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Daily Technical Outlook

                                                                                                          23rd November 2012
         Indices *             Close           % Chg.                                 Markets Tepid…
 BSE SENSEX                    18517.34              0.31
 S&P CNX NIFTY                 5627.75               0.23      Mirroring the positive global market cues the domestic
 NIFTY NOV. FUT.                5640.45              0.33
                                                               markets witnessed a positive opening. However, the markets
                                                               struggled ahead of the parliament session ansd see-sawed
 India VIX                        14.91              -3.55
                                                               struggling to find a direction. However, the markets managed
        S&P CNX NIFTY Technical Levels                         to bounce back in the afternoon session on back of selective
                 Level 1       Level 2         Level 3         buying support. The over all trend remained lackluster and
Support           5554          5447            5421           tepid. The markets ended the day with modest gains to close
Resistance        5665          5747            5816
                                                               near the highs for the day. The top gainers for the day were
                                                               Axis Bank, SBI, L&T, JP Associates, Grasim, Infosys Tech;
 Simple Moving Averages S&P CNX NIFTY                          Ambuja Cement, Asian Paints, HCL Tech and Rel. Infra.
50 Day SMA                     5647.43        ◄Negative
100 Day SMA                    5461.51                         Technically, the market breadth remained positive
200 Day SMA                    5326.69
                                                               amidst lower volumes. The prevailing technical positives
                                                               helped the markets move higher. The Stochastic is still
   Market Breadth *             BSE             NSE            placed above its average. Moreover, the RSI and KST
Advances                            1431                575    have moved above their respective averages. The Nifty
Declines                            1366                506    remains placed above its 100-day SMA and 200-day SMA.
Same                                 146                 49
                                                               More so the Nifty’s 50-day SMA remains placed above
                                                               Nifty’s 100-day SMA and 200-day SMA, the later being
Total                               2943              1130
                                                               called the ‘Golden Cross breakout’. These positive
A/D Ratio                        1.05 : 1           1.14 : 1
                                                               conditions would lead to regular bouts of short covering
             Volume (Lacs Shares)         *                    and buying support. However, the prevailing technical
               22/11/12        21/11/12        % Chg.
                                                               negative conditions still hold good and would weigh on
                                                               market sentiment. The MACD is placed below its average
BSE                    1817         1913              -5.02
                                                               and is also placed in the negative territory, which warns
NSE                    5323         5668              -6.09
                                                               of impending selling pressure. The Nifty remains placed
Total                  7140         7581              -5.82    below its 50-day SMA, which is a short-term negative.
             Turnover ( ` Crores)         *                    These negative conditions would lead to further selling
                                                               pressure. The ADX line, +DI line and –DI line are moving
               22/11/12        21/11/12        % Chg.
                                                               sideways, indicating a range bound trend. The market
BSE                  1931.18     1954.27              -1.18
                                                               sentiment remains negative. Now, it is important that the
NSE                  8851.43     9352.97              -5.36    Nifty witnesses buying support at regular intervals for
NSE F&O         123399.03 130626.94                   -5.53    the nifty to move and sustains above its 50-day SMA for
Total           134181.64 141934.18                   -5.46    buying support to emerge. Long positions should be
                                                               avoided till Nifty crosses above its 50-day SMA. In the
         F&O Contracts Traded (NSE)             *              meanwhile the markets would take cues from the
               22/11/12        21/11/12        % Chg.          ongoing parliament session, global markets, Rupee and
Index Fut.           279581      301095               -7.15    the crude prices. The support levels for Nifty are placed at
Stock Fut.           522730      478031                9.35    5554, 5447 and 5421. The Nifty faces resistance at 5665,
Index Opt.        3260479       3559697               -8.41    5747, 5816, 5885, 5910 and 5945 levels.
Stock Opt.           293382      287997                1.87
Total             4356172       4626820               -6.35

NOTE - * - Source – BSE & NSE


Sanjay Bhatia (AVP – Technical Research), Email sanjay@keynotecapitals.net                    Yahoo Id: keytechnicals@yahoo.in


                                                                    Keynote Capitals Ltd.
              The Ruby, 9th Floor, Senapati Bapat Marg, Dadar (W), Mumbai, India – 400028. Tel: 3026 6000 / 2269 4322
                                                                    www.keynotecapitals.com
Jaldi 5 (Short Term Technical Ideas for 5 Trading Days)
                                                                                    Stop
                                                      Initiation       Stop         Loss                     Target
      Stock              Close           Action         Price         Loss *         (%)       Target         (%)               Remarks
Apollo Tyre                83.10        Buy Above           84.60         82.60       2.36           89          5.20
Asian Paints             3974.00        Buy Above        3980.00      3920.00         1.51         4114          3.37
Axis Bank             1257.05   Buy Above        1262.00    1239.50                   1.78         1312          3.96
* Stop Losses are to be considered strictly on closing basis.

                                                                Intra-day Resistance                         Intra-day Support
      Indices              Close           Pivot Point         R1       R2         R3                   S1          S2         S3
BSE SENSEX                    18517                 18514      18571        18625          18737        18460           18402       18291
S&P CNX NIFTY                    5628                5626          5645      5662           5697          5609           5591        5556
NIFTY NOV. FUT.                  5640                5637          5661      5681           5725          5617           5594        5550




                                              Stocks To Watch Out Today
Apollo Tyre, Asian Paints, Axis Bank, Century Textiles, Glaxo, Grasim, Havells, HCL Tech; HDFC Bank, HUL, IDBI, Indian
Bank, Infosys Tech; ITC, JP Associates, JP Power, L&T, M&M, PFC, PTC, RCOM; REC, REl. Infra, RPower, Tata Power,
Tech Mahindra, Unitech, United Spirits, VIP, Wipro, ZEEL


BF Utilities, BGR Energy, BHEL, Cairn India, Dabur, FT, GE Shipping, GMDC, GMR Infra, HPCL, Hind. Zinc, Indian Hotels, Oil
India, Opto Circuit, pantaloon retail, Petronet, Powergrid, Siemens, Sintex, Tata Motors



                                                              Keynote Capitals Ltd.
               The Ruby, 9th Floor, Senapati Bapat Marg, Dadar (W), Mumbai, India – 400028. Tel: 3026 6000 / 2269 4322
                                                             www.keynotecapitals.com
NOTE:

TECHNICAL ANALYSIS ABBREVATIONS
SMA – Simple Moving Average
EMA – Exponential Moving Average
WMA – Weighted Moving Average




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                                                       Keynote Capitals Ltd.
          The Ruby, 9th Floor, Senapati Bapat Marg, Dadar (W), Mumbai, India – 400028. Tel: 3026 6000 / 2269 4322
                                                      www.keynotecapitals.com

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Keynote technicals daily report for 231112

  • 1. Daily Technical Outlook 23rd November 2012 Indices * Close % Chg. Markets Tepid… BSE SENSEX 18517.34 0.31 S&P CNX NIFTY 5627.75 0.23 Mirroring the positive global market cues the domestic NIFTY NOV. FUT. 5640.45 0.33 markets witnessed a positive opening. However, the markets struggled ahead of the parliament session ansd see-sawed India VIX 14.91 -3.55 struggling to find a direction. However, the markets managed S&P CNX NIFTY Technical Levels to bounce back in the afternoon session on back of selective Level 1 Level 2 Level 3 buying support. The over all trend remained lackluster and Support 5554 5447 5421 tepid. The markets ended the day with modest gains to close Resistance 5665 5747 5816 near the highs for the day. The top gainers for the day were Axis Bank, SBI, L&T, JP Associates, Grasim, Infosys Tech; Simple Moving Averages S&P CNX NIFTY Ambuja Cement, Asian Paints, HCL Tech and Rel. Infra. 50 Day SMA 5647.43 ◄Negative 100 Day SMA 5461.51 Technically, the market breadth remained positive 200 Day SMA 5326.69 amidst lower volumes. The prevailing technical positives helped the markets move higher. The Stochastic is still Market Breadth * BSE NSE placed above its average. Moreover, the RSI and KST Advances 1431 575 have moved above their respective averages. The Nifty Declines 1366 506 remains placed above its 100-day SMA and 200-day SMA. Same 146 49 More so the Nifty’s 50-day SMA remains placed above Nifty’s 100-day SMA and 200-day SMA, the later being Total 2943 1130 called the ‘Golden Cross breakout’. These positive A/D Ratio 1.05 : 1 1.14 : 1 conditions would lead to regular bouts of short covering Volume (Lacs Shares) * and buying support. However, the prevailing technical 22/11/12 21/11/12 % Chg. negative conditions still hold good and would weigh on market sentiment. The MACD is placed below its average BSE 1817 1913 -5.02 and is also placed in the negative territory, which warns NSE 5323 5668 -6.09 of impending selling pressure. The Nifty remains placed Total 7140 7581 -5.82 below its 50-day SMA, which is a short-term negative. Turnover ( ` Crores) * These negative conditions would lead to further selling pressure. The ADX line, +DI line and –DI line are moving 22/11/12 21/11/12 % Chg. sideways, indicating a range bound trend. The market BSE 1931.18 1954.27 -1.18 sentiment remains negative. Now, it is important that the NSE 8851.43 9352.97 -5.36 Nifty witnesses buying support at regular intervals for NSE F&O 123399.03 130626.94 -5.53 the nifty to move and sustains above its 50-day SMA for Total 134181.64 141934.18 -5.46 buying support to emerge. Long positions should be avoided till Nifty crosses above its 50-day SMA. In the F&O Contracts Traded (NSE) * meanwhile the markets would take cues from the 22/11/12 21/11/12 % Chg. ongoing parliament session, global markets, Rupee and Index Fut. 279581 301095 -7.15 the crude prices. The support levels for Nifty are placed at Stock Fut. 522730 478031 9.35 5554, 5447 and 5421. The Nifty faces resistance at 5665, Index Opt. 3260479 3559697 -8.41 5747, 5816, 5885, 5910 and 5945 levels. Stock Opt. 293382 287997 1.87 Total 4356172 4626820 -6.35 NOTE - * - Source – BSE & NSE Sanjay Bhatia (AVP – Technical Research), Email sanjay@keynotecapitals.net Yahoo Id: keytechnicals@yahoo.in Keynote Capitals Ltd. The Ruby, 9th Floor, Senapati Bapat Marg, Dadar (W), Mumbai, India – 400028. Tel: 3026 6000 / 2269 4322 www.keynotecapitals.com
  • 2. Jaldi 5 (Short Term Technical Ideas for 5 Trading Days) Stop Initiation Stop Loss Target Stock Close Action Price Loss * (%) Target (%) Remarks Apollo Tyre 83.10 Buy Above 84.60 82.60 2.36 89 5.20 Asian Paints 3974.00 Buy Above 3980.00 3920.00 1.51 4114 3.37 Axis Bank 1257.05 Buy Above 1262.00 1239.50 1.78 1312 3.96 * Stop Losses are to be considered strictly on closing basis. Intra-day Resistance Intra-day Support Indices Close Pivot Point R1 R2 R3 S1 S2 S3 BSE SENSEX 18517 18514 18571 18625 18737 18460 18402 18291 S&P CNX NIFTY 5628 5626 5645 5662 5697 5609 5591 5556 NIFTY NOV. FUT. 5640 5637 5661 5681 5725 5617 5594 5550 Stocks To Watch Out Today Apollo Tyre, Asian Paints, Axis Bank, Century Textiles, Glaxo, Grasim, Havells, HCL Tech; HDFC Bank, HUL, IDBI, Indian Bank, Infosys Tech; ITC, JP Associates, JP Power, L&T, M&M, PFC, PTC, RCOM; REC, REl. Infra, RPower, Tata Power, Tech Mahindra, Unitech, United Spirits, VIP, Wipro, ZEEL BF Utilities, BGR Energy, BHEL, Cairn India, Dabur, FT, GE Shipping, GMDC, GMR Infra, HPCL, Hind. Zinc, Indian Hotels, Oil India, Opto Circuit, pantaloon retail, Petronet, Powergrid, Siemens, Sintex, Tata Motors Keynote Capitals Ltd. The Ruby, 9th Floor, Senapati Bapat Marg, Dadar (W), Mumbai, India – 400028. Tel: 3026 6000 / 2269 4322 www.keynotecapitals.com
  • 3. NOTE: TECHNICAL ANALYSIS ABBREVATIONS SMA – Simple Moving Average EMA – Exponential Moving Average WMA – Weighted Moving Average Disclaimer This document is not for public distribution and has been furnished to you solely for your information and must not be reproduced or redistributed to any other person. Persons into whose possession this document may come are required to observe these restrictions. This material is for the personal information of the authorized recipient, and we are not soliciting any action based upon it. This report is not to be construed as an offer to sell or the solicitation of an offer to buy any security in any jurisdiction where such an offer or solicitation would be illegal. It is for the general information of clients of Keynote Capitals Ltd. It does not constitute a personal recommendation or take into account the particular investment objectives, financial situations, or needs of individual clients. We have reviewed the report, and in so far as it includes current or historical information, it is believed to be reliable though its accuracy or completeness cannot be guaranteed. Neither Keynote Capitals Ltd., nor any person connected with it, accepts any liability arising from the use of this document. The recipients of this material should rely on their own investigations and take their own professional advice. Price and value of the investments referred to in this material may go up or down. Past performance is not a guide for future performance. Certain transactions -including those involving futures, options and other derivatives as well as non-investment grade securities - involve substantial risk and are not suitable for all investors. Reports based on technical analysis centers on studying charts of a stock’s price movement and trading volume, as opposed to focusing on a company’s fundamentals and as such, may not match with a report on a company’s fundamentals. Opinions expressed are our current opinions as of the date appearing on this material only. While we endeavor to update on a reasonable basis the information discussed in this material, there may be regulatory, compliance, or other reasons that prevent us from doing so. Prospective investors and others are cautioned that any forward-looking statements are not predictions and may be subject to change without notice. Our proprietary trading and investment businesses may make investment decisions that are inconsistent with the recommendations expressed herein. We and our affiliates, officers, directors, and employees world wide may: (a) from time to time, have long or short positions in, and buy or sell the securities thereof, of company (ies) mentioned herein or (b) be engaged in any other transaction involving such securities and earn brokerage or other compensation or act as a market maker in the financial instruments of the company (ies) discussed herein or act as advisor or lender / borrower to such company (ies) or have other potential conflict of interest with respect to any recommendation and related information and opinions. The analyst for this report certifies that all of the views expressed in this report accurately reflect his or her personal views about the subject company or companies and its or their securities, and no part of his or her compensation was, is or will be, directly or indirectly related to specific recommendations or views expressed in this report. No part of this material may be duplicated in any form and/or redistributed without Keynote Capitals Ltd’s., prior written consent. Keynote Capitals Ltd. The Ruby, 9th Floor, Senapati Bapat Marg, Dadar (W), Mumbai, India – 400028. Tel: 3026 6000 / 2269 4322 www.keynotecapitals.com