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Daily Technical Outlook

                                                                                                                    6th June 2012
         Indices *          Close          % Chg.               Follow up buying support needed
 BSE SENSEX                16020.64          0.20       The domestic markets witnessed a flat opening. Short
 S&P CNX NIFTY              4863.30          0.31       covering and selective buying support was witnessed in the
 NIFTY JUNE FUT.            4846.30          0.12       morning session. However, follow up buying support failed to
 India VIX                   26.26           2.57       materialize at higher levels. Selling pressure and profit taking
                                                        was witnessed in the afternoon session but markets managed
        S&P CNX NIFTY Technical Levels                  to take support around the 200-week support placed at 4825
                 Level 1    Level 2         Level 3     level. The markets ended the day with modest gains to close
Support           4825       4777            4742       near the lows for the day. The top gainers for the day were
Resistance        4950       5070            5106       Grasim. L&T, Rel. Infra, Bank of Baroda, NTPC, SBI, Cairn
                                                        India, Hindalco, Powergrid and Wipro.
        Moving Averages S&P CNX NIFTY
50 Day SMA                  5100.04                     Technically, the market breadth remained positive amidst
100 Day SMA                 5190.38                     lower volumes. The global market cues are positive. The
200 Day SMA                 5064.80        ◄ Critical   domestic markets are likely to witness a positive
                                                        opening. The prevailing technical negatives continued to
   Market Breadth *          BSE             NSE        cap upside gains as Nifty struggled to surpass the 4900
Advances                     1406             784       level. The KST and RSI are still placed below their
Declines                     1291             657       respective averages. Moreover, the KST and MACD are
Same                          131                89     placed in the negative territory and warn of impending
Total                        2828            1530       selling pressure. The Nifty remains placed below its 50-
A/D Ratio                   1.09 : 1        1.19 : 1    day SMA, 100-day SMA and 200-day SMA. Moreover, the
                                                        50-day SMA is placed below its 100-day SMA. These
             Volume (Lacs Shares)      *                negative technical conditions would lead to further
               05/06/12     04/06/12        % Chg.      selling pressure. However, a few positive technical
BSE              1612        1589            1.45       conditions still hold good. The MACD is still placed
NSE              4986        5080            -1.84
                                                        above its average. Further, the Stochastic is at
                                                        equilibrium with its average and is nearing the oversold
Total            6598        6669            -1.06
                                                        zone. Moreover, the Nifty’s 50-day SMA and 100-day SMA
             Turnover ( ` Crores)      *                are placed above Nifty’s 200-day SMA. These positive
               05/06/12     04/06/12        % Chg.      technical conditions would prompt short covering and
BSE             1819.60     1759.61          3.41
                                                        selective buying support at lower levels. The ADX and th
                                                        –DI line though trending have started to come down,
NSE             8587.16     8920.14          -3.73
                                                        indicating short covering is happening at lower levels,
NSE F&O        73256.34    81583.31          -10.21
                                                        while the +DI line is moving higher. The market sentiment
Total          83663.10    92263.06          -9.32      remains tentative as Nifty sustains above its 200 week
         F&O Contracts Traded (NSE)          *          SMA. Now it is important that the markets witness follow
                                                        up buying support at higher levels. The Nifty’s 200 week
               05/06/12     04/06/12        % Chg.
                                                        SMA support on weekly charts is placed around 4825,
Index Fut.      400019      441058           -9.30      which would act as good support level. If Nifty fails to
Stock Fut.      411593      443785           -7.25      take support at this level then it is likely to move lower
Index Opt.     2076311      2385506          -12.96     and possibly test the 4742 level. In the meanwhile the
Stock Opt.      147706      162894           -9.32      markets would take cues from the Rupee, global markets
Total          3035629      3433243          -9.45      and the crude prices. The support levels for Nifty are placed
                                                        at 4824, 4777, 4742, 4624 and 4530. The Nifty faces
NOTE - *- Source – BSE & NSE
                                                        resistance at the 4950, 5070, and 5106 levels.
Sanjay Bhatia (AVP – Technicals), Email Id sanjay@keynotecapitals.net                  Yahoo Chat Id: keytechnicals@yahoo.in

                                                               Keynote Capitals Ltd.
                                th
                     The Ruby, 9 Floor, Senapati Bapat Marg, Dadar (W), Mumbai, India – 400028. Tel: 3026 6000 / 2269 4322
                                                             www.keynotecapitals.com
Jaldi 5
                                   (Short Term Technical Ideas for 5 Trading Days)

                                                                              Stop
                                                  Initiation        Stop      Loss                      Target
      Stock           Close          Action         Price          Loss *      (%)          Target       (%)            Remarks
Canara Bank            409.35       Buy Above            412        404.75        1.76         428          3.88
Hero Honda            1865.20       Buy Above           1875       1841.00        1.81        1950          4.00
Mcleod Russel          288.10    Buy Above            290     278.75              3.88         315          8.62
* Stop Losses are to be considered strictly on closing basis.



                                                           Intra-day Resistance                        Intra-day Support
      Indices           Close         Pivot Point         R1       R2         R3                S1            S2         S3
BSE SENSEX                 16021                16046     16113       16205         16363        15954        15888        15729
S&P CNX NIFTY               4863                 4870       4892       4921          4972            4841        4819       4767
NIFTY JUNE FUT.             4846                 4849       4876       4906          4962            4819        4792       4736




                                                          Keynote Capitals Ltd.
                              th
                  The Ruby, 9 Floor, Senapati Bapat Marg, Dadar (W), Mumbai, India – 400028. Tel: 3026 6000 / 2269 4322
                                                        www.keynotecapitals.com
Stocks to watch out today

APIl, BF utilities, Bhushan Steel, Crompton Greaves, Cummins, DCB, Divis Labs, Exide, Grasim, Havells, HDFC Bank, Hero
Motorcorp; IDFC, Indusind Bank, Karnataka Bank, L&T, Lupin, NTPC, Oriental Bankof Commerce, PNB, Reliance, SBI,
Aban, Apollo Tyre, Bata Bharti Airtel, Coal India, Colgate, Dabur, Dr. Reddys, EKC, GMR Infra, HUL, Hind. Zinc, ITC, Jindal
Steel, Ranbaxy, Titan




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                                                           Keynote Capitals Ltd.
                              th
                   The Ruby, 9 Floor, Senapati Bapat Marg, Dadar (W), Mumbai, India – 400028. Tel: 3026 6000 / 2269 4322
                                                         www.keynotecapitals.com

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Keynote technicals daily report for 060612

  • 1. Daily Technical Outlook 6th June 2012 Indices * Close % Chg. Follow up buying support needed BSE SENSEX 16020.64 0.20 The domestic markets witnessed a flat opening. Short S&P CNX NIFTY 4863.30 0.31 covering and selective buying support was witnessed in the NIFTY JUNE FUT. 4846.30 0.12 morning session. However, follow up buying support failed to India VIX 26.26 2.57 materialize at higher levels. Selling pressure and profit taking was witnessed in the afternoon session but markets managed S&P CNX NIFTY Technical Levels to take support around the 200-week support placed at 4825 Level 1 Level 2 Level 3 level. The markets ended the day with modest gains to close Support 4825 4777 4742 near the lows for the day. The top gainers for the day were Resistance 4950 5070 5106 Grasim. L&T, Rel. Infra, Bank of Baroda, NTPC, SBI, Cairn India, Hindalco, Powergrid and Wipro. Moving Averages S&P CNX NIFTY 50 Day SMA 5100.04 Technically, the market breadth remained positive amidst 100 Day SMA 5190.38 lower volumes. The global market cues are positive. The 200 Day SMA 5064.80 ◄ Critical domestic markets are likely to witness a positive opening. The prevailing technical negatives continued to Market Breadth * BSE NSE cap upside gains as Nifty struggled to surpass the 4900 Advances 1406 784 level. The KST and RSI are still placed below their Declines 1291 657 respective averages. Moreover, the KST and MACD are Same 131 89 placed in the negative territory and warn of impending Total 2828 1530 selling pressure. The Nifty remains placed below its 50- A/D Ratio 1.09 : 1 1.19 : 1 day SMA, 100-day SMA and 200-day SMA. Moreover, the 50-day SMA is placed below its 100-day SMA. These Volume (Lacs Shares) * negative technical conditions would lead to further 05/06/12 04/06/12 % Chg. selling pressure. However, a few positive technical BSE 1612 1589 1.45 conditions still hold good. The MACD is still placed NSE 4986 5080 -1.84 above its average. Further, the Stochastic is at equilibrium with its average and is nearing the oversold Total 6598 6669 -1.06 zone. Moreover, the Nifty’s 50-day SMA and 100-day SMA Turnover ( ` Crores) * are placed above Nifty’s 200-day SMA. These positive 05/06/12 04/06/12 % Chg. technical conditions would prompt short covering and BSE 1819.60 1759.61 3.41 selective buying support at lower levels. The ADX and th –DI line though trending have started to come down, NSE 8587.16 8920.14 -3.73 indicating short covering is happening at lower levels, NSE F&O 73256.34 81583.31 -10.21 while the +DI line is moving higher. The market sentiment Total 83663.10 92263.06 -9.32 remains tentative as Nifty sustains above its 200 week F&O Contracts Traded (NSE) * SMA. Now it is important that the markets witness follow up buying support at higher levels. The Nifty’s 200 week 05/06/12 04/06/12 % Chg. SMA support on weekly charts is placed around 4825, Index Fut. 400019 441058 -9.30 which would act as good support level. If Nifty fails to Stock Fut. 411593 443785 -7.25 take support at this level then it is likely to move lower Index Opt. 2076311 2385506 -12.96 and possibly test the 4742 level. In the meanwhile the Stock Opt. 147706 162894 -9.32 markets would take cues from the Rupee, global markets Total 3035629 3433243 -9.45 and the crude prices. The support levels for Nifty are placed at 4824, 4777, 4742, 4624 and 4530. The Nifty faces NOTE - *- Source – BSE & NSE resistance at the 4950, 5070, and 5106 levels. Sanjay Bhatia (AVP – Technicals), Email Id sanjay@keynotecapitals.net Yahoo Chat Id: keytechnicals@yahoo.in Keynote Capitals Ltd. th The Ruby, 9 Floor, Senapati Bapat Marg, Dadar (W), Mumbai, India – 400028. Tel: 3026 6000 / 2269 4322 www.keynotecapitals.com
  • 2. Jaldi 5 (Short Term Technical Ideas for 5 Trading Days) Stop Initiation Stop Loss Target Stock Close Action Price Loss * (%) Target (%) Remarks Canara Bank 409.35 Buy Above 412 404.75 1.76 428 3.88 Hero Honda 1865.20 Buy Above 1875 1841.00 1.81 1950 4.00 Mcleod Russel 288.10 Buy Above 290 278.75 3.88 315 8.62 * Stop Losses are to be considered strictly on closing basis. Intra-day Resistance Intra-day Support Indices Close Pivot Point R1 R2 R3 S1 S2 S3 BSE SENSEX 16021 16046 16113 16205 16363 15954 15888 15729 S&P CNX NIFTY 4863 4870 4892 4921 4972 4841 4819 4767 NIFTY JUNE FUT. 4846 4849 4876 4906 4962 4819 4792 4736 Keynote Capitals Ltd. th The Ruby, 9 Floor, Senapati Bapat Marg, Dadar (W), Mumbai, India – 400028. Tel: 3026 6000 / 2269 4322 www.keynotecapitals.com
  • 3. Stocks to watch out today APIl, BF utilities, Bhushan Steel, Crompton Greaves, Cummins, DCB, Divis Labs, Exide, Grasim, Havells, HDFC Bank, Hero Motorcorp; IDFC, Indusind Bank, Karnataka Bank, L&T, Lupin, NTPC, Oriental Bankof Commerce, PNB, Reliance, SBI, Aban, Apollo Tyre, Bata Bharti Airtel, Coal India, Colgate, Dabur, Dr. Reddys, EKC, GMR Infra, HUL, Hind. Zinc, ITC, Jindal Steel, Ranbaxy, Titan Disclaimer This document is not for public distribution and has been furnished to you solely for your information and must not be reproduced or redistributed to any other person. Persons into whose possession this document may come are required to observe these restrictions. This material is for the personal information of the authorized recipient, and we are not soliciting any action based upon it. This report is not to be construed as an offer to sell or the solicitation of an offer to buy any security in any jurisdiction where such an offer or solicitation would be illegal. It is for the general information of clients of Keynote Capitals Ltd. It does not constitute a personal recommendation or take into account the particular investment objectives, financial situations, or needs of individual clients. We have reviewed the report, and in so far as it includes current or historical information, it is believed to be reliable though its accuracy or completeness cannot be guaranteed. Neither Keynote Capitals Ltd., nor any person connected with it, accepts any liability arising from the use of this document. The recipients of this material should rely on their own investigations and take their own professional advice. Price and value of the investments referred to in this material may go up or down. Past performance is not a guide for future performance. Certain transactions -including those involving futures, options and other derivatives as well as non-investment grade securities - involve substantial risk and are not suitable for all investors. Reports based on technical analysis centers on studying charts of a stock’s price movement and trading volume, as opposed to focusing on a company’s fundamentals and as such, may not match with a report on a company’s fundamentals. Opinions expressed are our current opinions as of the date appearing on this material only. While we endeavor to update on a reasonable basis the information discussed in this material, there may be regulatory, compliance, or other reasons that prevent us from doing so. Prospective investors and others are cautioned that any forward-looking statements are not predictions and may be subject to change without notice. Our proprietary trading and investment businesses may make investment decisions that are inconsistent with the recommendations expressed herein. We and our affiliates, officers, directors, and employees world wide may: (a) from time to time, have long or short positions in, and buy or sell the securities thereof, of company (ies) mentioned herein or (b) be engaged in any other transaction involving such securities and earn brokerage or other compensation or act as a market maker in the financial instruments of the company (ies) discussed herein or act as advisor or lender / borrower to such company (ies) or have other potential conflict of interest with respect to any recommendation and related information and opinions. The analyst for this report certifies that all of the views expressed in this report accurately reflect his or her personal views about the subject company or companies and its or their securities, and no part of his or her compensation was, is or will be, directly or indirectly related to specific recommendations or views expressed in this report. No part of this material may be duplicated in any form and/or redistributed without Keynote Capitals Ltd’s., prior written consent. Keynote Capitals Ltd. th The Ruby, 9 Floor, Senapati Bapat Marg, Dadar (W), Mumbai, India – 400028. Tel: 3026 6000 / 2269 4322 www.keynotecapitals.com