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Daily Technical Outlook

                                                                                                                     9th July 2012
         Indices *          Close          % Chg.
 BSE SENSEX                17521.12          -0.10
                                                                         Markets range bound
 S&P CNX NIFTY              5316.95          -0.19
                                                       Mirroring the negative global market cues the domestic
 NIFTY JULY FUT.            5327.20          -0.32
                                                       markets witnessed a negative opening. Sustained selling
 India VIX                   18.04           -1.68     pressure was witnessed as markets moved lower. However,
        S&P CNX NIFTY Technical Levels                 the markets managed to come off the lows in the afternoon
                                                       trade. The over all trend remained range bound. The markets
                 Level 1    Level 2         Level 3
                                                       ended the day with marginal losses to close near the highs
Support           5250       5114            5083
                                                       for the day. The top losers for the day were BHEL, TCS,
Resistance        5333       5379            5500      Jindal Steel, ACC, ITC, HUL, Powergrid, Hero Motocorp, Sun
        Moving Averages S&P CNX NIFTY                  Pharma and Grasim.
50 Day SMA                  5055.84
                                                       Technically, the market breadth remained negative
100 Day SMA                 5186.76                    amidst lower volumes. The global market cues are
200 Day SMA                 8083.52        ◄Critical   negative. The domestic markets are likely to witness a
                                                       flat to subdue opening. The prevailing technical positives
   Market Breadth *          BSE             NSE
                                                       continue to hold good but markets lack momentum. The
Advances                     1361             597
                                                       Stochastic, MACD, RSI and KST all are placed above
Declines                     1532             913      their respective averages. Moreover, the MACD and KST
Same                          135               48     are also placed in the positive territory, which augurs
Total                        3028            1558      well for the markets. The Nifty remains placed above the
A/D Ratio                   0.89 : 1        0.65 : 1   50-day SMA, 100-day SMA and 200-day SMA. The +DI has
                                                       moved lower along with the ADX line indicating buyers
             Volume (Lacs Shares)      *               are booking profit at higher levels. These positive
               06/07/12     05/07/12        % Chg.     conditions would lead to further buying support.
BSE              2869        2845            0.84      However, a few technical negatives still hold good and
NSE              7379        7927            -6.91     would weigh on the market sentiment. The RSI and the
Total           10248        10772           -4.86     Stochastic are placed in the over bought zone on the
                                                       daily charts, while the Nifty’s 50-day SMA remains placed
             Turnover ( ` Crores)      *               below its 100-day SMA and 200-day SMA. These negative
               06/07/12     05/07/12        % Chg.     conditions would result in regular bouts of profit taking
BSE             2111.63     3948.92         -46.53     and selling pressure at higher levels. The market
NSE             9782.83    10008.71          -2.26
                                                       sentiment remains positive but tentative. Follow up
                                                       buying support remains absent at higher levels. Now it is
NSE F&O        82465.62    72954.94          13.04
                                                       now important that the markets witness follow up buying
Total          94360.08    86912.57          8.57
                                                       support at higher levels, for the Nifty to test the 5400
         F&O Contracts Traded (NSE)         *          level. Intermediate bouts of volatility would be witnessed.
               06/07/12     05/07/12        % Chg.
                                                       In the meanwhile the markets would take cues from the
                                                       forthcoming earnings season, Rupee, global markets and
Index Fut.      335717      285726           17.50
                                                       the crude prices. The support levels for Nifty are placed at
Stock Fut.      426593      428714           -0.49
                                                       5250, 5114, 5082, 4950 and 4841. The Nifty faces resistance
Index Opt.     2166534      1868978          15.92     at the 5333, 5379 and 5500 levels.
Stock Opt.      141847      133983           5.87
Total          3070691      2717401          11.24

NOTE - * - Source – BSE & NSE

Sanjay Bhatia (AVP – Technical Research), Email sanjay@keynotecapitals.net                  Yahoo Id: keytechnicals@yahoo.in



                                                             Keynote Capitals Ltd.
                                th
                     The Ruby, 9 Floor, Senapati Bapat Marg, Dadar (W), Mumbai, India – 400028. Tel: 3026 6000 / 2269 4322
                                                            www.keynotecapitals.com
Jaldi 5
                                   (Short Term Technical Ideas for 5 Trading Days)


                                                                               Stop
                                                  Initiation        Stop       Loss                      Target
        Stock         Close          Action         Price          Loss *       (%)          Target       (%)            Remarks
Apollo Tyre             81.75       Buy Above            82.50       80.00         3.03          88          6.67
Cipla                  327.90       Buy Above           331.00      322.45         2.58         350          5.74
Yes Bank               361.15    Buy Above         363.50     352.00               3.16         389          7.02
* Stop Losses are to be considered strictly on closing basis.


                                                            Intra-day Resistance                        Intra-day Support
        Indices         Close         Pivot Point          R1       R2         R3                S1            S2         S3
BSE SENSEX                 17521                17500      17575      17629          17759        17446        17371        17242
S&P CNX NIFTY               5317                 5311       5334        5350          5390            5294        5271       5232
NIFTY JULY FUT.             5327                 5322       5346        5364          5407            5303        5279       5236




                                                           Keynote Capitals Ltd.
                              th
                  The Ruby, 9 Floor, Senapati Bapat Marg, Dadar (W), Mumbai, India – 400028. Tel: 3026 6000 / 2269 4322
                                                         www.keynotecapitals.com
Stocks to watch out today

Adani Ports, Asian Paints, FT, Gail, HDIL, Hero Motocorp, Hexaware, HOECL, IGL, India Infoline, Jet Airways, Jindal Saw,
LIC Hsg; ONGC, Sesa Goa, Sobha, SREI Infra, Sterlite
Apollo Tyre, Chambal Fert; Cipla, Dena Bank, Dish TV, HDFC, HUL, ICICI Bank, IFCI, Indian Hotels, IOC, IRB, ITC, M&M,
McDowell, Mcleod Russel, REC, Suzlon Energy, Tata Comm.




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                                                           Keynote Capitals Ltd.
                              th
                   The Ruby, 9 Floor, Senapati Bapat Marg, Dadar (W), Mumbai, India – 400028. Tel: 3026 6000 / 2269 4322
                                                         www.keynotecapitals.com

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Keynote technicals daily report for 090712

  • 1. Daily Technical Outlook 9th July 2012 Indices * Close % Chg. BSE SENSEX 17521.12 -0.10 Markets range bound S&P CNX NIFTY 5316.95 -0.19 Mirroring the negative global market cues the domestic NIFTY JULY FUT. 5327.20 -0.32 markets witnessed a negative opening. Sustained selling India VIX 18.04 -1.68 pressure was witnessed as markets moved lower. However, S&P CNX NIFTY Technical Levels the markets managed to come off the lows in the afternoon trade. The over all trend remained range bound. The markets Level 1 Level 2 Level 3 ended the day with marginal losses to close near the highs Support 5250 5114 5083 for the day. The top losers for the day were BHEL, TCS, Resistance 5333 5379 5500 Jindal Steel, ACC, ITC, HUL, Powergrid, Hero Motocorp, Sun Moving Averages S&P CNX NIFTY Pharma and Grasim. 50 Day SMA 5055.84 Technically, the market breadth remained negative 100 Day SMA 5186.76 amidst lower volumes. The global market cues are 200 Day SMA 8083.52 ◄Critical negative. The domestic markets are likely to witness a flat to subdue opening. The prevailing technical positives Market Breadth * BSE NSE continue to hold good but markets lack momentum. The Advances 1361 597 Stochastic, MACD, RSI and KST all are placed above Declines 1532 913 their respective averages. Moreover, the MACD and KST Same 135 48 are also placed in the positive territory, which augurs Total 3028 1558 well for the markets. The Nifty remains placed above the A/D Ratio 0.89 : 1 0.65 : 1 50-day SMA, 100-day SMA and 200-day SMA. The +DI has moved lower along with the ADX line indicating buyers Volume (Lacs Shares) * are booking profit at higher levels. These positive 06/07/12 05/07/12 % Chg. conditions would lead to further buying support. BSE 2869 2845 0.84 However, a few technical negatives still hold good and NSE 7379 7927 -6.91 would weigh on the market sentiment. The RSI and the Total 10248 10772 -4.86 Stochastic are placed in the over bought zone on the daily charts, while the Nifty’s 50-day SMA remains placed Turnover ( ` Crores) * below its 100-day SMA and 200-day SMA. These negative 06/07/12 05/07/12 % Chg. conditions would result in regular bouts of profit taking BSE 2111.63 3948.92 -46.53 and selling pressure at higher levels. The market NSE 9782.83 10008.71 -2.26 sentiment remains positive but tentative. Follow up buying support remains absent at higher levels. Now it is NSE F&O 82465.62 72954.94 13.04 now important that the markets witness follow up buying Total 94360.08 86912.57 8.57 support at higher levels, for the Nifty to test the 5400 F&O Contracts Traded (NSE) * level. Intermediate bouts of volatility would be witnessed. 06/07/12 05/07/12 % Chg. In the meanwhile the markets would take cues from the forthcoming earnings season, Rupee, global markets and Index Fut. 335717 285726 17.50 the crude prices. The support levels for Nifty are placed at Stock Fut. 426593 428714 -0.49 5250, 5114, 5082, 4950 and 4841. The Nifty faces resistance Index Opt. 2166534 1868978 15.92 at the 5333, 5379 and 5500 levels. Stock Opt. 141847 133983 5.87 Total 3070691 2717401 11.24 NOTE - * - Source – BSE & NSE Sanjay Bhatia (AVP – Technical Research), Email sanjay@keynotecapitals.net Yahoo Id: keytechnicals@yahoo.in Keynote Capitals Ltd. th The Ruby, 9 Floor, Senapati Bapat Marg, Dadar (W), Mumbai, India – 400028. Tel: 3026 6000 / 2269 4322 www.keynotecapitals.com
  • 2. Jaldi 5 (Short Term Technical Ideas for 5 Trading Days) Stop Initiation Stop Loss Target Stock Close Action Price Loss * (%) Target (%) Remarks Apollo Tyre 81.75 Buy Above 82.50 80.00 3.03 88 6.67 Cipla 327.90 Buy Above 331.00 322.45 2.58 350 5.74 Yes Bank 361.15 Buy Above 363.50 352.00 3.16 389 7.02 * Stop Losses are to be considered strictly on closing basis. Intra-day Resistance Intra-day Support Indices Close Pivot Point R1 R2 R3 S1 S2 S3 BSE SENSEX 17521 17500 17575 17629 17759 17446 17371 17242 S&P CNX NIFTY 5317 5311 5334 5350 5390 5294 5271 5232 NIFTY JULY FUT. 5327 5322 5346 5364 5407 5303 5279 5236 Keynote Capitals Ltd. th The Ruby, 9 Floor, Senapati Bapat Marg, Dadar (W), Mumbai, India – 400028. Tel: 3026 6000 / 2269 4322 www.keynotecapitals.com
  • 3. Stocks to watch out today Adani Ports, Asian Paints, FT, Gail, HDIL, Hero Motocorp, Hexaware, HOECL, IGL, India Infoline, Jet Airways, Jindal Saw, LIC Hsg; ONGC, Sesa Goa, Sobha, SREI Infra, Sterlite Apollo Tyre, Chambal Fert; Cipla, Dena Bank, Dish TV, HDFC, HUL, ICICI Bank, IFCI, Indian Hotels, IOC, IRB, ITC, M&M, McDowell, Mcleod Russel, REC, Suzlon Energy, Tata Comm. Disclaimer This document is not for public distribution and has been furnished to you solely for your information and must not be reproduced or redistributed to any other person. Persons into whose possession this document may come are required to observe these restrictions. This material is for the personal information of the authorized recipient, and we are not soliciting any action based upon it. This report is not to be construed as an offer to sell or the solicitation of an offer to buy any security in any jurisdiction where such an offer or solicitation would be illegal. It is for the general information of clients of Keynote Capitals Ltd. It does not constitute a personal recommendation or take into account the particular investment objectives, financial situations, or needs of individual clients. We have reviewed the report, and in so far as it includes current or historical information, it is believed to be reliable though its accuracy or completeness cannot be guaranteed. Neither Keynote Capitals Ltd., nor any person connected with it, accepts any liability arising from the use of this document. The recipients of this material should rely on their own investigations and take their own professional advice. Price and value of the investments referred to in this material may go up or down. Past performance is not a guide for future performance. Certain transactions -including those involving futures, options and other derivatives as well as non-investment grade securities - involve substantial risk and are not suitable for all investors. Reports based on technical analysis centers on studying charts of a stock’s price movement and trading volume, as opposed to focusing on a company’s fundamentals and as such, may not match with a report on a company’s fundamentals. Opinions expressed are our current opinions as of the date appearing on this material only. While we endeavor to update on a reasonable basis the information discussed in this material, there may be regulatory, compliance, or other reasons that prevent us from doing so. Prospective investors and others are cautioned that any forward-looking statements are not predictions and may be subject to change without notice. Our proprietary trading and investment businesses may make investment decisions that are inconsistent with the recommendations expressed herein. We and our affiliates, officers, directors, and employees world wide may: (a) from time to time, have long or short positions in, and buy or sell the securities thereof, of company (ies) mentioned herein or (b) be engaged in any other transaction involving such securities and earn brokerage or other compensation or act as a market maker in the financial instruments of the company (ies) discussed herein or act as advisor or lender / borrower to such company (ies) or have other potential conflict of interest with respect to any recommendation and related information and opinions. The analyst for this report certifies that all of the views expressed in this report accurately reflect his or her personal views about the subject company or companies and its or their securities, and no part of his or her compensation was, is or will be, directly or indirectly related to specific recommendations or views expressed in this report. No part of this material may be duplicated in any form and/or redistributed without Keynote Capitals Ltd’s., prior written consent. Keynote Capitals Ltd. th The Ruby, 9 Floor, Senapati Bapat Marg, Dadar (W), Mumbai, India – 400028. Tel: 3026 6000 / 2269 4322 www.keynotecapitals.com