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Daily Technical Outlook

                                                                                                                    8th June 2012
         Indices *          Close          % Chg.
 BSE SENSEX                16649.05          1.18
                                                                5065 critical level for the markets
 S&P CNX NIFTY              5049.65          1.05
                                                        Mirroring the firm global market cues the domestic markets
 NIFTY JUNE FUT.            5029.35          1.02
                                                        witnessed a gap up opening. Profit booking and selling
 India VIX                   23.64           -5.06      pressure was witnessed at higher levels. However, the
        S&P CNX NIFTY Technical Levels                  markets managed to come off the lows in the afternoon
                                                        session. Broad based buying support was witnessed leading
                 Level 1    Level 2         Level 3
                                                        to short covering and helped the Nifty move above the
Support           4950       4825            4777
                                                        psychologically important 5000 level. The markets ended the
Resistance        5065       5106            5250       day with moderate gains to close near the highs for the day.
        Moving Averages S&P CNX NIFTY                   The top gainers for the day were Sterlite, Axis Bank, Sesa
50 Day SMA                  5092.43
                                                        Goa, JP Associates, HDFC Bank, Maruti, DLF, Rel. Infra,
                                                        hero Motorcorp and Cairn India.
100 Day SMA                 5193.88
200 Day SMA                 5065.07        ◄ Critical
                                                        Technically, the market breadth remained positive amidst
   Market Breadth *          BSE             NSE        lower volumes. The global market cues are divergent.
Advances                     1527             848
                                                        The domestic markets are likely to witness a flat opening.
                                                        The prevailing technical positives helped the markets
Declines                     1172             589
                                                        move higher closer to its 200-day SMA. The Stochastic,
Same                          125             101
                                                        RSI, MACD and KST all are placed above their respective
Total                        2824            1538       averages. The KST and MACD have also moved in the
A/D Ratio                   1.30 : 1        1.44 : 1    positive territory which augurs well for the market.
                                                        Moreover, the Nifty’s 50-day SMA and 100-day SMA are
             Volume (Lacs Shares)      *
                                                        placed above Nifty’s 200-day SMA. The ADX and the –DI
               07/06/12     06/06/12        % Chg.
                                                        line continue to come down, indicating short covering is
BSE              2044        2096            -2.48      happening, while the +DI line has moved above the 30
NSE              6515        6902            -5.60      level indicating buyers are gaining strength. These
Total            8559        8998            -4.87      positive technical conditions would prompt further
                                                        buying support and short covering. However, a few
             Turnover ( ` Crores)      *                technical negatives still continue to hold good and would
               07/06/12     06/06/12        % Chg.      cap upside gains The Nifty remains placed below its 50-
BSE             2176.65     2060.29          5.65       day SMA, 100-day SMA and 200-day SMA. Moreover, the
NSE            10686.39    11678.46          -8.49      50-day SMA is placed below its 100-day SMA. Further,
NSE F&O        90505.21    108848.26         -16.85     the Nifty June Future continues to trade at a discount to
Total          103368.25   122587.01         -15.68
                                                        the Nifty Spot price. The market sentiment remains
                                                        tentative as Nifty nears its 200-day SMA placed at 5065.
         F&O Contracts Traded (NSE)          *          Now it is important that the markets witness follow up
               07/06/12     06/06/12        % Chg.      buying support at higher levels for the Nifty to move and
Index Fut.      427933      520113           -17.72     sustain above this critical level. In the meanwhile the
Stock Fut.      495334      529010           -6.37
                                                        markets would take cues from the Rupee, global markets
                                                        and the crude prices. The support levels for Nifty are placed
Index Opt.     2578291      3220975          -19.95
                                                        at 4950, 4824, 4777, 4742, 4624 and 4530. The Nifty faces
Stock Opt.      180604      191948           -5.91
                                                        resistance at the 5065, 5106 and 5250 levels.
Total          3682162      4462046          -14.66

NOTE - *- Source – BSE & NSE

Sanjay Bhatia (AVP – Technicals), Email Id sanjay@keynotecapitals.net                 Yahoo Chat Id: keytechnicals@yahoo.in


                                                              Keynote Capitals Ltd.
                                th
                     The Ruby, 9 Floor, Senapati Bapat Marg, Dadar (W), Mumbai, India – 400028. Tel: 3026 6000 / 2269 4322
                                                             www.keynotecapitals.com
Jaldi 5
                                   (Short Term Technical Ideas for 5 Trading Days)

                                                                              Stop
                                                  Initiation        Stop      Loss                      Target
      Stock           Close          Action         Price          Loss *      (%)          Target       (%)            Remarks
Ashok Leyland           27.80       Buy Above             28         26.65        4.82          31          10.71
                                                                                                                    TGT of 1030
                                                                                                                    & 1060
                                                                                                                    Achieved
                                                                                                                    given Buy @
                                                                                                                    994 & 1025
                                                                                                                    on June 5 &
Axis Bank             1057.10       Buy Above           1062       1029.00        3.11        1135           6.87   6' 2012
HDFC Bank              537.80    Buy Above            543     528.60              2.65         575           5.89
* Stop Losses are to be considered strictly on closing basis.



                                                           Intra-day Resistance                        Intra-day Support
      Indices           Close         Pivot Point         R1       R2         R3                S1            S2         S3
BSE SENSEX                 16649                16617     16713       16777         16938        16552         16456       16295
S&P CNX NIFTY               5050                 5039       5070       5091          5143            5018        4987       4935
NIFTY JUNE FUT.             5029                 5016       5051       5072          5129            4994        4960       4903




                                                          Keynote Capitals Ltd.
                              th
                  The Ruby, 9 Floor, Senapati Bapat Marg, Dadar (W), Mumbai, India – 400028. Tel: 3026 6000 / 2269 4322
                                                        www.keynotecapitals.com
Stocks to watch out today

Aban, Asian Paints, Ashok Leyland, Axis Bank, Bank of India, BF Utilities, Bhushan Steel, Bombay Dying, CBI, Century ICICI
Textiles, Chambal Fert., Delta Corp, DLF, Educomp, HDFC Bank, HDIl, Hero Motorcorp, Hexaware, HOECL, IB Realestate,
Bank, IFCI, India Infoline, IVRCL, Jet Airways, Jindal Steel, Jain Irrigaion, JP Associates, JSW Steel, M&M, Maruti, Max India,
McDowell, NTPC, ONGC, Onmobile, Patel Engg; PFC, Polaris, Punj Lloyd, Rel. Comm; Rel. Capital, Rel. Infra, Renuka, Rel.
Power, Sesa goa, Sterlite, TTK Prestige, Union Bank, ZEEL
BEML, Cipla, HPCL, IOC, Oil India, Ultratech Cemco




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      Capitals Ltd. It does not constitute a personal recommendation or take into account the particular investment
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                                                            Keynote Capitals Ltd.
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                    The Ruby, 9 Floor, Senapati Bapat Marg, Dadar (W), Mumbai, India – 400028. Tel: 3026 6000 / 2269 4322
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Keynote technicals daily report for 080612

  • 1. Daily Technical Outlook 8th June 2012 Indices * Close % Chg. BSE SENSEX 16649.05 1.18 5065 critical level for the markets S&P CNX NIFTY 5049.65 1.05 Mirroring the firm global market cues the domestic markets NIFTY JUNE FUT. 5029.35 1.02 witnessed a gap up opening. Profit booking and selling India VIX 23.64 -5.06 pressure was witnessed at higher levels. However, the S&P CNX NIFTY Technical Levels markets managed to come off the lows in the afternoon session. Broad based buying support was witnessed leading Level 1 Level 2 Level 3 to short covering and helped the Nifty move above the Support 4950 4825 4777 psychologically important 5000 level. The markets ended the Resistance 5065 5106 5250 day with moderate gains to close near the highs for the day. Moving Averages S&P CNX NIFTY The top gainers for the day were Sterlite, Axis Bank, Sesa 50 Day SMA 5092.43 Goa, JP Associates, HDFC Bank, Maruti, DLF, Rel. Infra, hero Motorcorp and Cairn India. 100 Day SMA 5193.88 200 Day SMA 5065.07 ◄ Critical Technically, the market breadth remained positive amidst Market Breadth * BSE NSE lower volumes. The global market cues are divergent. Advances 1527 848 The domestic markets are likely to witness a flat opening. The prevailing technical positives helped the markets Declines 1172 589 move higher closer to its 200-day SMA. The Stochastic, Same 125 101 RSI, MACD and KST all are placed above their respective Total 2824 1538 averages. The KST and MACD have also moved in the A/D Ratio 1.30 : 1 1.44 : 1 positive territory which augurs well for the market. Moreover, the Nifty’s 50-day SMA and 100-day SMA are Volume (Lacs Shares) * placed above Nifty’s 200-day SMA. The ADX and the –DI 07/06/12 06/06/12 % Chg. line continue to come down, indicating short covering is BSE 2044 2096 -2.48 happening, while the +DI line has moved above the 30 NSE 6515 6902 -5.60 level indicating buyers are gaining strength. These Total 8559 8998 -4.87 positive technical conditions would prompt further buying support and short covering. However, a few Turnover ( ` Crores) * technical negatives still continue to hold good and would 07/06/12 06/06/12 % Chg. cap upside gains The Nifty remains placed below its 50- BSE 2176.65 2060.29 5.65 day SMA, 100-day SMA and 200-day SMA. Moreover, the NSE 10686.39 11678.46 -8.49 50-day SMA is placed below its 100-day SMA. Further, NSE F&O 90505.21 108848.26 -16.85 the Nifty June Future continues to trade at a discount to Total 103368.25 122587.01 -15.68 the Nifty Spot price. The market sentiment remains tentative as Nifty nears its 200-day SMA placed at 5065. F&O Contracts Traded (NSE) * Now it is important that the markets witness follow up 07/06/12 06/06/12 % Chg. buying support at higher levels for the Nifty to move and Index Fut. 427933 520113 -17.72 sustain above this critical level. In the meanwhile the Stock Fut. 495334 529010 -6.37 markets would take cues from the Rupee, global markets and the crude prices. The support levels for Nifty are placed Index Opt. 2578291 3220975 -19.95 at 4950, 4824, 4777, 4742, 4624 and 4530. The Nifty faces Stock Opt. 180604 191948 -5.91 resistance at the 5065, 5106 and 5250 levels. Total 3682162 4462046 -14.66 NOTE - *- Source – BSE & NSE Sanjay Bhatia (AVP – Technicals), Email Id sanjay@keynotecapitals.net Yahoo Chat Id: keytechnicals@yahoo.in Keynote Capitals Ltd. th The Ruby, 9 Floor, Senapati Bapat Marg, Dadar (W), Mumbai, India – 400028. Tel: 3026 6000 / 2269 4322 www.keynotecapitals.com
  • 2. Jaldi 5 (Short Term Technical Ideas for 5 Trading Days) Stop Initiation Stop Loss Target Stock Close Action Price Loss * (%) Target (%) Remarks Ashok Leyland 27.80 Buy Above 28 26.65 4.82 31 10.71 TGT of 1030 & 1060 Achieved given Buy @ 994 & 1025 on June 5 & Axis Bank 1057.10 Buy Above 1062 1029.00 3.11 1135 6.87 6' 2012 HDFC Bank 537.80 Buy Above 543 528.60 2.65 575 5.89 * Stop Losses are to be considered strictly on closing basis. Intra-day Resistance Intra-day Support Indices Close Pivot Point R1 R2 R3 S1 S2 S3 BSE SENSEX 16649 16617 16713 16777 16938 16552 16456 16295 S&P CNX NIFTY 5050 5039 5070 5091 5143 5018 4987 4935 NIFTY JUNE FUT. 5029 5016 5051 5072 5129 4994 4960 4903 Keynote Capitals Ltd. th The Ruby, 9 Floor, Senapati Bapat Marg, Dadar (W), Mumbai, India – 400028. Tel: 3026 6000 / 2269 4322 www.keynotecapitals.com
  • 3. Stocks to watch out today Aban, Asian Paints, Ashok Leyland, Axis Bank, Bank of India, BF Utilities, Bhushan Steel, Bombay Dying, CBI, Century ICICI Textiles, Chambal Fert., Delta Corp, DLF, Educomp, HDFC Bank, HDIl, Hero Motorcorp, Hexaware, HOECL, IB Realestate, Bank, IFCI, India Infoline, IVRCL, Jet Airways, Jindal Steel, Jain Irrigaion, JP Associates, JSW Steel, M&M, Maruti, Max India, McDowell, NTPC, ONGC, Onmobile, Patel Engg; PFC, Polaris, Punj Lloyd, Rel. Comm; Rel. Capital, Rel. Infra, Renuka, Rel. Power, Sesa goa, Sterlite, TTK Prestige, Union Bank, ZEEL BEML, Cipla, HPCL, IOC, Oil India, Ultratech Cemco Disclaimer This document is not for public distribution and has been furnished to you solely for your information and must not be reproduced or redistributed to any other person. Persons into whose possession this document may come are required to observe these restrictions. This material is for the personal information of the authorized recipient, and we are not soliciting any action based upon it. This report is not to be construed as an offer to sell or the solicitation of an offer to buy any security in any jurisdiction where such an offer or solicitation would be illegal. It is for the general information of clients of Keynote Capitals Ltd. It does not constitute a personal recommendation or take into account the particular investment objectives, financial situations, or needs of individual clients. We have reviewed the report, and in so far as it includes current or historical information, it is believed to be reliable though its accuracy or completeness cannot be guaranteed. Neither Keynote Capitals Ltd., nor any person connected with it, accepts any liability arising from the use of this document. The recipients of this material should rely on their own investigations and take their own professional advice. Price and value of the investments referred to in this material may go up or down. Past performance is not a guide for future performance. Certain transactions -including those involving futures, options and other derivatives as well as non-investment grade securities - involve substantial risk and are not suitable for all investors. Reports based on technical analysis centers on studying charts of a stock’s price movement and trading volume, as opposed to focusing on a company’s fundamentals and as such, may not match with a report on a company’s fundamentals. Opinions expressed are our current opinions as of the date appearing on this material only. While we endeavor to update on a reasonable basis the information discussed in this material, there may be regulatory, compliance, or other reasons that prevent us from doing so. Prospective investors and others are cautioned that any forward-looking statements are not predictions and may be subject to change without notice. Our proprietary trading and investment businesses may make investment decisions that are inconsistent with the recommendations expressed herein. We and our affiliates, officers, directors, and employees world wide may: (a) from time to time, have long or short positions in, and buy or sell the securities thereof, of company (ies) mentioned herein or (b) be engaged in any other transaction involving such securities and earn brokerage or other compensation or act as a market maker in the financial instruments of the company (ies) discussed herein or act as advisor or lender / borrower to such company (ies) or have other potential conflict of interest with respect to any recommendation and related information and opinions. The analyst for this report certifies that all of the views expressed in this report accurately reflect his or her personal views about the subject company or companies and its or their securities, and no part of his or her compensation was, is or will be, directly or indirectly related to specific recommendations or views expressed in this report. No part of this material may be duplicated in any form and/or redistributed without Keynote Capitals Ltd’s., prior written consent. Keynote Capitals Ltd. th The Ruby, 9 Floor, Senapati Bapat Marg, Dadar (W), Mumbai, India – 400028. Tel: 3026 6000 / 2269 4322 www.keynotecapitals.com