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Daily Technical Outlook

                                                                                                                    16th July 2012
         Indices *          Close          % Chg.
 BSE SENSEX                17213.70          -0.11
                                                                Markets to remain range bound
 S&P CNX NIFTY              5227.25          -0.15
                                                       The domestic markets witnessed a positive opening.
 NIFTY JULY FUT.            5240.45          -0.21
                                                       However, lack of follow up buying support at higher levels
 India VIX                   18.26           -2.40     and selling pressure saw the markets come off the highs for
        S&P CNX NIFTY Technical Levels                 the day. The overall trend remained range bound and listless.
                                                       Increased selling pressure was witnessed in the afternoon
                 Level 1    Level 2         Level 3
                                                       trade. The markets ended the day with modest losses to
Support           5114       5090            4950
                                                       close near the lows for the day. The top losers for the day
Resistance        5250       5333            5379      were BHEL, TCS, Jindal Steel, ACC, ITC, HUL, Powergrid,
        Moving Averages S&P CNX NIFTY                  Hero Motocorp, Sun Pharma and Grasim.
50 Day SMA                  5064.19
                                                       Technically, the market breadth remained negative
100 Day SMA                 5173.35                    amidst lower volumes. The Asian market cues are
200 Day SMA                 5091.81        ◄Critical   positive. The domestic markets are likely to witness a flat
                                                       opening. The prevailing technical negatives continued to
   Market Breadth *          BSE             NSE
                                                       weigh on the market sentiment as Nifty continued to
Advances                     1304             676
                                                       trade below the 5250 support level. The Stochastic, RSI
Declines                     1474             810      and KST remain placed below their respective averages.
Same                          137               80     Further, the Nifty’s 50-day SMA remains placed below its
Total                        2915            1566      100-day SMA and 200-day SMA. These negative technical
A/D Ratio                   0.88 : 1        0.83 : 1   conditions would continue to prompt selling pressure on
                                                       the bourses. However, a few technical positives still hold
             Volume (Lacs Shares)      *               good. The MACD remains placed above its average.
               13/07/12     12/07/12        % Chg.     Moreover, the MACD and KST remain placed in the
BSE              2044        2106            -2.94     positive territory. The Nifty also remains placed above
NSE              5844        6265            -6.72     the 50-day SMA, 100-day SMA and 200-day SMA. These
Total            7888        8371            -5.77     positive technical conditions would lead to buying
                                                       support at lower levels. The ADX line, -DI line and +DI
             Turnover ( ` Crores)      *               line are moving sideways, indicating a range bound
               13/07/12     12/07/12        % Chg.     market. The market sentiment remains cautious ahead of
BSE             1934.89     2189.00         -11.61     the inflation numbers to be announced on Monday and
NSE             8869.08    10324.67         -14.10
                                                       the Presidential polls to be held on July 19. Now it is
                                                       important that the Nifty moves and closes above the 5250
NSE F&O        98928.62    132986.11        -25.61
                                                       level otherwise increased selling pressure is likely to be
Total          109732.59   145499.78        -24.58
                                                       witnessed and Nifty could test its 200-day SMA placed
         F&O Contracts Traded (NSE)         *          around 5091 level. The markets would witness
               13/07/12     12/07/12        % Chg.
                                                       intermediate bouts of volatility. In the meanwhile the
                                                       markets would take cues from the earnings season, the
Index Fut.      330421      466714          -29.20
                                                       monthly inflation figure, which would have a baring on
Stock Fut.      406847      491423          -17.21
                                                       RBI’s next policy initiatives, Rupee, global markets and
Index Opt.     2696449      3587309         -24.83     the crude prices. The support levels for Nifty are placed at
Stock Opt.      263550      416504          -36.72     5114, 5091 and 4950. The Nifty faces resistance at the 5250,
Total          3697267      4961950         -21.04     5333, 5379, 5464 and 5500 levels.
NOTE - * - Source – BSE & NSE

Sanjay Bhatia (AVP – Technical Research), Email sanjay@keynotecapitals.net                  Yahoo Id: keytechnicals@yahoo.in



                                                             Keynote Capitals Ltd.
                                th
                     The Ruby, 9 Floor, Senapati Bapat Marg, Dadar (W), Mumbai, India – 400028. Tel: 3026 6000 / 2269 4322
                                                            www.keynotecapitals.com
Jaldi 5
                                   (Short Term Technical Ideas for 5 Trading Days)


                                                                               Stop
                                                  Initiation        Stop       Loss                      Target
      Stock           Close          Action         Price          Loss *       (%)          Target       (%)            Remarks
Bajaj Hind.             33.80       Buy Above            34.50       32.45         5.94          39          13.04
Biocon                 245.00       Buy Above           246.70      239.75         2.82         262           6.20
Cairn India            316.15    Buy Above         317.00     311.00               1.89         330           4.10
* Stop Losses are to be considered strictly on closing basis.


                                                            Intra-day Resistance                        Intra-day Support
      Indices           Close         Pivot Point          R1       R2         R3                S1            S2         S3
BSE SENSEX                 17214                17246      17310      17407          17567        17150         17086       16925
S&P CNX NIFTY               5227                 5237       5257        5287          5338            5207        5187       5136
NIFTY JULY FUT.             5240                 5249       5269        5297          5345            5221        5201       5153




                                                           Keynote Capitals Ltd.
                              th
                  The Ruby, 9 Floor, Senapati Bapat Marg, Dadar (W), Mumbai, India – 400028. Tel: 3026 6000 / 2269 4322
                                                         www.keynotecapitals.com
Stocks to watch out today

Aban, Biocon, Cairn India, Cipla, DCB, Dena Bank, Divis Labs, Hero Motorcorp; Lupin, Oil India, ONGC
AB Nuvo, Adani Ports, Allahabad bank, Arvind, Ashok Leyland, Axis Bank, bank of India, bharti Airtel, Crompton Greaves,
Escorts, Federal Bank, FT, GSPL, Hexaware, Hind. Zinc, IVRCL, Jindal Steel, JSW Steel, Jubilant Food, LIC Housing, Maruti,
Mcleod Russel, Opto Circuit, Rel. Capital, Siemens, Sterlite, Tata Steel, Titan, Wipro




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      This material is for the personal information of the authorized recipient, and we are not soliciting any action based
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      Capitals Ltd. It does not constitute a personal recommendation or take into account the particular investment
      objectives, financial situations, or needs of individual clients.
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                                                            Keynote Capitals Ltd.
                               th
                    The Ruby, 9 Floor, Senapati Bapat Marg, Dadar (W), Mumbai, India – 400028. Tel: 3026 6000 / 2269 4322
                                                          www.keynotecapitals.com

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Keynote technicals daily report for 160712

  • 1. Daily Technical Outlook 16th July 2012 Indices * Close % Chg. BSE SENSEX 17213.70 -0.11 Markets to remain range bound S&P CNX NIFTY 5227.25 -0.15 The domestic markets witnessed a positive opening. NIFTY JULY FUT. 5240.45 -0.21 However, lack of follow up buying support at higher levels India VIX 18.26 -2.40 and selling pressure saw the markets come off the highs for S&P CNX NIFTY Technical Levels the day. The overall trend remained range bound and listless. Increased selling pressure was witnessed in the afternoon Level 1 Level 2 Level 3 trade. The markets ended the day with modest losses to Support 5114 5090 4950 close near the lows for the day. The top losers for the day Resistance 5250 5333 5379 were BHEL, TCS, Jindal Steel, ACC, ITC, HUL, Powergrid, Moving Averages S&P CNX NIFTY Hero Motocorp, Sun Pharma and Grasim. 50 Day SMA 5064.19 Technically, the market breadth remained negative 100 Day SMA 5173.35 amidst lower volumes. The Asian market cues are 200 Day SMA 5091.81 ◄Critical positive. The domestic markets are likely to witness a flat opening. The prevailing technical negatives continued to Market Breadth * BSE NSE weigh on the market sentiment as Nifty continued to Advances 1304 676 trade below the 5250 support level. The Stochastic, RSI Declines 1474 810 and KST remain placed below their respective averages. Same 137 80 Further, the Nifty’s 50-day SMA remains placed below its Total 2915 1566 100-day SMA and 200-day SMA. These negative technical A/D Ratio 0.88 : 1 0.83 : 1 conditions would continue to prompt selling pressure on the bourses. However, a few technical positives still hold Volume (Lacs Shares) * good. The MACD remains placed above its average. 13/07/12 12/07/12 % Chg. Moreover, the MACD and KST remain placed in the BSE 2044 2106 -2.94 positive territory. The Nifty also remains placed above NSE 5844 6265 -6.72 the 50-day SMA, 100-day SMA and 200-day SMA. These Total 7888 8371 -5.77 positive technical conditions would lead to buying support at lower levels. The ADX line, -DI line and +DI Turnover ( ` Crores) * line are moving sideways, indicating a range bound 13/07/12 12/07/12 % Chg. market. The market sentiment remains cautious ahead of BSE 1934.89 2189.00 -11.61 the inflation numbers to be announced on Monday and NSE 8869.08 10324.67 -14.10 the Presidential polls to be held on July 19. Now it is important that the Nifty moves and closes above the 5250 NSE F&O 98928.62 132986.11 -25.61 level otherwise increased selling pressure is likely to be Total 109732.59 145499.78 -24.58 witnessed and Nifty could test its 200-day SMA placed F&O Contracts Traded (NSE) * around 5091 level. The markets would witness 13/07/12 12/07/12 % Chg. intermediate bouts of volatility. In the meanwhile the markets would take cues from the earnings season, the Index Fut. 330421 466714 -29.20 monthly inflation figure, which would have a baring on Stock Fut. 406847 491423 -17.21 RBI’s next policy initiatives, Rupee, global markets and Index Opt. 2696449 3587309 -24.83 the crude prices. The support levels for Nifty are placed at Stock Opt. 263550 416504 -36.72 5114, 5091 and 4950. The Nifty faces resistance at the 5250, Total 3697267 4961950 -21.04 5333, 5379, 5464 and 5500 levels. NOTE - * - Source – BSE & NSE Sanjay Bhatia (AVP – Technical Research), Email sanjay@keynotecapitals.net Yahoo Id: keytechnicals@yahoo.in Keynote Capitals Ltd. th The Ruby, 9 Floor, Senapati Bapat Marg, Dadar (W), Mumbai, India – 400028. Tel: 3026 6000 / 2269 4322 www.keynotecapitals.com
  • 2. Jaldi 5 (Short Term Technical Ideas for 5 Trading Days) Stop Initiation Stop Loss Target Stock Close Action Price Loss * (%) Target (%) Remarks Bajaj Hind. 33.80 Buy Above 34.50 32.45 5.94 39 13.04 Biocon 245.00 Buy Above 246.70 239.75 2.82 262 6.20 Cairn India 316.15 Buy Above 317.00 311.00 1.89 330 4.10 * Stop Losses are to be considered strictly on closing basis. Intra-day Resistance Intra-day Support Indices Close Pivot Point R1 R2 R3 S1 S2 S3 BSE SENSEX 17214 17246 17310 17407 17567 17150 17086 16925 S&P CNX NIFTY 5227 5237 5257 5287 5338 5207 5187 5136 NIFTY JULY FUT. 5240 5249 5269 5297 5345 5221 5201 5153 Keynote Capitals Ltd. th The Ruby, 9 Floor, Senapati Bapat Marg, Dadar (W), Mumbai, India – 400028. Tel: 3026 6000 / 2269 4322 www.keynotecapitals.com
  • 3. Stocks to watch out today Aban, Biocon, Cairn India, Cipla, DCB, Dena Bank, Divis Labs, Hero Motorcorp; Lupin, Oil India, ONGC AB Nuvo, Adani Ports, Allahabad bank, Arvind, Ashok Leyland, Axis Bank, bank of India, bharti Airtel, Crompton Greaves, Escorts, Federal Bank, FT, GSPL, Hexaware, Hind. Zinc, IVRCL, Jindal Steel, JSW Steel, Jubilant Food, LIC Housing, Maruti, Mcleod Russel, Opto Circuit, Rel. Capital, Siemens, Sterlite, Tata Steel, Titan, Wipro Disclaimer This document is not for public distribution and has been furnished to you solely for your information and must not be reproduced or redistributed to any other person. Persons into whose possession this document may come are required to observe these restrictions. This material is for the personal information of the authorized recipient, and we are not soliciting any action based upon it. This report is not to be construed as an offer to sell or the solicitation of an offer to buy any security in any jurisdiction where such an offer or solicitation would be illegal. It is for the general information of clients of Keynote Capitals Ltd. It does not constitute a personal recommendation or take into account the particular investment objectives, financial situations, or needs of individual clients. We have reviewed the report, and in so far as it includes current or historical information, it is believed to be reliable though its accuracy or completeness cannot be guaranteed. Neither Keynote Capitals Ltd., nor any person connected with it, accepts any liability arising from the use of this document. The recipients of this material should rely on their own investigations and take their own professional advice. Price and value of the investments referred to in this material may go up or down. Past performance is not a guide for future performance. Certain transactions -including those involving futures, options and other derivatives as well as non-investment grade securities - involve substantial risk and are not suitable for all investors. Reports based on technical analysis centers on studying charts of a stock’s price movement and trading volume, as opposed to focusing on a company’s fundamentals and as such, may not match with a report on a company’s fundamentals. Opinions expressed are our current opinions as of the date appearing on this material only. While we endeavor to update on a reasonable basis the information discussed in this material, there may be regulatory, compliance, or other reasons that prevent us from doing so. Prospective investors and others are cautioned that any forward-looking statements are not predictions and may be subject to change without notice. Our proprietary trading and investment businesses may make investment decisions that are inconsistent with the recommendations expressed herein. We and our affiliates, officers, directors, and employees world wide may: (a) from time to time, have long or short positions in, and buy or sell the securities thereof, of company (ies) mentioned herein or (b) be engaged in any other transaction involving such securities and earn brokerage or other compensation or act as a market maker in the financial instruments of the company (ies) discussed herein or act as advisor or lender / borrower to such company (ies) or have other potential conflict of interest with respect to any recommendation and related information and opinions. The analyst for this report certifies that all of the views expressed in this report accurately reflect his or her personal views about the subject company or companies and its or their securities, and no part of his or her compensation was, is or will be, directly or indirectly related to specific recommendations or views expressed in this report. No part of this material may be duplicated in any form and/or redistributed without Keynote Capitals Ltd’s., prior written consent. Keynote Capitals Ltd. th The Ruby, 9 Floor, Senapati Bapat Marg, Dadar (W), Mumbai, India – 400028. Tel: 3026 6000 / 2269 4322 www.keynotecapitals.com