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Daily Technical Outlook

                                                                                                                   25th April 2012
         Indices *           Close         % Chg.      Mirroring the divergent global market cues, the domestic
 BSE SENSEX                17207.29          0.65      markets opened on a flat note but drifted lower. The markets
 S&P CNX NIFTY              5222.65          0.42      managed to bounce back from lower levels. The markets
 NIFTY APRIL FUT.           5224.35          0.50      witnessed steady buying support was helping the Nifty moved
 India VIX                   19.25          -10.75     higher and sustain above the 5200 level. Though, the trend
                                                       remained range bound the markets did not show any signs of
        S&P CNX NIFTY Technical Levels                 weakness. The markets ended the day with moderate gains
                 Level 1    Level 2         Level 3    to close near the highs for the day. The top gainers for the
Support           5161       5037            4955      day were TCS, SAIL, Wipro, HCL Tech; Tata Power, Hero
Resistance        5400       5681            5728      Motocorp, Tata Steel, Ranbaxy, Infosys Tech; and Hindalco.
        Moving Averages S&P CNX NIFTY                  Technically, the market breadth remained negative
50 Day SMA                  5329.81                    amidst lower volumes. The global market cues are
100 Day SMA                 5124.69                    divergent. The domestic markets are likely to witness a
200 Day SMA                 5134.42        ◄ Crucial   flat opening. The few prevailing technical positives
                                                       helped the markets move higher. The KST has once
             Volume (Lacs Shares)      *               again moved above its average. More so the MACD
               24/04/12     23/04/12        % Chg.     already remains placed above its average. The Nifty
BSE              1777        1992           -10.79     continues to sustain above its long-term moving average
NSE              5441        5576            -2.44     the 200-day SMA. Moreover, the Nifty’s 50-day SMA
Total            7218        7568            -4.64
                                                       remains placed above Nifty’s 100-day SMA and 200-day
                                                       SMA, the later being called the “Golden Cross” breakout.
             Turnover ( ` Crores)      *               These positive technical conditions would prompt buying
               24/04/12     23/04/12        % Chg.     support at lower levels. However, the prevailing technical
BSE             2308.53     2033.13          13.55     negatives also continue to hold good. The Stochastic
NSE            11541.23     9345.22          23.50
                                                       and RSI are placed below their respective averages.
                                                       These conditions would lead to selling pressure. The
NSE F&O        150123.31   163080.44         -7.95
                                                       ADX line, +DI line and –DI line continue to move
Total          163973.07   174458.79         -6.01
                                                       sideways indicating that markets would continue to
         F&O Contracts Traded (NSE)         *          remain range bound. The market sentiment remains
                                                       cautious. Now, it is important that the markets witness
               24/04/12     23/04/12        % Chg.
                                                       follow up buying support at regular intervals for the Nifty
Index Fut.      643439      545708           17.91
                                                       to move higher and test the crucial 5400 resistance level.
Stock Fut.     1012629      734508           37.86     The markets will witness intermediate bouts of volatility
Index Opt.     3753825      4612346         -18.61     and choppiness due to the impending derivative segment
Stock Opt.      244077      247737           -1.48     expiry. In the meanwhile the markets would take cues
Total          5653970      6140299         -14.04     from the forthcoming Q4 results along with global
                                                       markets and the crude prices. The support levels for Nifty
             Market Breadth (NSE) *                    are placed at 5161, 5037 and 4955. The Nifty faces
Advances                      658                      resistance at the 5400, 5681, 5728 and 5885 levels.
Declines                      795
Same                           88
Total                        1541
A/D Ratio                   0.83 : 1
NOTE -   *- Source – BSE & NSE
Sanjay Bhatia (AVP – Technicals), Email Id sanjay@keynotecapitals.net                Yahoo Chat Id: keytechnicals@yahoo.in

                                                             Keynote Capitals Ltd.
                                 th
                     The Ruby, 9 Floor, Senapati Bapat Marg, Dadar (W), Mumbai, India – 400028. Tel: 3026 6000 / 2269 4322
                                                            www.keynotecapitals.com
Short Term Trading Ideas Based On Technical Analysis (5 - 7 Days)

                                                                               Stop
                                                   Initiation        Stop      Loss                      Target
      Stock            Close         Action          Price          Loss *      (%)          Target       (%)            Remarks
Bharta Forge            313.30      Sell Below            312        320.55        2.74         293          6.09
                                                                                                                    TGT of 300
                                                                                                                    Achieved
                                                                                                                    given Sell @
                                                                                                                    311 on
Bharti Airtel           307.35      Sell Below            305        311.00        1.97         292          4.26   24/04/12
                                                                                                                    TGT of 85
                                                                                                                    Achieved
                                                                                                                    given Sell @
                                                                                                                    88.75 on
Idea                     79.90   Sell Below            79             81.25        2.85          74          6.33   19/04/12
* Stop Losses are to be considered strictly on closing basis.



                                                            Intra-day Resistance                        Intra-day Support
       Indices           Close         Pivot Point         R1       R2         R3                S1            S2         S3
BSE SENSEX                  17207                17167     17288       17368         17569        17087        16966        16766
S&P CNX NIFTY                5223                 5212       5243       5264          5316            5191        5160       5108
NIFTY APRIL FUT.             5224                 5216       5247       5269          5322            5194        5164       5111




                                                           Keynote Capitals Ltd.
                               th
                   The Ruby, 9 Floor, Senapati Bapat Marg, Dadar (W), Mumbai, India – 400028. Tel: 3026 6000 / 2269 4322
                                                         www.keynotecapitals.com
Stocks to watch out today

Aban, ABB, AB Nuvo, Ambuja Cements, Areva, Axis Bank, BEL, Bharat Forge, BHEL, Bombay Dying, CBI, Cipla,
DLF, Dr. Reddys, EKC, Esar Oil, Exide, Federal Bank, GAIL, Havells, HCC, HDIL, Hotel Leela, IB Realestate,
Idea, IGL, ITC, Jindal Steel, Jp Associates, JSW Energy, JSW Ispat, LITL, L&T, Lupin, McDowell, Piramal
Healthcare, Polaris, PTC, Punj Lloyd, Rel. Comm; Ruchi Soya, Sun TV, Tata Comm; TTML, Ultratech Cemco,
Uniphos
Bata, HCL Tech; Hero Motocorp, Hexaware, NTPC, Ranbaxy, SAIL, Sintex, Sun Pharma, TCS, UBL, Wipro




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     This material is for the personal information of the authorized recipient, and we are not soliciting any action based
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     Capitals Ltd. It does not constitute a personal recommendation or take into account the particular investment
     objectives, financial situations, or needs of individual clients.
     We have reviewed the report, and in so far as it includes current or historical information, it is believed to be reliable
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     with it, accepts any liability arising from the use of this document. The recipients of this material should rely on their
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                                                          Keynote Capitals Ltd.
                             th
                  The Ruby, 9 Floor, Senapati Bapat Marg, Dadar (W), Mumbai, India – 400028. Tel: 3026 6000 / 2269 4322
                                                        www.keynotecapitals.com

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Keynote technicals daily report for 250412

  • 1. Daily Technical Outlook 25th April 2012 Indices * Close % Chg. Mirroring the divergent global market cues, the domestic BSE SENSEX 17207.29 0.65 markets opened on a flat note but drifted lower. The markets S&P CNX NIFTY 5222.65 0.42 managed to bounce back from lower levels. The markets NIFTY APRIL FUT. 5224.35 0.50 witnessed steady buying support was helping the Nifty moved India VIX 19.25 -10.75 higher and sustain above the 5200 level. Though, the trend remained range bound the markets did not show any signs of S&P CNX NIFTY Technical Levels weakness. The markets ended the day with moderate gains Level 1 Level 2 Level 3 to close near the highs for the day. The top gainers for the Support 5161 5037 4955 day were TCS, SAIL, Wipro, HCL Tech; Tata Power, Hero Resistance 5400 5681 5728 Motocorp, Tata Steel, Ranbaxy, Infosys Tech; and Hindalco. Moving Averages S&P CNX NIFTY Technically, the market breadth remained negative 50 Day SMA 5329.81 amidst lower volumes. The global market cues are 100 Day SMA 5124.69 divergent. The domestic markets are likely to witness a 200 Day SMA 5134.42 ◄ Crucial flat opening. The few prevailing technical positives helped the markets move higher. The KST has once Volume (Lacs Shares) * again moved above its average. More so the MACD 24/04/12 23/04/12 % Chg. already remains placed above its average. The Nifty BSE 1777 1992 -10.79 continues to sustain above its long-term moving average NSE 5441 5576 -2.44 the 200-day SMA. Moreover, the Nifty’s 50-day SMA Total 7218 7568 -4.64 remains placed above Nifty’s 100-day SMA and 200-day SMA, the later being called the “Golden Cross” breakout. Turnover ( ` Crores) * These positive technical conditions would prompt buying 24/04/12 23/04/12 % Chg. support at lower levels. However, the prevailing technical BSE 2308.53 2033.13 13.55 negatives also continue to hold good. The Stochastic NSE 11541.23 9345.22 23.50 and RSI are placed below their respective averages. These conditions would lead to selling pressure. The NSE F&O 150123.31 163080.44 -7.95 ADX line, +DI line and –DI line continue to move Total 163973.07 174458.79 -6.01 sideways indicating that markets would continue to F&O Contracts Traded (NSE) * remain range bound. The market sentiment remains cautious. Now, it is important that the markets witness 24/04/12 23/04/12 % Chg. follow up buying support at regular intervals for the Nifty Index Fut. 643439 545708 17.91 to move higher and test the crucial 5400 resistance level. Stock Fut. 1012629 734508 37.86 The markets will witness intermediate bouts of volatility Index Opt. 3753825 4612346 -18.61 and choppiness due to the impending derivative segment Stock Opt. 244077 247737 -1.48 expiry. In the meanwhile the markets would take cues Total 5653970 6140299 -14.04 from the forthcoming Q4 results along with global markets and the crude prices. The support levels for Nifty Market Breadth (NSE) * are placed at 5161, 5037 and 4955. The Nifty faces Advances 658 resistance at the 5400, 5681, 5728 and 5885 levels. Declines 795 Same 88 Total 1541 A/D Ratio 0.83 : 1 NOTE - *- Source – BSE & NSE Sanjay Bhatia (AVP – Technicals), Email Id sanjay@keynotecapitals.net Yahoo Chat Id: keytechnicals@yahoo.in Keynote Capitals Ltd. th The Ruby, 9 Floor, Senapati Bapat Marg, Dadar (W), Mumbai, India – 400028. Tel: 3026 6000 / 2269 4322 www.keynotecapitals.com
  • 2. Short Term Trading Ideas Based On Technical Analysis (5 - 7 Days) Stop Initiation Stop Loss Target Stock Close Action Price Loss * (%) Target (%) Remarks Bharta Forge 313.30 Sell Below 312 320.55 2.74 293 6.09 TGT of 300 Achieved given Sell @ 311 on Bharti Airtel 307.35 Sell Below 305 311.00 1.97 292 4.26 24/04/12 TGT of 85 Achieved given Sell @ 88.75 on Idea 79.90 Sell Below 79 81.25 2.85 74 6.33 19/04/12 * Stop Losses are to be considered strictly on closing basis. Intra-day Resistance Intra-day Support Indices Close Pivot Point R1 R2 R3 S1 S2 S3 BSE SENSEX 17207 17167 17288 17368 17569 17087 16966 16766 S&P CNX NIFTY 5223 5212 5243 5264 5316 5191 5160 5108 NIFTY APRIL FUT. 5224 5216 5247 5269 5322 5194 5164 5111 Keynote Capitals Ltd. th The Ruby, 9 Floor, Senapati Bapat Marg, Dadar (W), Mumbai, India – 400028. Tel: 3026 6000 / 2269 4322 www.keynotecapitals.com
  • 3. Stocks to watch out today Aban, ABB, AB Nuvo, Ambuja Cements, Areva, Axis Bank, BEL, Bharat Forge, BHEL, Bombay Dying, CBI, Cipla, DLF, Dr. Reddys, EKC, Esar Oil, Exide, Federal Bank, GAIL, Havells, HCC, HDIL, Hotel Leela, IB Realestate, Idea, IGL, ITC, Jindal Steel, Jp Associates, JSW Energy, JSW Ispat, LITL, L&T, Lupin, McDowell, Piramal Healthcare, Polaris, PTC, Punj Lloyd, Rel. Comm; Ruchi Soya, Sun TV, Tata Comm; TTML, Ultratech Cemco, Uniphos Bata, HCL Tech; Hero Motocorp, Hexaware, NTPC, Ranbaxy, SAIL, Sintex, Sun Pharma, TCS, UBL, Wipro Disclaimer This document is not for public distribution and has been furnished to you solely for your information and must not be reproduced or redistributed to any other person. Persons into whose possession this document may come are required to observe these restrictions. This material is for the personal information of the authorized recipient, and we are not soliciting any action based upon it. This report is not to be construed as an offer to sell or the solicitation of an offer to buy any security in any jurisdiction where such an offer or solicitation would be illegal. It is for the general information of clients of Keynote Capitals Ltd. It does not constitute a personal recommendation or take into account the particular investment objectives, financial situations, or needs of individual clients. We have reviewed the report, and in so far as it includes current or historical information, it is believed to be reliable though its accuracy or completeness cannot be guaranteed. Neither Keynote Capitals Ltd., nor any person connected with it, accepts any liability arising from the use of this document. The recipients of this material should rely on their own investigations and take their own professional advice. Price and value of the investments referred to in this material may go up or down. Past performance is not a guide for future performance. Certain transactions -including those involving futures, options and other derivatives as well as non-investment grade securities - involve substantial risk and are not suitable for all investors. Reports based on technical analysis centers on studying charts of a stock’s price movement and trading volume, as opposed to focusing on a company’s fundamentals and as such, may not match with a report on a company’s fundamentals. Opinions expressed are our current opinions as of the date appearing on this material only. While we endeavor to update on a reasonable basis the information discussed in this material, there may be regulatory, compliance, or other reasons that prevent us from doing so. Prospective investors and others are cautioned that any forward-looking statements are not predictions and may be subject to change without notice. Our proprietary trading and investment businesses may make investment decisions that are inconsistent with the recommendations expressed herein. We and our affiliates, officers, directors, and employees world wide may: (a) from time to time, have long or short positions in, and buy or sell the securities thereof, of company (ies) mentioned herein or (b) be engaged in any other transaction involving such securities and earn brokerage or other compensation or act as a market maker in the financial instruments of the company (ies) discussed herein or act as advisor or lender / borrower to such company (ies) or have other potential conflict of interest with respect to any recommendation and related information and opinions. The analyst for this report certifies that all of the views expressed in this report accurately reflect his or her personal views about the subject company or companies and its or their securities, and no part of his or her compensation was, is or will be, directly or indirectly related to specific recommendations or views expressed in this report. No part of this material may be duplicated in any form and/or redistributed without Keynote Capitals Ltd’s., prior written consent. Keynote Capitals Ltd. th The Ruby, 9 Floor, Senapati Bapat Marg, Dadar (W), Mumbai, India – 400028. Tel: 3026 6000 / 2269 4322 www.keynotecapitals.com