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Daily Technical Outlook

                                                                                                         15th November 2012
         Indices *             Close          % Chg.                        Markets stuck in a range
 BSE SENSEX                    18618.87             -0.28
 S&P CNX NIFTY                  5666.95             -0.29     The markets remained range bound during this truncated
 NIFTY NOV. FUT.                5680.70             -0.53     trading session. It ended the day with marginal losses to
 India VIX                        14.91             0.33      close near the lows for the day. The top losers for the day
                                                              were Jpo Associates, Ultratech Cemco, Dr. Reddys, DLF,
        S&P CNX NIFTY Technical Levels                        SBI, Tata Motors, Grasim, IDFC, HDFC and Infosys Tech.
                 Level 1       Level 2         Level 3
Support           5665          5554            5447          Technically, the market breadth remained robust. The
Resistance        5747          5816            5885          prevailing negative technical conditions continued to
                                                              weigh on the market sentiment. These conditions still
 Simple Moving Averages S&P CNX NIFTY                         hold good. The RSI and the Stochastic are placed below
50 Day SMA                     5609.47                        their respective averages. The KST remains placed in the
100 Day SMA                    5433.98                        negative and warns of impending selling pressure.
200 Day SMA                    5316.13        ◄Positive       However, a few technical positives still hold good and
                                                              would help in supporting the markets at lower levels. The
   Market Breadth *             BSE             NSE           KST has moved above its average. Moreover, the MACD
Advances                            1837             1011     is placed above its average and is also placed in the
Declines                             799               430    positive territory, which augurs well for the markets. The
Same                                 166                 86   Nifty remains placed above its 50-day SMA, 100-day SMA
Total                               2802             1527     and 200-day SMA. More so the Nifty’s 50-day SMA
A/D Ratio                        2.30 : 1          2.35 : 1
                                                              remains placed above Nifty’s 100-day SMA and 200-day
                                                              SMA, the later being called the ‘Golden Cross breakout’.
             Volume (Lacs Shares)         *                   These positive conditions would lead to regular bouts of
               13/11/12        12/11/12        % Chg.         short covering and buying support. The ADX line, +DI
BSE                    1194         2602            -54.11
                                                              line and –DI line are moving sideways, indicating a range
                                                              bound trend. The market sentiment remains cautious as
NSE                    2550         6435            -60.38
                                                              the Nifty has closed below the 5700 level. Now, it is
Total                  3744         9037            -58.57
                                                              important that the Nifty moves and sustains above the
             Turnover ( ` Crores)         *                   5747 level for buying support to emerge. In the
               13/11/12        12/11/12        % Chg.
                                                              meanwhile the markets would take cues from the global
                                                              markets, earnings season, Rupee and the crude prices.
BSE                   973.61     3732.07            -73.91
                                                              The support levels for Nifty are placed at 5665, 5554 and
NSE                  2951.03    12924.08            -77.17
                                                              5447 The Nifty faces resistance at 5747, 5816, 5885, 5910
NSE F&O          26595.23       95023.41            -72.01    and 5945 levels.
Total            30519.87 111679.56                 -72.67

         F&O Contracts Traded (NSE)            *
               13/11/12        12/11/12        % Chg.
Index Fut.            81284      236394             -65.62
Stock Fut.           115719      503667             -77.02
Index Opt.           664896     2148119             -69.05
Stock Opt.            57664      342041             -83.14
Total                919563     3230221             -54.72

NOTE - * - Source – BSE & NSE


Sanjay Bhatia (AVP – Technical Research), Email sanjay@keynotecapitals.net                   Yahoo Id: keytechnicals@yahoo.in


                                                                   Keynote Capitals Ltd.
              The Ruby, 9th Floor, Senapati Bapat Marg, Dadar (W), Mumbai, India – 400028. Tel: 3026 6000 / 2269 4322
                                                                   www.keynotecapitals.com
Jaldi 5 (Short Term Technical Ideas for 5 Trading Days)
                                                                                      Stop
                                                       Initiation       Stop          Loss                      Target
       Stock              Close           Action         Price         Loss *          (%)       Target          (%)                 Remarks
Bharti Airtel              283.00        Buy Above           284.00        277.25       2.38         299.00           5.28
FT                        1197.20        Buy Above        1200.00      1128.00          6.00     1360.00             13.33
REC                    224.80   Buy Above         225.00      221.75                    1.44         232.00           3.11
* Stop Losses are to be considered strictly on closing basis.

                                                                  Intra-day Resistance                          Intra-day Support
       Indices              Close           Pivot Point          R1       R2         R3                   S1           S2         S3
BSE SENSEX                     18619                 18648       18704        18788          18929        18563              18507       18367
S&P CNX NIFTY                     5667                5675          5690       5713           5751            5652            5637        5599
NIFTY NOV. FUT.                   5681                5687          5702       5724           5761            5665            5650        5613




                                               Stocks To Watch Out Today
Arvind, Ashok Leyland, Bharti Airtel, Colgate, Delta Corp; Divis Labs, FT, HDFC Bank, HDIL, IDFC, Indusind Bank,
Karnataka Bank, Max India, Powergrid, REC., Sun Pharma, Tata Coffee, TCS, United Spirits
Aban offshore, Apollo Tyre, Bajaj Hind; Hero Motocorp, IGL, IVRCL, L&T, M&M, maruti, NCC, Oil India, ONGC, Petronet,
Polaris, Punj Lloyd, Ranbaxy, SAIL, Siemens, Sobha, Syndicate Bank, Tata Comm; Tata Power, Tata Steel, Uniphos, ZEEL




                                                                Keynote Capitals Ltd.
                The Ruby, 9th Floor, Senapati Bapat Marg, Dadar (W), Mumbai, India – 400028. Tel: 3026 6000 / 2269 4322
                                                               www.keynotecapitals.com
NOTE:

TECHNICAL ANALYSIS ABBREVATIONS
SMA – Simple Moving Average
EMA – Exponential Moving Average
WMA – Weighted Moving Average




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                                                       Keynote Capitals Ltd.
          The Ruby, 9th Floor, Senapati Bapat Marg, Dadar (W), Mumbai, India – 400028. Tel: 3026 6000 / 2269 4322
                                                      www.keynotecapitals.com

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Keynote technicals daily report for 151112

  • 1. Daily Technical Outlook 15th November 2012 Indices * Close % Chg. Markets stuck in a range BSE SENSEX 18618.87 -0.28 S&P CNX NIFTY 5666.95 -0.29 The markets remained range bound during this truncated NIFTY NOV. FUT. 5680.70 -0.53 trading session. It ended the day with marginal losses to India VIX 14.91 0.33 close near the lows for the day. The top losers for the day were Jpo Associates, Ultratech Cemco, Dr. Reddys, DLF, S&P CNX NIFTY Technical Levels SBI, Tata Motors, Grasim, IDFC, HDFC and Infosys Tech. Level 1 Level 2 Level 3 Support 5665 5554 5447 Technically, the market breadth remained robust. The Resistance 5747 5816 5885 prevailing negative technical conditions continued to weigh on the market sentiment. These conditions still Simple Moving Averages S&P CNX NIFTY hold good. The RSI and the Stochastic are placed below 50 Day SMA 5609.47 their respective averages. The KST remains placed in the 100 Day SMA 5433.98 negative and warns of impending selling pressure. 200 Day SMA 5316.13 ◄Positive However, a few technical positives still hold good and would help in supporting the markets at lower levels. The Market Breadth * BSE NSE KST has moved above its average. Moreover, the MACD Advances 1837 1011 is placed above its average and is also placed in the Declines 799 430 positive territory, which augurs well for the markets. The Same 166 86 Nifty remains placed above its 50-day SMA, 100-day SMA Total 2802 1527 and 200-day SMA. More so the Nifty’s 50-day SMA A/D Ratio 2.30 : 1 2.35 : 1 remains placed above Nifty’s 100-day SMA and 200-day SMA, the later being called the ‘Golden Cross breakout’. Volume (Lacs Shares) * These positive conditions would lead to regular bouts of 13/11/12 12/11/12 % Chg. short covering and buying support. The ADX line, +DI BSE 1194 2602 -54.11 line and –DI line are moving sideways, indicating a range bound trend. The market sentiment remains cautious as NSE 2550 6435 -60.38 the Nifty has closed below the 5700 level. Now, it is Total 3744 9037 -58.57 important that the Nifty moves and sustains above the Turnover ( ` Crores) * 5747 level for buying support to emerge. In the 13/11/12 12/11/12 % Chg. meanwhile the markets would take cues from the global markets, earnings season, Rupee and the crude prices. BSE 973.61 3732.07 -73.91 The support levels for Nifty are placed at 5665, 5554 and NSE 2951.03 12924.08 -77.17 5447 The Nifty faces resistance at 5747, 5816, 5885, 5910 NSE F&O 26595.23 95023.41 -72.01 and 5945 levels. Total 30519.87 111679.56 -72.67 F&O Contracts Traded (NSE) * 13/11/12 12/11/12 % Chg. Index Fut. 81284 236394 -65.62 Stock Fut. 115719 503667 -77.02 Index Opt. 664896 2148119 -69.05 Stock Opt. 57664 342041 -83.14 Total 919563 3230221 -54.72 NOTE - * - Source – BSE & NSE Sanjay Bhatia (AVP – Technical Research), Email sanjay@keynotecapitals.net Yahoo Id: keytechnicals@yahoo.in Keynote Capitals Ltd. The Ruby, 9th Floor, Senapati Bapat Marg, Dadar (W), Mumbai, India – 400028. Tel: 3026 6000 / 2269 4322 www.keynotecapitals.com
  • 2. Jaldi 5 (Short Term Technical Ideas for 5 Trading Days) Stop Initiation Stop Loss Target Stock Close Action Price Loss * (%) Target (%) Remarks Bharti Airtel 283.00 Buy Above 284.00 277.25 2.38 299.00 5.28 FT 1197.20 Buy Above 1200.00 1128.00 6.00 1360.00 13.33 REC 224.80 Buy Above 225.00 221.75 1.44 232.00 3.11 * Stop Losses are to be considered strictly on closing basis. Intra-day Resistance Intra-day Support Indices Close Pivot Point R1 R2 R3 S1 S2 S3 BSE SENSEX 18619 18648 18704 18788 18929 18563 18507 18367 S&P CNX NIFTY 5667 5675 5690 5713 5751 5652 5637 5599 NIFTY NOV. FUT. 5681 5687 5702 5724 5761 5665 5650 5613 Stocks To Watch Out Today Arvind, Ashok Leyland, Bharti Airtel, Colgate, Delta Corp; Divis Labs, FT, HDFC Bank, HDIL, IDFC, Indusind Bank, Karnataka Bank, Max India, Powergrid, REC., Sun Pharma, Tata Coffee, TCS, United Spirits Aban offshore, Apollo Tyre, Bajaj Hind; Hero Motocorp, IGL, IVRCL, L&T, M&M, maruti, NCC, Oil India, ONGC, Petronet, Polaris, Punj Lloyd, Ranbaxy, SAIL, Siemens, Sobha, Syndicate Bank, Tata Comm; Tata Power, Tata Steel, Uniphos, ZEEL Keynote Capitals Ltd. The Ruby, 9th Floor, Senapati Bapat Marg, Dadar (W), Mumbai, India – 400028. Tel: 3026 6000 / 2269 4322 www.keynotecapitals.com
  • 3. NOTE: TECHNICAL ANALYSIS ABBREVATIONS SMA – Simple Moving Average EMA – Exponential Moving Average WMA – Weighted Moving Average Disclaimer This document is not for public distribution and has been furnished to you solely for your information and must not be reproduced or redistributed to any other person. Persons into whose possession this document may come are required to observe these restrictions. This material is for the personal information of the authorized recipient, and we are not soliciting any action based upon it. This report is not to be construed as an offer to sell or the solicitation of an offer to buy any security in any jurisdiction where such an offer or solicitation would be illegal. It is for the general information of clients of Keynote Capitals Ltd. It does not constitute a personal recommendation or take into account the particular investment objectives, financial situations, or needs of individual clients. We have reviewed the report, and in so far as it includes current or historical information, it is believed to be reliable though its accuracy or completeness cannot be guaranteed. Neither Keynote Capitals Ltd., nor any person connected with it, accepts any liability arising from the use of this document. The recipients of this material should rely on their own investigations and take their own professional advice. Price and value of the investments referred to in this material may go up or down. Past performance is not a guide for future performance. Certain transactions -including those involving futures, options and other derivatives as well as non-investment grade securities - involve substantial risk and are not suitable for all investors. Reports based on technical analysis centers on studying charts of a stock’s price movement and trading volume, as opposed to focusing on a company’s fundamentals and as such, may not match with a report on a company’s fundamentals. Opinions expressed are our current opinions as of the date appearing on this material only. While we endeavor to update on a reasonable basis the information discussed in this material, there may be regulatory, compliance, or other reasons that prevent us from doing so. Prospective investors and others are cautioned that any forward-looking statements are not predictions and may be subject to change without notice. Our proprietary trading and investment businesses may make investment decisions that are inconsistent with the recommendations expressed herein. We and our affiliates, officers, directors, and employees world wide may: (a) from time to time, have long or short positions in, and buy or sell the securities thereof, of company (ies) mentioned herein or (b) be engaged in any other transaction involving such securities and earn brokerage or other compensation or act as a market maker in the financial instruments of the company (ies) discussed herein or act as advisor or lender / borrower to such company (ies) or have other potential conflict of interest with respect to any recommendation and related information and opinions. The analyst for this report certifies that all of the views expressed in this report accurately reflect his or her personal views about the subject company or companies and its or their securities, and no part of his or her compensation was, is or will be, directly or indirectly related to specific recommendations or views expressed in this report. No part of this material may be duplicated in any form and/or redistributed without Keynote Capitals Ltd’s., prior written consent. Keynote Capitals Ltd. The Ruby, 9th Floor, Senapati Bapat Marg, Dadar (W), Mumbai, India – 400028. Tel: 3026 6000 / 2269 4322 www.keynotecapitals.com