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Daily Technical Outlook

                                                                                                                    11th July 2012
         Indices *          Close          % Chg.
 BSE SENSEX                17618.35          1.30
                                                                    Markets inch closer to 5400
 S&P CNX NIFTY              5345.35          1.33
                                                       Mirroring the negative global market cues the domestic
 NIFTY JULY FUT.            5358.15          1.49
                                                       markets witnessed a subdue opening. The markets displayed
 India VIX                   17.83           -4.75     range bound behavior in the morning trade. However, buying
        S&P CNX NIFTY Technical Levels                 support picked up in the afternoon trade helping the markets
                                                       move higher, also leading to short covering. The markets
                 Level 1    Level 2         Level 3
                                                       managed to hold on to the gains and showed no signs of
Support           5333       5250            5114
                                                       weakness. It ended the day with moderate gains to close
Resistance        5379       5464            5500      near the highs for the day inching closer to the 5400 level.
        Moving Averages S&P CNX NIFTY                  The top gainers for the day were DLF, Bharti Airtel, Hindalco,
50 Day SMA                  5059.11
                                                       Sesa Goa, HDFC, GAIL, BPCL, Coal India, PNB and Rel.
                                                       Infra.
100 Day SMA                 5182.43
200 Day SMA                 5086.34        ◄Critical   Technically, the market breadth remained positive amidst
                                                       higher volumes, which is a positive sign for the markets.
   Market Breadth *          BSE             NSE
                                                       The global market cues are divergent. The domestic
Advances                     1758             974
                                                       markets are likely to witness a flat to subdue opening.
Declines                     1155             503      The prevailing technical positives helped the markets
Same                          104               82     move higher. The KST and RSI have once again moved
Total                        3017            1559      above their respective averages. Moreover, the MACD
A/D Ratio                   1.52 : 1        1.94 : 1   already remains placed above its average. The MACD
                                                       and KST are also placed in the positive territory, which
             Volume (Lacs Shares)      *               augurs well for the markets. The Nifty remains placed
               10/07/12     09/07/12        % Chg.     above the 50-day SMA, 100-day SMA and 200-day SMA.
BSE              2341        2305            1.56      These positive technical conditions would prompt further
NSE              6429        6123            5.00      buying support. However, a few technical negatives still
Total            8770        8428            4.06      hold good which would cap the upside gains Stochastic
                                                       remains placed below its average. Further, the Nifty’s 50-
             Turnover ( ` Crores)      *               day SMA remains placed below its 100-day SMA and 200-
               10/07/12     09/07/12        % Chg.     day SMA. These negative technical conditions would
BSE             2004.12     1818.07          10.23     lead to profit taking at higher levels. The ADX line and
NSE             9513.91     8430.14          12.86
                                                       +DI line are trending upwards and have moved above the
                                                       30 level indicating buyers are gaining strength. The
NSE F&O        100391.57   86848.16          15.59
                                                       market sentiment remains positive but follow up buying
Total          111909.60   97096.37          15.26
                                                       support is needed at higher levels. Now it is now
         F&O Contracts Traded (NSE)         *          important that the markets witness buying support at
               10/07/12     09/07/12        % Chg.
                                                       regular intervals, for the Nifty to move above the 5379
                                                       resistance level. Intermediate bouts of volatility would be
Index Fut.      399418      330857           20.72
                                                       witnessed. In the meanwhile the markets would take cues
Stock Fut.      445239      377062           18.08
                                                       from the forthcoming earnings season, Rupee, global
Index Opt.     2750957      2403677          14.45     markets and the crude prices. The support levels for Nifty
Stock Opt.      166677      138256           20.56     are placed at 5333, 5250, 5114, 5086 and 4950. The Nifty
Total          3762291      3249852          11.56     faces resistance at the 5379, 5464 and 5500 levels.
NOTE - * - Source – BSE & NSE

Sanjay Bhatia (AVP – Technical Research), Email sanjay@keynotecapitals.net                  Yahoo Id: keytechnicals@yahoo.in



                                                              Keynote Capitals Ltd.
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                     The Ruby, 9 Floor, Senapati Bapat Marg, Dadar (W), Mumbai, India – 400028. Tel: 3026 6000 / 2269 4322
                                                            www.keynotecapitals.com
Jaldi 5
                                   (Short Term Technical Ideas for 5 Trading Days)


                                                                              Stop
                                                  Initiation        Stop      Loss                      Target
      Stock           Close          Action         Price          Loss *      (%)          Target       (%)            Remarks
Axis Bank             1075.30       Buy Above           1079       1060.00        1.76        1120          3.80
Divis Labs            1043.15       Buy Above           1050       1027.00        2.19        1100          4.76
Hindalco               127.65    Buy Above            129     124.75              3.29       138.00         6.98
* Stop Losses are to be considered strictly on closing basis.


                                                           Intra-day Resistance                        Intra-day Support
      Indices           Close         Pivot Point         R1       R2         R3                S1            S2         S3
BSE SENSEX                 17618                17558     17692       17765         17972        17485        17351        17144
S&P CNX NIFTY               5345                 5326       5368       5390          5454            5304        5262       5198
NIFTY JULY FUT.             5358                 5334       5388       5418          5501            5304        5250       5167




                                                          Keynote Capitals Ltd.
                              th
                  The Ruby, 9 Floor, Senapati Bapat Marg, Dadar (W), Mumbai, India – 400028. Tel: 3026 6000 / 2269 4322
                                                        www.keynotecapitals.com
Stocks to watch out today

Apollo Tyre, Axis Bank, Balrampur Chini, BF Utilities, Cipla, Dr. Reddys, Divis Labs, GMDC, Godrej Inds; Havells, HCL Tech;
Hindalco, ICICI Bank, ITC, Maruti, Mphasis, PNB, PTC, Punj Lloyd, Rel. Comm; Rel. Capital, Siemens, Sterlite, Tata Comm;
Tata Motors, TVS Motors, Ruchi Soya, Sun TV, Wipro, ZEEL




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                                                           Keynote Capitals Ltd.
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                   The Ruby, 9 Floor, Senapati Bapat Marg, Dadar (W), Mumbai, India – 400028. Tel: 3026 6000 / 2269 4322
                                                         www.keynotecapitals.com

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Keynote technicals daily report for 110712

  • 1. Daily Technical Outlook 11th July 2012 Indices * Close % Chg. BSE SENSEX 17618.35 1.30 Markets inch closer to 5400 S&P CNX NIFTY 5345.35 1.33 Mirroring the negative global market cues the domestic NIFTY JULY FUT. 5358.15 1.49 markets witnessed a subdue opening. The markets displayed India VIX 17.83 -4.75 range bound behavior in the morning trade. However, buying S&P CNX NIFTY Technical Levels support picked up in the afternoon trade helping the markets move higher, also leading to short covering. The markets Level 1 Level 2 Level 3 managed to hold on to the gains and showed no signs of Support 5333 5250 5114 weakness. It ended the day with moderate gains to close Resistance 5379 5464 5500 near the highs for the day inching closer to the 5400 level. Moving Averages S&P CNX NIFTY The top gainers for the day were DLF, Bharti Airtel, Hindalco, 50 Day SMA 5059.11 Sesa Goa, HDFC, GAIL, BPCL, Coal India, PNB and Rel. Infra. 100 Day SMA 5182.43 200 Day SMA 5086.34 ◄Critical Technically, the market breadth remained positive amidst higher volumes, which is a positive sign for the markets. Market Breadth * BSE NSE The global market cues are divergent. The domestic Advances 1758 974 markets are likely to witness a flat to subdue opening. Declines 1155 503 The prevailing technical positives helped the markets Same 104 82 move higher. The KST and RSI have once again moved Total 3017 1559 above their respective averages. Moreover, the MACD A/D Ratio 1.52 : 1 1.94 : 1 already remains placed above its average. The MACD and KST are also placed in the positive territory, which Volume (Lacs Shares) * augurs well for the markets. The Nifty remains placed 10/07/12 09/07/12 % Chg. above the 50-day SMA, 100-day SMA and 200-day SMA. BSE 2341 2305 1.56 These positive technical conditions would prompt further NSE 6429 6123 5.00 buying support. However, a few technical negatives still Total 8770 8428 4.06 hold good which would cap the upside gains Stochastic remains placed below its average. Further, the Nifty’s 50- Turnover ( ` Crores) * day SMA remains placed below its 100-day SMA and 200- 10/07/12 09/07/12 % Chg. day SMA. These negative technical conditions would BSE 2004.12 1818.07 10.23 lead to profit taking at higher levels. The ADX line and NSE 9513.91 8430.14 12.86 +DI line are trending upwards and have moved above the 30 level indicating buyers are gaining strength. The NSE F&O 100391.57 86848.16 15.59 market sentiment remains positive but follow up buying Total 111909.60 97096.37 15.26 support is needed at higher levels. Now it is now F&O Contracts Traded (NSE) * important that the markets witness buying support at 10/07/12 09/07/12 % Chg. regular intervals, for the Nifty to move above the 5379 resistance level. Intermediate bouts of volatility would be Index Fut. 399418 330857 20.72 witnessed. In the meanwhile the markets would take cues Stock Fut. 445239 377062 18.08 from the forthcoming earnings season, Rupee, global Index Opt. 2750957 2403677 14.45 markets and the crude prices. The support levels for Nifty Stock Opt. 166677 138256 20.56 are placed at 5333, 5250, 5114, 5086 and 4950. The Nifty Total 3762291 3249852 11.56 faces resistance at the 5379, 5464 and 5500 levels. NOTE - * - Source – BSE & NSE Sanjay Bhatia (AVP – Technical Research), Email sanjay@keynotecapitals.net Yahoo Id: keytechnicals@yahoo.in Keynote Capitals Ltd. th The Ruby, 9 Floor, Senapati Bapat Marg, Dadar (W), Mumbai, India – 400028. Tel: 3026 6000 / 2269 4322 www.keynotecapitals.com
  • 2. Jaldi 5 (Short Term Technical Ideas for 5 Trading Days) Stop Initiation Stop Loss Target Stock Close Action Price Loss * (%) Target (%) Remarks Axis Bank 1075.30 Buy Above 1079 1060.00 1.76 1120 3.80 Divis Labs 1043.15 Buy Above 1050 1027.00 2.19 1100 4.76 Hindalco 127.65 Buy Above 129 124.75 3.29 138.00 6.98 * Stop Losses are to be considered strictly on closing basis. Intra-day Resistance Intra-day Support Indices Close Pivot Point R1 R2 R3 S1 S2 S3 BSE SENSEX 17618 17558 17692 17765 17972 17485 17351 17144 S&P CNX NIFTY 5345 5326 5368 5390 5454 5304 5262 5198 NIFTY JULY FUT. 5358 5334 5388 5418 5501 5304 5250 5167 Keynote Capitals Ltd. th The Ruby, 9 Floor, Senapati Bapat Marg, Dadar (W), Mumbai, India – 400028. Tel: 3026 6000 / 2269 4322 www.keynotecapitals.com
  • 3. Stocks to watch out today Apollo Tyre, Axis Bank, Balrampur Chini, BF Utilities, Cipla, Dr. Reddys, Divis Labs, GMDC, Godrej Inds; Havells, HCL Tech; Hindalco, ICICI Bank, ITC, Maruti, Mphasis, PNB, PTC, Punj Lloyd, Rel. Comm; Rel. Capital, Siemens, Sterlite, Tata Comm; Tata Motors, TVS Motors, Ruchi Soya, Sun TV, Wipro, ZEEL Disclaimer This document is not for public distribution and has been furnished to you solely for your information and must not be reproduced or redistributed to any other person. Persons into whose possession this document may come are required to observe these restrictions. This material is for the personal information of the authorized recipient, and we are not soliciting any action based upon it. This report is not to be construed as an offer to sell or the solicitation of an offer to buy any security in any jurisdiction where such an offer or solicitation would be illegal. It is for the general information of clients of Keynote Capitals Ltd. It does not constitute a personal recommendation or take into account the particular investment objectives, financial situations, or needs of individual clients. We have reviewed the report, and in so far as it includes current or historical information, it is believed to be reliable though its accuracy or completeness cannot be guaranteed. Neither Keynote Capitals Ltd., nor any person connected with it, accepts any liability arising from the use of this document. The recipients of this material should rely on their own investigations and take their own professional advice. Price and value of the investments referred to in this material may go up or down. Past performance is not a guide for future performance. Certain transactions -including those involving futures, options and other derivatives as well as non-investment grade securities - involve substantial risk and are not suitable for all investors. Reports based on technical analysis centers on studying charts of a stock’s price movement and trading volume, as opposed to focusing on a company’s fundamentals and as such, may not match with a report on a company’s fundamentals. Opinions expressed are our current opinions as of the date appearing on this material only. While we endeavor to update on a reasonable basis the information discussed in this material, there may be regulatory, compliance, or other reasons that prevent us from doing so. Prospective investors and others are cautioned that any forward-looking statements are not predictions and may be subject to change without notice. Our proprietary trading and investment businesses may make investment decisions that are inconsistent with the recommendations expressed herein. We and our affiliates, officers, directors, and employees world wide may: (a) from time to time, have long or short positions in, and buy or sell the securities thereof, of company (ies) mentioned herein or (b) be engaged in any other transaction involving such securities and earn brokerage or other compensation or act as a market maker in the financial instruments of the company (ies) discussed herein or act as advisor or lender / borrower to such company (ies) or have other potential conflict of interest with respect to any recommendation and related information and opinions. The analyst for this report certifies that all of the views expressed in this report accurately reflect his or her personal views about the subject company or companies and its or their securities, and no part of his or her compensation was, is or will be, directly or indirectly related to specific recommendations or views expressed in this report. No part of this material may be duplicated in any form and/or redistributed without Keynote Capitals Ltd’s., prior written consent. Keynote Capitals Ltd. th The Ruby, 9 Floor, Senapati Bapat Marg, Dadar (W), Mumbai, India – 400028. Tel: 3026 6000 / 2269 4322 www.keynotecapitals.com