200-day SMA. More so the Nifty’s 50-day BSE 2951 1649 78.96 SMA remains placed above Nifty’s 100-day SMA and 200- day SMA, the later being called the ‘Golden Cross NSE 5203 4700 10.70 breakout’. These positive conditions would lead to Total 8154 6349 28.43 buying support at lower levels. However, the prevailing Turnover ( ` Crores) * technical negatives continue to hold good and would 04/09/12 03/09/12 % Chg. weigh on the market sentiment. The Stochastic, RSI, KST and MACD are still placed below their respective BSE 1634.59 1644.48 -0.60 averages, which would lead to further selling pressure. NSE 7812.42 7821.01 -0.11 Moreover, the Nifty has formed a negative divergence NSE F&O 73472.26 76087.21 -3.44 pattern. The KST and MACD have slipped in the negative Total 82919.27 85552.70 -3.08 territory and warn of impending selling pressure. The ADX line, +DI line and –DI line are moving sideways F&O Contracts Traded (NSE) * indicating a range bound trend. The market sentiment 04/09/12 03/09/12 % Chg. remains negative. Now, it is important that markets Index Fut. 275684 292330 -5.69 witness buying support at regular intervals for the Stock Fut. 385776 370955 4.00 markets to move higher. In the meanwhile the markets Index Opt. 1936650 2054932 -5.76 would take cues from global markets, Rupee, and the Stock Opt. 165772 153366 8.09 crude prices. The support levels for Nifty are placed at 5250, Total 2763882 2871583 -3.69 5215, 5118 and 5047. The Nifty faces resistance at the 5333, 5386, 5464, 5500, 5565 and 5607 levels. NOTE - * - Source – BSE & NSE Sanjay Bhatia (AVP – Technical Research), Email sanjay@keynotecapitals.net Yahoo Id: keytechnicals@yahoo.in Keynote Capitals Ltd. The Ruby, 9th Floor, Senapati Bapat Marg, Dadar (W), Mumbai, India – 400028. Tel: 3026 6000 / 2269 4322 www.keynotecapitals.com
  • 2. Jaldi 5 (Short Term Technical Ideas for 5 Trading Days) Stop Initiation Stop Loss Target Stock Close Action Price Loss * (%) Target (%) Remarks Andhra Bank 92.65 Buy Above 93.15 90.50 2.84 99 6.28 Balrampur Chini 68.95 Buy Above 69.25 67.00 3.25 74 6.86 Bank of India 262.30 Buy Above 264.00 257.00 2.65 280 6.06 Dish TV 70.20 Buy Above 70.50 68.50 2.84 75 6.38 * Stop Losses are to be considered strictly on closing basis. Intra-day Resistance Intra-day Support Indices Close Pivot Point R1 R2 R3 S1 S2 S3 BSE SENSEX 17441 17401 17493 17545 17689 17349 17256 17112 S&P CNX NIFTY 5274 5262 5291 5307 5352 5245 5217 5172 NIFTY SEPT. FUT. 5299 5288 5317 5334 5380 5270 5241 5195 Stocks To Watch Out Today Axis Bank, Bombay Dying, Crompton Greaves, Cummins, GMDC, HDFC Bank, IDFC, Pantaloon Retail, Patel Engg, Sun Pharma, Tata Power Andhra Bank, Balrampur Chini, Bank of India, Bata, Bharti Airtel, BHEL, Biocon, Dabur, Dish TV, Exide, GMR Infra, Godrej Inds, Guj. Flouro; HCL Tech; Hero Motocorp, Hexaware, HPCL, HUL, Hind Zinc, IDBI Bank, Indian Bank, JSW Energy, Jubilant Food, Karnataka Bank, Maruti, McLeod Russel, Petronet, Polaris, Powergrid, PTC, Rel. Comm; REC, Rel. Capital, Reliance, Rel. Power, SBI, Sintex, United Spirits, Syndicate Bank, Tech Mahindra, Titan, TTK Prestige Keynote Capitals Ltd. The Ruby, 9th Floor, Senapati Bapat Marg, Dadar (W), Mumbai, India – 400028. Tel: 3026 6000 / 2269 4322 www.keynotecapitals.com
  • 3. NOTE: TECHNICAL ANALYSIS ABBREVATIONS SMA – Simple Moving Average EMA – Exponential Moving Average WMA – Weighted Moving Average Disclaimer This document is not for public distribution and has been furnished to you solely for your information and must not be reproduced or redistributed to any other person. Persons into whose possession this document may come are required to observe these restrictions. This material is for the personal information of the authorized recipient, and we are not soliciting any action based upon it. This report is not to be construed as an offer to sell or the solicitation of an offer to buy any security in any jurisdiction where such an offer or solicitation would be illegal. It is for the general information of clients of Keynote Capitals Ltd. It does not constitute a personal recommendation or take into account the particular investment objectives, financial situations, or needs of individual clients. We have reviewed the report, and in so far as it includes current or historical information, it is believed to be reliable though its accuracy or completeness cannot be guaranteed. Neither Keynote Capitals Ltd., nor any person connected with it, accepts any liability arising from the use of this document. The recipients of this material should rely on their own investigations and take their own professional advice. Price and value of the investments referred to in this material may go up or down. Past performance is not a guide for future performance. Certain transactions -including those involving futures, options and other derivatives as well as non-investment grade securities - involve substantial risk and are not suitable for all investors. Reports based on technical analysis centers on studying charts of a stock’s price movement and trading volume, as opposed to focusing on a company’s fundamentals and as such, may not match with a report on a company’s fundamentals. Opinions expressed are our current opinions as of the date appearing on this material only. While we endeavor to update on a reasonable basis the information discussed in this material, there may be regulatory, compliance, or other reasons that prevent us from doing so. Prospective investors and others are cautioned that any forward-looking statements are not predictions and may be subject to change without notice. Our proprietary trading and investment businesses may make investment decisions that are inconsistent with the recommendations expressed herein. We and our affiliates, officers, directors, and employees world wide may: (a) from time to time, have long or short positions in, and buy or sell the securities thereof, of company (ies) mentioned herein or (b) be engaged in any other transaction involving such securities and earn brokerage or other compensation or act as a market maker in the financial instruments of the company (ies) discussed herein or act as advisor or lender / borrower to such company (ies) or have other potential conflict of interest with respect to any recommendation and related information and opinions. The analyst for this report certifies that all of the views expressed in this report accurately reflect his or her personal views about the subject company or companies and its or their securities, and no part of his or her compensation was, is or will be, directly or indirectly related to specific recommendations or views expressed in this report. No part of this material may be duplicated in any form and/or redistributed without Keynote Capitals Ltd’s., prior written consent. Keynote Capitals Ltd. The Ruby, 9th Floor, Senapati Bapat Marg, Dadar (W), Mumbai, India – 400028. Tel: 3026 6000 / 2269 4322 www.keynotecapitals.com